MICRODUCK
microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s2
- token id
- #784
- symbol
- MICRODUCK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-29
- predictions
- 138
Track record at +30d
assessed
16
of 46 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.1203
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1002
actual -1.2204
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.003037 | 0.002603 | -14.26% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.002985 | 0.002512 | -15.87% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.0018 | 0.001642 | -8.75% | – | pending | – | – | 0.84 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001942 | 0.00175 | -9.89% | – | pending | – | – | 0.88 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001786 | 0.001635 | -8.47% | – | pending | – | – | 0.90 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002094 | 0.001866 | -10.87% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.002361 | 0.002058 | -12.86% | – | pending | – | – | 0.94 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.002423 | 0.002093 | -13.62% | – | pending | – | – | 0.95 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.002253 | 0.001974 | -12.36% | – | pending | – | – | 0.91 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.002043 | 0.001828 | -10.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.10 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.002155 | 0.001912 | -11.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001666 | -8.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.50 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.001829 | 0.001667 | -8.88% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.001849 | 0.001683 | -8.96% | – | pending | – | – | 1.47 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.002105 | 0.001897 | -9.90% | – | pending | – | – | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.002412 | 0.002129 | -11.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00238 | 0.002104 | -11.62% | – | pending | – | – | 1.66 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.002877 | 0.002475 | -13.98% | – | pending | – | – | 1.62 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.002327 | 0.002061 | -11.41% | – | pending | – | – | 1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.001718 | 0.001521 | -11.45% | – | pending | – | – | 1.42 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.001685 | 0.00148 | -12.12% | – | pending | – | – | 1.41 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.001688 | 0.001472 | -12.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.00216 | -9.61% | – | pending | – | – | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.003095 | 0.002833 | -8.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.003635 | 0.003316 | -8.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00367 | 0.003342 | -8.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.004564 | 0.004084 | -10.52% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.004941 | 0.004382 | -11.33% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.004495 | 0.004032 | -10.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.004587 | 0.00411 | -10.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.004842 | 0.004327 | -10.63% | 0.003037 | -37.29% | 0.3310 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.005348 | 0.004759 | -11.01% | 0.002985 | -44.18% | 0.4361 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.004465 | 0.00398 | -10.85% | 0.0018 | -59.70% | 0.8155 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.004269 | 0.003784 | -11.35% | 0.001942 | -54.51% | 0.6746 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.005603 | 0.00505 | -9.88% | 0.001786 | -68.12% | 1.0532 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.005509 | 0.004915 | -10.79% | 0.002094 | -61.99% | 0.9170 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.004344 | 0.003812 | -12.25% | 0.002361 | -45.64% | 0.5467 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.005922 | 0.005264 | -11.11% | 0.002423 | -59.08% | 0.8589 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.008547 | 0.007941 | -7.09% | 0.002253 | -73.64% | 1.3022 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006287 | 0.005573 | -11.36% | 0.002043 | -67.50% | 1.0823 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008404 | 0.007742 | -7.87% | 0.002155 | -74.36% | 1.3355 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006361 | 0.005597 | -12.02% | 0.001829 | -71.24% | 1.1987 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.008453 | 0.007558 | -10.58% | 0.001829 | -78.36% | 1.4989 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.010485 | 0.009865 | -5.91% | 0.001849 | -82.37% | 1.7276 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.017855 | 0.016967 | -4.98% | 0.002105 | -88.21% | 2.1275 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.018005 | 0.01724 | -4.25% | 0.002412 | -86.60% | 2.0183 | ✓ | 1.00 |