NES
Nesa · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #366
- symbol
- NES
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x863F08A3d3B14fbD3D42fFD061D0e290F7dBC538
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-24
- predictions
- 333
Track record at +30d
assessed
81
of 111 predictions shown
direction hit
88.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2801
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0134
actual -0.2719
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.11832 | 0.117506 | -0.69% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.12079 | 0.120343 | -0.37% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.114105 | 0.113773 | -0.29% | – | pending | – | – | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.118045 | 0.117753 | -0.25% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.11967 | 0.119314 | -0.30% | – | pending | – | – | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.122125 | 0.121798 | -0.27% | – | pending | – | – | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.138695 | 0.13788 | -0.59% | – | pending | – | – | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.146385 | 0.145118 | -0.87% | – | pending | – | – | 0.02 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.136455 | 0.135928 | -0.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.04 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.13391 | 0.133386 | -0.39% | – | pending | – | – | 0.03 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.14095 | 0.140234 | -0.51% | – | pending | – | – | -0.01 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.14031 | 0.13974 | -0.41% | – | pending | – | – | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.13735 | 0.136972 | -0.28% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.13322 | 0.133116 | -0.08% | – | pending | – | – | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.137455 | 0.137036 | -0.30% | – | pending | – | – | -0.05 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.137615 | 0.137021 | -0.43% | – | pending | – | – | -0.07 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.14428 | 0.143387 | -0.62% | – | pending | – | – | -0.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.14974 | 0.148529 | -0.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.14604 | 0.144638 | -0.96% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.14854 | 0.146578 | -1.32% | – | pending | – | – | -0.17 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.1514 | 0.148816 | -1.71% | – | pending | – | – | -0.16 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.15126 | 0.149032 | -1.47% | – | pending | – | – | -0.15 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.16081 | 0.15781 | -1.87% | – | pending | – | – | -0.09 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.1614 | 0.158885 | -1.56% | – | pending | – | – | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.16563 | 0.163435 | -1.33% | – | pending | – | – | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.163905 | 0.16138 | -1.54% | – | pending | – | – | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.15964 | 0.157458 | -1.37% | – | pending | – | – | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.16505 | 0.162849 | -1.33% | – | pending | – | – | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.16465 | 0.162166 | -1.51% | – | pending | – | – | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.168615 | 0.167136 | -0.88% | – | pending | – | – | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.16943 | 0.168771 | -0.39% | 0.11832 | -30.17% | 0.3487 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.16252 | 0.158876 | -2.24% | 0.12079 | -25.68% | 0.2756 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.162175 | 0.158716 | -2.13% | 0.114105 | -29.64% | 0.3305 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.15727 | 0.15382 | -2.19% | 0.118045 | -24.94% | 0.2657 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.15382 | 0.149504 | -2.81% | 0.11967 | -22.20% | 0.2241 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.16251 | 0.157804 | -2.90% | 0.122125 | -24.85% | 0.2580 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.1658 | 0.160808 | -3.01% | 0.138695 | -16.35% | 0.1501 | ✓ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15123 | 0.146699 | -3.00% | 0.146385 | -3.20% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 0.15 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.14991 | 0.144937 | -3.32% | 0.136455 | -8.98% | 0.0716 | ✓ | 0.14 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.15991 | 0.155061 | -3.03% | 0.13391 | -16.26% | 0.1538 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.149955 | 0.144897 | -3.37% | 0.14095 | -6.01% | 0.0382 | ✓ | 0.13 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.144685 | 0.138717 | -4.13% | 0.14031 | -3.02% | 0.0016 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.11554 | 0.112626 | -2.52% | 0.13735 | +18.88% | 0.1805 | ✗ | 0.34 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1225 | 0.11942 | -2.51% | 0.13322 | +8.75% | 0.0960 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.13114 | 0.128707 | -1.86% | 0.137455 | +4.82% | 0.0499 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1288 | 0.127722 | -0.84% | 0.137615 | +6.84% | 0.0538 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.12945 | 0.128408 | -0.81% | 0.14428 | +11.46% | 0.0929 | ✗ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1378 | 0.138142 | +0.25% | 0.14974 | +8.66% | 0.0537 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.13944 | 0.140704 | +0.91% | 0.14604 | +4.73% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.13736 | 0.136755 | -0.44% | 0.14854 | +8.14% | 0.0546 | ✗ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.14057 | 0.140889 | +0.23% | 0.1514 | +7.70% | 0.0432 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.14442 | 0.147001 | +1.79% | 0.15126 | +4.74% | 0.0098 | ✓ | 0.30 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.156 | 0.160793 | +3.07% | 0.16081 | +3.08% | 0.0241 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.15359 | 0.159232 | +3.67% | 0.1614 | +5.08% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 0.34 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.14335 | 0.148736 | +3.76% | 0.16563 | +15.54% | 0.0802 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.14355 | 0.151906 | +5.82% | 0.163905 | +14.18% | 0.0576 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1493 | 0.158832 | +6.38% | 0.15964 | +6.93% | 0.0187 | ✓ | 0.