PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s2

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +30d

assessed

173

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

65.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3646

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0606

actual -0.1645

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.096017	-3.71%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.095877	-3.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.092908	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.084046	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.085979	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.088024	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.09117	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.093372	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.097561	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.101209	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.102554	-5.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.106184	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.106043	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.105923	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.105261	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.105649	-6.38%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.107975	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.109156	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.109934	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.10925	-6.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.108706	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.109854	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.107356	-7.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.106556	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.10551	-8.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.112275	-8.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.112153	-8.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.109868	-9.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.108083	-9.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.103432	-9.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.112355	-7.01%	0.099715	-17.47%	0.1278	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.110523	-6.43%	0.099215	-16.00%	0.1180	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.103074	-10.75%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.0624	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.10423	-10.82%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.1838	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.102858	-9.96%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.1344	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.098438	-9.61%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0267	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.099163	-9.27%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0092	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.097827	-8.94%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0537	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.103035	-9.06%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0254	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.100935	-8.74%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.1016	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.107184	-8.68%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0478	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.104786	-8.48%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.1194	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.100374	-8.47%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1616	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.1128	-4.31%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0345	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.120047	-4.49%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0456	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.126494	-4.57%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0882	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.122413	-4.09%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0409	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.121862	-3.38%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0228	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.119871	-3.26%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0060	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.125605	-2.71%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0578	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.131974	-3.35%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.1028	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.143557	-3.50%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1749	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.153154	-3.45%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2507	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.166963	-4.01%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3438	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.175512	-3.74%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.4033	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.180645	-3.49%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3697	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.198199	-2.24%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4644	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.199355	-2.27%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.4816	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.207514	-2.19%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5327	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.215936	-1.80%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.6189	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.224616	-2.85%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.5931	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.222443	-3.03%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.6020	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.247532	-1.89%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7512	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.234717	-8.60%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6643	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.298344	-5.79%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9674	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.414484	-7.50%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4908	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.367808	-5.76%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3632	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.367974	-7.46%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.4069	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.332176	-6.32%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2803	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.328669	-6.30%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2784	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.283383	-5.60%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0799	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.305347	-5.71%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1981	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.30979	-6.16%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.2368	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.28752	-5.66%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.1086	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.259423	-5.60%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9421	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.284132	-5.53%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9890	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.26792	-5.67%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9712	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.26314	-5.92%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9691	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.255935	-5.85%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9530	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.240796	-6.34%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8726	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.240088	-7.10%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7681	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.244581	-7.88%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.7073	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.222548	-7.99%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5731	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.223538	-9.18%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4723	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.224329	-9.24%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4111	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.196515	-7.22%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2238	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.17201	-5.09%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0273	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.171001	-5.42%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0085	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.179235	-6.43%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0232	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.171038	-5.32%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1359	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.169971	-5.45%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1943	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.163924	-4.66%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2323	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.163216	-4.20%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3311	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.168935	-4.49%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3633	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.166262	-4.38%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.6073	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.165257	-4.07%	0.44811	+160.12%	0.9975	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.16562	-4.10%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8608	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.163923	-3.64%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.8974	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.163397	-3.24%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7847	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.163867	-3.29%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7793	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.168693	-3.65%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5949	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.159529	-3.48%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.6947	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.164453	-3.83%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.6991	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.163294	-3.50%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6227	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.167266	-3.87%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4911	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.16337	-3.68%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.5975	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.165498	-3.89%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5210	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.179814	-5.18%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4359	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.180003	-5.26%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.4086	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.165035	-4.32%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4407	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.173517	-5.76%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3961	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.169336	-5.50%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4424	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.160857	-4.23%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.3982	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.159898	-3.64%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4094	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.155304	-2.37%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4179	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.157819	-3.33%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2669	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.150958	-2.09%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1602	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.148166	-1.77%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.1843	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.142059	-1.42%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.2791	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.142235	-1.35%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2217	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.136907	-1.29%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2484	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.139246	-1.83%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2010	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.135504	-2.27%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2198	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.139224	-2.31%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2247	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.140668	-2.85%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2075	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.141508	-2.03%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.1913	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.147496	-2.42%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1487	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.148983	-5.37%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1351	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.152664	-7.34%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.1082	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.17056	-7.41%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0011	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.175383	-7.77%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0009	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.179357	-8.46%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.0729	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.174377	-9.02%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0204	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.179852	-9.53%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0618	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.161318	-8.23%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0703	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.163977	-8.89%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0309	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.17058	-9.68%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0106	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.161742	-9.13%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1590	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.162652	-6.21%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1521	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.164014	-6.23%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0477	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.171292	-9.03%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0716	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.186166	-10.22%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0395	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.175385	-9.96%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0407	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.176796	-10.65%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0669	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.179317	-11.80%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1354	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.177791	-12.40%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.0993	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.162205	-10.74%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.0708	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.159483	-10.66%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.0749	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.144478	-6.10%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0044	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.149041	-7.00%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0455	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.158321	-8.32%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1632	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.164239	-8.57%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1726	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.173953	-9.24%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2477	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.173365	-8.18%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2183	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.179504	-9.06%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2541	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.18273	-8.87%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2767	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.184176	-8.19%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2390	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.190327	-7.99%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2278	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.185308	-7.17%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1509	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.189442	-6.96%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0637	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.205821	-6.44%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1321	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.239176	-4.79%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.3209	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.241741	-5.25%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3455	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.242639	-4.83%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.3245	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.261067	-4.73%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5768	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.259039	-4.54%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5477	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.274505	-5.30%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.5139	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.2686	-5.37%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5465	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.259805	-5.31%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5603	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.254013	-5.03%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5368	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.268089	-5.48%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4844	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.250661	-5.59%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.3204	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.237475	-5.89%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.3028	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.248277	-5.48%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2911	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.238952	-5.49%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.2019	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.265684	-5.32%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2860	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.292485	-6.76%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4902	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.315048	-11.16%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.5883	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.293639	-9.68%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6654	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.209465	-5.10%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2657	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.197024	-5.21%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1318	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.195059	-5.06%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0823	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.192662	-4.61%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0158	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.223106	-4.48%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1309	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.215055	-4.86%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.1013	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.209281	-4.98%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0638	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.181118	-4.70%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0631	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.173102	-3.86%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1624	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.22969	-7.50%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1443	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.253215	-14.81%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.2564	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.173924	-3.79%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.1801	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.17241	-3.90%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.2874	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.16917	-3.73%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3479	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.174673	-5.68%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2494	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.164943	-4.33%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.3959	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.155288	-4.00%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4394	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.161392	-4.38%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.4692	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.166287	-4.83%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4142	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.163744	-4.54%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4095	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.16207	-5.31%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3331	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.179006	-7.19%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3011	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.155844	-5.75%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3616	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.136284	-5.52%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4563	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.