META2

META2 · · lstm_s2

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +7d

assessed

69

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

47.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.5800

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.1445

actual -0.0583

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.8182	+0.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.7857	+0.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.6931	+0.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.722	+0.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.8604	+0.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.7083	+0.13%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.7148	-0.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.6481	-0.46%	17.7705	+0.23%	0.0091	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6933	-0.99%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0054	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.7997	-0.86%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0106	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.9876	-0.66%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0080	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	18.0033	-0.62%	17.826	-1.60%	0.0134	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.7855	-0.57%	17.685	-1.13%	0.0103	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7765	-0.52%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0082	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.9096	-1.16%	17.73	-2.15%	0.0167	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.779	-1.86%	17.87	-1.36%	0.0453	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.7561	-2.35%	17.954	-1.26%	0.0783	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.1287	-1.92%	18.108	-7.16%	0.0080	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.949	-1.94%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0147	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.913	-2.07%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0232	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.9773	-2.25%	17.869	-7.96%	0.0069	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.8781	-2.39%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.0363	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.2811	-2.55%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.0407	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.8301	-3.39%	18.184	-1.47%	0.0186	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.7122	-2.24%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.1184	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.2106	-2.29%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.1699	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.4659	-2.42%	19.312	+14.45%	0.1520	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.6805	-2.66%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.1433	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.2043	-2.79%	19.34	+16.03%	0.1922	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.1778	-3.15%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.1982	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.7277	-3.38%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.2229	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.6125	-2.51%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.0945	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.105	-2.48%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.1740	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.5271	-3.78%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.1562	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.4709	-3.90%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.2374	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.4044	-4.35%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.2659	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.2996	-4.84%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.3031	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.1872	-5.55%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.3025	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.0551	-6.21%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.2874	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	17.8654	-7.22%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3793	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.054	-7.91%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0328	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	16.7787	-8.88%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.1405	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	15.6861	-14.93%	19.2405	+4.35%	0.2622	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	14.8457	-19.81%	19.2305	+3.87%	0.3380	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	1.6565	-52.79%	19.2555	+448.82%	2.4926	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	1.2962	-63.21%	19.2505	+446.35%	2.8615	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	15.1453	-17.59%	19.2555	+4.77%	0.3600	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	1.6433	-59.11%	18.5185	+360.83%	2.5483	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	1.3212	-67.10%	18.4135	+358.50%	2.8974	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	1.1278	-71.97%	18.4385	+358.33%	2.7378	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	1.0197	-74.63%	18.5135	+360.53%	2.8375	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	2.0519	-66.38%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.5072	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.1451	-1.56%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.6010	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.5623	-1.41%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.8948	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.6858	-1.32%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.4342	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.3106	-0.96%	4.016	-90.13%	2.3186	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.6057	+0.38%	4.023	-85.37%	1.9040	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	39.8883	-1.92%	4.02	-90.12%	2.2803	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.5429	-0.86%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.8376	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	39.9684	-1.46%	40.783	+0.55%	0.0210	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	50.0615	-4.51%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.2114	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.6686	+0.11%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.3021	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.3253	-1.44%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.1994	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.0687	-2.10%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.2206	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	29.7979	-2.46%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.1171	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	29.4323	-3.85%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.0754	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	29.612	-3.08%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.1019	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	29.5303	-3.42%	52.426	+71.47%	0.3729	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	28.8914	-5.70%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.1596	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	3.8806	-24.85%	30.768	+495.82%	1.9297	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.0428	-2.12%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.0667	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	29.943	-2.58%	30.549	-0.61%	0.0021	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.0395	-2.81%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.0100	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	29.7338	-3.45%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.0586	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	29.4616	-4.56%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.0666	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	29.5685	-4.30%	30.638	-0.84%	0.0655	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.