MEGA

MegaETH · Megaeth · lstm_s2

token id: #156
symbol: MEGA
variant: –
chain: Megaeth
address: 0x28b7e77f82b25b95953825f1e3ea0e36c1c29861
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-30
predictions: 498

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

136

of 166 predictions shown

direction hit

81.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1811

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0277

actual -0.1624

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04289	0.04126	-3.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.043355	0.041697	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.04405	0.042358	-3.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-18	oos	0.043835	0.042104	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.045285	0.043427	-4.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.046835	0.044787	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-15	oos	0.04549	0.043434	-4.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-14	oos	0.04571	0.043617	-4.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-13	oos	0.04441	0.042271	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.04366	0.041602	-4.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.04673	0.044424	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.04303	0.040975	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.04147	0.039527	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.041015	0.039177	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-07	oos	0.044345	0.04233	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-06	oos	0.04624	0.044187	-4.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-05	oos	0.05004	0.047766	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-04	oos	0.049155	0.047033	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-10-03	oos	0.049975	0.047695	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.04632	0.044277	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.050135	0.047691	-4.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.04177	0.040113	-3.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-09-29	oos	0.04198	0.040346	-3.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-28	oos	0.042205	0.040578	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.0439	0.042245	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-09-26	oos	0.04483	0.043138	-3.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.046525	0.044729	-3.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.04491	0.0433	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.04363	0.042168	-3.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.46
2026-09-22	oos	0.046545	0.045155	-2.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-09-21	oos	0.045275	0.044192	-2.39%	0.04289	-5.27%	0.0402	✗	1.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.04299	0.04145	-3.58%	0.043355	+0.85%	0.0110	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	0.042385	0.040913	-3.47%	0.04405	+3.93%	0.0623	✗	1.56
2026-09-18	oos	0.04088	0.039527	-3.31%	0.043835	+7.23%	0.0822	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.03529	0.03411	-3.34%	0.045285	+28.32%	0.1939	✗	1.40
2026-09-16	oos	0.03452	0.033387	-3.28%	0.046835	+35.67%	0.2446	✗	1.38
2026-09-15	oos	0.03408	0.032956	-3.30%	0.04549	+33.48%	0.2163	✗	1.28
