ERG

Ergo · native · lstm_s2

token id: #922
symbol: ERG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-04-29
predictions: 2,667

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

63.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0937

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0126

actual -0.0220

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31945	0.312624	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-20	oos	0.3475	0.338743	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.36
2026-10-19	oos	0.32025	0.313182	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.31585	0.308946	-2.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-10-17	oos	0.32405	0.316506	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.3098	0.302985	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-15	oos	0.3241	0.316228	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.2956	0.289176	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.311	0.303454	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-12	oos	0.3215	0.313548	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.32625	0.317677	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-10	oos	0.3262	0.317574	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-09	oos	0.2942	0.287273	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-10-08	oos	0.3076	0.300214	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.30
2026-10-07	oos	0.2978	0.29072	-2.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-06	oos	0.32115	0.313049	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-10-05	oos	0.3138	0.306183	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-10-04	oos	0.32445	0.316643	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-10-03	oos	0.3062	0.29901	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.3255	0.317352	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-10-01	oos	0.32945	0.321189	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-30	oos	0.3314	0.322854	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.26
2026-09-29	oos	0.3359	0.327165	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.3236	0.315532	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.27
2026-09-27	oos	0.3311	0.322941	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.3278	0.319902	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.33875	0.330306	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-24	oos	0.3396	0.331389	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.29
2026-09-23	oos	0.3478	0.339404	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.28
2026-09-22	oos	0.3403	0.335349	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-21	oos	0.32345	0.321053	-0.74%	0.31945	-1.24%	0.0554	✗	1.31
2026-09-20	oos	0.2769	0.271392	-1.99%	0.3475	+25.50%	0.2219	✗	1.17
2026-09-19	oos	0.28165	0.275987	-2.01%	0.32025	+13.70%	0.1401	✗	1.16
2026-09-18	oos	0.28615	0.280213	-2.07%	0.31585	+10.38%	0.1037	✗	1.16
2026-09-17	oos	0.2532	0.248508	-1.85%	0.32405	+27.98%	0.1977	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.2491	0.244644	-1.79%	0.3098	+24.37%	0.1641	✗	1.06
2026-09-15	oos	0.24205	0.237948	-1.69%	0.3241	+33.90%	0.2212	✗	1.06
2026-09-14	oos	0.2686	0.263633	-1.85%	0.2956	+10.05%	0.0725	✗	0.99
2026-09-13	oos	0.2597	0.25527	-1.71%	0.311	+19.75%	0.1195	✗	0.99
2026-09-12	oos	0.2606	0.2565	-1.57%	0.3215	+23.37%	0.1699	✗	0.99
2026-09-11	oos	0.2549	0.251556	-1.31%	0.32625	+27.99%	0.1800	✗	0.99
