TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
61.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0661
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0074
actual +0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.873569 | -0.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.889158 | -0.23% | 0.87515 | -1.81% | 0.0167 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.897575 | -0.26% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0038 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.838148 | +0.06% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0706 | ✓ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.878407 | -0.17% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0460 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.884938 | -0.22% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0060 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0363 | -0.68% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1480 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.023 | -0.68% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0129 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.0069 | -0.68% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0413 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.980403 | -0.69% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0775 | -0.86% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0640 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1261 | -0.95% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0447 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0473 | -0.94% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0775 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0268 | -0.87% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0189 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0768 | -0.84% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0196 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1338 | -0.82% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0163 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.1056 | -0.81% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0359 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1582 | -0.92% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0296 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1872 | -1.25% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0361 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.835456 | -0.65% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3611 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.847676 | -0.60% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.872309 | -0.67% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0380 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.996229 | -0.84% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1252 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1243 | -1.23% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.1147 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0697 | -1.46% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0742 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.893879 | -0.92% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.1937 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.811458 | -0.95% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1022 | ✗ | 1.00 |