2026-09-14	oos	0.03571	0.034721	-2.77%	0.04571	+28.00%	0.2212	✗	1.27
2026-09-13	oos	0.03547	0.034453	-2.87%	0.04441	+25.20%	0.1529	✗	1.28
2026-09-12	oos	0.037075	0.036121	-2.57%	0.04366	+17.76%	0.1183	✗	1.26
2026-09-11	oos	0.037625	0.036759	-2.30%	0.04673	+24.20%	0.1389	✗	1.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.036865	0.036118	-2.03%	0.04303	+16.72%	0.0666	✗	1.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.038645	0.038167	-1.24%	0.04147	+7.31%	0.0116	✓	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.042145	0.041706	-1.04%	0.041015	-2.68%	0.0724	✓	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.04017	0.04007	-0.25%	0.044345	+10.39%	0.0285	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.03958	0.039834	+0.64%	0.04624	+16.83%	0.0580	✓	1.45
2026-09-05	oos	0.04015	0.040498	+0.87%	0.05004	+24.63%	0.1081	✓	1.45
2026-09-04	oos	0.03859	0.039028	+1.13%	0.049155	+27.38%	0.1088	✓	1.48
2026-09-03	oos	0.04007	0.040874	+2.01%	0.049975	+24.72%	0.1388	✓	1.48
2026-09-02	oos	0.03669	0.037017	+0.89%	0.04632	+26.25%	0.0922	✓	1.48
2026-09-01	oos	0.03744	0.037778	+0.90%	0.050135	+33.91%	0.1459	✓	1.49
2026-08-31	oos	0.03794	0.038362	+1.11%	0.04177	+10.09%	0.0028	✓	1.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.036695	0.036979	+0.77%	0.04198	+14.40%	0.0244	✓	1.38
2026-08-29	oos	0.03841	0.038888	+1.24%	0.042205	+9.88%	0.0061	✓	1.36
2026-08-28	oos	0.03741	0.037881	+1.26%	0.0439	+17.35%	0.0363	✓	1.36
2026-08-27	oos	0.03913	0.040293	+2.97%	0.04483	+14.57%	0.0380	✓	1.37
2026-08-26	oos	0.03951	0.040596	+2.75%	0.046525	+17.75%	0.0508	✓	1.38
2026-08-25	oos	0.0389	0.040019	+2.88%	0.04491	+15.45%	0.0155	✓	1.39
2026-08-24	oos	0.04019	0.041615	+3.55%	0.04363	+8.56%	0.0431	✗	1.37
2026-08-23	oos	0.04286	0.043904	+2.44%	0.046545	+8.60%	0.0889	✗	1.42
2026-08-22	oos	0.04024	0.041102	+2.14%	0.045275	+12.51%	0.0677	✗	1.41
2026-08-21	oos	0.04248	0.044032	+3.65%	0.04299	+1.20%	0.0736	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.03781	0.037669	-0.37%	0.042385	+12.10%	0.0247	✓	1.34
2026-08-19	oos	0.03489	0.03366	-3.53%	0.04088	+17.17%	0.0118	✓	1.33
2026-08-18	oos	0.03205	0.031013	-3.24%	0.03529	+10.11%	0.0928	✓	1.34
2026-08-17	oos	0.0322	0.031145	-3.28%	0.03452	+7.20%	0.1199	✓	1.34
2026-08-16	oos	0.03155	0.030446	-3.50%	0.03408	+8.02%	0.1359	✓	1.35
2026-08-15	oos	0.03123	0.030176	-3.38%	0.03571	+14.35%	0.1226	✓	1.35
2026-08-14	oos	0.03115	0.030112	-3.33%	0.03547	+13.87%	0.1044	✓	1.35
2026-08-13	oos	0.032655	0.031557	-3.36%	0.037075	+13.54%	0.1082	✓	1.36
2026-08-12	oos	0.03322	0.032076	-3.44%	0.037625	+13.26%	0.1103	✓	1.37
2026-08-11	oos	0.03314	0.031827	-3.96%	0.036865	+11.24%	0.1079	✓	1.37
2026-08-10	oos	0.0364	0.034975	-3.92%	0.038645	+6.17%	0.1786	✓	1.37
2026-08-09	oos	0.03598	0.034345	-4.55%	0.042145	+17.13%	0.0637	✓	1.41
2026-08-08	oos	0.036165	0.03459	-4.36%	0.04017	+11.07%	0.1300	✓	1.41
2026-08-07	oos	0.03528	0.033746	-4.35%	0.03958	+12.19%	0.1411	✓	1.41
2026-08-06	oos	0.03555	0.034015	-4.32%	0.04015	+12.94%	0.1420	✓	1.42
2026-08-05	oos	0.03607	0.034292	-4.93%	0.03859	+6.99%	0.1804	✓	1.42
2026-08-04	oos	0.03584	0.034249	-4.44%	0.04007	+11.80%	0.1825	✓	1.43
2026-08-03	oos	0.03669	0.035376	-3.58%	0.03669	+0.00%	0.2460	✓	1.43
2026-08-02	oos	0.03651	0.035277	-3.38%	0.03744	+2.55%	0.2245	✓	1.43
2026-08-01	oos	0.0365	0.035286	-3.33%	0.03794	+3.95%	0.2502	✓	1.44
