FOLD
The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #290
- symbol
- FOLD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-25
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
48.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1264
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0318
actual -0.0249
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.04925 | 0.048249 | -2.03% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.05009 | 0.049107 | -1.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.04858 | 0.047776 | -1.66% | – | pending | – | – | 0.85 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.04751 | 0.046989 | -1.10% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.04779 | 0.047279 | -1.07% | – | pending | – | – | 0.83 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.05113 | 0.050209 | -1.80% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.05269 | 0.051658 | -1.96% | – | pending | – | – | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.05285 | 0.051795 | -2.00% | 0.04925 | -6.81% | 0.0721 | ✓ | 0.86 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.05383 | 0.052705 | -2.09% | 0.05009 | -6.95% | 0.0766 | ✓ | 0.87 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.060215 | 0.058673 | -2.56% | 0.04858 | -19.32% | 0.1872 | ✓ | 0.78 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.059405 | 0.057864 | -2.59% | 0.04751 | -20.02% | 0.1980 | ✓ | 0.76 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.06681 | 0.064583 | -3.33% | 0.04779 | -28.47% | 0.2882 | ✓ | 0.64 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.06538 | 0.063323 | -3.15% | 0.05113 | -21.80% | 0.2022 | ✓ | 0.63 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.064485 | 0.062537 | -3.02% | 0.05269 | -18.29% | 0.1634 | ✓ | 0.62 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.06178 | 0.060027 | -2.84% | 0.05285 | -14.45% | 0.1305 | ✓ | 0.60 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.064415 | 0.062375 | -3.17% | 0.05383 | -16.43% | 0.1354 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.06901 | 0.066562 | -3.55% | 0.060215 | -12.74% | 0.0858 | ✓ | 0.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.07369 | 0.070639 | -4.14% | 0.059405 | -19.39% | 0.1501 | ✓ | 0.48 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.0701 | 0.067422 | -3.82% | 0.06681 | -4.69% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 0.53 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.072825 | 0.069445 | -4.64% | 0.06538 | -10.22% | 0.0478 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.06417 | 0.061767 | -3.74% | 0.064485 | +0.49% | 0.0563 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.067655 | 0.064796 | -4.23% | 0.06178 | -8.68% | 0.0268 | ✓ | 0.55 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069015 | 0.065709 | -4.79% | 0.064415 | -6.67% | 0.0180 | ✓ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.066025 | 0.063048 | -4.51% | 0.06901 | +4.52% | 0.0774 | ✗ | 0.58 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.061035 | 0.058468 | -4.21% | 0.07369 | +20.73% | 0.2159 | ✗ | 0.57 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.06903 | 0.065404 | -5.25% | 0.0701 | +1.55% | 0.0579 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.066875 | 0.063327 | -5.31% | 0.072825 | +8.90% | 0.1379 | ✗ | 0.48 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.058715 | 0.055953 | -4.70% | 0.06417 | +9.29% | 0.1347 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.0597 | 0.056751 | -4.94% | 0.067655 | +13.32% | 0.1732 | ✗ | 0.47 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.05971 | 0.05666 | -5.11% | 0.069015 | +15.58% | 0.2071 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.060325 | 0.057179 | -5.22% | 0.066025 | +9.45% | 0.1740 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.06106 | 0.057777 | -5.38% | 0.061035 | -0.04% | 0.0918 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.062015 | 0.058546 | -5.59% | 0.06903 | +11.31% | 0.1248 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.07045 | 0.065567 | -6.93% | 0.066875 | -5.07% | 0.0187 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.066755 | 0.062268 | -6.72% | 0.058715 | -12.04% | 0.0978 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.0641 | 0.059839 | -6.65% | 0.0597 | -6.86% | 0.1024 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.05471 | 0.052312 | -4.38% | 0.05971 | +9.14% | 0.0296 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.043735 | 0.04338 | -0.81% | 0.060325 | +37.93% | 0.1984 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.049085 | 0.048135 | -1.94% | 0.06106 | +24.40% | 0.1356 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.04818 | 0.047565 | -1.28% | 0.062015 | +28.72% | 0.2101 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.050545 | 0.049849 | -1.38% | 0.07045 | +39.38% | 0.2958 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.051095 | 0.050575 | -1.02% | 0.066755 | +30.65% | 0.2312 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.05233 | 0.051871 | -0.88% | 0.0641 | +22.49% | 0.2141 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.05138 | 0.051179 | -0.39% | 0.05471 | +6.48% | 0.0944 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.05349 | 0.053322 | -0.31% | 0.043735 | -18.24% | 0.1610 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.05533 | 0.055279 | -0.09% | 0.049085 | -11.29% | 0.1072 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.05607 | 0.056244 | +0.31% | 0.04818 | -14.07% | 0.1097 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.055135 | 0.055432 | +0.54% | 0.050545 | -8.33% | 0.0596 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.05539 | 0.055883 | +0.89% | 0.051095 | -7.75% | 0.0581 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.059025 | 0.0597 | +1.14% | 0.05233 | -11.34% | 0.0718 | ✗ | 1.00 |