ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s2

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0631

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0048

actual -0.0072

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.315659	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.341958	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.316346	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.312062	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.319759	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.306175	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.319457	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.292526	-1.04%	0.31945	+8.07%	0.0698	✗	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.306619	-1.41%	0.3475	+11.74%	0.1277	✗	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.317058	-1.38%	0.32025	-0.39%	0.0085	✓	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.320704	-1.70%	0.31585	-3.19%	0.0105	✓	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.320706	-1.68%	0.32405	-0.66%	0.0345	✗	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.29043	-1.28%	0.3098	+5.30%	0.0810	✗	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.30342	-1.36%	0.3241	+5.36%	0.0591	✗	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.293391	-1.48%	0.2956	-0.74%	0.0350	✗	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.315577	-1.74%	0.311	-3.16%	0.0225	✗	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.308702	-1.62%	0.3215	+2.45%	0.1016	✗	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.319191	-1.62%	0.32625	+0.55%	0.0639	✗	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.301556	-1.52%	0.3262	+6.53%	0.1059	✗	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.320028	-1.68%	0.2942	-9.62%	0.0548	✓	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.323924	-1.68%	0.3076	-6.63%	0.0044	✓	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.325629	-1.74%	0.2978	-10.14%	0.0851	✓	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.329976	-1.76%	0.32115	-4.39%	0.0552	✓	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.318328	-1.63%	0.3138	-3.03%	0.0487	✓	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.325864	-1.58%	0.32445	-2.01%	0.0352	✓	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.322845	-1.51%	0.3062	-6.59%	0.0579	✓	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.333362	-1.59%	0.3255	-3.91%	0.0302	✓	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.334446	-1.52%	0.32945	-2.99%	0.0221	✓	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.342364	-1.56%	0.3314	-4.72%	0.0200	✓	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.337065	-0.95%	0.3359	-1.29%	0.0364	✗	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.321429	-0.62%	0.3236	+0.05%	0.0551	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.2742	-0.98%	0.3311	+19.57%	0.1421	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.278821	-1.00%	0.3278	+16.39%	0.1171	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.283047	-1.08%	0.33875	+18.38%	0.1345	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.251236	-0.78%	0.3396	+34.12%	0.1951	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.247473	-0.65%	0.3478	+39.62%	0.2315	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.241003	-0.43%	0.3403	+40.59%	0.2060	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.266982	-0.60%	0.32345	+20.42%	0.0908	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.258731	-0.37%	0.2769	+6.62%	0.0133	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.260687	+0.03%	0.28165	+8.08%	0.0276	✓	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.256319	+0.56%	0.28615	+12.26%	0.0640	✓	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.257477	+0.58%	0.2532	-1.09%	0.0143	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.254073	+1.87%	0.2491	-0.12%	0.0087	✓	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.258244	+2.40%	0.24205	-4.02%	0.0260	✗	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.228792	+3.29%	0.2686	+21.26%	0.1731	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.271393	+2.57%	0.2597	-1.85%	0.0003	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.266688	+2.85%	0.2606	+0.50%	0.0086	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.261384	+2.99%	0.2549	+0.43%	0.0046	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.271011	+2.89%	0.256	-2.81%	0.0008	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.26612	+2.14%	0.2494	-4.28%	0.0775	✗	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.256551	+1.97%	0.2522	+0.24%	0.0308	✗	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.262645	+1.64%	0.2215	-14.28%	0.1774	✗	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.250796	+1.58%	0.2646	+7.17%	0.0188	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.254124	+1.37%	0.2593	+3.43%	0.0003	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.25814	+0.72%	0.2538	-0.98%	0.0406	✗	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.261719	+1.21%	0.2634	+1.86%	0.0063	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.263792	+0.49%	0.26055	-0.74%	