2026-09-10	oos	0.256	0.252914	-1.21%	0.3262	+27.42%	0.1751	✗	0.99
2026-09-09	oos	0.2494	0.248962	-0.18%	0.2942	+17.96%	0.1124	✗	1.03
2026-09-08	oos	0.2522	0.2527	+0.20%	0.3076	+21.97%	0.1544	✓	1.04
2026-09-07	oos	0.2215	0.223986	+1.12%	0.2978	+34.45%	0.2286	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.2646	0.268665	+1.54%	0.32115	+21.37%	0.1175	✓	0.97
2026-09-05	oos	0.2593	0.26417	+1.88%	0.3138	+21.02%	0.1028	✓	0.97
2026-09-04	oos	0.2538	0.25972	+2.33%	0.32445	+27.84%	0.1447	✓	0.95
2026-09-03	oos	0.2634	0.271308	+3.00%	0.3062	+16.25%	0.0817	✓	0.94
2026-09-02	oos	0.26055	0.264327	+1.45%	0.3255	+24.93%	0.1185	✓	1.01
2026-09-01	oos	0.2516	0.256432	+1.92%	0.32945	+30.94%	0.1571	✓	1.02
2026-08-31	oos	0.2584	0.264473	+2.35%	0.3314	+28.25%	0.1614	✓	1.04
2026-08-30	oos	0.2469	0.2533	+2.59%	0.3359	+36.05%	0.2061	✓	1.03
2026-08-29	oos	0.2507	0.258133	+2.97%	0.3236	+29.08%	0.1606	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.2563	0.262679	+2.49%	0.3311	+29.18%	0.1487	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.2586	0.269698	+4.29%	0.3278	+26.76%	0.1430	✓	1.04
2026-08-26	oos	0.2625	0.271133	+3.29%	0.33875	+29.05%	0.1577	✓	1.05
2026-08-25	oos	0.2624	0.270683	+3.16%	0.3396	+29.42%	0.1510	✓	1.05
2026-08-24	oos	0.2673	0.276305	+3.37%	0.3478	+30.12%	0.1596	✓	1.07
2026-08-23	oos	0.2667	0.274052	+2.76%	0.3403	+27.60%	0.1076	✓	1.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.2709	0.277427	+2.41%	0.32345	+19.40%	0.0303	✓	1.06
2026-08-21	oos	0.2675	0.278058	+3.95%	0.2769	+3.51%	0.0421	✗	1.07
2026-08-20	oos	0.2429	0.23958	-1.37%	0.28165	+15.95%	0.0531	✗	1.02
2026-08-19	oos	0.2155	0.211655	-1.78%	0.28615	+32.78%	0.1651	✗	0.88
2026-08-18	oos	0.2014	0.19841	-1.48%	0.2532	+25.72%	0.1013	✗	0.86
2026-08-17	oos	0.2026	0.199582	-1.49%	0.2491	+22.95%	0.0786	✗	0.86
2026-08-16	oos	0.2051	0.202035	-1.49%	0.24205	+18.02%	0.0159	✗	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.2025	0.199553	-1.46%	0.2686	+32.64%	0.1051	✗	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.207	0.203879	-1.51%	0.2597	+25.46%	0.0642	✗	0.90
2026-08-13	oos	0.209	0.20579	-1.54%	0.2606	+24.69%	0.0567	✗	0.91
2026-08-12	oos	0.2159	0.212394	-1.62%	0.2549	+18.06%	0.0053	✓	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.2216	0.21783	-1.70%	0.256	+15.52%	0.0033	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.2382	0.233558	-1.95%	0.2494	+4.70%	0.1117	✓	0.87
2026-08-09	oos	0.2358	0.231239	-1.93%	0.2522	+6.96%	0.0836	✓	0.89
2026-08-08	oos	0.2388	0.234056	-1.99%	0.2215	-7.24%	0.2313	✓	0.89
2026-08-07	oos	0.2356	0.231011	-1.95%	0.2646	+12.31%	0.0534	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.2341	0.229574	-1.93%	0.2593	+10.76%	0.0701	✓	0.88
2026-08-05	oos	0.2253	0.221216	-1.81%	0.2538	+12.65%	0.0491	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.222	0.218061	-1.77%	0.2634	+18.65%	0.0229	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.2162	0.212531	-1.70%	0.26055	+20.51%	0.0304	✗	0.88
2026-08-02	oos	0.2141	0.210518	-1.67%	0.2516	+17.52%	0.0003	✓	0.90
2026-08-01	oos	0.202	0.198985	-1.49%	0.2584	+27.92%	0.0647	✗	0.88
2026-07-31	oos	0.2046	0.20149	-1.52%	0.2469	+20.67%	0.0175	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.2073	0.204092	-1.55%	0.2507	+20.94%	0.0373	✗	0.89
2026-07-29	oos	0.2084	0.205178	-1.55%	0.2563	+22.98%	0.0459	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.2074	0.204251	-1.52%	0.2586	+24.69%	0.0316	✗	0.89
2026-07-27	oos	0.2007	0.197869	-1.41%	0.2625	+30.79%	0.0906	✗	0.89
