XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s2

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 948

Track record at +30d

assessed

286

of 316 predictions shown

direction hit

62.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1852

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0405

actual -0.0190

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.082275	0.074769	-9.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.08196	0.074362	-9.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.071068	-9.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.069536	-8.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.06991	-8.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.07162	-8.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.075013	-9.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.077595	-9.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.07309	-8.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.075311	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.073451	-8.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.081278	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.080118	-8.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.077444	-8.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.076677	-8.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.080742	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.083593	-6.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.089278	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.091092	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.090097	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.087548	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.090765	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.089304	-5.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.090506	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.093292	-5.08%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.101399	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.106206	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.107992	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.104392	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.084887	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.092016	-4.52%	0.082275	-14.63%	0.0739	✓	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.093448	-4.64%	0.08196	-16.36%	0.0840	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.083107	-6.87%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.0934	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.086056	-6.65%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1310	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.087491	-6.74%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1524	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.081888	-6.33%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1367	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.076366	-5.69%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0230	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.077439	-5.42%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0313	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.079865	-4.83%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0581	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.074903	-3.72%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0156	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.077586	-3.09%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0446	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.0807	-2.16%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0251	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.082566	-1.81%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0611	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.087865	-1.48%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.1139	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.096164	-2.21%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.2022	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.091802	-1.22%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1301	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.089138	-0.49%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.0970	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.09305	-0.08%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.1004	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.093783	+0.63%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.1097	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.097327	+0.89%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.0869	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.084352	+1.29%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0575	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.084164	+1.84%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0321	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.085723	+2.21%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0018	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.086121	+2.42%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0093	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.08941	+2.92%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0011	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.087619	+3.61%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0704	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.094195	+4.42%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.0945	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.091743	+4.59%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.1313	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.094612	+4.58%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0549	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.101481	+4.22%	0.09	-7.57%	0.2147	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.10358	+1.91%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2204	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.096968	+3.47%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1558	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.104133	+2.49%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.2040	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.088096	-0.87%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.0964	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.077765	-3.29%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0167	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.072945	-3.88%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0528	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.072897	-4.18%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1329	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.07146	-4.50%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1324	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.072059	-4.99%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1607	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.072261	-5.37%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.2158	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.070952	-5.84%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1687	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.069251	-6.32%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1204	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.073531	-6.36%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1434	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.073297	-6.84%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.1062	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.070994	-7.33%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0349	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.070351	-7.54%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0243	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.069873	-7.76%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.0758	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.069012	-8.08%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0274	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.068799	-8.23%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0139	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.071776	-7.86%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0583	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.071438	-7.92%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1450	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.069931	-7.99%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1346	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.069261	-7.84%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1457	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.067972	-7.58%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1053	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.072206	-7.49%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.0959	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.071342	-7.53%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1161	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.079267	-5.13%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.2021	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.073246	-7.11%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1310	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.082185	-3.60%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1635	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.07951	-4.49%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0879	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.081582	-3.62%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0522	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.077298	-4.75%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0506	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.082954	-2.29%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0392	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.081925	-2.06%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0516	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083344	-2.01%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.1223	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.077611	-3.47%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0224	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.081058	-1.99%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0566	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.083922	-1.50%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0912	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.085181	-1.41%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0987	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.090637	-1.48%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.1348	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.09177	-1.53%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1641	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087931	-1.75%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1985	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.087511	-1.51%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.1038	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.089658	-1.37%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.1338	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.090597	-1.36%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1847	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.094027	-1.44%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.2539	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.089851	-1.15%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.2359	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.097473	-1.34%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2836	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.10691	-2.10%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.3690	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.104807	-1.73%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.3079	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.104767	-1.72%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.3096	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.10471	-1.87%	0.076	-28.77%	0.3443	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.094189	-0.96%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.2567	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.08993	-0.96%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2704	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.085686	-1.05%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.2348	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.102455	-2.33%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.3609	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.094349	-1.51%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.2115	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.098905	-1.93%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.3034	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.101134	-2.47%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.2786	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.101789	-2.97%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.2950	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.090324	-1.82%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.1325	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.087117	-1.89%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.1252	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.083417	-1.69%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0311	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.087441	-1.97%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.1205	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.091925	-2.52%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.1004	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.098047	-2.73%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.2269	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.095297	-2.56%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1868	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.108921	-3.27%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.2335	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.088918	-2.61%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0156	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.087498	-2.94%	0.092	+2.05%	0.0881	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.086722	-3.21%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.0896	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.084109	-3.32%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1194	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.080261	-2.83%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.0965	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.074482	-1.22%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.1939	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.061139	-0.10%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3438	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.066103	+0.00%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3314	✓	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069868	-0.19%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.2825	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.069188	-0.16%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.3558	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.065891	+0.60%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4329	✓	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.067564	+0.84%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.3981	✓	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.080271	-4.89%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.2976	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.087991	-6.29%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2256	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.081288	-5.70%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.2755	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.087826	-5.56%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.2657	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.084514	-5.15%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.3437	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.085999	-5.50%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.4849	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.083554	-5.80%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4326	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.088347	-7.49%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4261	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.080084	-5.89%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.5744	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.082553	-6.30%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.5965	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.080599	-6.34%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5213	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.075965	-6.56%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.4935	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.078683	-6.66%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.3628	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.076688	-6.71%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4327	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.082976	-7.50%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4232	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.080732	-7.42%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5340	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.075701	-7.29%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.5667	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.0777	-7.22%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.6477	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.07751	-7.28%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4239	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.080081	-7.63%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.3761	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.081746	-8.15%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.3842	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.08758	-9.10%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3535	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.085381	-9.36%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3149	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.086732	-9.70%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2204	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.091917	