MOE

MOE · Mantle · lstm_s2

token id: #827
symbol: MOE
variant: –
chain: Mantle
address: 0x4515a45337f461a11ff0fe8abf3c606ae5dc00c9
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-11-29
predictions: 399

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

131

of 133 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1048

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0042

actual -0.0274

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0003449	0.000344437	-0.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.0003632	0.000362379	-0.23%	0.0003449	-5.04%	0.0465	✓	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.00035745	0.000356734	-0.20%	0.0003632	+1.61%	0.0046	✗	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.0004181	0.00041632	-0.43%	0.00035745	-14.51%	0.1504	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.00043585	0.000433359	-0.57%	0.0004181	-4.07%	0.0435	✓	1.00
2026-10-16	oos	0.0004583	0.000454456	-0.84%	0.00043585	-4.90%	0.0403	✓	1.00
2026-10-15	oos	0.0004529	0.000446992	-1.30%	0.0004583	+1.19%	0.0326	✗	1.00
2026-10-14	oos	0.0004537	0.000443373	-2.28%	0.0004529	-0.18%	0.0144	✓	1.00
2026-10-13	oos	0.00055985	0.000543217	-2.97%	0.0004537	-18.96%	0.1614	✓	1.00
2026-10-12	oos	0.0006665	0.000646506	-3.00%	0.00055985	-16.00%	0.1604	✓	1.00
2026-10-11	oos	0.000703	0.000636376	-9.48%	0.0006665	-5.19%	0.0697	✓	1.00
2025-04-08	in	0.00031	0.000311615	+0.52%	–	pending	–	–	2.03
2025-04-07	in	0.000317	0.000318079	+0.34%	0.00031	-2.21%	0.0530	✓	2.12
2025-04-06	in	0.0003192	0.000320363	+0.36%	0.000317	-0.69%	0.0311	✗	2.11
2025-04-05	in	0.0003977	0.000397456	-0.06%	0.0003192	-19.74%	0.0842	✓	2.13
2025-04-04	in	0.0004024	0.000402566	+0.04%	0.0003977	-1.17%	0.0029	✗	2.14
2025-04-03	in	0.0003984	0.000398299	-0.03%	0.0004024	+1.00%	0.0073	✓	2.14
2025-04-02	in	0.000448	0.000448122	+0.03%	0.0003984	-11.07%	0.1358	✗	2.20
2025-04-01	in	0.0004932	0.00049297	-0.05%	0.000448	-9.16%	0.0220	✓	2.30
2025-03-31	in	0.0004862	0.000485954	-0.05%	0.0004932	+1.44%	0.0581	✓	2.32
2025-03-30	in	0.0004699	0.000469819	-0.02%	0.0004862	+3.47%	0.0299	✗	2.31
2025-03-29	in	0.0004657	0.00046553	-0.04%	0.0004699	+0.90%	0.0159	✗	2.28
2025-03-28	in	0.0005013	0.000500292	-0.20%	0.0004657	-7.10%	0.0221	✓	2.34
2025-03-27	in	0.0005423	0.000536807	-1.01%	0.0005013	-7.56%	0.0110	✗	2.40
2025-03-26	in	0.0005207	0.000512979	-1.48%	0.0005423	+4.15%	0.0479	✗	2.28
2025-03-25	in	0.0005439	0.000538931	-0.91%	0.0005207	-4.27%	0.0212	✓	2.30