2026-07-26	oos	0.2085	0.205436	-1.47%	0.2624	+25.85%	0.0839	✗	0.87
2026-07-25	oos	0.2153	0.211984	-1.54%	0.2673	+24.15%	0.0457	✗	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.2163	0.212979	-1.54%	0.2667	+23.30%	0.0527	✗	0.89
2026-07-23	oos	0.2203	0.216909	-1.54%	0.2709	+22.97%	0.0710	✗	0.89
2026-07-22	oos	0.2181	0.214938	-1.45%	0.2675	+22.65%	0.0652	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.2235	0.220181	-1.48%	0.2429	+8.68%	0.0143	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.2198	0.216603	-1.45%	0.2155	-1.96%	0.0594	✓	0.89
2026-07-19	oos	0.2206	0.217376	-1.46%	0.2014	-8.70%	0.0763	✓	0.89
2026-07-18	oos	0.2211	0.217893	-1.45%	0.2026	-8.37%	0.0685	✓	0.86
2026-07-17	oos	0.2211	0.217852	-1.47%	0.2051	-7.24%	0.0459	✓	0.86
2026-07-16	oos	0.22	0.216815	-1.45%	0.2025	-7.95%	0.0581	✓	0.86
2026-07-15	oos	0.22	0.21691	-1.40%	0.207	-5.91%	0.0229	✓	0.87
2026-07-14	oos	0.2129	0.210163	-1.29%	0.209	-1.83%	0.0159	✗	0.88
2026-07-13	oos	0.2103	0.207528	-1.32%	0.2159	+2.66%	0.0228	✗	0.92
2026-07-12	oos	0.2215	0.218389	-1.40%	0.2216	+0.05%	0.0175	✗	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.2202	0.217175	-1.37%	0.2382	+8.17%	0.0905	✗	0.86
2026-07-10	oos	0.2189	0.215993	-1.33%	0.2358	+7.72%	0.0780	✗	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.2182	0.215292	-1.33%	0.2388	+9.44%	0.0798	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.2216	0.218527	-1.39%	0.2356	+6.32%	0.0378	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	0.2215	0.218538	-1.34%	0.2341	+5.69%	0.0554	✗	0.90
2026-07-06	oos	0.2231	0.220171	-1.31%	0.2253	+0.99%	0.0146	✗	0.90
2026-07-05	oos	0.2159	0.213273	-1.22%	0.222	+2.83%	0.0339	✗	0.84
2026-07-04	oos	0.2129	0.210394	-1.18%	0.2162	+1.55%	0.0222	✗	0.84
2026-07-03	oos	0.2128	0.21029	-1.18%	0.2141	+0.61%	0.0051	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.2079	0.205523	-1.14%	0.202	-2.84%	0.0344	✓	0.83
2026-07-01	oos	0.2034	0.201143	-1.11%	0.2046	+0.59%	0.0214	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.1904	0.188937	-0.77%	0.2073	+8.88%	0.0134	✗	0.79
2026-06-29	oos	0.2025	0.200275	-1.10%	0.2084	+2.91%	0.0059	✓	0.76
2026-06-28	oos	0.2027	0.200452	-1.11%	0.2074	+2.32%	0.0201	✓	0.76
2026-06-27	oos	0.2048	0.202429	-1.16%	0.2007	-2.00%	0.0552	✓	0.77
2026-06-26	oos	0.2051	0.202674	-1.18%	0.2085	+1.66%	0.0373	✓	0.77
2026-06-25	oos	0.2124	0.20964	-1.30%	0.2153	+1.37%	0.0309	✓	0.78
2026-06-24	oos	0.2201	0.21695	-1.43%	0.2163	-1.73%	0.0402	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	0.2215	0.218217	-1.48%	0.2203	-0.54%	0.0187	✓	0.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.221	0.217788	-1.45%	0.2181	-1.31%	0.0235	✓	0.76
2026-06-21	oos	0.2177	0.214493	-1.47%	0.2235	+2.66%	0.0029	✓	0.76
2026-06-20	oos	0.2176	0.214457	-1.44%	0.2198	+1.01%	0.0128	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.2143	0.211148	-1.47%	0.2206	+2.94%	0.0294	✗	0.77
2026-06-18	oos	0.2135	0.210264	-1.52%	0.2211	+3.56%	0.0275	✗	0.76
2026-06-17	oos	0.2198	0.216558	-1.48%	0.2211	+0.59%	0.0271	✗	0.74
2026-06-16	oos	0.2256	0.222379	-1.43%	0.22	-2.48%	0.0108	✓	0.75
2026-06-15	oos	0.2333	0.229958	-1.43%	0.22	-5.70%	0.0261	✓	0.76
2026-06-14	oos	0.2264	0.223157	-1.43%	0.2129	-5.96%	0.0387	✓	0.76
2026-06-13	oos	0.2221	0.21864	-1.56%	0.2103	-5.31%	0.0129	✓	0.76
2026-06-12	oos	0.2221	0.218279	-1.72%	0.2215	-0.27%	0.0122	✓	0.77
2026-06-11	oos	0.2206	0.216677	-1.78%	0.2202	-0.18%	0.0136	✓	0.77
2026-06-10	oos	0.2103	0.205991	-2.05%	0.2189	+4.09%	0.0288	✗	0.75
