PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s2

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

45.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1651

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0216

actual -0.0304

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.097981	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.097516	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.094529	-1.48%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.085709	-0.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.088252	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.090991	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.094424	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.096735	-2.18%	0.099715	+0.83%	0.0431	✗	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.100941	-2.20%	0.099215	-3.87%	0.0023	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.104629	-2.31%	0.09595	-10.41%	0.0876	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.106292	-2.46%	0.086455	-20.66%	0.2060	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.110042	-2.50%	0.089395	-20.79%	0.2170	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.109953	-2.53%	0.09256	-17.95%	0.1802	✓	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.110055	-2.59%	0.09638	-14.70%	0.1381	✓	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.109484	-2.63%	0.098895	-12.05%	0.0995	✓	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.109851	-2.66%	0.10321	-8.55%	0.0710	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.111636	-2.33%	0.1071	-6.30%	0.0541	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.112681	-2.27%	0.10897	-5.49%	0.0517	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.112964	-1.98%	0.11286	-2.07%	0.0136	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.113371	-2.61%	0.11281	-3.09%	0.0131	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.113082	-2.77%	0.112985	-2.85%	0.0097	✓	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.114351	-2.84%	0.112445	-4.46%	0.0310	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.11277	-3.31%	0.112855	-3.24%	0.0004	✓	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.11214	-3.39%	0.114295	-1.53%	0.0266	✓	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.111353	-3.49%	0.1153	-0.07%	0.0432	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.118058	-3.49%	0.115245	-5.79%	0.0168	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.11824	-3.63%	0.11641	-5.12%	0.0145	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.116307	-3.77%	0.1163	-3.77%	0.0014	✓	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.11446	-3.72%	0.117695	-1.00%	0.0295	✓	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.109763	-3.61%	0.11663	+2.42%	0.0578	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.117269	-2.94%	0.116075	-3.93%	0.0212	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.114969	-2.66%	0.115385	-2.31%	0.0087	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.110946	-3.93%	0.12233	+5.92%	0.1147	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.112091	-4.09%	0.12269	+4.98%	0.1070	✗	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.110371	-3.38%	0.12086	+5.80%	0.1073	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.105819	-2.83%	0.11888	+9.16%	0.1710	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.106292	-2.75%	0.11387	+4.18%	0.1258	✗	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.10468	-2.56%	0.12082	+12.46%	0.2113	✗	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.109939	-2.96%	0.118115	+4.25%	0.1289	✗	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.107543	-2.77%	0.11549	+4.42%	0.1009	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.113924	-2.94%	0.11687	-0.43%	0.0534	✗	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.111241	-2.85%	0.11423	-0.24%	0.0526	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.106597	-2.79%	0.1089	-0.69%	0.0200	✓	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.118502	+0.53%	0.1093	-7.27%	0.0980	✗	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.126176	+0.38%	0.107435	-14.53%	0.1790	✗	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.13293	+0.29%	0.113295	-14.53%	0.1657	✗	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.128381	+0.59%	0.110605	-13.34%	0.1689	✗	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.127408	+1.01%	0.117375	-6.94%	0.0969	✗	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.125303	+1.12%	0.1145	-7.59%	0.1029	✗	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.130584	+1.14%	0.10966	-15.06%	0.2007	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.138293	+1.28%	0.117875	-13.68%	0.1564	✗	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.150494	+1.17%	0.125695	-15.50%	0.1766	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.160225	+1.01%	0.13255	-16.44%	0.1872	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.17531	+0.79%	0.12763	-26.62%	0.3084	✗	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.183747	+0.77%	0.12613	-30.83%	0.3712	✗	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.188842	+0.89%	0.12391	-33.80%	0.4156	✗	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.20452	+0.87%	0.12911	-36.32%	0.4563	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.206031	+1.01%	0.13655	-33.06%	0.4180	✗	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.214348	+1.03%	0.14876	-29.88%	0.3702	✗	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.222063	+0.99%	0.15862	-27.86%	0.3381	✗	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.232547	+0.58%	0.17393	-24.77%	0.2907	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.230934	+0.67%	0.18234	-20.51%	0.2322	✗	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.252314	+0.00%	0.187175	-25.82%	0.3006	✗	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.247263	-3.72%	0.20275	-21.05%	0.1691	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.308205	-2.67%	0.20398	-35.59%	0.4190	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.428774	-4.31%	0.21216	-52.65%	0.8840	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.377838	-3.19%	0.219885	-43.66%	0.7240	