META2

META2 · · lstm_s2

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +1d

assessed

76

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

51.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1965

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0125

actual -0.0128

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	16.1498	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.8859	-0.56%	16.221	-9.82%	0.1004	✓	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6394	-0.61%	17.9865	+1.35%	0.0045	✓	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5223	-0.65%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0024	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.5563	-0.68%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0069	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.6948	-0.74%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0097	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.5434	-0.80%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0176	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.5776	-0.95%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0150	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.4533	-1.56%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0087	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.6064	-1.47%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0295	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.7438	-1.17%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0126	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.9954	-0.62%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0272	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.9972	-0.66%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0054	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.765	-0.68%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0140	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7368	-0.74%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0044	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.9689	-0.83%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0192	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.9055	-1.16%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0492	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	18.0065	-0.98%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0095	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.4008	-0.53%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0524	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.1996	-0.65%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0128	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.1787	-0.69%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0037	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.2712	-0.73%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0078	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.1638	-0.91%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0084	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.5678	-1.02%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0421	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	18.1823	-1.48%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0282	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.9938	-0.59%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1005	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.4959	-0.57%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0349	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.7683	-0.62%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0165	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	17.0245	-0.65%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0036	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.561	-0.64%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0340	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.6123	-0.55%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0389	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.1929	-0.53%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0389	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.8773	-0.74%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0115	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.3534	-0.63%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1170	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	19.0033	-1.31%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3536	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.9178	-1.58%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0757	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.9182	-1.67%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0115	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.8879	-1.78%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0066	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.8802	-1.95%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0815	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.8499	-2.08%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0113	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.8229	-2.25%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0338	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	18.0849	-2.34%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0614	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.9481	-2.53%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0148	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	17.8206	-3.35%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.0799	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	18.1399	-2.02%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0208	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.4485	-1.71%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.7083	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.4611	-1.77%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.0703	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	18.1108	-1.46%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6603	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.9389	-1.98%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5324	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.9364	-1.98%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.1072	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.9409	-2.04%	4.016	-0.17%	0.2053	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.9368	-2.07%	4.023	+0.07%	0.0271	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.9811	-2.01%	4.02	-34.14%	0.3324	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.5531	-0.56%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9508	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.9005	-0.59%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0344	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.9108	-0.77%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0202	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.4555	-0.60%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0497	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.3779	-0.45%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3808	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	40.2796	-0.96%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3880	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.6997	-0.46%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0554	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	40.2892	-0.67%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0517	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	51.3887	-1.98%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2453	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.5207	-0.37%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5574	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.5784	-0.62%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0685	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.4584	-0.83%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0421	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	30.1641	-1.26%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0510	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	30.0667	-1.78%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0128	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	30.214	-1.10%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0127	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	30.177	-1.30%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0152	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	29.9574	-2.22%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0197	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	5.0576	-2.06%	30.638	+493.30%	1.8085	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.284	-1.34%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7691	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	30.1581	-1.88%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0195	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.2755	-2.04%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0211	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	30.095	-2.28%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0412	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	30.1955	-2.19%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0207	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.4401	-1.48%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0138	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.