2026-06-09	oos	0.2162	0.211552	-2.15%	0.2182	+0.93%	0.0131	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.2124	0.208084	-2.03%	0.2216	+4.33%	0.0730	✗	0.77
2026-06-07	oos	0.2127	0.208303	-2.07%	0.2215	+4.14%	0.0612	✗	0.76
2026-06-06	oos	0.2096	0.205029	-2.18%	0.2231	+6.44%	0.0467	✗	0.75
2026-06-05	oos	0.2146	0.209823	-2.23%	0.2159	+0.61%	0.0016	✓	0.74
2026-06-04	oos	0.2273	0.222358	-2.17%	0.2129	-6.34%	0.0355	✓	0.71
2026-06-03	oos	0.2368	0.231592	-2.20%	0.2128	-10.14%	0.0689	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.2532	0.248213	-1.97%	0.2079	-17.89%	0.1273	✓	0.62
2026-06-01	oos	0.2713	0.26669	-1.70%	0.2034	-25.03%	0.1892	✓	0.47
2026-05-31	oos	0.2757	0.271219	-1.63%	0.1904	-30.94%	0.2450	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.2721	0.267765	-1.59%	0.2025	-25.58%	0.1926	✓	0.43
2026-05-29	oos	0.2634	0.259303	-1.56%	0.2027	-23.04%	0.1559	✓	0.43
2026-05-28	oos	0.2594	0.255442	-1.53%	0.2048	-21.05%	0.1310	✓	0.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.2701	0.26588	-1.56%	0.2051	-24.07%	0.1662	✓	0.44
2026-05-26	oos	0.2839	0.279376	-1.59%	0.2124	-25.18%	0.1746	✓	0.42
2026-05-25	oos	0.2783	0.274036	-1.53%	0.2201	-20.91%	0.0809	✓	0.58
2026-05-24	oos	0.2851	0.280756	-1.52%	0.2215	-22.31%	0.1203	✓	0.57
2026-05-23	oos	0.2851	0.280782	-1.51%	0.221	-22.48%	0.1441	✓	0.53
2026-05-22	oos	0.2834	0.279084	-1.52%	0.2177	-23.18%	0.1547	✓	0.53
2026-05-21	oos	0.2818	0.277592	-1.49%	0.2176	-22.78%	0.1405	✓	0.55
2026-05-20	oos	0.2889	0.284423	-1.55%	0.2143	-25.82%	0.1759	✓	0.54
2026-05-19	oos	0.2876	0.283179	-1.54%	0.2135	-25.76%	0.1763	✓	0.53
2026-05-18	oos	0.285	0.280692	-1.51%	0.2198	-22.88%	0.1489	✓	0.54
2026-05-17	oos	0.2835	0.279257	-1.50%	0.2256	-20.42%	0.1250	✓	0.53
2026-05-16	oos	0.2893	0.284814	-1.55%	0.2333	-19.36%	0.1122	✓	0.53
2026-05-15	oos	0.3044	0.299228	-1.70%	0.2264	-25.62%	0.1754	✓	0.56
2026-05-14	oos	0.3073	0.302119	-1.69%	0.2221	-27.73%	0.1775	✓	0.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.3072	0.301915	-1.72%	0.2221	-27.70%	0.1797	✓	0.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.3097	0.304374	-1.72%	0.2206	-28.77%	0.1870	✓	0.57
2026-05-11	oos	0.322	0.316383	-1.74%	0.2103	-34.69%	0.2422	✓	0.58
2026-05-10	oos	0.312	0.312621	+0.20%	0.2162	-30.71%	0.1998	✗	0.59
2026-05-09	oos	0.3089	0.303782	-1.66%	0.2124	-31.24%	0.2127	✓	0.59
2026-05-08	oos	0.3094	0.304213	-1.68%	0.2127	-31.25%	0.2197	✓	0.58
2026-05-07	oos	0.3081	0.30303	-1.65%	0.2096	-31.97%	0.2086	✓	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.3159	0.318999	+0.98%	0.2146	-32.07%	0.1882	✗	0.72
2026-05-05	oos	0.3184	0.314913	-1.10%	0.2273	-28.61%	0.1946	✓	0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.3008	0.296734	-1.35%	0.2368	-21.28%	0.1074	✓	0.54
2026-05-03	oos	0.2986	0.293916	-1.57%	0.2532	-15.20%	0.0646	✓	0.51
2026-05-02	oos	0.3012	0.296422	-1.59%	0.2713	-9.93%	0.0374	✓	0.52
2026-05-01	oos	0.3025	0.297565	-1.63%	0.2757	-8.86%	0.0438	✓	0.53
2026-04-30	oos	0.2967	0.291893	-1.62%	0.2721	-8.29%	0.0515	✓	0.55
2026-04-29	oos	0.297	0.292162	-1.63%	0.2634	-11.31%	0.0858	✓	0.56
2026-04-28	oos	0.3045	0.299226	-1.73%	0.2594	-14.81%	0.1219	✓	0.56
2026-04-27	oos	0.3048	0.299632	-1.70%	0.2701	-11.38%	0.0813	✓	0.56
2026-04-26	oos	0.3118	0.306937	-1.56%	0.2839	-8.95%	0.0574	✓	0.56
2026-04-25	oos	0.317	0.311379	-1.77%	0.2783	-12.21%	0.1094	✓	0.56
2026-04-24	oos	0.3129	0.307503	-1.72%	0.2851	-8.88%	0.0721	✓	0.56
2026-04-23	oos	0.3148	0.310323	-1.42%	0.2851	-9.43%	0.0731	✓	0.56
2026-04-22	oos	0.3196	0.314339	-1.65%	0.2834	-11.33%	0.0836	✓	0.56