0.0106	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.263065	+0.25%	0.2516	-4.12%	0.0293	✗	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.267621	+0.12%	0.2584	-3.33%	0.0294	✗	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.266248	-0.17%	0.2469	-7.42%	0.0746	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.269855	-0.39%	0.2507	-7.46%	0.0897	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.266989	-0.19%	0.2563	-4.19%	0.0342	✓	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.240805	-0.86%	0.2586	+6.46%	0.0253	✓	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.213905	-0.74%	0.2625	+21.81%	0.0887	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.20032	-0.54%	0.2624	+30.29%	0.1033	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.201479	-0.55%	0.2673	+31.93%	0.1082	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.20382	-0.62%	0.2667	+30.03%	0.0791	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.201325	-0.58%	0.2709	+33.78%	0.1176	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.2057	-0.63%	0.2675	+29.23%	0.0673	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.20768	-0.63%	0.2429	+16.22%	0.0287	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.214365	-0.71%	0.2155	-0.19%	0.0746	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.219875	-0.78%	0.2014	-9.12%	0.1036	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.235744	-1.03%	0.2026	-14.95%	0.1592	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.233472	-0.99%	0.2051	-13.02%	0.1014	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.236296	-1.05%	0.2025	-15.20%	0.1280	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.233217	-1.01%	0.207	-12.14%	0.0927	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.231699	-1.03%	0.209	-10.72%	0.0914	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.223313	-0.88%	0.2159	-4.17%	0.0172	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.220067	-0.87%	0.2216	-0.18%	0.0142	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.214429	-0.82%	0.2382	+10.18%	0.0990	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.212368	-0.81%	0.2358	+10.14%	0.0857	✗	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.200671	-0.66%	0.2388	+18.22%	0.1445	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.203191	-0.69%	0.2356	+15.15%	0.1197	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.20596	-0.65%	0.2341	+12.93%	0.1343	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.206988	-0.68%	0.2253	+8.11%	0.0749	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.206051	-0.65%	0.222	+7.04%	0.0717	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.199612	-0.54%	0.2162	+7.72%	0.0830	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.207417	-0.52%	0.2141	+2.69%	0.0567	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.213957	-0.62%	0.202	-6.18%	0.0357	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.214967	-0.62%	0.2046	-5.41%	0.0317	✓	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.219037	-0.57%	0.2073	-5.90%	0.0505	✓	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.217157	-0.43%	0.2084	-4.45%	0.0107	✓	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.222498	-0.45%	0.2074	-7.20%	0.0334	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.218827	-0.44%	0.2007	-8.69%	0.0654	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.219589	-0.46%	0.2085	-5.49%	0.0609	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.220134	-0.44%	0.2153	-2.62%	0.0155	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.220037	-0.48%	0.2163	-2.17%	0.0197	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.218994	-0.46%	0.2203	+0.14%	0.0112	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.21918	-0.37%	0.2181	-0.86%	0.0232	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.21241	-0.23%	0.2235	+4.98%	0.0304	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.209553	-0.36%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0053	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.220678	-0.37%	0.2206	-0.41%	0.0135	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.21948	-0.33%	0.2211	+0.41%	0.0063	✓	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.218339	-0.26%	0.2211	+1.01%	0.0158	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.217581	-0.28%	0.22	+0.82%	0.0028	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.220795	-0.36%	0.22	-0.72%	0.0387	✓	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.220914	-0.26%	0.2129	-3.88%	0.0604	✓	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.222634	-0.21%	0.2103	-5.74%	0.0323	✓	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.215641	-0.12%	0.2215	+2.59%	0.0247	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.212684	-0.10%	0.2202	+3.43%	0.0256	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.212518	-0.13%	0.2189	+2.87%	0.0085	✗	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.20757	-0.16%	0.2182	+4.95%	0.0275	✗	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.202924	-0.23%	0.2216	+8.95%	0.0573	✗	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.190177	-0.12%	0.2215	+16.33%	