XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s2

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +7d

assessed

309

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

62.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1009

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0138

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.082275	0.079628	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.08196	0.079245	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.076044	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.074455	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.074827	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.076632	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.080245	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.08287	-3.29%	0.082275	-3.99%	0.0473	✓	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.078302	-2.44%	0.08196	+2.12%	0.0014	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.080418	-2.71%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0245	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.078521	-2.45%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0301	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.08587	-2.87%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0816	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.084792	-2.89%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0470	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.082183	-2.87%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0258	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.081363	-2.84%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0439	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.085015	-2.94%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0269	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.087286	-2.80%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0109	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.092408	-2.53%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0649	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.094007	-2.40%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0095	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.093259	-2.51%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0315	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.090884	-2.61%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0346	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.09384	-2.40%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0545	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.092544	-2.44%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0496	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.093528	-2.34%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0769	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.096065	-2.25%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0569	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.103716	-2.24%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.1150	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.108577	-2.59%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1334	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.11084	-3.31%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1805	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.107484	-3.04%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1210	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.08784	-2.40%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.0942	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.094301	-2.15%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0647	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.095708	-2.33%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0843	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.087064	-2.43%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1371	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.089936	-2.44%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1570	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.091503	-2.46%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1662	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.086055	-1.56%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.1018	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.080619	-0.44%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0456	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.081425	-0.56%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0413	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.083951	+0.04%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0027	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.078514	+0.92%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0481	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.080993	+1.17%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0571	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.083717	+1.50%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0469	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.08543	+1.59%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0266	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.090588	+1.57%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0724	✗	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.099218	+0.89%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1334	✗	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.094545	+1.73%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.1005	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.091593	+2.25%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0883	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.095352	+2.40%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.1203	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.095791	+2.78%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0975	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.099275	+2.91%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0666	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.086027	+3.30%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0137	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.085584	+3.56%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1147	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.086963	+3.69%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0556	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.087238	+3.74%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0262	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.090226	+3.86%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0016	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.087951	+4.00%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0235	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.093882	+4.07%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0092	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.090988	+3.73%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0562	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.093049	+2.85%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0978	✗	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.098722	+1.39%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1554	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101371	-0.26%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1857	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093713	-0.01%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0975	✓	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.101157	-0.44%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1705	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.08791	-1.08%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.1002	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.078943	-1.82%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0683	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.074425	-1.93%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0782	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.074555	-2.00%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0234	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.073238	-2.12%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0186	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.07412	-2.27%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0574	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.074504	-2.43%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0081	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.073444	-2.54%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0158	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071973	-2.63%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0223	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.076335	-2.79%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0326	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.076325	-2.99%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0163	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.074305	-3.01%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0551	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.073804	-3.00%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0725	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.073434	-3.06%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0846	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.072811	-3.02%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0542	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.072764	-2.94%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0439	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.075661	-2.87%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0492	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.07549	-2.69%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0308	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.074089	-2.51%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0014	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.073467	-2.24%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0154	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.072168	-1.88%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0000	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.076069	-2.54%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0027	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.075389	-2.28%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0215	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.081786	-2.11%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0534	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.077103	-2.22%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0113	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.083908	-1.57%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0586	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.081736	-1.82%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0500	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.083334	-1.55%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.0970	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.079737	-1.74%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0141	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.08401	-1.05%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0372	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.082864	-0.94%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0667	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.084281	-0.90%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0331	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.079514	-1.10%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0555	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.082071	-0.76%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0249	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.084674	-0.62%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0044	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.085885	-0.60%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0860	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.091341	-0.72%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.1012	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.092501	-0.75%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1320	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.088873	-0.70%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.1071	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.088296	-0.62%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.1142	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.090364	-0.59%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.1122	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.091288	-0.61%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0634	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.094755	-0.68%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.1069	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.090455	-0.49%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0441	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.098077	-0.73%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0906	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.107905	-1.19%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1455	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.105626	-0.96%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1767	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.105552	-0.98%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1660	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.105547	-1.08%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1779	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.094614	-0.51%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0324	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.090455	-0.38%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0504	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.086429	-0.20%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0230	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.103687	-1.16%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0276	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.095168	-0.66%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0292	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.09989	-0.95%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0004	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.102369	-1.28%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0105	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.103296	-1.53%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.1199	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.091332	-0.73%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0172	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.088147	-0.74%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0801	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.0843	-0.65%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3092	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.088411	-0.88%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1726	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.093085	-1.29%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.1826	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.099193	-1.59%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1294	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.096187	-1.65%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.1643	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.109643	-2.63%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0975	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.089645	-1.81%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0626	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.088304	-2.05%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0169	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.087753	-2.06%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0777	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.085111	-2.17%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1079	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.081061	-1.86%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2196	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.075205	-0.26%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.2803	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.062198	+1.63%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5231	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.067173	+1.62%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2152	✓	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.070997	+1.42%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.1657	✓	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.070437	+1.64%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.1845	✓	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.067024	+2.33%	0.087	+32.82%	0.1790	✓	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.068629	+2.43%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1279	✓	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.083377	-1.21%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0959	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.091301	-2.77%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3436	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.0844	-2.09%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1306	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.090597	-2.58%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0932	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.087022	-2.33%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0179	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.088629	-2.61%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0321	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.086247	-2.77%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0069	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.092034	-3.63%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1171	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.083	-2.47%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3432	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.085709	-2.71%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.1981	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.083756	-2.67%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2362	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.079309	-2.45%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.1904	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.082069	-2.65%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1640	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.080357	-2.24%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1433	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.086962	-3.05%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1773	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.084736	-2.83%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0695	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.07994	-2.09%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1164	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.081853	-2.27%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0438	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.081717	