PROLOGUE
Prologue · Robinhood · lstm_s2
- token id
- #747
- symbol
- PROLOGUE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-30
- predictions
- 135
Track record at +7d
assessed
38
of 45 predictions shown
direction hit
60.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2880
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0185
actual -0.2077
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.001203 | 0.00111 | -7.70% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001207 | 0.001115 | -7.61% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.001868 | -6.05% | – | pending | – | – | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003266 | 0.003265 | -0.02% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003638 | 0.003651 | +0.37% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003952 | 0.003969 | +0.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004829 | 0.004749 | -1.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005071 | 0.004963 | -2.14% | 0.001203 | -76.29% | 1.5144 | ✓ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.004811 | -0.89% | 0.001207 | -75.14% | 1.4971 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004327 | 0.004348 | +0.48% | 0.001988 | -54.06% | 0.7745 | ✗ | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004935 | 0.004921 | -0.28% | 0.003266 | -33.82% | 0.4149 | ✓ | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005705 | 0.005577 | -2.25% | 0.003638 | -36.25% | 0.3427 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004834 | 0.004854 | +0.43% | 0.003952 | -18.24% | 0.1288 | ✗ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.005004 | +0.58% | 0.004829 | -2.92% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005437 | 0.005452 | +0.26% | 0.005071 | -6.74% | 0.0945 | ✗ | 4.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005456 | 0.005473 | +0.32% | 0.004854 | -11.03% | 0.0304 | ✗ | 4.32 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005941 | 0.005901 | -0.68% | 0.004327 | -27.17% | 0.1828 | ✓ | 4.41 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005721 | 0.005724 | +0.05% | 0.004935 | -13.74% | 0.0638 | ✓ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005961 | 0.005943 | -0.31% | 0.005705 | -4.29% | 0.1070 | ✗ | 4.44 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005959 | 0.005979 | +0.33% | 0.004834 | -18.89% | 0.1134 | ✗ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006944 | 0.006831 | -1.63% | 0.004975 | -28.36% | 0.2104 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007509 | 0.007362 | -1.95% | 0.005437 | -27.59% | 0.1318 | ✓ | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008083 | 0.00793 | -1.89% | 0.005456 | -32.51% | 0.3584 | ✓ | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007228 | 0.007106 | -1.70% | 0.005941 | -17.80% | 0.2840 | ✓ | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00827 | 0.008123 | -1.78% | 0.005721 | -30.82% | 0.3776 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00852 | 0.008369 | -1.77% | 0.005961 | -30.03% | 0.3631 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00893 | 0.008765 | -1.85% | 0.005959 | -33.27% | 0.3897 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010942 | 0.010628 | -2.87% | 0.006944 | -36.54% | 0.4305 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01306 | 0.012443 | -4.73% | 0.007509 | -42.50% | 0.5105 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011093 | 0.010722 | -3.35% | 0.008083 | -27.13% | 0.2727 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.010161 | 0.009906 | -2.51% | 0.007228 | -28.86% | 0.2850 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.010187 | 0.009923 | -2.59% | 0.00827 | -18.82% | 0.1453 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.008994 | 0.008747 | -2.75% | 0.00852 | -5.27% | 0.0662 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.008861 | 0.008619 | -2.74% | 0.00893 | +0.78% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.00998 | 0.00961 | -3.71% | 0.010942 | +9.64% | 0.0908 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.008086 | 0.007845 | -2.98% | 0.01306 | +61.51% | 0.4096 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007527 | 0.00732 | -2.75% | 0.011093 | +47.38% | 0.3130 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00747 | 0.00726 | -2.81% | 0.010161 | +36.02% | 0.2048 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009209 | 0.008904 | -3.32% | 0.010187 | +10.62% | 0.0324 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007935 | 0.007705 | -2.90% | 0.008994 | +13.35% | 0.0995 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008396 | 0.008142 | -3.03% | 0.008861 | +5.54% | 0.0345 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.008184 | 0.007944 | -2.94% | 0.00998 | +21.94% | 0.1817 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00674 | 0.006574 | -2.46% | 0.008086 | +19.97% | 0.2095 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.007021 | 0.006916 | -1.50% | 0.007527 | +7.20% | 0.1124 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.009219 | 0.008981 | -2.58% | 0.00747 | -18.97% | 0.1470 | ✓ | 1.00 |