2026-04-21	oos	0.3156	0.309675	-1.88%	0.2818	-10.71%	0.1030	✓	0.56
2026-04-20	oos	0.3163	0.310219	-1.92%	0.2889	-8.66%	0.0830	✓	0.56
2026-04-19	oos	0.3194	0.313119	-1.97%	0.2876	-9.96%	0.1076	✓	0.58
2026-04-18	oos	0.3251	0.318567	-2.01%	0.285	-12.33%	0.1205	✓	0.58
2026-04-17	oos	0.3307	0.324338	-1.92%	0.2835	-14.27%	0.1369	✓	0.58
2026-04-16	oos	0.3227	0.316246	-2.00%	0.2893	-10.35%	0.1112	✓	0.58
2026-04-15	oos	0.3162	0.310102	-1.93%	0.3044	-3.73%	0.0501	✓	0.57
2026-04-14	oos	0.3113	0.305415	-1.89%	0.3073	-1.28%	0.0451	✓	0.58
2026-04-13	oos	0.3071	0.301364	-1.87%	0.3072	+0.03%	0.0185	✓	0.60
2026-04-12	oos	0.3009	0.295643	-1.75%	0.3097	+2.92%	0.0311	✓	0.60
2026-04-11	oos	0.3148	0.308873	-1.88%	0.322	+2.29%	0.0247	✓	0.59
2026-04-10	oos	0.3055	0.300025	-1.79%	0.312	+2.13%	0.0311	✓	0.59
2026-04-09	oos	0.2999	0.294815	-1.70%	0.3089	+3.00%	0.0219	✓	0.59
2026-04-08	oos	0.3008	0.295777	-1.67%	0.3094	+2.86%	0.0260	✓	0.59
2026-04-07	oos	0.2992	0.294269	-1.65%	0.3081	+2.97%	0.0171	✓	0.59
2026-04-06	oos	0.2993	0.294435	-1.63%	0.3159	+5.55%	0.0325	✓	0.61
2026-04-05	oos	0.2963	0.291627	-1.58%	0.3184	+7.46%	0.0095	✓	0.61
2026-04-04	oos	0.2965	0.291771	-1.59%	0.3008	+1.45%	0.0752	✓	0.62
2026-04-03	oos	0.2858	0.28157	-1.48%	0.2986	+4.48%	0.0395	✓	0.62
2026-04-02	oos	0.2881	0.283784	-1.50%	0.3012	+4.55%	0.0401	✓	0.61
2026-04-01	oos	0.2941	0.28965	-1.51%	0.3025	+2.86%	0.0419	✓	0.62
2026-03-31	oos	0.2794	0.275673	-1.33%	0.2967	+6.19%	0.0040	✓	0.62
2026-03-30	oos	0.2749	0.271269	-1.32%	0.297	+8.04%	0.0117	✓	0.62
2026-03-29	oos	0.2709	0.267318	-1.32%	0.3045	+12.40%	0.0385	✗	0.63
2026-03-28	oos	0.2802	0.27637	-1.37%	0.3048	+8.78%	0.0013	✓	0.63
2026-03-27	oos	0.2859	0.281876	-1.41%	0.3118	+9.06%	0.0069	✓	0.63
2026-03-26	oos	0.2899	0.286021	-1.34%	0.317	+9.35%	0.0254	✗	0.64
2026-03-25	oos	0.2946	0.290918	-1.25%	0.3129	+6.21%	0.0197	✗	0.64
2026-03-24	oos	0.2932	0.289544	-1.25%	0.3148	+7.37%	0.0167	✗	0.64
2026-03-23	oos	0.2964	0.292756	-1.23%	0.3196	+7.83%	0.0246	✗	0.64
2026-03-22	oos	0.2855	0.281919	-1.25%	0.3156	+10.54%	0.0375	✗	0.64
2026-03-21	oos	0.2883	0.284782	-1.22%	0.3163	+9.71%	0.0436	✗	0.64
2026-03-20	oos	0.2895	0.286215	-1.13%	0.3194	+10.33%	0.0802	✗	0.64
2026-03-19	oos	0.2995	0.295975	-1.18%	0.3251	+8.55%	0.0423	✗	0.64
2026-03-18	oos	0.3148	0.31116	-1.16%	0.3307	+5.05%	0.0088	✓	0.66
2026-03-17	oos	0.3292	0.326001	-0.97%	0.3227	-1.97%	0.0210	✓	0.65
2026-03-16	oos	0.3351	0.332285	-0.84%	0.3162	-5.64%	0.0492	✓	0.65
2026-03-15	oos	0.3261	0.322918	-0.98%	0.3113	-4.54%	0.0484	✓	0.64
2026-03-14	oos	0.3161	0.312929	-1.00%	0.3071	-2.85%	0.0473	✓	0.65
2026-03-13	oos	0.3232	0.31988	-1.03%	0.3009	-6.90%	0.0595	✓	0.64
2026-03-12	oos	0.3165	0.31343	-0.97%	0.3148	-0.54%	0.0184	✓	0.64
2026-03-11	oos	0.3187	0.315637	-0.96%	0.3055	-4.14%	0.0577	✓	0.64
2026-03-10	oos	0.3219	0.318807	-0.96%	0.2999	-6.83%	0.0777	✓	0.64
2026-03-09	oos	0.3212	0.31859	-0.81%	0.3008	-6.35%	0.0819	✓	0.64
2026-03-08	oos	0.3212	0.327735	+2.03%	0.2992	-6.85%	0.1470	✗	0.65
2026-03-07	oos	0.3189	0.322172	+1.03%	0.2993	-6.15%	0.0889	✗	0.65
2026-03-06	oos	0.3199	0.319375	-0.16%	0.2963	-7.38%	0.0836	✓	0.65
2026-03-05	oos	0.3148	0.312139	-0.85%	0.2965	-5.81%	0.0161	✓	0.68
2026-03-04	oos	0.3237	0.320918	-0.86%	0.2858	-11.71%	0.0608	✓	0.67
2026-03-03	oos	0.3307	0.328377	-0.70%	0.2881	-12.88%	0.1154	✓	0.72
2026-03-02	oos	0.3376	0.334568	-0.90%	0.2941	-12.89%	0.1215	✓	0.71
2026-03-01	oos	0.3457	0.348504	+0.81%	0.2794	-19.18%	0.2491	✗	0.77
2026-02-28	oos	0.3555	0.352552	-0.83%	0.2749	-22.67%	0.2461	✓	0.79
