MOE
MOE · Mantle · lstm_s2
- token id
- #827
- symbol
- MOE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Mantle
- address
- 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2024-11-29
- predictions
- 399
Track record at +7d
assessed
119
of 133 predictions shown
direction hit
58.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3336
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0183
actual -0.1788
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.0003449 | 0.000341534 | -0.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0003632 | 0.00035868 | -1.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.00035745 | 0.000353332 | -1.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.0004181 | 0.000410668 | -1.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.00043585 | 0.000426332 | -2.18% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.0004583 | 0.000444761 | -2.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0004529 | 0.000433129 | -4.37% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.0004537 | 0.000420057 | -7.42% | 0.0003449 | -23.98% | 0.2109 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.00055985 | 0.000506237 | -9.58% | 0.0003632 | -35.13% | 0.3301 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.0006665 | 0.000600821 | -9.85% | 0.00035745 | -46.37% | 0.5205 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.000703 | 0.000488507 | -30.51% | 0.0004181 | -40.53% | 0.1355 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-08 | in | 0.00031 | 0.000313838 | +1.24% | – | pending | – | – | 2.03 |
| 2025-04-07 | in | 0.000317 | 0.000318964 | +0.62% | – | pending | – | – | 2.12 |
| 2025-04-06 | in | 0.0003192 | 0.00032152 | +0.73% | – | pending | – | – | 2.11 |
| 2025-04-05 | in | 0.0003977 | 0.000394872 | -0.71% | – | pending | – | – | 2.13 |
| 2025-04-04 | in | 0.0004024 | 0.000400621 | -0.44% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-03 | in | 0.0003984 | 0.000396334 | -0.52% | – | pending | – | – | 2.14 |
| 2025-04-02 | in | 0.000448 | 0.00044572 | -0.51% | – | pending | – | – | 2.20 |
| 2025-04-01 | in | 0.0004932 | 0.000489367 | -0.78% | 0.00031 | -37.15% | 0.2017 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-31 | in | 0.0004862 | 0.000482518 | -0.76% | 0.000317 | -34.80% | 0.3228 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | in | 0.0004699 | 0.000466698 | -0.68% | 0.0003192 | -32.07% | 0.2645 | ✓ | 2.31 |
| 2025-03-29 | in | 0.0004657 | 0.00046227 | -0.74% | 0.0003977 | -14.60% | 0.1747 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-28 | in | 0.0005013 | 0.000495308 | -1.20% | 0.0004024 | -19.73% | 0.1932 | ✓ | 2.34 |
| 2025-03-27 | in | 0.0005423 | 0.000524962 | -3.20% | 0.0003984 | -26.54% | 0.1618 | ✓ | 2.40 |
| 2025-03-26 | in | 0.0005207 | 0.000501678 | -3.65% | 0.000448 | -13.96% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 2.28 |
| 2025-03-25 | in | 0.0005439 | 0.000526353 | -3.23% | 0.0004932 | -9.32% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 2.30 |
| 2025-03-24 | in | 0.0005511 | 0.000531292 | -3.59% | 0.0004862 | -11.78% | 0.0455 | ✗ | 2.29 |
| 2025-03-23 | in | 0.0005092 | 0.000494478 | -2.89% | 0.0004699 | -7.72% | 0.0473 | ✗ | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-22 | in | 0.0005002 | 0.000487046 | -2.63% | 0.0004657 | -6.90% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 2.23 |
| 2025-03-21 | in | 0.0004994 | 0.000486362 | -2.61% | 0.0005013 | +0.38% | 0.0220 | ✓ | 2.17 |
| 2025-03-20 | in | 0.00055 | 0.000532533 | -3.18% | 0.0005423 | -1.40% | 0.0583 | ✓ | 2.16 |
