UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s2

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

67.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4369

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0254

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.264503	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.264415	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.240159	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.214967	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.226956	-1.78%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.272742	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.270376	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.266823	-2.75%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0046	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.28168	-5.28%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0101	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.202674	+2.13%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2027	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.231819	-1.90%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0123	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.210661	+1.05%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1305	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.209596	+1.85%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3230	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.204331	+3.19%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3042	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.229956	+0.33%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2172	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.239044	-1.88%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2752	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.259707	-2.51%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1760	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.279762	-2.80%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1049	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.281943	-2.88%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2595	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.268156	-1.92%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2191	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.291389	-2.83%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3135	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.388388	-4.32%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5206	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.375997	-4.51%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4799	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.285038	-2.11%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1241	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.305651	-2.99%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1093	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.35082	-3.75%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.1971	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.32503	-3.22%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1829	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.329598	-3.05%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.1056	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.382285	-3.29%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.0796	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.469248	-2.84%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.1200	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.540716	-2.94%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5533	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.444976	-3.71%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.4089	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.4666	-3.92%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.3078	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.557936	-4.59%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5686	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.456109	-3.62%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4203	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.376312	+0.68%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0832	✗	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.326338	+2.31%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2250	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.370791	-0.01%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3000	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.378801	-0.06%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1395	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.353828	-0.04%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.2603	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.378457	-0.95%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.3841	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.39122	-1.32%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.1930	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.410064	-2.09%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0649	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.486957	-2.99%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3859	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.538539	-3.47%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3614	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.648483	-4.53%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4920	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.744872	-5.75%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.7113	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.603867	-4.30%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.4263	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.726764	-5.58%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5461	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.780393	-6.89%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6349	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.811682	-7.16%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4941	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.815873	-10.77%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3868	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.491158	-6.38%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.2904	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.318751	-1.73%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.8878	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.238568	-1.12%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9494	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.260285	-1.66%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0720	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.354315	-4.81%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.8830	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.156848	-0.44%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7326	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.195867	-1.40%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5461	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.140645	-0.18%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3173	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.084746	-0.42%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3270	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.1117	+0.90%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.7763	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.101597	-3.61%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8627	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.