PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · lstm_s2

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 132

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 44 predictions shown

direction hit

48.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1148

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0043

actual -0.0441

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001409	0.00141	+0.01%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.001999	+0.55%	0.001409	-29.10%	0.3392	✗	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003281	+0.46%	0.001988	-39.13%	0.5525	✗	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003646	+0.23%	0.003266	-10.21%	0.1021	✗	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.003963	+0.29%	0.003638	-7.96%	0.1155	✗	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.00481	-0.40%	0.003952	-18.17%	0.1909	✓	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.005029	-0.83%	0.004829	-4.76%	0.0112	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004845	-0.19%	0.005071	+4.47%	0.0195	✗	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004326	-0.02%	0.004854	+12.18%	0.1912	✗	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004927	-0.17%	0.004327	-12.32%	0.1999	✓	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005651	-0.95%	0.004935	-13.50%	0.0374	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004812	-0.44%	0.005705	+18.04%	0.1322	✗	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.004952	-0.47%	0.004834	-2.84%	0.0424	✓	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.0054	-0.70%	0.004975	-8.51%	0.1255	✓	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005425	-0.55%	0.005437	-0.33%	0.0851	✗	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005939	-0.04%	0.005456	-8.18%	0.0333	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.005717	-0.06%	0.005941	+3.85%	0.0493	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005958	-0.06%	0.005721	-4.03%	0.0015	✓	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005945	-0.23%	0.005961	+0.04%	0.0909	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006905	-0.56%	0.005959	-14.18%	0.1601	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007457	-0.69%	0.006944	-7.52%	0.0530	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.008028	-0.68%	0.007509	-7.10%	0.1381	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.00718	-0.67%	0.008083	+11.82%	0.1231	✗	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008225	-0.54%	0.007228	-12.59%	0.1313	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008483	-0.43%	0.00827	-2.93%	0.0135	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008898	-0.37%	0.00852	-4.60%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010879	-0.57%	0.00893	-18.38%	0.2012	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012943	-0.90%	0.010942	-16.22%	0.1644	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.011028	-0.58%	0.01306	+17.73%	0.1690	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.010133	-0.28%	0.011093	+9.17%	0.1119	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.010162	-0.24%	0.010161	-0.26%	0.0045	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008952	-0.46%	0.010187	+13.26%	0.0644	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008821	-0.45%	0.008994	+1.50%	0.0203	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009906	-0.74%	0.008861	-11.21%	0.1159	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.008024	-0.77%	0.00998	+23.42%	0.1605	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007472	-0.73%	0.008086	+7.43%	0.0763	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007415	-0.74%	0.007527	+0.76%	0.0076	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.009132	-0.84%	0.00747	-18.88%	0.1672	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007868	-0.84%	0.009209	+16.06%	0.1396	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008323	-0.86%	0.007935	-5.49%	0.0418	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008114	-0.85%	0.008396	+2.59%	0.0334	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006691	-0.73%	0.008184	+21.42%	0.1927	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.00701	-0.17%	0.00674	-4.01%	0.0167	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009196	-0.25%	0.007021	-23.84%	0.2677	✓	1.00