QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s2

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

82.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3511

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0115

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007525	-2.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007911	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.00835	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008539	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.00879	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008753	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008873	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008703	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008956	-0.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008982	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009589	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.00955	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009267	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009244	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009198	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009798	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.01007	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010877	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011191	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010738	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010113	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.01024	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010589	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.011127	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010657	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011041	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010143	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009922	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010049	-0.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.010027	+0.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009863	+1.62%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.2049	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008439	-1.36%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0725	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008599	-1.28%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0230	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008582	-1.36%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0026	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008464	-2.03%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0034	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008491	-2.07%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0093	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008647	-2.13%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0227	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008545	-1.89%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0014	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008762	-1.83%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0405	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009672	-1.45%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.1058	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009983	-1.25%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.1035	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.01052	-1.13%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1425	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011333	+0.25%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.2255	✗	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011221	+0.73%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.2080	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.01295	+0.90%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3655	✗	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.011142	+3.31%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1703	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011233	+3.44%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1576	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.01007	+3.45%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0243	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008513	+2.32%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2548	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007531	+0.61%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.3008	✓	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.008047	+1.22%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.1674	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008791	+2.81%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.1217	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.009151	+3.40%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.1098	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009322	+3.93%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.1517	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009865	+4.50%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0343	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.011178	+6.26%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0284	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010632	+6.16%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.0745	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011834	+6.32%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.2136	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.012387	+6.64%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.2447	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.012431	+6.25%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.2893	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.012496	+6.07%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.3265	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012809	+7.01%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.4263	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.012281	+1.92%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.4160	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011755	-2.36%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.4118	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011695	-2.38%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.4359	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011406	-2.09%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.4093	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011353	-1.96%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.4022	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011108	-1.70%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.4204	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011303	-1.71%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3985	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011371	-1.64%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.3074	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010836	-1.40%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.2221	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010976	-1.47%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.1687	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011488	-1.81%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.1609	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011653	-2.28%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1794	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011552	-2.52%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0334	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011548	-2.63%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.2099	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011387	-2.84%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1899	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011134	-3.10%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2720	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011279	-2.98%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.4577	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011096	-2.33%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.5185	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011944	-2.74%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.5314	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011952	-2.43%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4777	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011506	-1.65%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3965	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012031	-1.75%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.4101	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.01298	-1.96%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.4384	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013671	-2.28%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3995	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013712	-2.06%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.4423	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015244	-2.91%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.4111	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014832	-2.55%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.3461	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.014469	-2.11%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.3035	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016358	-3.15%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3999	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016427	-2.91%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3908	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.016621	-2.83%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3627	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016895	-3.15%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3681	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016579	-3.10%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.3249	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017777	-3.51%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.4205	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.017864	-3.75%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.4265	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.01913	-4.35%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.5215	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.016698	-3.34%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.3586	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018304	-4.32%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.4461	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013275	-1.45%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1896	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.016551	-3.35%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3964	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.026125	-16.40%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.8031	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013002	-1.12%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0868	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013346	-1.36%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.1199	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012583	-1.00%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0576	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011889	-0.72%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0142	✓	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012532	-0.93%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.0866	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012737	-1.07%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.0912	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012211	-0.92%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0721	✓	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011912	-0.82%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0311	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011045	-0.41%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.1055	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014579	-1.43%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.2266	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010652	+4.63%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.1589	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009196	+0.94%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.3699	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010562	+3.25%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.2842	✓	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009681	+1.80%	0.014	+47.21%	0.3705	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009871	+2.03%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.4664	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009806	+3.11%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4423	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010595	+1.38%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3373	✓	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.010972	-0.25%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4359	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012024	-0.54%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3474	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012069	-0.62%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3579	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011649	-0.43%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.4062	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012461	-0.59%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.3195	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013259	-0.75%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3324	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012305	-0.61%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.4107	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012015	-0.25%	0.02	+66.04%	0.5093	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012848	-0.25%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.2954	✗	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013357	-0.32%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3590	✗	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013683	-0.45%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0160	✓	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014749	-0.68%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1493	✗	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015388	-0.79%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.7084	✗	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015373	-0.34%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1564	✓	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.016869	-1.03%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2206	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017678	-1.62%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3304	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017482	-1.84%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3784	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017627	-1.69%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3296	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019106	-2.57%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.3929	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019474	-2.48%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4582	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020441	-2.71%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5334	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021026	-2.34%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6483	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021704	-1.57%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.4200	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022123	-1.39%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.8328	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021183	-1.34%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8918	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022016	-1.54%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.8135	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020783	-1.50%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.8251	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021279	-1.76%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.8371	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022503	-2.61%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.9395	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021381	-3.34%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7762	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022359	-3.31%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7607	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021547	-2.90%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.6250	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.023855	-2.73%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.7029	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024182	-3.46%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7645	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026242	-3.09%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7807	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025204	-3.31%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6825	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027075	-3.13%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.8290	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.027853	-2.78%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8841	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027727	-2.49%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.8109	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027772	-2.19%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7780	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027612	-1.84%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7546	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028491	-2.19%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6955	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027714	-2.04%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.6138	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.027812	-1.76%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.6287	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027484	-1.53%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.5114	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028738	-1.82%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4817	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.02888	-1.84%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2469	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029738	-1.86%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2323	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029592	-1.42%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.1230	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029857	-1.53%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1647	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030298	-1.89%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1454	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029689	-2.27%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1571	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.030953	-2.14%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2408	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031278	-2.19%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2709	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032574	-2.47%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3831	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.033898	-2.70%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3841	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.033401	-2.56%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.4219	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.034341	-2.47%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.4207	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034181	-2.12%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3547	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035164	-2.47%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4584	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034794	-2.48%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.4022	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.036293	-2.36%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4709	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035072	-2.25%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.3217	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.033819	-2.67%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.3157	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.03297	-2.69%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.2178	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.034208	-3.20%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.3110	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.034297	-2.79%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.2205	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.