-10.24%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0154	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.095763	-10.79%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0528	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.094671	-10.86%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0624	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.098041	-11.03%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0015	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.095024	-10.86%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0277	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.089413	-10.63%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0779	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.083984	-9.26%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.3017	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.080845	-8.55%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.4201	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.081616	-9.01%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2601	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.082312	-9.15%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2450	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.082656	-9.27%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1522	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.082723	-9.29%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1396	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.084377	-9.32%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0920	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.087179	-9.28%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1418	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.089634	-8.91%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0025	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.09278	-7.87%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0014	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.091631	-8.51%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0557	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.091758	-8.29%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1123	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.093541	-7.43%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0748	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.094173	-7.45%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0861	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.094314	-8.08%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0719	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.096324	-7.91%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1290	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.095427	-8.11%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.2120	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.101782	-6.92%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.2175	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.121758	-4.43%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3816	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.134921	-4.18%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4981	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.125232	-4.44%	0.089	-32.09%	0.4211	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.128069	-4.43%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.4152	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.133773	-4.45%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.4429	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.11746	-5.47%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3853	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.129673	-5.14%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3933	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.123279	-5.42%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.3052	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.116333	-5.54%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.2538	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.117066	-6.12%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.2292	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.121363	-6.86%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2788	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.111326	-7.31%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.3450	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.11202	-7.92%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.4171	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.107711	-8.21%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.4379	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.102331	-7.22%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3541	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.106435	-10.63%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3878	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.099329	-6.29%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2865	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.088617	-4.56%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.1336	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.084265	-4.62%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0838	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.08281	-4.15%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0621	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.085683	-3.35%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0839	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.086954	-2.57%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0992	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.091422	-2.38%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0855	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.098031	-2.46%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0997	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.095539	-2.21%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0948	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.094634	-1.98%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0702	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.089353	-1.86%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0327	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.091017	-1.82%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0001	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.092712	-1.63%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0467	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.097359	-1.66%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0004	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.106107	-2.16%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.0672	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.115261	-2.77%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.1762	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.11981	-3.22%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.0906	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.105271	-2.03%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2154	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.107675	-2.34%	0.14	+26.98%	0.1986	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.106069	-2.11%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1621	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.104545	-1.84%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2167	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.098394	-1.21%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2245	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.097977	-1.18%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.1911	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.089985	-1.12%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.2717	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.092133	-0.99%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2184	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.094016	-0.83%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2100	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.098108	-0.60%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.1959	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.115875	-2.58%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.0860	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.111713	-2.18%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.1061	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.112975	-2.35%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.0854	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.103632	-0.93%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0386	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.097024	-0.59%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0998	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.101171	-0.72%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.1303	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.091296	-0.44%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0573	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.094175	-0.45%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0342	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.10227	-1.09%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0997	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.086669	-0.49%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0228	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.086612	-0.45%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0094	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.089031	-0.58%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0321	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.095926	-0.80%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0541	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.094391	-0.80%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0331	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.092969	-0.73%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0440	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.091684	-0.72%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0581	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.095686	-0.95%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0172	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.099996	-2.16%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0324	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.094935	-1.32%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1194	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.098955	-3.18%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1239	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.095433	-1.92%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0386	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.09085	-1.09%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.0908	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.080753	-1.04%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2131	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.079944	-1.36%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2511	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.082581	-1.28%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.1852	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.081783	-0.99%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.1991	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.083356	-0.53%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1048	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.083411	-0.40%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2067	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.07949	+0.75%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0573	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.094197	-0.69%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.1986	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.09426	-0.88%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.3825	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.101769	-2.10%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.2977	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.100179	-1.11%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4192	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.104277	-1.90%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3149	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.112891	-8.11%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4446	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.11457	-8.85%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4407	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.127494	-12.07%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3849	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.122724	-11.33%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3944	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.114347	-8.41%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.4980	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.111084	-6.34%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4420	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.118472	-8.23%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4131	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.115572	-7.10%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.3793	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.114925	-6.45%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4499	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.118	-6.35%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4045	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.113938	-5.52%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4246	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.124981	-6.59%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4548	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.122851	-6.51%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5264	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.132096	-5.91%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.4886	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.137142	-5.22%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4004	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.135243	-5.29%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4451	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.15637	-3.36%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.2730	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.15549	-3.84%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.2852	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.145393	-5.16%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.1758	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.156874	-4.64%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0295	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.153388	-4.73%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0216	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.161981	-4.27%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0496	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.158332	-4.10%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0455	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.172293	-3.59%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0845	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.203014	-2.96%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0898	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.184293	-2.90%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.1192	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.186775	-3.02%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.2137	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.192576	-3.13%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.2618	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.18879	-3.48%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.2276	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.165292	-3.34%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1643	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.155776	-3.36%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1980	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.158413	-3.29%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1864	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.15265	-3.51%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0747	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.149837	-3.58%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0934	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.147562	-3.62%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1722	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.135004	-3.40%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.1211	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.128368	-3.63%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0160	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.127888	-3.84%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0487	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.124509	-4.15%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0364	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.122769	-4.39%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0169	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.123476	-4.50%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0198	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.131134	-4.28%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0267	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.124886	-4.81%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0102	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.11383	-4.59%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1028	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.119381	-4.69%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.0900	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.12767	-4.33%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.0276	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.129809	-4.02%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1052	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.14615	-3.56%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0225	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.150898	-3.39%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0055	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.143238	-3.48%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.1318	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.158079	-3.17%	0.161	-1.38%	0.0420	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.