QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s2

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +7d

assessed

180

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

69.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1521

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0673

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007625	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007986	-0.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008429	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008626	-0.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.00889	-0.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008877	-0.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008978	-0.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008813	-0.64%	0.00768	-13.42%	0.1471	✓	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.009042	+0.24%	0.008005	-11.25%	0.1206	✗	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.009063	-0.73%	0.00846	-7.34%	0.0696	✓	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009671	+0.48%	0.008665	-9.97%	0.0901	✗	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009631	-1.06%	0.008945	-8.12%	0.0528	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009343	-0.92%	0.008945	-5.14%	0.0284	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.00932	-0.90%	0.00905	-3.77%	0.0346	✓	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009269	-0.76%	0.00887	-5.03%	0.0234	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009873	-0.57%	0.00902	-9.16%	0.0619	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.01015	-0.64%	0.00913	-10.62%	0.0611	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010967	-0.84%	0.009625	-12.97%	0.0996	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011292	-1.34%	0.009735	-14.94%	0.1275	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010829	-1.15%	0.00943	-13.92%	0.1159	✓	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010191	-0.77%	0.009405	-8.42%	0.0433	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010316	-1.00%	0.00934	-10.36%	0.0960	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010653	-1.13%	0.00993	-7.84%	0.0888	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011223	-1.21%	0.010215	-10.08%	0.1217	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010739	-0.75%	0.01106	+2.22%	0.0073	✓	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011122	-0.91%	0.011445	+1.96%	0.0251	✗	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010213	-0.46%	0.010955	+6.77%	0.0659	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009981	-0.29%	0.01027	+2.60%	0.0237	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010102	-0.28%	0.01042	+2.86%	0.0397	✗	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009952	+0.12%	0.010775	+8.40%	0.1083	✓	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009735	+0.31%	0.01136	+17.05%	0.1906	✓	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008512	-0.51%	0.01082	+26.48%	0.2038	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008673	-0.43%	0.011225	+28.87%	0.2232	✗	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008655	-0.51%	0.01026	+17.93%	0.1359	✗	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008545	-1.10%	0.01001	+15.86%	0.0663	✗	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008578	-1.06%	0.01013	+16.84%	0.0736	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.00874	-1.07%	0.00994	+12.51%	0.0205	✗	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008634	-0.88%	0.009705	+11.42%	0.0304	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008857	-0.76%	0.008555	-4.15%	0.0834	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009776	-0.40%	0.00871	-11.26%	0.1582	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010096	-0.14%	0.0087	-13.95%	0.1874	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010652	+0.11%	0.00864	-18.80%	0.2073	✗	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011452	+1.30%	0.00867	-23.31%	0.2565	✗	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.01134	+1.80%	0.008835	-20.69%	0.2208	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.013135	+2.34%	0.00871	-32.14%	0.4021	✗	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.011121	+3.12%	0.008925	-17.25%	0.1804	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011221	+3.33%	0.009815	-9.62%	0.1053	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.01012	+3.95%	0.01011	+3.85%	0.0255	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.00874	+5.05%	0.01064	+27.88%	0.2555	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007927	+5.91%	0.011305	+51.04%	0.3445	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.008419	+5.89%	0.01114	+40.13%	0.2689	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008993	+5.19%	0.012835	+50.12%	0.3504	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.009256	+4.59%	0.010785	+21.86%	0.1284	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009354	+4.28%	0.01086	+21.07%	0.1349	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009776	+3.56%	0.009735	+3.12%	0.0208	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010836	+3.01%	0.00832	-20.91%	0.2722	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010291	+2.76%	0.007485	-25.26%	0.3047	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011339	+1.88%	0.00795	-28.57%	0.3458	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011805	+1.63%	0.00855	-26.39%	0.3191	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011857	+1.34%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.2920	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011919	+1.18%	0.00897	-23.85%	0.2938	