NES
Nesa · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #366
- symbol
- NES
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-24
- predictions
- 336
Track record at +7d
assessed
105
of 112 predictions shown
direction hit
58.1%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1157
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0205
actual -0.0649
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.115725 | 0.113856 | -1.61% | – | pending | – | – | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.112605 | 0.111195 | -1.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.12079 | 0.118944 | -1.53% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.114105 | 0.113102 | -0.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.118045 | 0.11679 | -1.06% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.11967 | 0.1184 | -1.06% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.122125 | 0.120707 | -1.16% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.138695 | 0.136005 | -1.94% | 0.115725 | -16.56% | 0.1618 | ✓ | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.146385 | 0.14296 | -2.34% | 0.112605 | -23.08% | 0.2393 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.136455 | 0.134091 | -1.73% | 0.12079 | -11.48% | 0.1044 | ✓ | 0.04 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.13391 | 0.131666 | -1.68% | 0.114105 | -14.79% | 0.1432 | ✓ | 0.03 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.14095 | 0.138535 | -1.71% | 0.118045 | -16.25% | 0.1603 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.14031 | 0.138079 | -1.59% | 0.11967 | -14.71% | 0.1439 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.13735 | 0.135549 | -1.31% | 0.122125 | -11.08% | 0.1048 | ✓ | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.13322 | 0.13197 | -0.94% | 0.138695 | +4.11% | 0.0499 | ✗ | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.137455 | 0.135943 | -1.10% | 0.146385 | +6.50% | 0.0730 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.137615 | 0.136839 | -0.56% | 0.136455 | -0.84% | 0.0047 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.14428 | 0.142808 | -1.02% | 0.13391 | -7.19% | 0.0697 | ✓ | -0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.14974 | 0.14796 | -1.19% | 0.14095 | -5.87% | 0.0540 | ✓ | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.14604 | 0.14414 | -1.30% | 0.14031 | -3.92% | 0.0311 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.14854 | 0.146274 | -1.53% | 0.13735 | -7.53% | 0.0669 | ✓ | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.1514 | 0.148906 | -1.65% | 0.13322 | -12.01% | 0.1175 | ✓ | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.15126 | 0.148786 | -1.64% | 0.137455 | -9.13% | 0.0797 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.16081 | 0.157596 | -2.00% | 0.137615 | -14.42% | 0.1336 | ✓ | -0.09 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.1614 | 0.158196 | -1.99% | 0.14428 | -10.61% | 0.0912 | ✓ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.16563 | 0.161774 | -2.33% | 0.14974 | -9.59% | 0.0772 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.163905 | 0.161009 | -1.77% | 0.14604 | -10.90% | 0.0975 | ✓ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.15964 | 0.157113 | -1.58% | 0.14854 | -6.95% | 0.0558 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.16505 | 0.162219 | -1.72% | 0.1514 | -8.27% | 0.0687 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.16465 | 0.161668 | -1.81% | 0.15126 | -8.13% | 0.0672 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.168615 | 0.16599 | -1.56% | 0.16081 | -4.63% | 0.0275 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.16943 | 0.167078 | -1.39% | 0.1614 | -4.74% | 0.0294 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.16252 | 0.159053 | -2.13% | 0.16563 | +1.91% | 0.0378 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.162175 | 0.158776 | -2.10% | 0.163905 | +1.07% | 0.0291 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.15727 | 0.154155 | -1.98% | 0.15964 | +1.51% | 0.0323 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.15382 | 0.149594 | -2.75% | 0.16505 | +7.30% | 0.0959 | ✗ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.16251 | 0.157247 | -3.24% | 0.16465 | +1.32% | 0.0435 | ✗ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1658 | 0.159513 | -3.79% | 0.168615 | +1.70% | 0.0520 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15123 | 0.147192 | -2.67% | 0.16943 | +12.03% | 0.1253 | ✗ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.14991 | 0.145583 | -2.89% | 0.16252 | +8.41% | 0.1021 | ✗ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15991 | 0.153963 | -3.72% | 0.162175 | +1.42% | 0.0456 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.149955 | 0.143732 | -4.15% | 0.15727 | +4.88% | 0.0839 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.144685 | 0.138758 | -4.10% | 0.15382 | +6.31% | 0.1034 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.11554 | 0.114159 | -1.19% | 0.16251 | +40.65% | 0.3625 | ✗ | 0.34 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1225 | 0.120408 | -1.71% | 0.1658 | +35.35% | 0.3322 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.13114 | 0.128769 | -1.81% | 0.15123 | +15.32% | 0.1644 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1288 | 0.130113 | +1.02% | 0.14991 | +16.39% | 0.1566 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12945 | 0.130706 | +0.97% | 0.15991 | +23.53% | 0.2125 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1378 | 0.139657 | +1.35% | 0.149955 | +8.82% | 0.0815 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.13944 | 0.141563 | +1.52% | 0.144685 | +3.76% | 0.0417 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.13736 | 0.138337 | +0.71% | 0.11554 | -15.89% | 0.1840 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.14057 | 0.142252 | +1.20% | 0.1225 | -12.85% | 0.1537 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.14442 | 0.146439 | +1.40% | 0.13114 | -9.20% | 0.1124 | ✗ | 0.30 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.156 | 0.158981 | +1.91% | 0.1288 | -17.44% | 0.2216 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.15359 | 0.156164 | +1.68% | 