XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s2

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +7d

assessed

113

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

47.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1838

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0080

actual -0.0467

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.0043	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004277	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004307	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004225	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004433	-1.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004441	-2.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004479	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004246	-2.16%	0.004362	+0.52%	0.0313	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004091	-1.79%	0.00434	+4.19%	0.0586	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.00405	-1.70%	0.004365	+5.95%	0.0752	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.00408	+1.68%	0.0043	+7.15%	0.0513	✓	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003991	-1.29%	0.004521	+11.81%	0.1245	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.00399	-1.50%	0.004544	+12.18%	0.1298	✗	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003866	-1.32%	0.004581	+16.92%	0.1699	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.004089	-1.28%	0.004339	+4.75%	0.0570	✗	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.004178	+1.40%	0.004166	+1.11%	0.0030	✓	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.004131	+1.31%	0.00412	+1.05%	0.0042	✓	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.00447	+0.84%	0.004012	-9.48%	0.1123	✗	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003864	+1.24%	0.004044	+5.94%	0.0410	✓	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004922	-1.32%	0.004051	-18.79%	0.1994	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004949	-1.35%	0.003918	-21.90%	0.2400	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004933	-1.59%	0.004142	-17.37%	0.1765	✓	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004232	-0.85%	0.00412	-3.46%	0.0142	✓	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004491	-1.11%	0.004078	-10.21%	0.0822	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004425	-0.66%	0.004432	-0.50%	0.0113	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004581	-0.78%	0.003817	-17.32%	0.1808	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004688	-0.86%	0.004988	+5.50%	0.0642	✗	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.005059	-1.11%	0.005017	-1.93%	0.0060	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004424	-0.27%	0.005013	+13.01%	0.1210	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004356	+0.06%	0.004268	-1.98%	0.0304	✗	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004343	+0.16%	0.004541	+4.73%	0.0347	✓	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004357	-0.34%	0.004455	+1.88%	0.0364	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004546	-0.38%	0.004617	+1.17%	0.0296	✗	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004763	-0.64%	0.004728	-1.38%	0.0055	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005321	-2.36%	0.005116	-6.12%	0.0212	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004328	-0.37%	0.004436	+2.11%	0.0430	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003867	+0.78%	0.004354	+13.47%	0.1746	✓	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003912	+0.97%	0.004336	+11.93%	0.1340	✓	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003724	+2.15%	0.004372	+19.94%	0.1739	✓	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003154	+3.23%	0.004563	+49.34%	0.3791	✓	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003988	+2.67%	0.004794	+23.43%	0.1936	✓	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.004096	+3.20%	0.005449	+37.31%	0.2851	✓	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.004135	+3.14%	0.004344	+8.34%	0.0437	✓	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.005046	+2.96%	0.003837	-21.71%	0.2823	✗	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004992	+3.26%	0.003874	-19.87%	0.2560	✗	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004883	+3.51%	0.003645	-22.73%	0.3012	✗	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004711	+4.02%	0.003056	-32.54%	0.4396	✗	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004943	+4.19%	0.003884	-18.12%	0.2474	✗	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005275	+4.11%	0.003968	-21.67%	0.2992	✗	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.005152	+2.71%	0.00401	-20.06%	0.2468	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.005122	+2.58%	0.004901	-1.83%	0.0399	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.00476	+1.95%	0.004835	+3.54%	0.0172	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.005143	+1.93%	0.004718	-6.51%	0.0784	✗	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005211	+2.08%	0.004529	-11.27%	0.1353	✗	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005289	+1.73%	0.004744	-8.76%	0.1033	✗	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.00552	+2.52%	0.005066	-5.91%	0.0825	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005528	+2.04%	0.005016	-7.41%	0.1033	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005337	+2.02%	0.004993	-4.55%	0.0707	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005386	+2.09%	0.004669	-11.50%	0.1444	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.00527	