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012119	+1.25%	0.00944	-21.14%	0.2459	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.01207	+0.17%	0.01052	-12.70%	0.2018	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011883	-1.30%	0.010015	-16.82%	0.2653	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011821	-1.33%	0.01113	-7.10%	0.2160	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011535	-0.99%	0.011615	-0.30%	0.1578	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011478	-0.89%	0.0117	+1.04%	0.1551	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011223	-0.69%	0.01178	+4.25%	0.1168	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011413	-0.75%	0.01197	+4.09%	0.1307	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011466	-0.81%	0.01205	+4.24%	0.0647	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010946	-0.40%	0.01204	+9.55%	0.0263	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.01109	-0.45%	0.01198	+7.54%	0.0639	✗	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011616	-0.72%	0.01165	-0.43%	0.0034	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011803	-1.02%	0.01158	-2.89%	0.0032	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011716	-1.13%	0.0113	-4.64%	0.0154	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011722	-1.16%	0.0115	-3.04%	0.0008	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011598	-1.04%	0.01156	-1.37%	0.0054	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011368	-1.06%	0.01099	-4.35%	0.0216	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011518	-0.92%	0.01114	-4.17%	0.0282	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011291	-0.60%	0.0117	+2.99%	0.0311	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012147	-1.08%	0.011925	-2.89%	0.0317	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012142	-0.88%	0.01185	-3.27%	0.0457	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011634	-0.57%	0.01186	+1.37%	0.0012	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012139	-0.87%	0.01172	-4.29%	0.0308	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.0131	-1.06%	0.01149	-13.22%	0.1378	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013803	-1.33%	0.011625	-16.90%	0.1737	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013839	-1.15%	0.01136	-18.86%	0.1952	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015411	-1.84%	0.01228	-21.78%	0.2121	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014983	-1.56%	0.01225	-19.51%	0.1895	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014602	-1.20%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2122	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016544	-2.05%	0.012245	-27.50%	0.2987	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016599	-1.90%	0.01324	-21.75%	0.2114	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016784	-1.88%	0.01399	-18.21%	0.1640	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017078	-2.10%	0.014	-19.75%	0.1874	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016769	-1.99%	0.0157	-8.24%	0.0708	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017992	-2.35%	0.01522	-17.39%	0.1639	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.018076	-2.61%	0.01478	-20.37%	0.2026	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.01932	-3.40%	0.01689	-15.55%	0.1428	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016853	-2.44%	0.01692	-2.05%	0.0070	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018428	-3.67%	0.017105	-10.59%	0.0873	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013372	-0.73%	0.017445	+29.51%	0.2640	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016689	-2.55%	0.01711	-0.09%	0.0269	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.0276	-11.68%	0.018425	-41.04%	0.4026	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.01312	-0.23%	0.01856	+41.14%	0.3470	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013465	-0.48%	0.02	+47.82%	0.3953	✗	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012677	-0.26%	0.017275	+35.92%	0.3109	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011985	+0.08%	0.01913	+59.75%	0.4677	✓	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.01264	-0.08%	0.01347	+6.48%	0.0631	✗	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012845	-0.24%	0.017125	+33.01%	0.2876	✗	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012301	-0.20%	0.03125	+153.55%	0.9327	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011977	-0.28%	0.01315	+9.49%	0.0945	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011081	-0.09%	0.01353	+22.00%	0.2024	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014529	-1.76%	0.01271	-14.06%	0.1391	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010206	+0.26%	0.011975	+17.63%	0.1751	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009145	+0.39%	0.01265	+38.86%	0.3300	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010244	+0.13%	0.012875	+25.86%	0.2316	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009543	+0.34%	0.012325	+29.60%	0.2573	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009713	+0.39%	0.01201	+24.13%	0.2135	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009558	+0.50%	0.01109	+16.61%	0.1498	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010482	+0.31%	0.01479	+41.53%	0.3428	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.01101	+0.09%	0.01018	-7.45%	0.0866	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012096	+0.05%	0.00911	-24.65%	0.2943	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012136	-0.08%	0.01023	-15.77%	0.1820	✓	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011717	+0.15%	0.00951	-18.72%	0.2196	