2025-03-24	in	0.0005511	0.000545395	-1.04%	0.0005439	-1.31%	0.0002	✓	2.29
2025-03-23	in	0.0005092	0.000505453	-0.74%	0.0005511	+8.23%	0.0497	✗	2.23
2025-03-22	in	0.0005002	0.000497143	-0.61%	0.0005092	+1.80%	0.0348	✓	2.23
2025-03-21	in	0.0004994	0.000496616	-0.56%	0.0005002	+0.16%	0.0126	✗	2.17
2025-03-20	in	0.00055	0.00054603	-0.72%	0.0004994	-9.20%	0.0861	✓	2.16
2025-03-19	in	0.000542	0.000538339	-0.68%	0.00055	+1.48%	0.0908	✗	2.20
2025-03-18	in	0.0004988	0.000498798	-0.00%	0.000542	+8.66%	0.0312	✓	2.32
2025-03-17	in	0.00051	0.000510249	+0.05%	0.0004988	-2.20%	0.0145	✓	2.36
2025-03-16	in	0.0005015	0.00050325	+0.35%	0.00051	+1.69%	0.0276	✗	2.35
2025-03-15	in	0.0005216	0.000523002	+0.27%	0.0005015	-3.85%	0.0102	✓	2.43
2025-03-14	in	0.0005378	0.000538868	+0.20%	0.0005216	-3.01%	0.0435	✗	2.48
2025-03-13	in	0.0004904	0.000496454	+1.23%	0.0005378	+9.67%	0.0069	✓	2.47
2025-03-12	in	0.0005142	0.000519916	+1.11%	0.0004904	-4.63%	0.0189	✓	2.46
2025-03-11	in	0.0005339	0.000540182	+1.18%	0.0005142	-3.69%	0.0714	✗	2.47
2025-03-10	in	0.0004858	0.000493567	+1.60%	0.0005339	+9.90%	0.0618	✗	2.59
2025-03-09	in	0.00057	0.000576655	+1.17%	0.0004858	-14.77%	0.1021	✗	2.56
2025-03-08	in	0.0005902	0.000593727	+0.60%	0.00057	-3.42%	0.1428	✓	2.78
2025-03-07	in	0.0006199	0.000622141	+0.36%	0.0005902	-4.79%	0.0346	✗	2.84
2025-03-06	in	0.0006305	0.000630381	-0.02%	0.0006199	-1.68%	0.0870	✗	2.89
2025-03-05	in	0.0006211	0.000620716	-0.06%	0.0006305	+1.51%	0.0372	✗	2.86
2025-03-04	in	0.0006649	0.000666972	+0.31%	0.0006211	-6.59%	0.1814	✗	2.92
2025-03-03	in	0.0006283	0.00063239	+0.65%	0.0006649	+5.83%	0.0164	✓	2.69
2025-03-02	in	0.0008278	0.000818184	-1.16%	0.0006283	-24.10%	0.0227	✓	2.68
2025-03-01	in	0.00068	0.000684152	+0.61%	0.0008278	+21.74%	0.0532	✗	2.66
2025-02-28	in	0.00071	0.000714194	+0.59%	0.00068	-4.23%	0.1058	✗	2.81
2025-02-27	in	0.0005911	0.000597985	+1.16%	0.00071	+20.12%	0.1827	✓	2.84
2025-02-26	in	0.000648	0.000655118	+1.10%	0.0005911	-8.78%	0.1202	✗	2.86
2025-02-25	in	0.0005906	0.000596069	+0.93%	0.000648	+9.72%	0.2484	✓	3.18
2025-02-24	in	0.0006898	0.000693003	+0.46%	0.0005906	-14.38%	0.0570	✗	3.17
2025-02-23	in	0.0007556	0.000753619	-0.26%	0.0006898	-8.71%	0.0786	✗	3.30
2025-02-22	in	0.00079	0.000787796	-0.28%	0.0007556	-4.35%	0.0309	✓	3.30
2025-02-21	in	0.000801	0.000799999	-0.13%	0.00079	-1.37%	0.0271	✓	3.30
2025-02-20	in	0.00082	0.000816649	-0.41%	0.000801	-2.32%	0.0560	✗	3.35
2025-02-19	in	0.00068	0.000681989	+0.29%	0.00082	+20.59%	0.1267	✓	3.27
