MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s2

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

78.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3418

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0156

actual -0.2993

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.00185	-4.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001729	-3.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001869	-3.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001734	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.002025	-3.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002266	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002308	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002174	-3.48%	0.001936	-14.07%	0.1287	✓	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001975	-3.33%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.0909	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.0021	-2.53%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0795	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001802	-1.53%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0215	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001823	-0.35%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1663	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001855	+0.35%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2601	✓	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002105	+0.01%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1326	✓	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002352	-2.50%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0129	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002297	-3.48%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0692	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002683	-6.75%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1419	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002253	-3.15%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1471	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001731	+0.77%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.0859	✓	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001698	+0.77%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.1184	✓	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001693	+0.30%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.2727	✓	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002411	+0.90%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0061	✓	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003054	-1.30%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.2874	✓	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003548	-2.42%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2553	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003582	-2.39%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4555	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004395	-3.70%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9432	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004734	-4.20%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0382	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.00435	-3.22%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9522	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004443	-3.14%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.6102	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004696	-3.02%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.3869	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005167	-3.39%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.3145	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004396	-1.55%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.2203	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.00421	-1.39%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0424	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005483	-2.15%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1429	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005541	+0.58%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.3092	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004339	-0.12%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0470	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005959	+0.63%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.3390	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008451	-1.12%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5599	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.006246	-0.65%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.3909	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.008356	-0.57%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.7217	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.006242	-1.87%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.1544	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008376	-0.91%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.4165	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010488	+0.02%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.8537	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017924	+0.39%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0703	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.018212	+1.15%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.7448	✗	1.00