2026-02-27	oos	0.3473	0.348404	+0.32%	0.2709	-22.00%	0.2528	✗	0.78
2026-02-26	oos	0.3555	0.351738	-1.06%	0.2802	-21.18%	0.2137	✓	0.78
2026-02-25	oos	0.3599	0.355526	-1.22%	0.2859	-20.56%	0.1989	✓	0.78
2026-02-24	oos	0.3165	0.330107	+4.30%	0.2899	-8.40%	0.1797	✗	0.70
2026-02-23	oos	0.2971	0.310378	+4.47%	0.2946	-0.84%	0.1203	✗	0.69
2026-02-22	oos	0.2942	0.297077	+0.98%	0.2932	-0.34%	0.0433	✗	0.71
2026-02-21	oos	0.3041	0.302969	-0.37%	0.2964	-2.53%	0.0516	✓	0.71
2026-02-20	oos	0.3051	0.30354	-0.51%	0.2855	-6.42%	0.0597	✓	0.76
2026-02-19	oos	0.3108	0.310898	+0.03%	0.2883	-7.24%	0.0972	✗	0.76
2026-02-18	oos	0.3208	0.320616	-0.06%	0.2895	-9.76%	0.1475	✓	0.76
2026-02-17	oos	0.3293	0.325975	-1.01%	0.2995	-9.05%	0.1119	✓	0.76
2026-02-16	oos	0.3295	0.325768	-1.13%	0.3148	-4.46%	0.0607	✓	0.78
2026-02-15	oos	0.3322	0.328238	-1.19%	0.3292	-0.90%	0.0532	✓	0.78
2026-02-14	oos	0.3748	0.368744	-1.62%	0.3351	-10.59%	0.1496	✓	0.76
2026-02-13	oos	0.3708	0.364522	-1.69%	0.3261	-12.06%	0.1548	✓	0.76
2026-02-12	oos	0.3621	0.356644	-1.51%	0.3161	-12.70%	0.1766	✓	0.77
2026-02-11	oos	0.3606	0.354418	-1.71%	0.3232	-10.37%	0.1373	✓	0.79
2026-02-10	oos	0.3798	0.372006	-2.05%	0.3165	-16.67%	0.1812	✓	0.79
2026-02-09	oos	0.3844	0.376322	-2.10%	0.3187	-17.09%	0.1674	✓	0.80
2026-02-08	oos	0.3955	0.386423	-2.30%	0.3219	-18.61%	0.1791	✓	0.79
2026-02-07	oos	0.401	0.39055	-2.61%	0.3212	-19.90%	0.1862	✓	0.79
2026-02-06	oos	0.4073	0.396244	-2.71%	0.3212	-21.14%	0.1577	✓	0.78
2026-02-05	oos	0.3562	0.355748	-0.13%	0.3189	-10.47%	0.1572	✓	0.70
2026-02-04	oos	0.3647	0.355454	-2.54%	0.3199	-12.28%	0.0356	✓	1.01
2026-02-03	oos	0.3649	0.356256	-2.37%	0.3148	-13.73%	0.0556	✓	1.04
2026-02-02	oos	0.3573	0.349855	-2.08%	0.3237	-9.40%	0.0143	✓	1.16
2026-02-01	oos	0.3458	0.338225	-2.19%	0.3307	-4.37%	0.1045	✗	1.08
2026-01-31	oos	0.3625	0.354922	-2.09%	0.3376	-6.87%	0.0964	✗	1.10
2026-01-30	oos	0.3901	0.384428	-1.45%	0.3457	-11.38%	0.1633	✗	1.10
2026-01-29	oos	0.4085	0.40242	-1.49%	0.3555	-12.97%	0.1306	✗	1.09
2026-01-28	oos	0.424	0.418011	-1.41%	0.3473	-18.09%	0.1536	✗	1.12
2026-01-27	oos	0.4317	0.425383	-1.46%	0.3555	-17.65%	0.1264	✗	1.10
2026-01-26	oos	0.426	0.419887	-1.44%	0.3599	-15.52%	0.1261	✗	1.07
2026-01-25	oos	0.4285	0.422076	-1.50%	0.3165	-26.14%	0.0475	✗	1.11
2026-01-24	oos	0.4337	0.427177	-1.50%	0.2971	-31.50%	0.0003	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.4331	0.426548	-1.51%	0.2942	-32.07%	0.0410	✓	1.18
2026-01-22	oos	0.4377	0.430889	-1.56%	0.3041	-30.52%	0.0245	✓	1.18
2026-01-21	oos	0.449	0.441543	-1.66%	0.3051	-32.05%	0.0452	✓	1.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.4326	0.425811	-1.57%	0.3108	-28.16%	0.0200	✗	1.21
2026-01-19	oos	0.4542	0.445763	-1.86%	0.3208	-29.37%	0.0776	✗	1.23
2026-01-18	oos	0.4629	0.454336	-1.85%	0.3293	-28.86%	0.0836	✗	1.24
2026-01-17	oos	0.474	0.465314	-1.83%	0.3295	-30.49%	0.0491	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.4795	0.470767	-1.82%	0.3322	-30.72%	0.0602	✗	1.25
2026-01-15	oos	0.4907	0.481717	-1.83%	0.3748	-23.62%	0.1418	✗	1.25
2026-01-14	oos	0.5107	0.501058	-1.89%	0.3708	-27.39%	0.1243	✗	1.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.4585	0.451225	-1.59%	0.3621	-21.03%	0.2206	✗	1.21
2026-01-12	oos	0.4475	0.440701	-1.52%	0.3606	-19.42%	0.1836	✗	1.25
2026-01-11	oos	0.4526	0.445683	-1.53%	0.3798	-16.08%	0.1889	✗	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	0.454	0.44711	-1.52%	0.3844	-15.33%	0.1675	✗	1.25
2026-01-09	oos	0.4606	0.45356	-1.53%	0.3955	-14.13%	0.2054	✗	1.35
