UMX

UMX · · lstm_s2

token id: #759
symbol: UMX
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-07
predictions: 204

Track record at +30d

assessed

38

of 68 predictions shown

direction hit

100.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1700

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1165

actual -0.2663

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.041845	0.03912	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.03934	0.037901	-3.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.042915	0.040171	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.22
2026-10-19	oos	0.05515	0.051141	-7.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-18	oos	0.055405	0.051587	-6.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-17	oos	0.05585	0.05199	-6.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-16	oos	0.059095	0.055377	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-15	oos	0.059045	0.055492	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.05934	0.055755	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.05942	0.056122	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-12	oos	0.06042	0.056927	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.060205	0.057088	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-10	oos	0.06067	0.05729	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.060945	0.057411	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.06053	0.05663	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.061825	0.058387	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-06	oos	0.061715	0.058997	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.06169	0.059001	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-04	oos	0.06171	0.059833	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-03	oos	0.061395	0.058368	-4.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.0617	0.058611	-5.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.06148	0.058685	-4.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-30	oos	0.06139	0.058238	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-29	oos	0.06121	0.058196	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.060615	0.057661	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.06074	0.058104	-4.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.06106	0.058378	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-25	oos	0.060915	0.058218	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-24	oos	0.06117	0.058598	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-23	oos	0.06117	0.058611	-4.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-22	oos	0.060735	0.059159	-2.59%	0.041845	-31.10%	0.3335	✓	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.06117	0.059841	-2.17%	0.03934	-35.69%	0.4024	✓	0.56
2026-09-20	oos	0.061435	0.057291	-6.75%	0.042915	-30.15%	0.3008	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.06046	0.056375	-6.76%	0.05515	-8.78%	0.0262	✓	0.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.06137	0.056664	-7.67%	0.055405	-9.72%	0.0303	✓	0.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.06115	0.053956	-11.76%	0.05585	-8.67%	0.0017	✓	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.06201	0.054428	-12.23%	0.059095	-4.70%	0.0472	✓	0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.06086	0.053502	-12.09%	0.059045	-2.98%	0.0566	✓	0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.06052	0.053254	-12.01%	0.05934	-1.95%	0.0803	✓	0.66
2026-09-13	oos	0.060775	0.053355	-12.21%	0.05942	-2.23%	0.0580	✓	0.63
2026-09-12	oos	0.062595	0.05467	-12.66%	0.06042	-3.47%	0.0635	✓	0.65
2026-09-11	oos	0.065045	0.05637	-13.34%	0.060205	-7.44%	0.0134	✓	0.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.06506	0.056449	-13.24%	0.06067	-6.75%	0.0208	✓	0.64
2026-09-09	oos	0.06486	0.05668	-12.61%	0.060945	-6.04%	0.0322	✓	0.76
2026-09-08	oos	0.066495	0.058023	-12.74%	0.06053	-8.97%	0.0107	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.068065	0.05953	-12.54%	0.061825	-9.17%	0.0042	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.06993	0.062105	-11.19%	0.061715	-11.75%	0.0617	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.071875	0.063298	-11.93%	0.06169	-14.17%	0.0972	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.07207	0.063496	-11.90%	0.06171	-14.37%	0.1108	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.07313	0.06695	-8.45%	0.061395	-16.05%	0.1285	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07424	0.064416	-13.23%	0.0617	-16.89%	0.1321	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.07438	0.064714	-13.00%	0.06148	-17.34%	0.1432	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.07495	0.065727	-12.31%	0.06139	-18.09%	0.1299	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.07579	0.066168	-12.70%	0.06121	-19.24%	0.1520	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.07513	0.06616	-11.94%	0.060615	-19.32%	0.1522	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.07633	0.067123	-12.06%	0.06074	-20.42%	0.1816	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.07696	0.070018	-9.02%	0.06106	-20.66%	0.1872	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.08217	0.072613	-11.63%	0.060915	-25.87%	0.2378	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.08355	0.073492	-12.04%	0.06117	-26.79%	0.2555	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.08871	0.077937	-12.14%	0.06117	-31.04%	0.3083	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.08672	0.075962	-12.41%	0.060735	-29.96%	0.3271	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.08671	0.076096	-12.24%	0.06117	-29.45%	0.3351	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.08346	0.074576	-10.64%	0.061435	-26.39%	0.2294	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.08276	0.073132	-11.63%	0.06046	-26.95%	0.2970	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08486	0.075001	-11.62%	0.06137	-27.68%	0.3550	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.08495	0.075815	-10.75%	0.06115	-28.02%	0.3808	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.08465	0.075831	-10.42%	0.06201	-26.75%	0.3675	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.08446	0.076076	-9.93%	0.06086	-27.94%	0.4079	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.