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.381341	-4.09%	0.2312	-41.85%	0.7028	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.342284	-3.47%	0.2294	-35.30%	0.5911	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.339595	-3.18%	0.25231	-28.07%	0.5052	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.292568	-2.54%	0.25681	-14.45%	0.2719	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.314862	-2.77%	0.31667	-2.21%	0.0922	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.319987	-3.07%	0.44811	+35.74%	0.3177	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.296447	-2.73%	0.39028	+28.06%	0.2656	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.267672	-2.59%	0.39762	+44.69%	0.4317	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.292656	-2.70%	0.354585	+17.89%	0.2258	✗	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.276197	-2.76%	0.35075	+23.49%	0.2712	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.271789	-2.83%	0.300195	+7.33%	0.1136	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.264127	-2.84%	0.323825	+19.12%	0.2240	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.249216	-3.06%	0.330115	+28.41%	0.2896	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.249293	-3.54%	0.304755	+17.92%	0.1937	✗	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.254846	-4.01%	0.2748	+3.50%	0.0531	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.23267	-3.80%	0.300765	+24.35%	0.2216	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.234766	-4.62%	0.284025	+15.40%	0.1567	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.235263	-4.82%	0.279705	+13.16%	0.1806	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.204208	-3.58%	0.27185	+28.35%	0.2764	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.176925	-2.38%	0.257085	+41.85%	0.3710	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.175826	-2.75%	0.25844	+42.95%	0.3882	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.184934	-3.46%	0.2655	+38.60%	0.3842	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.176473	-2.32%	0.24187	+33.89%	0.3287	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.17556	-2.34%	0.24613	+36.91%	0.3495	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.168668	-1.90%	0.24718	+43.76%	0.3853	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.16744	-1.72%	0.2118	+24.31%	0.2557	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.173558	-1.88%	0.18124	+2.47%	0.0677	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.170675	-1.84%	0.180795	+3.98%	0.0719	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.169281	-1.74%	0.19156	+11.20%	0.1174	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.169677	-1.75%	0.180655	+4.61%	0.0684	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.167425	-1.58%	0.17977	+5.67%	0.0691	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.166464	-1.42%	0.17194	+1.82%	0.0157	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.166997	-1.45%	0.170375	+0.55%	0.0060	✓	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.172208	-1.64%	0.176875	+1.02%	0.0090	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.162852	-1.47%	0.17387	+5.20%	0.0319	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.168122	-1.68%	0.17227	+0.75%	0.0139	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.166603	-1.54%	0.1727	+2.06%	0.0269	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.170963	-1.74%	0.17012	-2.23%	0.0032	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.166831	-1.64%	0.168865	-0.45%	0.0077	✓	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.169163	-1.76%	0.16945	-1.59%	0.0162	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.185056	-2.41%	0.175085	-7.67%	0.0658	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.185329	-2.46%	0.165275	-13.01%	0.1037	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.16899	-2.03%	0.170995	-0.87%	0.0109	✓	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.179043	-2.75%	0.16921	-8.10%	0.0605	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.174668	-2.52%	0.173995	-2.90%	0.0159	✓	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.16471	-1.94%	0.16962	+0.99%	0.0167	✓	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.16317	-1.66%	0.172195	+3.78%	0.0364	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.157388	-1.06%	0.18963	+19.21%	0.1497	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.160726	-1.55%	0.19	+16.39%	0.1393	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.152772	-0.91%	0.172495	+11.88%	0.1001	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.14968	-0.77%	0.184115	+22.06%	0.1947	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.143399	-0.49%	0.17919	+24.34%	0.2133	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.143611	-0.39%	0.167965	+16.50%	0.1498	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.138389	-0.22%	0.16593	+19.63%	0.1897	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.141101	-0.52%	0.15907	+12.15%	0.1377	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.13801	-0.46%	0.16325	+17.74%	0.1850	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.141935	-0.41%	0.154175	+8.18%	0.1005	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.144064	-0.50%	0.150835	+4.18%	0.0657	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.14439	-0.04%	0.14411	-0.23%	0.0141	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.150866	-0.19%	0.14418	-4.61%	0.0298	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.155328	-1.34%	0.1387	-11.90%	0.0979	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.16066	-2.49%	0.14184	-13.91%	0.1127	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.17867	-3.01%	0.13865	-24.73%	0.2455	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.184063	-3.20%	0.14252	-25.05%	0.2467	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.189073	-3.50%	0.14479	-26.10%	0.2660	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.184772	-3.60%	0.144445	-24.64%	0.2460	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.190872	-3.99%	0.151155	-23.97%	0.2305	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.172767	-1.72%	0.15744	-10.44%	0.0989	