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1605 | 0.172209 | +7.30% | 0.16505 | +2.83% | 0.0704 | ✓ | 0.39 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.13701 | 0.147566 | +7.70% | 0.16465 | +20.17% | 0.0790 | ✓ | 0.46 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.195165 | 0.209658 | +7.43% | 0.168615 | -13.60% | 0.2844 | ✗ | 0.64 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.205345 | 0.21951 | +6.90% | 0.16943 | -17.49% | 0.3352 | ✗ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.220915 | 0.237843 | +7.66% | 0.16252 | -26.43% | 0.4022 | ✗ | 0.60 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.215955 | 0.215521 | -0.20% | 0.162175 | -24.90% | 0.3539 | ✓ | 0.65 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.21345 | 0.21117 | -1.07% | 0.15727 | -26.32% | 0.4032 | ✓ | 0.70 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.20579 | 0.200553 | -2.54% | 0.15382 | -25.25% | 0.3876 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.21233 | 0.205665 | -3.14% | 0.16251 | -23.46% | 0.3590 | ✓ | 0.74 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.214555 | 0.204647 | -4.62% | 0.1658 | -22.72% | 0.3583 | ✓ | 0.80 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.20837 | 0.199788 | -4.12% | 0.15123 | -27.42% | 0.4536 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.20957 | 0.200872 | -4.15% | 0.14991 | -28.47% | 0.4539 | ✓ | 0.81 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.20644 | 0.199098 | -3.56% | 0.15991 | -22.54% | 0.3836 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.200645 | 0.194146 | -3.24% | 0.149955 | -25.26% | 0.4226 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.203145 | 0.196678 | -3.18% | 0.144685 | -28.78% | 0.4623 | ✓ | 0.83 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.204145 | 0.198174 | -2.92% | 0.11554 | -43.40% | 0.7097 | ✓ | 0.84 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.20451 | 0.19982 | -2.29% | 0.1225 | -40.10% | 0.6543 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.208985 | 0.204249 | -2.27% | 0.13114 | -37.25% | 0.6137 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.20336 | 0.199087 | -2.10% | 0.1288 | -36.66% | 0.6207 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.20365 | 0.199138 | -2.22% | 0.12945 | -36.44% | 0.6191 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.19656 | 0.192937 | -1.84% | 0.1378 | -29.89% | 0.5254 | ✓ | 0.90 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.2043 | 0.199879 | -2.16% | 0.13944 | -31.75% | 0.5810 | ✓ | 0.93 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.20654 | 0.201403 | -2.49% | 0.13736 | -33.49% | 0.5676 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.204585 | 0.200155 | -2.17% | 0.14057 | -31.29% | 0.5394 | ✓ | 0.94 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.211265 | 0.206125 | -2.43% | 0.14442 | -31.64% | 0.5754 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.20703 | 0.203074 | -1.91% | 0.156 | -24.65% | 0.4723 | ✓ | 0.98 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.214655 | 0.21274 | -0.89% | 0.15359 | -28.45% | 0.5134 | ✓ | 0.99 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.219455 | 0.217089 | -1.08% | 0.14335 | -34.68% | 0.6172 | ✓ | 1.02 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.217385 | 0.21526 | -0.98% | 0.14355 | -33.97% | 0.6400 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.22475 | 0.222099 | -1.18% | 0.1493 | -33.57% | 0.6191 | ✓ | 1.03 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.241925 | 0.237523 | -1.82% | 0.1605 | -33.66% | 0.5555 | ✓ | 0.89 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.2425 | 0.237839 | -1.92% | 0.13701 | -43.50% | 0.7387 | ✓ | 0.91 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.253825 | 0.247262 | -2.59% | 0.195165 | -23.11% | 0.4140 | ✓ | 0.92 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.2701 | 0.260963 | -3.38% | 0.205345 | -23.97% | 0.4090 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.270695 | 0.261013 | -3.58% | 0.220915 | -18.39% | 0.3367 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.23121 | 0.225821 | -2.33% | 0.215955 | -6.60% | 0.1378 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.22897 | 0.224165 | -2.10% | 0.21345 | -6.78% | 0.1098 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.223245 | 0.219488 | -1.68% | 0.20579 | -7.82% | 0.0644 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.225605 | 0.221591 | -1.78% | 0.21233 | -5.88% | 0.0378 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.238 | 0.232562 | -2.28% | 0.214555 | -9.85% | 0.0639 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.24992 | 0.243382 | -2.62% | 0.20837 | -16.63% | 0.1435 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.23956 | 0.234146 | -2.26% | 0.20957 | -12.52% | 0.0836 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.242325 | 0.237342 | -2.06% | 0.20644 | -14.81% | 0.1151 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.246155 | 0.24032 | -2.37% | 0.200645 | -18.49% | 0.1987 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.2359 | 0.231122 | -2.03% | 0.203145 | -13.89% | 0.1257 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.266755 | 0.258804 | -2.98% | 0.204145 | -23.47% | 0.2394 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.276415 | 0.267163 | -3.35% | 0.20451 | -26.01% | 0.2784 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.273545 | 0.263692 | -3.60% | 0.208985 | -23.60% | 0.2596 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.29756 | 0.282455 | -5.08% | 0.20336 | -31.66% | 0.3703 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.27962 | 0.268034 | -4.14% | 0.20365 | -27.17% | 0.2895 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.252165 | 0.244491 | -3.04% | 0.19656 | -22.05% | 0.2276 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.27204 | 0.260859 | -4.11% | 0.2043 | -24.90% | 0.2517 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.236725 | 0.229547 | -3.03% | 0.20654 | -12.75% | 0.1116 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.22291 | 0.216657 | -2.80% | 0.204585 | -8.22% | 0.0729 | ✓ | 1.00 |