-2.25%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0037	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.084475	-2.57%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0274	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.086497	-2.81%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0230	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.093064	-3.41%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0330	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.091107	-3.28%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0075	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.092704	-3.48%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0548	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.098418	-3.89%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0721	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.102931	-4.12%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1194	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.10155	-4.38%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1105	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.104872	-4.83%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1432	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.102111	-4.21%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0776	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.097008	-3.04%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0046	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.090551	-2.16%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0655	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.086193	-2.50%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1439	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.087362	-2.61%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1494	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.088099	-2.76%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1559	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.088498	-2.86%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1883	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.088551	-2.90%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1235	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.090211	-3.05%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0085	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.093125	-3.10%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0852	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.095332	-3.12%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1183	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.097814	-2.87%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0846	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.096929	-3.22%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0856	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.096841	-3.21%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0749	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.098097	-2.92%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0375	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.098724	-2.97%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0150	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.099311	-3.21%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0323	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.10127	-3.18%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0562	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.10058	-3.15%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0900	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.10625	-2.84%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0947	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.124695	-2.12%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2268	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.13771	-2.19%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3687	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.128275	-2.12%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2956	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.131048	-2.20%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2871	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.136692	-2.36%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2952	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.121136	-2.51%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.2146	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.133054	-2.67%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2463	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.126732	-2.78%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0716	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.119886	-2.65%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.0968	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.121062	-2.92%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0073	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.125872	-3.40%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0191	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.115924	-3.48%	0.14	+16.57%	0.0779	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.117087	-3.75%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0238	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.11272	-3.95%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.0769	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.106167	-3.75%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.0850	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.112346	-5.67%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0070	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.102938	-2.89%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1301	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.091208	-1.77%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2804	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.08711	-1.40%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2761	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.085616	-0.91%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.2860	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.087856	-0.90%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2685	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.088666	-0.65%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2052	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.092815	-0.89%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.2895	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.099397	-1.10%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1306	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.096785	-0.94%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0067	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.095764	-0.81%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0066	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.090615	-0.48%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0068	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.092187	-0.55%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0164	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.093719	-0.56%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0388	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.098352	-0.65%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0248	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.107321	-1.04%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0668	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.116792	-1.48%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.1101	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.121617	-1.76%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1506	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.106343	-1.03%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0552	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.108927	-1.20%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.1134	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.107146	-1.11%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1191	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.105469	-0.97%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0507	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.098985	-0.62%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0700	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.098573	-0.58%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1044	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.090658	-0.38%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1822	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.09276	-0.31%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0002	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094476	-0.34%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0689	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098306	-0.40%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0373	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.117122	-1.54%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0880	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.112565	-1.43%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0722	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.113905	-1.55%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1747	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.103917	-0.65%	0.091	-13.00%	0.1239	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097213	-0.40%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0484	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.101349	-0.54%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0734	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091401	-0.33%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0266	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094201	-0.42%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1596	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.102559	-0.81%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0077	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086966	-0.15%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.1942	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086896	-0.12%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.0961	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089311	-0.27%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1287	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.096288	-0.43%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0777	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.094766	-0.40%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0128	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.093359	-0.31%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0021	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.092135	-0.23%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.0817	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.09618	-0.43%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0250	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.101098	-1.08%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0595	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.095633	-0.59%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0412	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.100641	-1.53%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0022	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.096525	-0.80%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0027	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.092082	+0.25%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0008	✓	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.082414	+1.00%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1267	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081818	+0.95%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.1944	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.084425	+0.93%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2169	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.083641	+1.26%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1707	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.085147	+1.61%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1712	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.085236	+1.77%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1683	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.081192	+2.90%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0318	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.096199	+1.42%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0225	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.096478	+1.45%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0442	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.104903	+0.92%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0394	✓	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.102798	+1.48%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0089	✓	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.107576	+1.20%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0481	✓	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.120341	-2.04%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0600	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.122741	-2.35%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2704	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.138394	-4.56%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.0939	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.133197	-3.76%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0486	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.122575	-1.82%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.0991	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.117817	-0.66%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1186	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.126753	-1.82%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1042	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.122707	-1.36%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1412	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.121488	-1.11%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1630	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.124539	-1.16%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1572	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.119798	-0.66%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1239	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.131432	-1.77%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0574	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.128979	-1.84%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.0998	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.13773	-1.90%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.0863	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.142098	-1.80%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0170	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.140189	-1.83%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0206	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.159339	-1.52%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0570	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.159004	-1.67%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.1052	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.150414	-1.88%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1536	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.161411	-1.88%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2799	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.15804	-1.84%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2446	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.166205	-1.77%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2708	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.162316	-1.69%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2500	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.175784	-1.63%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2318	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.205635	-1.70%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2779	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.186884	-1.54%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1353	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.189393	-1.67%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.1244	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.195126	-1.85%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1860	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.191416	-2.14%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1389	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.16795	-1.78%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0756	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.158406	-1.73%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.0782	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.160961	-1.73%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2036	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.15514	-1.93%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1269	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.152312	-1.99%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.1944	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.150185	-1.90%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2492	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.137445	-1.65%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3228	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.131031	-1.63%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2484	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.130726	-1.71%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2108	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.127853	-1.58%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2368	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.126363	-1.59%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2412	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.127221	-1.61%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2087	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.134541	-1.79%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1351	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.129118	-1.59%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.0882	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119197	-0.09%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.0912	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.124412	-0.67%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0507	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.131792	-1.24%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0096	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.133824	-1.05%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.149414	-1.41%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1499	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.153978	-1.42%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0952	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.146475	-1.30%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0856	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.160987	-1.39%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.2201	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.