NIULAI

? · · lstm_s2

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 168

Track record at +7d

assessed

49

of 56 predictions shown

direction hit

73.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1723

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0248

actual -0.0447

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06274	0.059627	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-21	oos	0.062305	0.059306	-4.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.059586	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.055994	-3.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.056741	-3.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.058112	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.063116	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.064881	-3.71%	0.06274	-6.89%	0.0715	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.067488	-3.08%	0.062305	-10.52%	0.1249	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.071293	-4.47%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1287	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.069751	-3.20%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.1871	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.075605	-4.62%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2237	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.076539	-4.42%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2264	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.071544	-3.57%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.0778	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.071366	-2.37%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0649	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.069576	-2.94%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0307	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.077485	-2.01%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0017	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.075764	-1.35%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0151	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.081353	-1.21%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0181	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079028	-1.35%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0423	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.086019	-1.75%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1169	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.09706	-2.23%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2353	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.10229	-2.42%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3511	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.102507	-2.50%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2890	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.112445	-2.93%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4164	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.101397	-2.53%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2410	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.103204	-2.49%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2586	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.101736	-2.46%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1569	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.098507	-2.12%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0002	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.105618	-1.67%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0057	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.111557	-0.68%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0199	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.107354	-0.39%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1250	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.099034	-2.03%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0093	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.105532	-2.21%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0523	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.115615	-3.35%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1588	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.102967	-3.11%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1229	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.097725	-2.81%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0082	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.115299	-3.69%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1575	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.117725	-3.70%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1906	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.112791	-3.67%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1647	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.128965	-4.42%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2283	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.12038	-4.28%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0527	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.11557	-4.79%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0814	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.079978	+1.77%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.2566	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.100074	-2.01%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2164	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.082278	+0.77%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4076	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.090826	-0.21%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.2990	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.116887	-3.05%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.1762	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.083605	-0.61%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4398	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.094811	-1.56%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3070	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.076806	-1.30%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0103	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.081779	-1.90%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2087	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.099283	-3.49%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.2022	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.0962	-5.20%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0892	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.054369	-1.04%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7761	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055272	-1.41%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.3967	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.