0.0903	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.201999	-0.25%	0.2231	+10.17%	0.0524	✗	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.202047	-0.32%	0.2159	+6.51%	0.0153	✗	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.204094	-0.34%	0.2129	+3.96%	0.0030	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.20433	-0.38%	0.2128	+3.75%	0.0090	✗	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.211358	-0.49%	0.2079	-2.12%	0.0393	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.218943	-0.53%	0.2034	-7.59%	0.0610	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.220428	-0.48%	0.1904	-14.04%	0.0955	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.220115	-0.40%	0.2025	-8.37%	0.0371	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.216745	-0.44%	0.2027	-6.89%	0.0206	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.21679	-0.37%	0.2048	-5.88%	0.0036	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.213434	-0.40%	0.2051	-4.29%	0.0033	✓	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.212562	-0.44%	0.2124	-0.52%	0.0385	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.219012	-0.36%	0.2201	+0.14%	0.0459	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.224953	-0.29%	0.2215	-1.82%	0.0195	✗	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.232632	-0.29%	0.221	-5.27%	0.0241	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.225785	-0.27%	0.2177	-3.84%	0.0075	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.221304	-0.36%	0.2176	-2.03%	0.0144	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.221077	-0.46%	0.2143	-3.51%	0.0304	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.219573	-0.47%	0.2135	-3.22%	0.0197	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.209544	-0.36%	0.2198	+4.52%	0.0121	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.215188	-0.47%	0.2256	+4.35%	0.0011	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.211597	-0.38%	0.2333	+9.84%	0.0595	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.211897	-0.38%	0.2264	+6.44%	0.0379	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.20943	-0.08%	0.2221	+5.96%	0.0159	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.214069	-0.25%	0.2221	+3.49%	0.0072	✗	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.225818	-0.65%	0.2206	-2.95%	0.0207	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.234904	-0.80%	0.2103	-11.19%	0.0836	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.250903	-0.91%	0.2162	-14.61%	0.1009	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.269223	-0.77%	0.2124	-21.71%	0.1791	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.273812	-0.68%	0.2127	-22.85%	0.1810	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.270302	-0.66%	0.2096	-22.97%	0.1724	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.26174	-0.63%	0.2146	-18.53%	0.1194	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.257854	-0.60%	0.2273	-12.37%	0.0638	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.268386	-0.63%	0.2368	-12.33%	0.0603	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.281996	-0.67%	0.2532	-10.81%	0.0541	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.276605	-0.61%	0.2713	-2.52%	0.0274	✗	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.283331	-0.62%	0.2757	-3.30%	0.0017	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.283308	-0.63%	0.2721	-4.56%	0.0202	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.281552	-0.65%	0.2634	-7.06%	0.0518	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.280001	-0.64%	0.2594	-7.95%	0.0472	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.286844	-0.71%	0.2701	-6.51%	0.0378	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.285527	-0.72%	0.2839	-1.29%	0.0009	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.282966	-0.71%	0.2783	-2.35%	0.0188	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.281484	-0.71%	0.2851	+0.56%	0.0158	✗	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.287116	-0.75%	0.2851	-1.45%	0.0030	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.30176	-0.87%	0.2834	-6.90%	0.0366	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.304912	-0.78%	0.2818	-8.30%	0.0536	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.304514	-0.87%	0.2889	-5.96%	0.0393	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.307152	-0.82%	0.2876	-7.14%	0.0387	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.319405	-0.81%	0.285	-11.49%	0.0788	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.313212	+0.39%	0.2835	-9.13%	0.0643	✗	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.306659	-0.73%	0.2893	-6.35%	0.0393	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.30706	-0.76%	0.3044	-1.62%	0.0004	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.305862	-0.73%	0.3073	-0.26%	0.0031	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.318578	+0.85%	0.3072	-2.75%	0.0171	✗	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.317377	-0.32%	0.3097	-2.73%	0.0216	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.299402	-0.46%	0.322	+7.05%	0.0603	✗	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.296506	