NIULAI

? · · lstm_s2

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +1d

assessed

54

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

59.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0921

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0086

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.061611	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.061564	-1.50%	0.06254	+0.06%	0.0203	✗	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.05741	-0.93%	0.0625	+7.85%	0.0645	✗	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058201	-0.96%	0.05795	-1.39%	0.0012	✓	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059159	-0.50%	0.058765	-1.16%	0.0184	✓	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064537	-0.74%	0.059455	-8.55%	0.0798	✓	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.066664	-1.06%	0.065015	-3.51%	0.0135	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.069069	-0.81%	0.06738	-3.23%	0.0351	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.073578	-1.41%	0.06963	-6.70%	0.0276	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071431	-0.87%	0.07463	+3.57%	0.0195	✗	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.078102	-1.47%	0.07206	-9.10%	0.0477	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.07897	-1.38%	0.07927	-1.01%	0.0092	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073419	-1.04%	0.080075	+7.93%	0.0806	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.072673	-0.58%	0.07419	+1.49%	0.0061	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071112	-0.80%	0.0731	+1.97%	0.0553	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.078612	-0.59%	0.071685	-9.35%	0.0559	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076516	-0.37%	0.079075	+2.96%	0.0362	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.081987	-0.44%	0.0768	-6.74%	0.0537	✓	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079813	-0.37%	0.08235	+2.80%	0.0038	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.087049	-0.57%	0.08011	-8.50%	0.0868	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.098485	-0.79%	0.08755	-11.81%	0.1125	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.103961	-0.82%	0.09927	-5.30%	0.0664	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.104236	-0.85%	0.104825	-0.29%	0.0069	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.114739	-0.95%	0.10513	-9.25%	0.0903	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.103119	-0.88%	0.115845	+11.36%	0.1328	✗	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.104947	-0.84%	0.10403	-1.71%	0.0095	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.103447	-0.82%	0.10584	+1.47%	0.0176	✗	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.099927	-0.71%	0.104305	+3.64%	0.0477	✗	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.10685	-0.52%	0.10064	-6.30%	0.0600	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.112022	-0.27%	0.10741	-4.38%	0.0141	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.107568	-0.19%	0.112325	+4.23%	0.0493	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.100504	-0.58%	0.10777	+6.61%	0.0253	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.107229	-0.64%	0.10109	-6.32%	0.0576	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.118406	-1.02%	0.107915	-9.79%	0.0991	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.105278	-0.93%	0.11962	+12.56%	0.0701	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.099728	-0.82%	0.10627	+5.69%	0.0609	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.118341	-1.14%	0.10055	-16.01%	0.1703	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.120861	-1.14%	0.11971	-2.08%	0.0241	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.115762	-1.13%	0.12225	+4.41%	0.0368	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.133003	-1.42%	0.11709	-13.22%	0.1214	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.123985	-1.42%	0.134925	+7.28%	0.0839	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.119325	-1.69%	0.125765	+3.61%	0.0438	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.078878	+0.37%	0.12138	+54.46%	0.4536	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.101429	-0.68%	0.078585	-23.05%	0.2531	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.081674	+0.03%	0.102125	+25.08%	0.2316	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.090752	-0.29%	0.08165	-10.29%	0.0900	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.119163	-1.16%	0.09102	-24.50%	0.2757	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.083763	-0.42%	0.12056	+43.32%	0.3622	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.095559	-0.78%	0.08412	-12.66%	0.1078	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.077337	-0.62%	0.09631	+23.76%	0.1695	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.082631	-0.87%	0.07782	-6.65%	0.0588	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.101165	-1.66%	0.08336	-18.97%	0.1787	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.098586	-2.85%	0.10287	+1.37%	0.0310	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.05459	-0.64%	0.10148	+84.71%	0.6273	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055608	-0.81%	0.05494	-2.00%	0.0172	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.