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.17575	-2.35%	0.16476	-8.45%	0.0722	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.182354	-3.45%	0.18421	-2.47%	0.0055	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.173307	-2.64%	0.19015	+6.83%	0.0892	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.172569	-0.50%	0.195935	+12.98%	0.1232	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.17383	-0.62%	0.191665	+9.57%	0.0950	✗	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.182795	-2.92%	0.1988	+5.58%	0.0838	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.199453	-3.81%	0.17579	-15.22%	0.1286	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.187865	-3.55%	0.179975	-7.61%	0.0405	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.189941	-4.00%	0.18887	-4.54%	0.0081	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.193688	-4.73%	0.178	-12.45%	0.0947	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.192863	-4.97%	0.17343	-14.55%	0.1194	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.175335	-3.51%	0.17492	-3.74%	0.0200	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.172701	-3.26%	0.18829	+5.47%	0.0732	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.153918	+0.03%	0.20735	+34.76%	0.2967	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.159645	-0.38%	0.19479	+21.55%	0.1923	✗	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.170718	-1.14%	0.19786	+14.58%	0.1371	✗	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.177349	-1.27%	0.20331	+13.18%	0.1309	✗	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.18835	-1.72%	0.20295	+5.89%	0.0702	✗	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.186799	-1.07%	0.181715	-3.76%	0.0311	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.194079	-1.68%	0.17852	-9.56%	0.0947	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.197275	-1.62%	0.15387	-23.27%	0.2572	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.198105	-1.25%	0.16026	-20.11%	0.2146	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.203922	-1.42%	0.17268	-16.53%	0.1654	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.198018	-0.81%	0.17963	-10.02%	0.0986	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.201635	-0.97%	0.191655	-5.87%	0.0549	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.216091	-1.77%	0.18882	-14.17%	0.1483	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.246361	-1.93%	0.19739	-21.42%	0.2452	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.249703	-2.13%	0.200525	-21.40%	0.2312	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.249877	-1.99%	0.200605	-21.32%	0.2447	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.26836	-2.07%	0.206865	-24.51%	0.2986	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.265902	-2.01%	0.19963	-26.43%	0.3251	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.282914	-2.40%	0.20361	-29.76%	0.3472	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.276907	-2.44%	0.219995	-22.49%	0.2382	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.267722	-2.43%	0.2512	-8.45%	0.0561	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.261199	-2.34%	0.25513	-4.61%	0.0387	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.27596	-2.71%	0.25496	-10.11%	0.0820	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.258907	-2.48%	0.27403	+3.22%	0.0705	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.245938	-2.54%	0.27135	+7.53%	0.1272	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.256278	-2.43%	0.28986	+10.36%	0.1393	✗	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.246741	-2.40%	0.28383	+12.27%	0.1563	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.273552	-2.52%	0.27438	-2.22%	0.0264	✗	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.302626	-3.53%	0.26746	-14.74%	0.0914	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.332771	-6.16%	0.283635	-20.02%	0.1281	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.307199	-5.51%	0.26549	-18.34%	0.1308	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.215735	-2.26%	0.25235	+14.33%	0.1569	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.203234	-2.23%	0.26266	+26.36%	0.2563	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.201051	-2.15%	0.25282	+23.05%	0.2290	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.197991	-1.97%	0.28061	+38.94%	0.3743	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.228362	-2.23%	0.31369	+34.30%	0.3494	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.22072	-2.36%	0.35463	+56.88%	0.4746	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.214843	-2.45%	0.3251	+47.61%	0.3947	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.18602	-2.12%	0.22072	+16.14%	0.1074	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.176624	-1.90%	0.20786	+15.45%	0.1379	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.237512	-4.35%	0.205465	-17.26%	0.1496	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.272992	-8.16%	0.20197	-32.05%	0.3420	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.177699	-1.70%	0.23358	+29.21%	0.2294	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.176247	-1.76%	0.22605	+26.00%	0.2200	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.172752	-1.69%	0.22024	+25.34%	0.2240	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.180517	-2.52%	0.19005	+2.62%	0.0090	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.169101	-1.92%	0.18005	+4.43%	0.0271	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.158929	-1.75%	0.24832	+53.51%	0.3916	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.165495	-1.95%	0.29724	+76.11%	0.5398	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.170928	-2.18%	0.18078	+3.46%	0.0046	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.167982	-2.07%	0.17941	+4.59%	0.0348	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.167043	-2.40%	0.17572	+2.67%	0.0274	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.18645	-3.33%	0.18519	-3.98%	0.0318	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.161148	-2.55%	0.17241	+4.26%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.141094	-2.19%	0.16176	+12.14%	0.0504	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.