-0.70%	0.312	+4.49%	0.0276	✗	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.299032	-0.72%	0.3089	+2.56%	0.0196	✗	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.300105	-0.79%	0.3094	+2.28%	0.0174	✗	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.294095	-0.88%	0.3081	+3.84%	0.0202	✗	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.294301	-0.91%	0.3159	+6.36%	0.0305	✗	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.30151	-0.98%	0.3184	+4.56%	0.0219	✗	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.302111	-0.88%	0.3008	-1.31%	0.0221	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.309699	-0.67%	0.2986	-4.23%	0.0357	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.314115	-0.91%	0.3012	-4.98%	0.0494	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.310224	-0.86%	0.3025	-3.32%	0.0307	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.312985	-0.58%	0.2967	-5.75%	0.0392	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.31729	-0.72%	0.297	-7.07%	0.0483	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.312484	-0.99%	0.3045	-3.52%	0.0257	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.313035	-1.03%	0.3048	-3.64%	0.0376	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.315829	-1.12%	0.3118	-2.38%	0.0496	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.321561	-1.09%	0.317	-2.49%	0.0287	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.327512	-0.96%	0.3129	-5.38%	0.0484	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.31936	-1.04%	0.3148	-2.45%	0.0378	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.313242	-0.94%	0.3196	+1.08%	0.0052	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.308561	-0.88%	0.3156	+1.38%	0.0060	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.304551	-0.83%	0.3163	+3.00%	0.0266	✗	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.298597	-0.77%	0.3194	+6.15%	0.0418	✗	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.31216	-0.84%	0.3251	+3.27%	0.0195	✗	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.303307	-0.72%	0.3307	+8.25%	0.0541	✗	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.29803	-0.62%	0.3227	+7.60%	0.0525	✗	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.298978	-0.61%	0.3162	+5.12%	0.0257	✗	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.297545	-0.55%	0.3113	+4.04%	0.0268	✗	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.297446	-0.62%	0.3071	+2.61%	0.0159	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.29461	-0.57%	0.3009	+1.55%	0.0058	✗	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.294593	-0.64%	0.3148	+6.17%	0.0153	✗	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.284243	-0.54%	0.3055	+6.89%	0.0190	✗	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.28643	-0.58%	0.2999	+4.10%	0.0025	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.292376	-0.59%	0.3008	+2.28%	0.0021	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.278224	-0.42%	0.2992	+7.09%	0.0400	✗	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.27363	-0.46%	0.2993	+8.88%	0.0702	✗	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.269607	-0.48%	0.2963	+9.38%	0.0660	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.278661	-0.55%	0.2965	+5.82%	0.0529	✗	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.284171	-0.60%	0.2858	-0.03%	0.0000	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.288539	-0.47%	0.2881	-0.62%	0.0161	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.293744	-0.29%	0.2941	-0.17%	0.0306	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.292249	-0.32%	0.2794	-4.71%	0.0236	✓	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.295498	-0.30%	0.2749	-7.25%	0.0337	✓	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.284155	-0.47%	0.2709	-5.11%	0.0298	✓	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.287184	-0.39%	0.2802	-2.81%	0.0001	✓	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.288844	-0.23%	0.2859	-1.24%	0.0285	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.29868	-0.27%	0.2899	-3.21%	0.0191	✓	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.3142	-0.19%	0.2946	-6.42%	0.0649	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.329318	+0.04%	0.2932	-10.94%	0.0854	✗	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.335596	+0.15%	0.2964	-11.55%	0.0886	✗	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.326223	+0.04%	0.2855	-12.45%	0.0878	✗	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.316074	-0.01%	0.2883	-8.79%	0.0706	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.323095	-0.03%	0.2895	-10.43%	0.1057	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.316529	+0.01%	0.2995	-5.37%	0.0497	✗	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.318723	+0.01%	0.3148	-1.22%	0.0218	✗	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.321887	-0.00%	0.3292	+2.27%	0.0129	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.321173	-0.01%	0.3351	+4.33%	0.0155	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.325601	+1.37%	0.3261	+1.53%	0.0626	✗	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.321485	