FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 150

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 50 predictions shown

direction hit

49.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0473

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0051

actual -0.0047

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.04925	0.049084	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-21	oos	0.05009	0.049938	-0.30%	0.04925	-1.68%	0.0159	✓	0.87
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.04849	-0.19%	0.05009	+3.11%	0.0214	✗	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047508	-0.00%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0112	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047796	+0.01%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0043	✗	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.051024	-0.21%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0720	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052555	-0.26%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0262	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052709	-0.27%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0062	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053672	-0.29%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0213	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059929	-0.47%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0929	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.059118	-0.48%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0058	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.066301	-0.76%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0949	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064954	-0.65%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0224	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.064103	-0.59%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0170	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061461	-0.52%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0418	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.064015	-0.62%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0245	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.06849	-0.75%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0480	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072985	-0.96%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0548	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069509	-0.84%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0631	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.072008	-1.12%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0387	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063682	-0.76%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1326	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.067038	-0.91%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0415	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.068251	-1.11%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0174	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.065378	-0.98%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0547	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060503	-0.87%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0861	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.06816	-1.26%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1047	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.066028	-1.27%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0442	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.058127	-1.00%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1384	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.059073	-1.05%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0044	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.059072	-1.07%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0105	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.05967	-1.08%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0220	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.060384	-1.11%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0036	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.0613	-1.15%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0687	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.069178	-1.81%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1084	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065616	-1.71%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0667	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.063008	-1.70%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.054296	-0.76%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1633	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043848	+0.26%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2139	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.049091	+0.01%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0818	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048257	+0.16%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0007	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050616	+0.14%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0433	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051209	+0.22%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0137	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052459	+0.25%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0351	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051556	+0.34%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0375	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053678	+0.35%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0417	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055543	+0.39%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0295	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056324	+0.45%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0022	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055401	+0.48%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0057	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055683	+0.53%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0119	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059344	+0.54%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0492	✗	1.00