| 2025-03-19 | in | 0.000542 | 0.000525001 | -3.14% | 0.0005207 | -3.93% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 2.20 |
| 2025-03-18 | in | 0.0004988 | 0.000493065 | -1.15% | 0.0005439 | +9.04% | 0.0308 | ✓ | 2.32 |
| 2025-03-17 | in | 0.00051 | 0.00050506 | -0.97% | 0.0005511 | +8.06% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 2.36 |
| 2025-03-16 | in | 0.0005015 | 0.000502104 | +0.12% | 0.0005092 | +1.54% | 0.0844 | ✗ | 2.35 |
| 2025-03-15 | in | 0.0005216 | 0.000521013 | -0.11% | 0.0005002 | -4.10% | 0.0263 | ✓ | 2.43 |
| 2025-03-14 | in | 0.0005378 | 0.000537142 | -0.12% | 0.0004994 | -7.14% | 0.0753 | ✓ | 2.48 |
| 2025-03-13 | in | 0.0004904 | 0.000507158 | +3.42% | 0.00055 | +12.15% | 0.0117 | ✓ | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-12 | in | 0.0005142 | 0.000529398 | +2.96% | 0.000542 | +5.41% | 0.0695 | ✗ | 2.46 |
| 2025-03-11 | in | 0.0005339 | 0.000551254 | +3.25% | 0.0004988 | -6.57% | 0.0936 | ✗ | 2.47 |
| 2025-03-10 | in | 0.0004858 | 0.000512615 | +5.52% | 0.00051 | +4.98% | 0.1795 | ✗ | 2.59 |
| 2025-03-09 | in | 0.00057 | 0.000589154 | +3.36% | 0.0005015 | -12.02% | 0.2196 | ✗ | 2.56 |
| 2025-03-08 | in | 0.0005902 | 0.000596336 | +1.04% | 0.0005216 | -11.62% | 0.0734 | ✗ | 2.78 |
| 2025-03-07 | in | 0.0006199 | 0.000621162 | +0.20% | 0.0005378 | -13.24% | 0.0518 | ✗ | 2.84 |
| 2025-03-06 | in | 0.0006305 | 0.000623797 | -1.06% | 0.0004904 | -22.22% | 0.0593 | ✗ | 2.89 |
| 2025-03-05 | in | 0.0006211 | 0.000614239 | -1.10% | 0.0005142 | -17.21% | 0.0499 | ✗ | 2.86 |
| 2025-03-04 | in | 0.0006649 | 0.000665018 | +0.02% | 0.0005339 | -19.70% | 0.0708 | ✗ | 2.92 |
| 2025-03-03 | in | 0.0006283 | 0.000636546 | +1.31% | 0.0004858 | -22.68% | 0.0216 | ✗ | 2.69 |
| 2025-03-02 | in | 0.0008278 | 0.000793024 | -4.20% | 0.00057 | -31.14% | 0.0870 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2025-03-01 | in | 0.00068 | 0.0006867 | +0.99% | 0.0005902 | -13.21% | 0.1572 | ✗ | 2.66 |
| 2025-02-28 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000716365 | +0.90% | 0.0006199 | -12.69% | 0.2253 | ✗ | 2.81 |
| 2025-02-27 | in | 0.0005911 | 0.000612569 | +3.63% | 0.0006305 | +6.67% | 0.1437 | ✗ | 2.84 |
| 2025-02-26 | in | 0.000648 | 0.000668361 | +3.14% | 0.0006211 | -4.15% | 0.2857 | ✗ | 2.86 |
| 2025-02-25 | in | 0.0005906 | 0.000606939 | +2.77% | 0.0006649 | +12.58% | 0.1395 | ✓ | 3.18 |
| 2025-02-24 | in | 0.0006898 | 0.000695111 | +0.77% | 0.0006283 | -8.92% | 0.0897 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-02-23 | in | 0.0007556 | 0.000742318 | -1.76% | 0.0008278 | +9.56% | 0.1783 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-22 | in | 0.00079 | 0.000775539 | -1.83% | 0.00068 | -13.92% | 0.2506 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-21 | in | 0.000801 | 0.000790293 | -1.34% | 0.00071 | -11.36% | 0.3270 | ✗ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-20 | in | 0.00082 | 0.000801839 | -2.21% | 0.0005911 | -27.91% | 0.1981 | ✗ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-19 | in | 0.00068 | 0.000681489 | +0.22% | 0.000648 | -4.71% | 0.4036 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2025-02-18 | in | 0.0006437 | 0.000649621 | +0.92% | 0.0005906 | -8.25% | 0.1531 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2025-02-17 | in | 0.00069 | 0.000696905 | +1.00% | 0.0006898 | -0.03% | 0.1382 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | in | 0.00074 | 0.000747753 | +1.05% | 0.0007556 | +2.11% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2025-02-15 | in | 0.00071 | 0.000715264 | +0.74% | 0.00079 | +11.27% | 0.1339 | ✓ | 3.30 |