+0.81%	0.3161	-0.88%	0.0543	✗	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.320879	+0.31%	0.3232	+1.03%	0.0195	✗	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.315331	+0.17%	0.3165	+0.54%	0.0071	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.324535	+0.26%	0.3187	-1.54%	0.0051	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.331183	+0.15%	0.3219	-2.66%	0.0454	✗	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.337865	+0.08%	0.3212	-4.86%	0.0465	✗	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.347199	+0.43%	0.3212	-7.09%	0.0802	✗	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.355291	-0.06%	0.3189	-10.30%	0.1115	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.34794	+0.18%	0.3199	-7.89%	0.1104	✗	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.354846	-0.18%	0.3148	-11.45%	0.1582	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.358835	-0.30%	0.3237	-10.06%	0.1553	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.317497	+0.32%	0.3307	+4.49%	0.0046	✗	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.298148	+0.35%	0.3376	+13.63%	0.0806	✓	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.295364	+0.40%	0.3457	+17.51%	0.1772	✓	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.304498	+0.13%	0.3555	+16.90%	0.1652	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.305382	+0.09%	0.3473	+13.83%	0.1527	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.311168	+0.12%	0.3555	+14.38%	0.1273	✓	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.320898	+0.03%	0.3599	+12.19%	0.0969	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.328799	-0.15%	0.3165	-3.89%	0.0012	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.328971	-0.16%	0.2971	-9.83%	0.0527	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.331563	-0.19%	0.2942	-11.44%	0.1062	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.373129	-0.45%	0.3041	-18.86%	0.1842	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.368881	-0.52%	0.3051	-17.72%	0.1806	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.360145	-0.54%	0.3108	-14.17%	0.1561	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.358344	-0.63%	0.3208	-11.04%	0.1035	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.377149	-0.70%	0.3293	-13.30%	0.1201	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.381625	-0.72%	0.3295	-14.28%	0.1326	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.391958	-0.90%	0.3322	-16.01%	0.1485	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.396547	-1.11%	0.3748	-6.53%	0.0625	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.402177	-1.26%	0.3708	-8.96%	0.0619	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.354994	-0.34%	0.3621	+1.66%	0.0171	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.361684	-0.83%	0.3606	-1.12%	0.0829	✗	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.362004	-0.79%	0.3798	+4.08%	0.1472	✗	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.355049	-0.63%	0.3844	+7.58%	0.2134	✗	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.344217	-0.46%	0.3955	+14.37%	0.2357	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.360255	-0.62%	0.401	+10.62%	0.2470	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.388184	-0.49%	0.4073	+4.41%	0.2410	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.406127	-0.58%	0.3562	-12.80%	0.1939	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.421813	-0.52%	0.3647	-13.99%	0.0783	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.429171	-0.59%	0.3649	-15.47%	0.0179	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.423463	-0.60%	0.3573	-16.13%	0.0463	✓	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.425518	-0.70%	0.3458	-19.30%	0.0755	✓	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.430706	-0.69%	0.3625	-16.42%	0.0313	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.430027	-0.71%	0.3901	-9.93%	0.0245	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.434349	-0.77%	0.4085	-6.67%	0.0057	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.44503	-0.88%	0.424	-5.57%	0.0457	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.429064	-0.82%	0.4317	-0.21%	0.0049	✓	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.449503	-1.03%	0.426	-6.21%	0.0047	✓	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.458419	-0.97%	0.4285	-7.43%	0.0297	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.4698	-0.89%	0.4337	-8.50%	0.0000	✓	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.47542	-0.85%	0.4331	-9.68%	0.0120	✓	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.486512	-0.85%	0.4377	-10.80%	0.0231	✓	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.506048	-0.91%	0.449	-12.08%	0.0185	✓	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.455911	-0.56%	0.4326	-5.65%	0.0405	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.444918	-0.58%	0.4542	+1.50%	0.0020	✓	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.449942	-0.59%	0.4629	+2.28%	0.0091	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.451373	-0.58%	0.474	+4.41%	0.0152	✓	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.457969	