MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s2

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

159

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

62.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0856

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0079

actual -0.0435

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.042046	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.042495	-1.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.043169	-2.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042921	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.04429	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.045685	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.044326	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.044551	-2.54%	0.04289	-6.17%	0.0594	✓	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.043184	-2.76%	0.043355	-2.38%	0.0071	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.042545	-2.55%	0.04405	+0.89%	0.0329	✗	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.045289	-3.08%	0.043835	-6.20%	0.0013	✓	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.041874	-2.69%	0.045285	+5.24%	0.1061	✗	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.040411	-2.55%	0.046835	+12.94%	0.1665	✗	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.040035	-2.39%	0.04549	+10.91%	0.1199	✗	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.043166	-2.66%	0.04571	+3.08%	0.0875	✗	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.045001	-2.68%	0.04441	-3.96%	0.0289	✗	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.048631	-2.82%	0.04366	-12.75%	0.0378	✓	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047846	-2.66%	0.04673	-4.93%	0.0250	✓	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.048519	-2.91%	0.04303	-13.90%	0.0878	✓	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.045	-2.85%	0.04147	-10.47%	0.0471	✓	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.04828	-3.70%	0.041015	-18.19%	0.1076	✓	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040842	-2.22%	0.044345	+6.16%	0.0871	✗	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.041084	-2.13%	0.04624	+10.15%	0.0856	✗	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.041327	-2.08%	0.05004	+18.56%	0.1524	✗	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.043028	-1.99%	0.049155	+11.97%	0.0987	✗	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043937	-1.99%	0.049975	+11.48%	0.1232	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.045557	-2.08%	0.04632	-0.44%	0.0095	✓	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.044113	-1.77%	0.050135	+11.63%	0.1200	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042963	-1.53%	0.04177	-4.26%	0.0138	✓	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045886	-1.42%	0.04198	-9.81%	0.0445	✓	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044781	-1.09%	0.042205	-6.78%	0.0031	✓	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.042262	-1.69%	0.0439	+2.12%	0.0245	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.041701	-1.61%	0.04483	+5.77%	0.0122	✓	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.040271	-1.49%	0.046525	+13.81%	0.0846	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.034773	-1.47%	0.04491	+27.26%	0.1155	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.034051	-1.36%	0.04363	+26.39%	0.1061	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.033657	-1.24%	0.046545	+36.58%	0.1564	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.035377	-0.93%	0.045275	+26.79%	0.1171	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.035154	-0.89%	0.04299	+21.20%	0.1305	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036847	-0.62%	0.042385	+14.32%	0.0767	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.037543	-0.22%	0.04088	+8.65%	0.0269	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.037004	+0.38%	0.03529	-4.27%	0.0441	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.039076	+1.11%	0.03452	-10.67%	0.0867	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.042749	+1.43%	0.03408	-19.14%	0.1756	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.04114	+2.41%	0.03571	-11.10%	0.1251	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.040841	+3.19%	0.03547	-10.38%	0.0755	✗	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.041505	+3.37%	0.037075	-7.66%	0.0655	✗	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.04005	+3.78%	0.037625	-2.50%	0.0159	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.041598	+3.81%	0.036865	-8.00%	0.0318	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.038074	+3.77%	0.038645	+5.33%	0.0037	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.038708	+3.39%	0.042145	+12.57%	0.0650	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.03923	+3.40%	0.04017	+5.88%	0.0141	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.037724	+2.80%	0.03958	+7.86%	0.0012	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.039202	+2.06%	0.04015	+4.53%	0.0036	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037996	+1.57%	0.03859	+3.15%	0.0162	✗	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.039807	+1.73%	0.04007	+2.40%	0.0101	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.039836	+0.82%	0.03669	-7.14%	0.0520	✗	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.039049	+0.38%	0.03744	-3.75%	0.0220	✗	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.040223	+0.08%	0.03794	-5.60%	0.0512	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.042543	-0.74%	0.036695	-14.38%	0.1467	✓	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.039894	-0.86%	0.03841	-4.55%	0.0593	✓	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.0421	-0.90%	0.03741	-11.94%	0.1094	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037238	-1.51%	0.03913	+3.49%	0.0772	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.034269	-1.78%	0.03951	+13.24%	0.0330	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031605	-1.39%	0.0389	+21.37%	0.0520	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031735	-1.44%	0.04019	+24.81%	0.0356	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.031047	-1.59%	0.04286	+35.85%	0.0362	✗	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030769	-1.47%	0.04024	+28.85%	0.0032	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030704	-1.43%	0.04248	+36.37%	0.0299	✗	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.032173	-1.48%	0.03781	+15.79%	0.0307	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032711	-1.53%	0.03489	+5.03%	0.0572	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.032498	-1.94%	0.03205	-3.29%	0.0384	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.035687	-1.96%	0.0322	-11.54%	0.1149	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.035062	-2.55%	0.03155	-12.31%	0.0611	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.035302	-2.39%	0.03123	-13.65%	0.0808	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.034451	-2.35%	0.03115	-11.71%	0.0585	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034737	-2.29%	0.032655	-8.14%	0.0431	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.035059	-2.80%	0.03322	-7.90%	0.0274	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034991	-2.37%	0.03314	-7.53%	0.0428	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.036083	-1.65%	0.0364	-0.79%	0.0013	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035957	-1.52%	0.03598	-1.45%	0.0295	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035956	-1.49%	0.036165	-0.92%	0.0425	