2026-07-31	oos	0.03654	0.035396	-3.13%	0.036695	+0.42%	0.2681	✓	1.43
2026-07-30	oos	0.037	0.035965	-2.80%	0.03841	+3.81%	0.2064	✓	1.44
2026-07-29	oos	0.036395	0.035409	-2.71%	0.03741	+2.79%	0.2151	✓	1.37
2026-07-28	oos	0.03957	0.038427	-2.89%	0.03913	-1.11%	0.2966	✓	1.37
2026-07-27	oos	0.03972	0.038591	-2.84%	0.03951	-0.53%	0.2728	✓	1.37
2026-07-26	oos	0.04325	0.041933	-3.04%	0.0389	-10.06%	0.3222	✓	1.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.042525	0.041248	-3.00%	0.04019	-5.49%	0.3014	✓	1.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.04349	0.042153	-3.08%	0.04286	-1.45%	0.2423	✓	1.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.043165	0.041918	-2.89%	0.04024	-6.78%	0.2712	✓	1.36
2026-07-22	oos	0.04369	0.042477	-2.78%	0.04248	-2.77%	0.2329	✓	1.37
2026-07-21	oos	0.04336	0.042201	-2.67%	0.03781	-12.80%	0.2381	✓	1.38
2026-07-20	oos	0.04278	0.041645	-2.65%	0.03489	-18.44%	0.2606	✓	1.38
2026-07-19	oos	0.04405	0.042828	-2.77%	0.03205	-27.24%	0.2899	✓	1.39
2026-07-18	oos	0.04448	0.043278	-2.70%	0.0322	-27.61%	0.2888	✓	1.39
2026-07-17	oos	0.0433	0.042166	-2.62%	0.03155	-27.14%	0.2671	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0461	0.044814	-2.79%	0.03123	-32.26%	0.3448	✓	1.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.048025	0.046662	-2.84%	0.03115	-35.14%	0.3665	✓	1.38
2026-07-14	oos	0.04904	0.047632	-2.87%	0.032655	-33.41%	0.3440	✓	1.38
2026-07-13	oos	0.04726	0.045796	-3.10%	0.03322	-29.71%	0.3465	✓	1.39
2026-07-12	oos	0.046095	0.044747	-2.92%	0.03314	-28.11%	0.2955	✓	1.45
2026-07-11	oos	0.04668	0.045363	-2.82%	0.0364	-22.02%	0.2233	✓	1.45
2026-07-10	oos	0.04743	0.046171	-2.65%	0.03598	-24.14%	0.2656	✓	1.45
2026-07-09	oos	0.04796	0.046715	-2.60%	0.036165	-24.59%	0.2957	✓	1.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.04733	0.046118	-2.56%	0.03528	-25.46%	0.3289	✓	1.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.05032	0.049005	-2.61%	0.03555	-29.35%	0.3424	✓	1.45
2026-07-06	oos	0.04941	0.048179	-2.49%	0.03607	-27.00%	0.3032	✓	1.46
2026-07-05	oos	0.05132	0.050016	-2.54%	0.03584	-30.16%	0.3441	✓	1.48
2026-07-04	oos	0.05242	0.051067	-2.58%	0.03669	-30.01%	0.3396	✓	1.49
2026-07-03	oos	0.05103	0.049751	-2.51%	0.03651	-28.45%	0.3323	✓	1.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.04957	0.048366	-2.43%	0.0365	-26.37%	0.3115	✓	1.46
2026-07-01	oos	0.04514	0.044316	-1.82%	0.03654	-19.05%	0.2567	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.04523	0.045004	-0.50%	0.037	-18.20%	0.3358	✓	1.39
2026-06-29	oos	0.04809	0.047298	-1.65%	0.036395	-24.32%	0.3452	✓	1.38
2026-06-28	oos	0.04569	0.045179	-1.12%	0.03957	-13.39%	0.2279	✓	1.34
2026-06-27	oos	0.04725	0.046784	-0.99%	0.03972	-15.94%	0.2454	✓	1.34
2026-06-26	oos	0.04671	0.046444	-0.57%	0.04325	-7.41%	0.1854	✓	1.34
2026-06-25	oos	0.04651	0.046529	+0.04%	0.042525	-8.57%	0.1887	✗	1.33
2026-06-24	oos	0.05069	0.05	-1.36%	0.04349	-14.20%	0.2039	✓	1.30
2026-06-23	oos	0.05551	0.054107	-2.53%	0.043165	-22.24%	0.2732	✓	1.25
2026-06-22	oos	0.055825	0.054325	-2.69%	0.04369	-21.74%	0.2601	✓	1.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.05648	0.054928	-2.75%	0.04336	-23.23%	0.3018	✓	1.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.0547	0.053189	-2.76%	0.04278	-21.79%	0.2382	✓	1.33
2026-06-19	oos	0.05704	0.05536	-2.94%	0.04405	-22.77%	0.2543	✓	1.37
2026-06-18	oos	0.06217	0.060085	-3.35%	0.04448	-28.45%	0.3435	✓	1.42
