XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s2

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +30d

assessed

90

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

57.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2423

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0179

actual -0.0978

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004258	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004233	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004264	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004171	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004374	-3.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004371	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004417	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004163	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004035	-3.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003973	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003987	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003944	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003944	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003807	-2.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.00406	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.004195	+1.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.004159	+2.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004517	+1.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003885	+1.78%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004888	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004916	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.0049	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004211	-1.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004461	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004407	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004557	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004661	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.005033	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004412	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004383	+0.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004378	+0.96%	0.004362	+0.58%	0.0162	✗	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004326	-1.05%	0.00434	-0.73%	0.0110	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.004515	-1.05%	0.004365	-4.34%	0.0311	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004733	-1.28%	0.0043	-10.32%	0.0914	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005267	-3.34%	0.004521	-17.03%	0.1412	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004277	-1.54%	0.004544	+4.61%	0.0729	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003796	-1.08%	0.004581	+19.39%	0.2234	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003865	-0.24%	0.004339	+12.01%	0.1286	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003637	-0.24%	0.004166	+14.28%	0.1548	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.003047	-0.29%	0.00412	+34.84%	0.3128	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003897	+0.33%	0.004012	+3.30%	0.0454	✓	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003992	+0.59%	0.004044	+1.89%	0.0290	✓	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.004043	+0.84%	0.004051	+1.04%	0.0125	✓	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004978	+1.58%	0.003918	-20.06%	0.2304	✗	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004941	+2.21%	0.004142	-14.32%	0.1652	✗	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004875	+3.34%	0.00412	-12.67%	0.1560	✗	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004694	+3.62%	0.004078	-9.97%	0.1261	✗	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004946	+4.26%	0.004432	-6.56%	0.0927	✗	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.0053	+4.62%	0.003817	-24.66%	0.3181	✗	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.005171	+3.09%	0.004988	-0.55%	0.0088	✓	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.005168	+3.51%	0.005017	+0.48%	0.0019	✓	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004831	+3.47%	0.005013	+7.36%	0.0527	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.005245	+3.94%	0.004268	-15.43%	0.1886	✗	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.00535	+4.81%	0.004541	-11.03%	0.1487	✗	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005457	+4.96%	0.004455	-14.32%	0.1837	✗	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005763	+7.02%	0.004617	-14.26%	0.2081	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005789	+6.87%	0.004728	-12.72%	0.1853	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005607	+7.18%	0.005116	-2.20%	0.0712	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005692	+7.88%	0.004436	-15.93%	0.2307	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005551	+7.23%	0.004354	-15.89%	0.2116	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005432	+6.79%	0.004336	-14.75%	0.1890	✗	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.005319	+7.97%	0.004372	-11.25%	0.1860	✗	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005876	+1.65%	0.004563	-21.05%	0.2654	✗	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.00558	-2.94%	0.004794	-16.60%	0.1640	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005666	-2.64%	0.005449	-6.36%	0.0540	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005735	-2.64%	0.004344	-26.25%	0.2926	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005839	-2.52%	0.003837	-35.94%	0.4377	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005868	-2.08%	0.003874	-35.35%	0.4365	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005811	-1.79%	0.003645	-38.39%	0.4853	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005822	-1.80%	0.003056	-48.46%	0.6650	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.00595	-1.95%	0.003884	-35.99%	0.4469	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006315	-2.46%	0.003968	-38.70%	0.4830	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006606	-2.81%	0.00401	-41.02%	0.5168	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006597	-2.73%	0.004901	-27.73%	0.3173	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006276	-2.77%	0.004835	-25.10%	0.2824	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006735	-2.98%	0.004718	-32.04%	0.3799	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006861	-3.05%	0.004529	-35.99%	0.4403	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.007076	-3.34%	0.004744	-35.20%	0.4227	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006336	-3.54%	0.005066	-22.87%	0.2284	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006172	-3.30%	0.005016	-21.42%	0.2042	✓	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005821	-4.09%	0.004993	-17.74%	0.1498	✓	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005784	-2.89%	0.004669	-21.61%	0.2010	✓	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005839	-2.83%	0.005046	-16.03%	0.1336	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005683	-4.96%	0.005104	-14.63%	0.1077	✓	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005789	-3.98%	0.005199	-13.77%	0.1048	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005621	-3.98%	0.005385	-8.01%	0.0381	✓	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005917	-3.34%	0.005417	-11.50%	0.0851	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.006077	-4.10%	0.005231	-17.44%	0.1418	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006076	-3.76%	0.005276	-16.43%	0.1235	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006043	-3.74%	0.005177	-17.53%	0.1359	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.005939	-4.37%	0.005087	-18.09%	0.1463	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005854	-4.53%	0.004926	-19.66%	0.1734	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006038	-5.01%	0.00578	-9.08%	0.0436	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.005847	-6.45%	0.005749	-8.03%	0.0115	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005359	-7.62%	0.00582	+0.32%	0.0824	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005374	-7.35%	0.00589	+1.54%	0.0908	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005377	-7.27%	0.00599	+3.30%	0.1041	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005586	-7.53%	0.005993	-0.80%	0.0675	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005633	-7.75%	0.005916	-3.12%	0.0434	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.005903	-8.49%	0.005929	-8.08%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005005	-8.01%	0.006068	+11.55%	0.1745	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005308	-9.46%	0.006474	+10.43%	0.2018	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.004997	-8.87%	0.006798	+23.98%	0.3056	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004606	-7.89%	0.006782	+35.64%	0.3758	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005024	-10.23%	0.006455	+15.32%	0.2234	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003845	-5.79%	0.006942	+70.08%	0.5490	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003642	-5.74%	0.007076	+83.15%	0.6495	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.00307	-5.25%	0.00732	+125.94%	0.8596	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.003088	-4.73%	0.006568	+102.62%	0.7473	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002863	-4.55%	0.006383	+112.76%	0.7956	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.002278	-6.74%	0.00607	+148.53%	0.9646	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006533	-1.38%	0.005956	-10.09%	0.1130	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.007088	-1.40%	0.006009	-16.41%	0.2118	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006859	-1.07%	0.005979	-13.75%	0.2379	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007805	-1.36%	0.006029	-23.81%	0.3184	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008651	-1.53%	0.005854	-33.37%	0.4615	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008851	-1.56%	0.006121	-31.93%	0.4297	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.009022	-1.60%	0.006336	-30.90%	0.4387	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.009162	-1.63%	0.006314	-32.21%	0.4464	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.010248	-1.95%	0.006277	-39.94%	0.5398	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.