| 2025-02-14 | in | 0.00081 | 0.000819059 | +1.12% | 0.000801 | -1.11% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 3.31 |
| 2025-02-13 | in | 0.00089 | 0.000903209 | +1.48% | 0.00082 | -7.87% | 0.1554 | ✗ | 3.33 |
| 2025-02-12 | in | 0.00109 | 0.001093 | +0.31% | 0.00068 | -37.61% | 0.4334 | ✗ | 3.28 |
| 2025-02-11 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001415 | +0.35% | 0.0006437 | -54.35% | 0.7816 | ✗ | 3.46 |
| 2025-02-10 | in | 0.00137 | 0.001371 | +0.09% | 0.00069 | -49.64% | 0.6262 | ✗ | 3.52 |
| 2025-02-09 | in | 0.00155 | 0.001552 | +0.11% | 0.00074 | -52.26% | 0.7273 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-08 | in | 0.00157 | 0.001575 | +0.33% | 0.00071 | -54.78% | 0.8379 | ✗ | 3.55 |
| 2025-02-07 | in | 0.00147 | 0.001488 | +1.23% | 0.00081 | -44.90% | 0.6438 | ✗ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-06 | in | 0.0016 | 0.001614 | +0.89% | 0.00089 | -44.38% | 0.5976 | ✗ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-05 | in | 0.00144 | 0.001465 | +1.73% | 0.00109 | -24.31% | 0.3404 | ✗ | 3.56 |
| 2025-02-04 | in | 0.00134 | 0.001361 | +1.60% | 0.00141 | +5.22% | 0.1103 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2025-02-03 | in | 0.00176 | 0.001759 | -0.08% | 0.00137 | -22.16% | 0.1087 | ✓ | 3.49 |
| 2025-02-02 | in | 0.00141 | 0.001433 | +1.63% | 0.00155 | +9.93% | 0.1199 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-02-01 | in | 0.00172 | 0.001739 | +1.12% | 0.00157 | -8.72% | 0.0361 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-01-31 | in | 0.00205 | 0.002059 | +0.43% | 0.00147 | -28.29% | 0.1454 | ✗ | 3.24 |
| 2025-01-30 | in | 0.0024 | 0.002382 | -0.74% | 0.0016 | -33.33% | 0.1379 | ✓ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-29 | in | 0.0025 | 0.002491 | -0.37% | 0.00144 | -42.40% | 0.3199 | ✓ | 3.21 |
| 2025-01-28 | in | 0.00234 | 0.002355 | +0.64% | 0.00134 | -42.74% | 0.4516 | ✗ | 3.20 |
| 2025-01-27 | in | 0.00272 | 0.002717 | -0.12% | 0.00176 | -35.29% | 0.4154 | ✓ | 3.17 |
| 2025-01-26 | in | 0.0031 | 0.003073 | -0.86% | 0.00141 | -54.52% | 0.6251 | ✓ | 3.15 |
| 2025-01-25 | in | 0.00411 | 0.004003 | -2.61% | 0.00172 | -58.15% | 0.7240 | ✓ | 3.02 |
| 2025-01-24 | in | 0.00459 | 0.00445 | -3.05% | 0.00205 | -55.34% | 0.7043 | ✓ | 3.01 |
| 2025-01-23 | in | 0.00502 | 0.004864 | -3.12% | 0.0024 | -52.19% | 0.7300 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-22 | in | 0.00639 | 0.006135 | -3.99% | 0.0025 | -60.88% | 0.9000 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-21 | in | 0.00663 | 0.006321 | -4.66% | 0.00234 | -64.71% | 0.8488 | ✓ | 3.09 |
| 2025-01-20 | in | 0.00488 | 0.004727 | -3.14% | 0.00272 | -44.26% | 0.5503 | ✓ | 2.81 |
| 2025-01-19 | in | 0.00512 | 0.004947 | -3.37% | 0.0031 | -39.45% | 0.5050 | ✓ | 2.83 |
| 2025-01-18 | in | 0.0073 | 0.006995 | -4.17% | 0.00411 | -43.70% | 0.5390 | ✓ | 2.53 |
| 2025-01-17 | in | 0.00945 | 0.009096 | -3.74% | 0.00459 | -51.43% | 0.7021 | ✓ | 2.55 |
| 2025-01-16 | in | 0.01091 | 0.010502 | -3.74% | 0.00502 | -53.99% | 0.8511 | ✓ | 2.92 |
| 2025-01-15 | in | 0.01372 | 0.013106 | -4.48% | 0.00639 | -53.43% | 0.8071 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-14 | in | 0.01037 | 0.009998 | -3.59% | 0.00663 | -36.07% | 0.6569 | ✓ | 2.59 |
| 2025-01-13 | in | 0.01316 | 0.012738 | -3.21% | 0.00488 | -62.92% | 1.1820 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-12 | in | 0.01678 | 0.016188 | -3.53% | 0.00512 | -69.49% | 1.3478 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-11 | in | 0.01601 | 0.015481 | -3.30% | 0.0073 | -54.40% | 1.0367 | ✓ | 2.87 |
| 2025-01-10 | in | 0.01991 | 0.019074 | -4.20% | 0.00945 | -52.54% | 0.9734 | ✓ | 2.86 |