2025-02-18	in	0.0006437	0.000646629	+0.45%	0.00068	+5.64%	0.0156	✓	3.26
2025-02-17	in	0.00069	0.000693296	+0.48%	0.0006437	-6.71%	0.0683	✗	3.25
2025-02-16	in	0.00074	0.000743637	+0.49%	0.00069	-6.76%	0.0634	✗	3.25
2025-02-15	in	0.00071	0.000712832	+0.40%	0.00074	+4.23%	0.0878	✓	3.30
2025-02-14	in	0.00081	0.000814124	+0.51%	0.00071	-12.35%	0.1398	✗	3.31
2025-02-13	in	0.00089	0.00089536	+0.60%	0.00081	-8.99%	0.1305	✗	3.33
2025-02-12	in	0.00109	0.001094	+0.33%	0.00089	-18.35%	0.1642	✗	3.28
2025-02-11	in	0.00141	0.001415	+0.37%	0.00109	-22.70%	0.3358	✗	3.46
2025-02-10	in	0.00137	0.001374	+0.28%	0.00141	+2.92%	0.0868	✓	3.52
2025-02-09	in	0.00155	0.001555	+0.31%	0.00137	-11.61%	0.1620	✗	3.55
2025-02-08	in	0.00157	0.001576	+0.37%	0.00155	-1.27%	0.0165	✗	3.55
2025-02-07	in	0.00147	0.001478	+0.58%	0.00157	+6.80%	0.0623	✓	3.56
2025-02-06	in	0.0016	0.001608	+0.49%	0.00147	-8.13%	0.0886	✗	3.56
2025-02-05	in	0.00144	0.00145	+0.68%	0.0016	+11.11%	0.1013	✓	3.56
2025-02-04	in	0.00134	0.001349	+0.64%	0.00144	+7.46%	0.1085	✓	3.61
2025-02-03	in	0.00176	0.001764	+0.20%	0.00134	-23.86%	0.1462	✗	3.49
2025-02-02	in	0.00141	0.001419	+0.64%	0.00176	+24.82%	0.0880	✓	3.35
2025-02-01	in	0.00172	0.001729	+0.50%	0.00141	-18.02%	0.1059	✗	3.29
2025-01-31	in	0.00205	0.002056	+0.32%	0.00172	-16.10%	0.1216	✗	3.24
2025-01-30	in	0.0024	0.002399	-0.03%	0.00205	-14.58%	0.0853	✓	3.20
2025-01-29	in	0.0025	0.002502	+0.07%	0.0024	-4.00%	0.0721	✗	3.21
2025-01-28	in	0.00234	0.002348	+0.33%	0.0025	+6.84%	0.0138	✗	3.20
2025-01-27	in	0.00272	0.002723	+0.11%	0.00234	-13.97%	0.1275	✗	3.17
2025-01-26	in	0.0031	0.003096	-0.12%	0.00272	-12.26%	0.1141	✓	3.15
2025-01-25	in	0.00411	0.00408	-0.73%	0.0031	-24.57%	0.2116	✓	3.02
2025-01-24	in	0.00459	0.004549	-0.89%	0.00411	-10.46%	0.0982	✓	3.01
2025-01-23	in	0.00502	0.004975	-0.89%	0.00459	-8.57%	0.1075	✓	3.03
2025-01-22	in	0.00639	0.006308	-1.28%	0.00502	-21.44%	0.2360	✓	3.04
2025-01-21	in	0.00663	0.006521	-1.65%	0.00639	-3.62%	0.0531	✗	3.09
2025-01-20	in	0.00488	0.00484	-0.83%	0.00663	+35.86%	0.2064	✗	2.81
2025-01-19	in	0.00512	0.005075	-0.88%	0.00488	-4.69%	0.0652	✓	2.83
2025-01-18	in	0.0073	0.007213	-1.19%	0.00512	-29.86%	0.2635	✓	2.53
2025-01-17	in	0.00945	0.009344	-1.12%	0.0073	-22.75%	0.2549	✓	2.55
2025-01-16	in	0.01091	0.010781	-1.19%	0.00945	-13.38%	0.2498	✓	2.92
2025-01-15	in	0.01372	0.013483	-1.73%	0.01091	-20.48%	0.1966	✓	2.87
2025-01-14	in	0.01037	0.010265	-1.01%	0.01372	+32.30%	0.1856	✗	2.59