2026-01-08	oos	0.4526	0.446065	-1.44%	0.401	-11.40%	0.2543	✗	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	0.4587	0.452094	-1.44%	0.4073	-11.21%	0.2587	✗	1.41
2026-01-06	oos	0.4844	0.477122	-1.50%	0.3562	-26.47%	0.2701	✗	1.40
2026-01-05	oos	0.4995	0.491672	-1.57%	0.3647	-26.99%	0.0533	✗	1.40
2026-01-04	oos	0.4915	0.483961	-1.53%	0.3649	-25.76%	0.0131	✓	1.42
2026-01-03	oos	0.4866	0.479235	-1.51%	0.3573	-26.57%	0.0926	✓	1.42
2026-01-02	oos	0.4923	0.484718	-1.54%	0.3458	-29.76%	0.1145	✓	1.42
2026-01-01	oos	0.4832	0.476021	-1.49%	0.3625	-24.98%	0.1009	✓	1.42
2025-12-31	oos	0.4664	0.45986	-1.40%	0.3901	-16.36%	0.1093	✓	1.40
2025-12-30	oos	0.4959	0.488174	-1.56%	0.4085	-17.62%	0.1156	✓	1.39
2025-12-29	oos	0.476	0.468996	-1.47%	0.424	-10.92%	0.1331	✓	1.39
2025-12-28	oos	0.4782	0.471203	-1.46%	0.4317	-9.72%	0.1070	✓	1.39
2025-12-27	oos	0.4315	0.426347	-1.19%	0.426	-1.27%	0.0076	✓	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.4283	0.423303	-1.17%	0.4285	+0.05%	0.0236	✗	1.35
2025-12-25	oos	0.4313	0.426313	-1.16%	0.4337	+0.56%	0.0121	✓	1.35
2025-12-24	oos	0.4427	0.437495	-1.18%	0.4331	-2.17%	0.0384	✓	1.35
2025-12-23	oos	0.4458	0.440593	-1.17%	0.4377	-1.82%	0.0376	✓	1.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.4655	0.459828	-1.22%	0.449	-3.54%	0.0361	✓	1.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.476	0.470016	-1.26%	0.4326	-9.12%	0.0779	✓	1.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.496	0.489182	-1.37%	0.4542	-8.43%	0.1382	✓	1.37
2025-12-19	oos	0.4871	0.480594	-1.34%	0.4629	-4.97%	0.1208	✓	1.37
2025-12-18	oos	0.4528	0.447228	-1.23%	0.474	+4.68%	0.0853	✓	1.34
2025-12-17	oos	0.4629	0.457034	-1.27%	0.4795	+3.59%	0.0891	✓	1.34
2025-12-16	oos	0.4552	0.449747	-1.20%	0.4907	+7.80%	0.0277	✓	1.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.4505	0.445121	-1.19%	0.5107	+13.36%	0.0197	✓	1.37
2025-12-14	oos	0.4757	0.469579	-1.29%	0.4585	-3.62%	0.1298	✓	1.35
2025-12-13	oos	0.4768	0.470769	-1.26%	0.4475	-6.15%	0.0647	✓	1.36
2025-12-12	oos	0.4816	0.475438	-1.28%	0.4526	-6.02%	0.0581	✓	1.36
2025-12-11	oos	0.4952	0.488726	-1.31%	0.454	-8.32%	0.0414	✓	1.36
2025-12-10	oos	0.5148	0.507648	-1.39%	0.4606	-10.53%	0.0744	✓	1.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.5209	0.513603	-1.40%	0.4526	-13.11%	0.1016	✓	1.37
2025-12-08	oos	0.5243	0.51672	-1.45%	0.4587	-12.51%	0.1286	✓	1.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.5344	0.526386	-1.50%	0.4844	-9.36%	0.1329	✓	1.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.5254	0.51761	-1.48%	0.4995	-4.93%	0.1050	✓	1.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.5042	0.497207	-1.39%	0.4915	-2.52%	0.0444	✓	1.38
2025-12-04	oos	0.51	0.503057	-1.36%	0.4866	-4.59%	0.0103	✓	1.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.5193	0.512301	-1.35%	0.4923	-5.20%	0.0138	✗	1.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.5385	0.530639	-1.46%	0.4832	-10.27%	0.0523	✓	1.45
2025-12-01	oos	0.5006	0.493817	-1.35%	0.4664	-6.83%	0.0775	✓	1.46
2025-11-30	oos	0.5414	0.533383	-1.48%	0.4959	-8.40%	0.0409	✓	1.45
2025-11-29	oos	0.5481	0.539921	-1.49%	0.476	-13.15%	0.0658	✓	1.44
2025-11-28	oos	0.5844	0.574869	-1.63%	0.4782	-18.17%	0.1353	✓	1.44
2025-11-27	oos	0.6029	0.592571	-1.71%	0.4315	-28.43%	0.2607	✓	1.44
2025-11-26	oos	0.6179	0.606319	-1.87%	0.4283	-30.68%	0.2965	✓	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.6249	0.611469	-2.15%	0.4313	-30.98%	0.3465	✓	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.6041	0.591181	-2.14%	0.4427	-26.72%	0.2781	✓	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.62	0.604651	-2.48%	0.4458	-28.10%	0.3156	✓	1.52