| 2025-01-09 | in | 0.02065 | 0.019686 | -4.67% | 0.01091 | -47.17% | 0.8210 | ✓ | 2.99 |
| 2025-01-08 | in | 0.01796 | 0.017294 | -3.71% | 0.01372 | -23.61% | 0.4122 | ✓ | 3.23 |
| 2025-01-07 | in | 0.02282 | 0.021786 | -4.53% | 0.01037 | -54.56% | 0.7295 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-06 | in | 0.02644 | 0.025278 | -4.40% | 0.01316 | -50.23% | 0.4111 | ✓ | 3.06 |
| 2025-01-05 | in | 0.02288 | 0.021788 | -4.77% | 0.01678 | -26.66% | 0.1403 | ✓ | 3.04 |
| 2025-01-04 | in | 0.02024 | 0.019326 | -4.51% | 0.01601 | -20.90% | 0.0736 | ✓ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-03 | in | 0.02086 | 0.019718 | -5.48% | 0.01991 | -4.55% | 0.1178 | ✗ | 3.03 |
| 2025-01-02 | in | 0.0165 | 0.015671 | -5.02% | 0.02065 | +25.15% | 0.4091 | ✗ | 2.90 |
| 2025-01-01 | in | 0.01285 | 0.012398 | -3.52% | 0.01796 | +39.77% | 0.3526 | ✗ | 2.62 |
| 2024-12-31 | in | 0.01281 | 0.012324 | -3.80% | 0.02282 | +78.14% | 0.5165 | ✗ | 2.64 |
| 2024-12-30 | in | 0.01329 | 0.012695 | -4.48% | 0.02644 | +98.95% | 0.4681 | ✗ | 2.68 |
| 2024-12-29 | in | 0.0112 | 0.010846 | -3.16% | 0.02288 | +104.29% | 0.6078 | ✗ | 2.78 |
| 2024-12-28 | in | 0.01553 | 0.014559 | -6.25% | 0.02024 | +30.33% | 0.2976 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-27 | in | 0.01222 | 0.011619 | -4.91% | 0.02086 | +70.70% | 0.5439 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-26 | in | 0.0079 | 0.007895 | -0.06% | 0.0165 | +108.86% | 0.7243 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-25 | in | 0.00906 | 0.008856 | -2.25% | 0.01285 | +41.83% | 0.4235 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-24 | in | 0.00997 | 0.009722 | -2.49% | 0.01281 | +28.49% | 0.3305 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-23 | in | 0.01 | 0.009728 | -2.72% | 0.01329 | +32.90% | 0.3349 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-22 | in | 0.0084 | 0.008374 | -0.32% | 0.0112 | +33.33% | 0.3070 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-21 | in | 0.00752 | 0.007546 | +0.34% | 0.01553 | +106.52% | 0.7436 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-20 | in | 0.00682 | 0.00687 | +0.73% | 0.01222 | +79.18% | 0.6134 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-19 | in | 0.00766 | 0.007654 | -0.08% | 0.0079 | +3.13% | 0.0493 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-18 | in | 0.01118 | 0.010983 | -1.76% | 0.00906 | -18.96% | 0.1844 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-17 | in | 0.01372 | 0.01346 | -1.90% | 0.00997 | -27.33% | 0.2264 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-16 | in | 0.01609 | 0.015619 | -2.93% | 0.01 | -37.85% | 0.3329 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | in | 0.01238 | 0.012141 | -1.93% | 0.0084 | -32.15% | 0.2745 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-14 | in | 0.01074 | 0.010551 | -1.76% | 0.00752 | -29.98% | 0.2967 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-13 | in | 0.00983 | 0.00965 | -1.84% | 0.00682 | -30.62% | 0.3103 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-12 | in | 0.01099 | 0.010793 | -1.80% | 0.00766 | -30.30% | 0.3159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-11 | in | 0.01188 | 0.011625 | -2.14% | 0.01118 | -5.89% | 0.0286 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-10 | in | 0.00939 | 0.009215 | -1.87% | 0.01372 | +46.11% | 0.3045 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-09 | in | 0.00936 | 0.009194 | -1.78% | 0.01609 | +71.90% | 0.4733 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | in | 0.01153 | 0.011304 | -1.96% | 0.01238 | +7.37% | 0.0591 | ✗ | 1.00 |