2025-01-13	in	0.01316	0.013046	-0.86%	0.01037	-21.20%	0.2904	✓	2.86
2025-01-12	in	0.01678	0.016602	-1.06%	0.01316	-21.57%	0.2323	✓	2.87
2025-01-11	in	0.01601	0.015865	-0.91%	0.01678	+4.81%	0.0578	✗	2.87
2025-01-10	in	0.01991	0.019629	-1.41%	0.01601	-19.59%	0.1997	✓	2.86
2025-01-09	in	0.02065	0.020323	-1.58%	0.01991	-3.58%	0.0892	✓	2.99
2025-01-08	in	0.01796	0.017771	-1.05%	0.02065	+14.98%	0.2358	✗	3.23
2025-01-07	in	0.02282	0.022493	-1.43%	0.01796	-21.30%	0.1644	✓	3.06
2025-01-06	in	0.02644	0.026039	-1.52%	0.02282	-13.69%	0.0319	✗	3.06
2025-01-05	in	0.02288	0.022508	-1.63%	0.02644	+15.56%	0.0418	✗	3.04
2025-01-04	in	0.02024	0.019929	-1.54%	0.02288	+13.04%	0.1339	✗	3.03
2025-01-03	in	0.02086	0.020399	-2.21%	0.02024	-2.97%	0.0101	✓	3.03
2025-01-02	in	0.0165	0.016189	-1.89%	0.02086	+26.42%	0.2169	✗	2.90
2025-01-01	in	0.01285	0.012715	-1.05%	0.0165	+28.40%	0.1916	✗	2.62
2024-12-31	in	0.01281	0.012661	-1.17%	0.01285	+0.31%	0.0141	✓	2.64
2024-12-30	in	0.01329	0.013097	-1.46%	0.01281	-3.61%	0.0432	✓	2.68
2024-12-29	in	0.0112	0.011097	-0.92%	0.01329	+18.66%	0.2085	✗	2.78
2024-12-28	in	0.01553	0.015155	-2.41%	0.0112	-27.88%	0.2858	✓	1.00
2024-12-27	in	0.01222	0.011984	-1.93%	0.01553	+27.09%	0.2490	✗	1.00
2024-12-26	in	0.0079	0.007919	+0.24%	0.01222	+54.68%	0.4496	✓	1.00
2024-12-25	in	0.00906	0.008999	-0.67%	0.0079	-12.80%	0.0925	✓	1.00
2024-12-24	in	0.00997	0.009894	-0.77%	0.00906	-9.13%	0.0956	✓	1.00
2024-12-23	in	0.01	0.009922	-0.78%	0.00997	-0.30%	0.0348	✓	1.00
2024-12-22	in	0.0084	0.008409	+0.11%	0.01	+19.05%	0.1766	✓	1.00
2024-12-21	in	0.00752	0.007541	+0.27%	0.0084	+11.70%	0.1302	✓	1.00
2024-12-20	in	0.00682	0.006847	+0.39%	0.00752	+10.26%	0.0993	✓	1.00
2024-12-19	in	0.00766	0.007672	+0.15%	0.00682	-10.97%	0.1217	✗	1.00
2024-12-18	in	0.01118	0.011135	-0.41%	0.00766	-31.48%	0.3459	✓	1.00
2024-12-17	in	0.01372	0.013661	-0.43%	0.01118	-18.51%	0.1424	✓	1.00
2024-12-16	in	0.01609	0.015942	-0.92%	0.01372	-14.73%	0.1505	✓	1.00
2024-12-15	in	0.01238	0.012324	-0.45%	0.01609	+29.97%	0.2509	✗	1.00
2024-12-14	in	0.01074	0.010696	-0.41%	0.01238	+15.27%	0.1166	✗	1.00
2024-12-13	in	0.00983	0.009785	-0.46%	0.01074	+9.26%	0.0934	✗	1.00
2024-12-12	in	0.01099	0.010943	-0.42%	0.00983	-10.56%	0.1212	✓	1.00
2024-12-11	in	0.01188	0.011814	-0.55%	0.01099	-7.49%	0.0607	✓	1.00
2024-12-10	in	0.00939	0.009341	-0.52%	0.01188	+26.52%	0.1945	✗	1.00
2024-12-09	in	0.00936	0.009318	-0.45%	0.00939	+0.32%	0.0146	✗	1.00
2024-12-08	in	0.01153	0.01148	-0.44%	0.00936	-18.82%	0.1653	✓	1.00