TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +7d
assessed
21
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
61.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1360
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0465
actual -0.0223
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.85085 | 0.832345 | -2.17% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.8493 | 0.832065 | -2.03% | – | pending | – | – | -0.34 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.872103 | -2.15% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.880351 | -2.17% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.821507 | -1.93% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.862577 | -1.97% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.869744 | -1.93% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0174 | -2.48% | 0.85085 | -18.45% | 0.2040 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0034 | -2.59% | 0.8493 | -17.54% | 0.1964 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.988084 | -2.54% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.1012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.960669 | -2.69% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0665 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0522 | -3.18% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.2079 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0927 | -3.88% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1979 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.02 | -3.52% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.1271 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.998591 | -3.59% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0385 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.043 | -3.95% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.0929 | -4.40% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0462 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0643 | -4.51% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0273 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1082 | -5.20% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0137 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1254 | -6.38% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0319 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.810596 | -3.61% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2891 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.820366 | -3.80% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2711 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.839714 | -4.38% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2605 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.944994 | -5.94% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1679 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0495 | -7.80% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0331 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 0.996084 | -8.24% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1361 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.844508 | -6.39% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3493 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.770283 | -5.97% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0829 | ✗ | 1.00 |