2026-06-17	oos	0.05711	0.05528	-3.20%	0.0433	-24.18%	0.2307	✓	1.58
2026-06-16	oos	0.05749	0.055271	-3.86%	0.0461	-19.81%	0.1356	✓	1.61
2026-06-15	oos	0.06028	0.057557	-4.52%	0.048025	-20.33%	0.1429	✓	1.60
2026-06-14	oos	0.06287	0.059592	-5.21%	0.04904	-22.00%	0.1770	✓	1.63
2026-06-13	oos	0.06271	0.059232	-5.55%	0.04726	-24.64%	0.1696	✓	1.65
2026-06-12	oos	0.04665	0.045139	-3.24%	0.046095	-1.19%	0.0167	✓	1.34
2026-06-11	oos	0.04609	0.044564	-3.31%	0.04668	+1.28%	0.0420	✗	1.33
2026-06-10	oos	0.04252	0.041449	-2.52%	0.04743	+11.55%	0.0842	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.04721	0.045614	-3.38%	0.04796	+1.59%	0.0217	✓	1.19
2026-06-08	oos	0.0501	0.04805	-4.09%	0.04733	-5.53%	0.0005	✓	1.18
2026-06-07	oos	0.04848	0.046637	-3.80%	0.05032	+3.80%	0.0756	✗	1.18
2026-06-06	oos	0.0446	0.043403	-2.68%	0.04941	+10.78%	0.0809	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.04611	0.044969	-2.48%	0.05132	+11.30%	0.0926	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.05057	0.048681	-3.73%	0.05242	+3.66%	0.0842	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.05429	0.051895	-4.41%	0.05103	-6.00%	0.0049	✓	0.90
2026-06-02	oos	0.05456	0.05223	-4.27%	0.04957	-9.15%	0.0369	✓	1.10
2026-06-01	oos	0.05913	0.056558	-4.35%	0.04514	-23.66%	0.0063	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.06097	0.058066	-4.76%	0.04523	-25.82%	0.1049	✗	1.55
2026-05-30	oos	0.06306	0.059923	-4.97%	0.04809	-23.74%	0.0961	✗	1.55
2026-05-29	oos	0.061625	0.058983	-4.29%	0.04569	-25.86%	0.0454	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.0634	0.060643	-4.35%	0.04725	-25.47%	0.0454	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.06753	0.064146	-5.01%	0.04671	-30.83%	0.1033	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.0677	0.064389	-4.89%	0.04651	-31.30%	0.0862	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.073915	0.069677	-5.73%	0.05069	-31.42%	0.0817	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.07738	0.072843	-5.86%	0.05551	-28.26%	0.0657	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.08015	0.07547	-5.84%	0.055825	-30.35%	0.1204	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.08032	0.076033	-5.34%	0.05648	-29.68%	0.1208	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.087	0.081504	-6.32%	0.0547	-37.13%	0.2103	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.081605	0.077161	-5.45%	0.05704	-30.10%	0.1028	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.08112	0.077084	-4.97%	0.06217	-23.36%	0.0155	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.086	0.081594	-5.12%	0.05711	-33.59%	0.1795	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.08994	0.085218	-5.25%	0.05749	-36.08%	0.2283	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.09273	0.08798	-5.12%	0.06028	-34.99%	0.2139	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.10026	0.095018	-5.23%	0.06287	-37.29%	0.2280	✓	1.00
2026-05-14	oos	0.10538	0.100346	-4.78%	0.06271	-40.49%	0.2403	✓	1.00
2026-05-13	oos	0.10337	0.098244	-4.96%	0.04665	-54.87%	0.5233	✓	1.00
2026-05-12	oos	0.10977	0.104627	-4.69%	0.04609	-58.01%	0.5838	✓	1.00
2026-05-11	oos	0.11857	0.113243	-4.49%	0.04252	-64.14%	0.6943	✓	1.00
2026-05-10	oos	0.12692	0.121227	-4.49%	0.04721	-62.80%	0.6560	✓	1.00
2026-05-09	oos	0.12551	0.119501	-4.79%	0.0501	-60.08%	0.6232	✓	1.00