+1.80%	0.005046	-2.52%	0.0436	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005174	+1.70%	0.005104	+0.35%	0.0087	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.005029	+2.08%	0.005199	+5.53%	0.0315	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005781	+0.01%	0.005385	-6.84%	0.0822	✗	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005626	-2.14%	0.005417	-5.76%	0.0482	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005712	-1.85%	0.005231	-10.11%	0.1054	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.00578	-1.87%	0.005276	-10.42%	0.1093	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005885	-1.75%	0.005177	-13.58%	0.1489	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005907	-1.43%	0.005087	-15.11%	0.1694	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005847	-1.18%	0.004926	-16.73%	0.1921	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005859	-1.19%	0.00578	-2.51%	0.0280	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.00599	-1.29%	0.005749	-5.27%	0.0503	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006363	-1.72%	0.00582	-10.11%	0.0911	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006661	-2.01%	0.00589	-13.35%	0.1237	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006645	-2.02%	0.00599	-11.68%	0.1004	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.00633	-1.93%	0.005993	-7.16%	0.0516	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006797	-2.10%	0.005916	-14.78%	0.1354	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006931	-2.05%	0.005929	-16.21%	0.1546	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.007148	-2.35%	0.006068	-17.10%	0.1617	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006423	-2.22%	0.006474	-1.44%	0.0081	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006255	-2.00%	0.006798	+6.50%	0.0833	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005927	-2.34%	0.006782	+11.74%	0.1351	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005866	-1.51%	0.006455	+8.37%	0.0975	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005922	-1.46%	0.006942	+15.52%	0.1609	✗	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005789	-3.18%	0.007076	+18.34%	0.2008	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005897	-2.19%	0.00732	+21.41%	0.2163	✗	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005726	-2.19%	0.006568	+12.21%	0.1374	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.006012	-1.79%	0.006383	+4.27%	0.0598	✗	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.006178	-2.50%	0.00607	-4.21%	0.0189	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006171	-2.26%	0.005956	-5.66%	0.0375	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006133	-2.30%	0.006009	-4.27%	0.0222	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.006036	-2.81%	0.005979	-3.72%	0.0097	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005951	-2.95%	0.006029	-1.67%	0.0132	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006148	-3.29%	0.005854	-7.92%	0.0491	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.005992	-4.13%	0.006121	-2.07%	0.0192	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005528	-4.71%	0.006336	+9.22%	0.1383	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005535	-4.58%	0.006314	+8.84%	0.1302	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005538	-4.48%	0.006277	+8.26%	0.1259	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005761	-4.64%	0.006211	+2.81%	0.0797	✗	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.00581	-4.85%	0.006132	+0.41%	0.0582	✗	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006106	-5.33%	0.006357	-1.44%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005194	-4.53%	0.00625	+14.89%	0.1389	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005525	-5.76%	0.005801	-1.05%	0.0341	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005182	-5.49%	0.005801	+5.80%	0.0969	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004752	-4.97%	0.005798	+15.97%	0.2027	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.00523	-6.56%	0.006041	+7.93%	0.1348	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.004009	-1.79%	0.006107	+49.61%	0.3819	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003781	-2.14%	0.00645	+66.95%	0.5081	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.003167	-2.26%	0.00544	+67.91%	0.5687	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003185	-1.75%	0.005863	+80.84%	0.6077	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002951	-1.63%	0.005483	+82.76%	0.6086	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002365	-3.16%	0.005	+104.73%	0.7233	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006659	+0.52%	0.005597	-15.51%	0.2009	✗	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.007243	+0.75%	0.004082	-43.22%	0.6108	✗	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.007042	+1.57%	0.003864	-44.27%	0.6791	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007936	+0.29%	0.00324	-59.06%	0.9577	✗	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008765	-0.22%	0.003242	-63.10%	1.0615	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008958	-0.38%	0.003	-66.64%	1.1452	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.009126	-0.47%	0.002442	-73.37%	1.3593	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.009265	-0.52%	0.006625	-28.87%	0.3649	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.010349	-0.99%	0.007189	-31.22%	0.3474	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.