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.036039	-1.37%	0.03528	-3.45%	0.0677	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.036607	-1.06%	0.03555	-3.92%	0.0192	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.036023	-1.02%	0.03607	-0.89%	0.0138	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.039095	-1.20%	0.03584	-9.43%	0.0913	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.039248	-1.19%	0.03669	-7.63%	0.0625	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.042696	-1.28%	0.03651	-15.58%	0.1181	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.04198	-1.28%	0.0365	-14.17%	0.1076	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042907	-1.34%	0.03654	-15.98%	0.1340	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.042687	-1.11%	0.037	-14.28%	0.1361	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.043275	-0.95%	0.036395	-16.70%	0.1269	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.043	-0.83%	0.03957	-8.74%	0.0268	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.042422	-0.84%	0.03972	-7.15%	0.0334	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.043624	-0.97%	0.04325	-1.82%	0.0227	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.044099	-0.86%	0.042525	-4.40%	0.0256	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042946	-0.82%	0.04349	+0.44%	0.0085	✗	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.045656	-0.96%	0.043165	-6.37%	0.0836	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.047563	-0.96%	0.04369	-9.03%	0.1138	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.048566	-0.97%	0.04336	-11.58%	0.1454	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.046642	-1.31%	0.04278	-9.48%	0.1509	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.045596	-1.08%	0.04405	-4.44%	0.0558	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.046225	-0.98%	0.04448	-4.71%	0.0616	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.047059	-0.78%	0.0433	-8.71%	0.0779	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.047608	-0.73%	0.0461	-3.88%	0.0459	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046985	-0.73%	0.048025	+1.47%	0.0352	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049963	-0.71%	0.04904	-2.54%	0.0563	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.049134	-0.56%	0.04726	-4.35%	0.0014	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.051002	-0.62%	0.046095	-10.18%	0.1048	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.052061	-0.68%	0.04668	-10.95%	0.1252	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.050694	-0.66%	0.04743	-7.05%	0.1039	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.049234	-0.68%	0.04796	-3.25%	0.0657	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044948	-0.43%	0.04733	+4.85%	0.0008	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045175	-0.12%	0.05032	+11.25%	0.0017	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047879	-0.44%	0.04941	+2.74%	0.0540	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045536	-0.34%	0.05132	+12.32%	0.0298	✗	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.0471	-0.32%	0.05242	+10.94%	0.0382	✗	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.04659	-0.26%	0.05103	+9.25%	0.0360	✗	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046358	-0.33%	0.04957	+6.58%	0.0278	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.050439	-0.49%	0.04514	-10.95%	0.0891	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.055027	-0.87%	0.04523	-18.52%	0.1108	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.055323	-0.90%	0.04809	-13.86%	0.0617	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.055916	-1.00%	0.04569	-19.10%	0.1227	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.054163	-0.98%	0.04725	-13.62%	0.0443	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.056356	-1.20%	0.04671	-18.11%	0.1109	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.061145	-1.65%	0.04651	-25.19%	0.1998	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.056305	-1.41%	0.05069	-11.24%	0.0180	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.056329	-2.02%	0.05551	-3.44%	0.0599	✗	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.058654	-2.70%	0.055825	-7.39%	0.0078	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.060628	-3.57%	0.05648	-10.16%	0.0085	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.060245	-3.93%	0.0547	-12.77%	0.0913	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.046169	-1.03%	0.05704	+22.27%	0.2128	✗	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.045792	-0.65%	0.06217	+34.89%	0.3202	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.042383	-0.32%	0.05711	+34.31%	0.2417	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.04674	-0.99%	0.05749	+21.78%	0.1334	✗	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.049667	-0.86%	0.06028	+20.32%	0.1349	✗	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.048408	-0.15%	0.06287	+29.68%	0.2175	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.045051	+1.01%	0.06271	+40.61%	0.2756	✓	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.046973	+1.87%	0.04665	+1.17%	0.0457	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.050698	+0.25%	0.04609	-8.86%	0.0919	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.054044	-0.45%	0.04252	-21.68%	0.2024	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.054317	-0.45%	0.04721	-13.47%	0.0546	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.05886	-0.46%	0.0501	-15.27%	0.0032	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.061569	+0.98%	0.04848	-20.49%	0.0059	✓	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.063739	+1.08%	0.0446	-29.27%	0.0586	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.062973	+2.19%	0.04611	-25.18%	0.1276	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.064928	+2.41%	0.05057	-20.24%	0.1083	✗	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.068954	+2.11%	0.05429	-19.61%	0.0903	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.069275	+2.33%	0.05456	-19.41%	0.1099	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.074271	+0.48%	0.05913	-20.00%	0.1481	✗	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.077868	+0.63%	0.06097	-21.21%	0.1994	✗	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.080794	+0.80%	0.06306	-21.32%	0.2095	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.081869	+1.93%	0.061625	-23.28%	0.2561	✗	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.086518	-0.55%	0.0634	-27.13%	0.2575	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.082519	+1.12%	0.06753	-17.25%	0.1588	✗	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.082874	+2.16%	0.0677	-16.54%	0.1899	✗	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.087084	+1.26%	0.073915	-14.05%	0.1679	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.090033	+0.10%	0.07738	-13.96%	0.1459	✗	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.091695	-1.12%	0.08015	-13.57%	0.1158	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.097574	-2.68%	0.08032	-19.89%	0.1478	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.102315	-2.91%	0.087	-17.44%	0.1176	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.100453	-2.82%	0.081605	-21.06%	0.1847	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.106703	-2.79%	0.08112	-26.10%	0.2268	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.115519	-2.57%	0.086	-27.47%	0.2348	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.123704	-2.53%	0.08994	-29.14%	0.2587	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.121963	-2.83%	0.09273	-26.12%	0.2419	✓	1.00