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012534	-0.01%	0.009675	-22.82%	0.2663	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013335	-0.19%	0.00951	-28.82%	0.3439	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012387	+0.06%	0.01045	-15.59%	0.1721	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012112	+0.55%	0.011	-8.68%	0.0968	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012962	+0.64%	0.01209	-6.13%	0.0707	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013487	+0.65%	0.012145	-9.37%	0.1056	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013831	+0.62%	0.0117	-14.88%	0.1673	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014882	+0.22%	0.012535	-15.59%	0.1716	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015534	+0.15%	0.01336	-13.86%	0.1504	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.01544	+0.10%	0.01238	-19.74%	0.2211	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.016988	-0.33%	0.012045	-29.33%	0.3439	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017905	-0.36%	0.01288	-28.32%	0.3277	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017774	-0.20%	0.0134	-24.76%	0.2813	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017801	-0.72%	0.013745	-23.34%	0.2562	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019416	-0.99%	0.01485	-24.27%	0.2663	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019791	-0.90%	0.01551	-22.33%	0.2440	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020765	-1.17%	0.015425	-26.58%	0.3001	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021307	-1.03%	0.017045	-20.83%	0.2314	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021915	-0.61%	0.01797	-18.50%	0.2243	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022336	-0.44%	0.01781	-20.62%	0.2636	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021399	-0.33%	0.01793	-16.49%	0.2222	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022247	-0.51%	0.01961	-12.30%	0.1674	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.021045	-0.26%	0.01997	-5.36%	0.0825	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021618	-0.20%	0.02101	-3.00%	0.0625	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022943	-0.70%	0.02153	-6.82%	0.1057	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021886	-1.06%	0.02205	-0.32%	0.0129	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022896	-0.99%	0.022435	-2.98%	0.0316	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.022204	+0.06%	0.02147	-3.24%	0.0436	✗	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024383	-0.58%	0.02236	-8.83%	0.0910	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024718	-1.33%	0.0211	-15.77%	0.1692	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026701	-1.40%	0.02166	-20.01%	0.2180	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025752	-1.20%	0.023105	-11.36%	0.1114	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027587	-1.30%	0.02212	-20.86%	0.2198	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028275	-1.31%	0.023125	-19.28%	0.2026	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.028088	-1.22%	0.02219	-21.96%	0.2407	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.028051	-1.21%	0.024525	-13.63%	0.1468	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027829	-1.07%	0.02505	-10.95%	0.1163	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028758	-1.28%	0.02708	-7.04%	0.0647	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027947	-1.21%	0.026065	-7.86%	0.0764	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.028038	-0.96%	0.02795	-1.27%	0.0114	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027708	-0.72%	0.02865	+2.65%	0.0264	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028983	-0.98%	0.028435	-2.85%	0.0207	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029122	-1.01%	0.028395	-3.48%	0.0111	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029994	-1.01%	0.02813	-7.16%	0.0775	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029846	-0.58%	0.02913	-2.96%	0.0025	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030114	-0.68%	0.02829	-6.70%	0.0572	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030565	-1.02%	0.02831	-8.32%	0.0998	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029971	-1.35%	0.02791	-8.13%	0.1166	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031242	-1.23%	0.02927	-7.46%	0.0900	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031573	-1.27%	0.02942	-8.01%	0.0953	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032886	-1.54%	0.0303	-9.28%	0.1292	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034231	-1.75%	0.03002	-13.83%	0.2036	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033722	-1.63%	0.03032	-11.55%	0.1647	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034669	-1.54%	0.03088	-12.30%	0.1474	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034492	-1.23%	0.03038	-13.00%	0.1255	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035509	-1.51%	0.03163	-12.27%	0.1289	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.03513	-1.54%	0.03198	-10.37%	0.1039	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036631	-1.45%	0.0334	-10.14%	0.0668	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035387	-1.37%	0.03484	-2.90%	0.0163	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.03416	-1.68%	0.03428	-1.34%	0.0039	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.033299	-1.72%	0.03521	+3.93%	0.0362	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034579	-2.15%	0.03492	-1.19%	0.0538	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.03458	-1.98%	0.036055	+2.20%	0.0168	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.