FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0480

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0041

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047695	-0.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.04856	-0.04%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0150	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047554	+0.09%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0102	✓	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047849	+0.12%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0054	✗	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.05111	-0.04%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0737	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052637	-0.10%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0278	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052776	-0.14%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0050	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053723	-0.20%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0223	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059868	-0.58%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0918	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.059103	-0.51%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0060	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.066246	-0.84%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0940	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064734	-0.99%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0258	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.063941	-0.84%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0195	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061343	-0.71%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0438	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063917	-0.77%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0230	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068532	-0.69%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0486	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.073127	-0.76%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0568	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069601	-0.71%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0617	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.072202	-0.86%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0414	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063699	-0.73%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1323	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.067128	-0.78%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0428	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.068372	-0.93%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0192	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.065401	-0.95%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0544	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060479	-0.91%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0865	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.068436	-0.86%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1087	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.066256	-0.93%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0408	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.058161	-0.94%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1378	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.059189	-0.86%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0064	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.059308	-0.67%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0065	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.060041	-0.47%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0158	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.060854	-0.34%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0041	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.061209	-1.30%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0672	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.069557	-1.27%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1139	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065782	-1.46%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0641	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.063089	-1.58%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0011	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.054263	-0.82%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1639	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043953	+0.50%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2115	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048994	-0.19%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0798	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048248	+0.14%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050564	+0.04%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0423	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051158	+0.12%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0128	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052398	+0.13%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0339	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051552	+0.33%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0376	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053722	+0.43%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0425	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055654	+0.58%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0315	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056448	+0.67%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0044	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055537	+0.73%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055833	+0.80%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0146	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059422	+0.67%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0505	✗	1.00