-0.57%	0.4795	+4.10%	0.0266	✓	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.45057	-0.45%	0.4907	+8.42%	0.0208	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.456799	-0.41%	0.5107	+11.34%	0.0266	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.482424	-0.41%	0.4585	-5.35%	0.0755	✓	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.497192	-0.46%	0.4475	-10.41%	0.0647	✓	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.489255	-0.46%	0.4526	-7.91%	0.0682	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.484424	-0.45%	0.454	-6.70%	0.0613	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.489895	-0.49%	0.4606	-6.44%	0.0704	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.48098	-0.46%	0.4526	-6.33%	0.0970	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.464499	-0.41%	0.4587	-1.65%	0.0717	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.493137	-0.56%	0.4844	-2.32%	0.0993	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.473588	-0.51%	0.4995	+4.94%	0.0503	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.475835	-0.49%	0.4915	+2.78%	0.0236	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.430469	-0.24%	0.4866	+12.77%	0.0802	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.427309	-0.23%	0.4923	+14.94%	0.1010	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.430328	-0.23%	0.4832	+12.03%	0.0918	✗	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.441699	-0.23%	0.4664	+5.35%	0.0561	✗	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.444802	-0.22%	0.4959	+11.24%	0.0939	✗	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.464413	-0.23%	0.476	+2.26%	0.0469	✗	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.474684	-0.28%	0.4782	+0.46%	0.0191	✗	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.493937	-0.42%	0.4315	-13.00%	0.1271	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.485108	-0.41%	0.4283	-12.07%	0.1121	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.450889	-0.42%	0.4313	-4.75%	0.0710	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.460821	-0.45%	0.4427	-4.36%	0.0617	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.453616	-0.35%	0.4458	-2.07%	0.0108	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.448651	-0.41%	0.4655	+3.33%	0.0035	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.473744	-0.41%	0.476	+0.06%	0.0024	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.475335	-0.31%	0.496	+4.03%	0.0719	✗	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.480132	-0.30%	0.4871	+1.14%	0.0477	✗	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.49401	-0.24%	0.4528	-8.56%	0.0214	✗	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.513149	-0.32%	0.4629	-10.08%	0.0134	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.519305	-0.31%	0.4552	-12.61%	0.0584	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.522194	-0.40%	0.4505	-14.08%	0.0817	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.531934	-0.46%	0.4757	-10.98%	0.0772	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.522926	-0.47%	0.4768	-9.25%	0.1075	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.502351	-0.37%	0.4816	-4.48%	0.0565	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.508722	-0.25%	0.4952	-2.90%	0.0338	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.518289	-0.19%	0.5148	-0.87%	0.0148	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.536643	-0.34%	0.5209	-3.27%	0.0515	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.498694	-0.38%	0.5243	+4.73%	0.0219	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.539529	-0.35%	0.5344	-1.29%	0.0101	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.546288	-0.33%	0.5254	-4.14%	0.0140	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.581633	-0.47%	0.5042	-13.72%	0.1179	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.599496	-0.56%	0.51	-15.41%	0.1739	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.613211	-0.76%	0.5193	-15.96%	0.2126	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.618201	-1.07%	0.5385	-13.83%	0.2042	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.597665	-1.07%	0.5006	-17.13%	0.1433	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.610906	-1.47%	0.5414	-12.68%	0.1818	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.52472	-1.15%	0.5481	+3.26%	0.0582	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.448763	-0.67%	0.5844	+29.35%	0.1683	✗	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.448783	-0.58%	0.6029	+33.56%	0.2167	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.470481	-0.39%	0.6179	+30.83%	0.2894	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.507125	-0.64%	0.6249	+22.43%	0.3035	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.497943	-0.61%	0.6041	+20.58%	0.2581	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.510749	-0.63%	0.62	+20.62%	0.3205	✗	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.517213	-0.59%	0.5308	+2.02%	0.2135	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.51817	-0.64%	0.4518	-13.37%	0.0271	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.565056	-0.50%	0.4514	-20.51%	0.0049	