0.12945 | -15.72% | 0.1945 | ✗ | 0.34 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.14335 | 0.145099 | +1.22% | 0.1378 | -3.87% | 0.0594 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.14355 | 0.144995 | +1.01% | 0.13944 | -2.86% | 0.0435 | ✗ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1493 | 0.150617 | +0.88% | 0.13736 | -8.00% | 0.0837 | ✗ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1605 | 0.161867 | +0.85% | 0.14057 | -12.42% | 0.1355 | ✗ | 0.39 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13701 | 0.138161 | +0.84% | 0.14442 | +5.41% | 0.0468 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.195165 | 0.196896 | +0.89% | 0.156 | -20.07% | 0.2323 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.205345 | 0.206759 | +0.69% | 0.15359 | -25.20% | 0.3072 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.220915 | 0.222203 | +0.58% | 0.14335 | -35.11% | 0.4346 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.215955 | 0.215051 | -0.42% | 0.14355 | -33.53% | 0.4660 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.207735 | -2.68% | 0.1493 | -30.05% | 0.4226 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.20579 | 0.199784 | -2.92% | 0.1605 | -22.01% | 0.3620 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.21233 | 0.205208 | -3.35% | 0.13701 | -35.47% | 0.5547 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.214555 | 0.207084 | -3.48% | 0.195165 | -9.04% | 0.2295 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.20837 | 0.201622 | -3.24% | 0.205345 | -1.45% | 0.1451 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.20957 | 0.202529 | -3.36% | 0.220915 | +5.41% | 0.0904 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.20644 | 0.199745 | -3.24% | 0.215955 | +4.61% | 0.0392 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.200645 | 0.1946 | -3.01% | 0.21345 | +6.38% | 0.0183 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.203145 | 0.196903 | -3.07% | 0.20579 | +1.30% | 0.0292 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.204145 | 0.197855 | -3.08% | 0.21233 | +4.01% | 0.0632 | ✗ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.20451 | 0.198373 | -3.00% | 0.214555 | +4.91% | 0.1057 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.208985 | 0.202524 | -3.09% | 0.20837 | -0.29% | 0.0540 | ✗ | 0.86 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.20336 | 0.197505 | -2.88% | 0.20957 | +3.05% | 0.0853 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.20365 | 0.197887 | -2.83% | 0.20644 | +1.37% | 0.0538 | ✗ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.19656 | 0.191531 | -2.56% | 0.200645 | +2.08% | 0.0632 | ✗ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.2043 | 0.198619 | -2.78% | 0.203145 | -0.57% | 0.0301 | ✗ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.20654 | 0.200686 | -2.83% | 0.204145 | -1.16% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.204585 | 0.199056 | -2.70% | 0.20451 | -0.04% | 0.0073 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.211265 | 0.205317 | -2.82% | 0.208985 | -1.08% | 0.0152 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.20703 | 0.201639 | -2.60% | 0.20336 | -1.77% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.214655 | 0.209199 | -2.54% | 0.20365 | -5.13% | 0.0199 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.219455 | 0.213636 | -2.65% | 0.19656 | -10.43% | 0.0946 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.217385 | 0.211851 | -2.55% | 0.2043 | -6.02% | 0.0396 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.218736 | -2.68% | 0.20654 | -8.10% | 0.0537 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.241925 | 0.234835 | -2.93% | 0.204585 | -15.43% | 0.1125 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.2425 | 0.235195 | -3.01% | 0.211265 | -12.88% | 0.0854 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.253825 | 0.245467 | -3.29% | 0.20703 | -18.44% | 0.1521 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.260521 | -3.55% | 0.214655 | -20.53% | 0.1886 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.270695 | 0.261375 | -3.44% | 0.219455 | -18.93% | 0.1411 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.23121 | 0.225121 | -2.63% | 0.217385 | -5.98% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.22897 | 0.223027 | -2.60% | 0.22475 | -1.84% | 0.0313 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.223245 | 0.217935 | -2.38% | 0.241925 | +8.37% | 0.0943 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.225605 | 0.2203 | -2.35% | 0.2425 | +7.49% | 0.1038 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.238 | 0.231664 | -2.66% | 0.253825 | +6.65% | 0.0884 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.24992 | 0.242694 | -2.89% | 0.2701 | +8.07% | 0.0871 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.23956 | 0.233572 | -2.50% | 0.270695 | +13.00% | 0.1266 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.242325 | 0.236466 | -2.42% | 0.23121 | -4.59% | 0.0457 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.246155 | 0.238867 | -2.96% | 0.22897 | -6.98% | 0.0886 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.2359 | 0.22993 | -2.53% | 0.223245 | -5.36% | 0.0442 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.266755 | 0.257059 | -3.63% | 0.225605 | -15.43% | 0.1464 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.276415 | 0.264923 | -4.16% | 0.238 | -13.90% | 0.1035 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.273545 | 0.261397 | -4.44% | 0.24992 | -8.64% | 0.0543 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.29756 | 0.279509 | -6.07% | 0.23956 | -19.49% | 0.1933 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.27962 | 0.264885 | -5.27% | 0.242325 | -13.34% | 0.1150 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.252165 | 0.242203 | -3.95% | 0.246155 | -2.38% | 0.0437 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.27204 | 0.256669 | -5.65% | 0.2359 | -13.28% | 0.0868 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.236725 | 0.228165 | -3.62% | 0.266755 | +12.69% | 0.1454 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.22291 | 0.215645 | -3.26% | 0.276415 | +24.00% | 0.2229 | ✗ | 1.00 |