UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s2

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +1d

assessed

62

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

64.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1475

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0089

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.272721	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.273172	-1.59%	0.276795	-0.28%	0.0200	✗	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.246458	-0.96%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0880	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.218803	-0.39%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1335	✗	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.23049	-0.25%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0661	✓	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.27985	-0.79%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1881	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.277556	-0.85%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0340	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.272685	-0.61%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0104	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.291641	-1.93%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0179	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.200056	+0.81%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3608	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.235349	-0.41%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1224	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.209537	+0.51%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1015	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.20723	+0.70%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0030	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.200019	+1.01%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0073	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.229869	+0.30%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1116	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.24259	-0.43%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0041	✓	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.264589	-0.68%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0778	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.285376	-0.85%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0519	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.287819	-0.86%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0400	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.272136	-0.47%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0592	✗	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.297382	-0.84%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0762	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.399713	-1.53%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3186	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.387238	-1.65%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0491	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.289578	-0.55%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.3027	✗	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.312279	-0.89%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0453	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.360006	-1.22%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1344	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.332761	-0.92%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0832	✗	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.337148	-0.83%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0032	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.391571	-0.94%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1415	✓	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.47884	-0.85%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1525	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.552072	-0.90%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1256	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.456689	-1.18%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.0953	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.47924	-1.31%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0349	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.575014	-1.67%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1759	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.467869	-1.13%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1503	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.375145	+0.37%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2288	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.321366	+0.76%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1417	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.371267	+0.12%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1166	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.379367	+0.09%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0418	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.354312	+0.09%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0741	✓	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.381363	-0.19%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0753	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.39529	-0.30%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0436	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.416524	-0.55%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0268	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.49774	-0.84%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1705	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.552398	-0.99%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0876	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.670004	-1.36%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1674	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.775577	-1.86%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1390	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.623062	-1.26%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2358	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.75574	-1.81%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1606	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.817352	-2.48%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.1100	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.848118	-2.99%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.862821	-5.64%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0281	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.510134	-2.76%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.5721	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.32107	-1.01%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.4983	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.239403	-0.77%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.2986	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.26154	-1.19%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0499	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.360247	-3.22%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.3239	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.156835	-0.45%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8580	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.196437	-1.11%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.2149	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.140417	-0.34%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3309	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.085045	-0.06%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.4961	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110976	+0.25%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2491	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.10434	-1.01%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0111	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.