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.594008	-0.50%	0.4723	-20.89%	0.0654	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.618031	-0.54%	0.5104	-17.86%	0.0318	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.620116	-0.43%	0.501	-19.56%	0.0091	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.637846	-0.60%	0.514	-19.90%	0.0462	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.635734	-0.76%	0.5203	-18.78%	0.0893	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.638785	-0.79%	0.5215	-19.01%	0.0578	✓	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.610208	-0.83%	0.5679	-7.70%	0.0448	✓	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.638146	-0.89%	0.597	-7.28%	0.0316	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.567407	-0.73%	0.6214	+8.71%	0.0678	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.559253	-0.44%	0.6228	+10.88%	0.1169	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.607021	-0.46%	0.6417	+5.23%	0.1472	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.625088	-0.57%	0.6406	+1.89%	0.1490	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.620896	-0.61%	0.6439	+3.07%	0.1368	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.62581	-0.71%	0.6153	-2.38%	0.0978	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.606067	-0.48%	0.6439	+5.73%	0.1617	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.601359	-0.27%	0.5716	-5.21%	0.1382	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.686351	-0.53%	0.5617	-18.59%	0.0824	✓	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.736112	-0.78%	0.6098	-17.81%	0.1269	✓	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.675157	-0.54%	0.6287	-7.38%	0.0468	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.678862	-0.59%	0.6247	-8.52%	0.0607	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.659787	-0.56%	0.6303	-5.00%	0.0182	✓	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.612056	-0.51%	0.609	-1.01%	0.0414	✓	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.629318	-0.50%	0.603	-4.66%	0.1091	✓	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.662267	-0.58%	0.69	+3.59%	0.0103	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.668083	-0.75%	0.7419	+10.22%	0.0187	✗	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.618647	-0.65%	0.6788	+9.01%	0.0276	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.608394	-0.69%	0.6829	+11.48%	0.0485	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.621092	-0.66%	0.6635	+6.13%	0.0380	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.650209	-0.69%	0.6152	-6.03%	0.0090	✓	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.67101	-0.75%	0.6325	-6.45%	0.0083	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.692912	-0.89%	0.6661	-4.72%	0.0275	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.699452	-0.98%	0.6731	-4.71%	0.0544	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.612192	-0.71%	0.6227	+0.99%	0.0665	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.583309	-0.56%	0.6126	+4.43%	0.1449	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.672342	-1.37%	0.6252	-8.29%	0.1050	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.703376	-1.28%	0.6547	-8.11%	0.0865	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.694938	-1.39%	0.6761	-4.06%	0.0758	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.72948	-0.89%	0.6991	-5.01%	0.0714	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.707883	-0.87%	0.7064	-1.08%	0.0997	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.714975	-0.90%	0.6166	-14.54%	0.0049	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.726444	-0.87%	0.5866	-19.95%	0.0996	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.738964	-0.92%	0.6817	-8.59%	0.0938	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.72181	-0.85%	0.7125	-2.13%	0.0696	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.683662	-0.46%	0.7047	+2.61%	0.0599	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.68965	-0.48%	0.736	+6.20%	0.0681	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.705723	-0.53%	0.7141	+0.65%	0.1459	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.691089	-0.55%	0.7215	+3.83%	0.1393	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.679006	-0.53%	0.7328	+7.35%	0.1039	✓	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.690987	-0.59%	0.7458	+7.29%	0.0930	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.732524	-0.66%	0.728	-1.27%	0.0840	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.71132	-0.61%	0.6868	-4.04%	0.0660	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.74205	-0.68%	0.693	-7.24%	0.0938	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.778507	-0.75%	0.7095	-9.55%	0.0440	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.798139	-0.78%	0.6949	-13.61%	0.0464	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.795719	-0.76%	0.6826	-14.87%	0.0610	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.806862	-0.75%	0.6951	-14.50%	0.0253	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.773041	-0.64%	0.7374	-5.22%	0.0001	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.