2025-11-22	oos	0.5308	0.519004	-2.22%	0.4655	-12.30%	0.1738	✓	1.45
2025-11-21	oos	0.4518	0.443608	-1.81%	0.476	+5.36%	0.0111	✓	1.44
2025-11-20	oos	0.4514	0.442595	-1.95%	0.496	+9.88%	0.0841	✗	1.46
2025-11-19	oos	0.4723	0.463071	-1.95%	0.4871	+3.13%	0.1083	✗	1.54
2025-11-18	oos	0.5104	0.500736	-1.89%	0.4528	-11.29%	0.0270	✗	1.53
2025-11-17	oos	0.501	0.490989	-2.00%	0.4629	-7.60%	0.0419	✗	1.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.514	0.504762	-1.80%	0.4552	-11.44%	0.0047	✓	1.55
2025-11-15	oos	0.5203	0.511791	-1.64%	0.4505	-13.42%	0.0285	✗	1.55
2025-11-14	oos	0.5215	0.51239	-1.75%	0.4757	-8.78%	0.0339	✗	1.56
2025-11-13	oos	0.5679	0.559781	-1.43%	0.4768	-16.04%	0.0064	✓	1.56
2025-11-12	oos	0.597	0.588266	-1.46%	0.4816	-19.33%	0.0160	✓	1.55
2025-11-11	oos	0.6214	0.611911	-1.53%	0.4952	-20.31%	0.0458	✓	1.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.6228	0.613672	-1.47%	0.5148	-17.34%	0.0478	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	0.6417	0.631475	-1.59%	0.5209	-18.82%	0.0028	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	0.6406	0.629711	-1.70%	0.5243	-18.15%	0.0134	✓	1.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.6439	0.632817	-1.72%	0.5344	-17.01%	0.0484	✗	1.63
2025-11-06	oos	0.6153	0.604711	-1.72%	0.5254	-14.61%	0.0642	✗	1.62
2025-11-05	oos	0.6439	0.632432	-1.78%	0.5042	-21.70%	0.0166	✓	1.61
2025-11-04	oos	0.5716	0.562458	-1.60%	0.51	-10.78%	0.0509	✗	1.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.5617	0.55416	-1.34%	0.5193	-7.55%	0.1575	✗	1.70
2025-11-02	oos	0.6098	0.601151	-1.42%	0.5385	-11.69%	0.2126	✗	1.69
2025-11-01	oos	0.6287	0.619161	-1.52%	0.5006	-20.38%	0.2013	✗	1.70
2025-10-31	oos	0.6247	0.61521	-1.52%	0.5414	-13.33%	0.2001	✗	1.70
2025-10-30	oos	0.6303	0.620408	-1.57%	0.5481	-13.04%	0.1776	✗	1.71
2025-10-29	oos	0.609	0.600345	-1.42%	0.5844	-4.04%	0.3082	✗	1.75
2025-10-28	oos	0.603	0.594893	-1.34%	0.6029	-0.02%	0.3888	✗	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.69	0.678879	-1.61%	0.6179	-10.45%	0.3069	✗	1.73
2025-10-26	oos	0.7419	0.728307	-1.83%	0.6249	-15.77%	0.3139	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.6788	0.668129	-1.57%	0.6041	-11.00%	0.2950	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6829	0.671982	-1.60%	0.62	-9.21%	0.3303	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.6635	0.653309	-1.54%	0.5308	-20.00%	0.2293	✗	1.66
2025-10-22	oos	0.6152	0.606228	-1.46%	0.4518	-26.56%	0.0859	✗	1.62
2025-10-21	oos	0.6325	0.62327	-1.46%	0.4514	-28.63%	0.0407	✗	1.62
2025-10-20	oos	0.6661	0.656003	-1.52%	0.4723	-29.09%	0.0180	✓	1.64
2025-10-19	oos	0.6731	0.662029	-1.64%	0.5104	-24.17%	0.0038	✓	1.64
2025-10-18	oos	0.6227	0.613021	-1.55%	0.501	-19.54%	0.0412	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	0.6126	0.602822	-1.60%	0.514	-16.10%	0.0357	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	0.6252	0.61581	-1.50%	0.5203	-16.78%	0.0303	✗	1.60
2025-10-15	oos	0.6547	0.644858	-1.50%	0.5215	-20.35%	0.0380	✗	1.57
2025-10-14	oos	0.6761	0.665522	-1.56%	0.5679	-16.00%	0.0421	✗	1.58
2025-10-13	oos	0.6991	0.687287	-1.69%	0.597	-14.60%	0.0615	✗	1.61
2025-10-12	oos	0.7064	0.694046	-1.75%	0.6214	-12.03%	0.0692	✗	1.62
2025-10-11	oos	0.6166	0.607858	-1.42%	0.6228	+1.01%	0.0913	✗	1.52
2025-10-10	oos	0.5866	0.579078	-1.28%	0.6417	+9.39%	0.2256	✗	1.61
2025-10-09	oos	0.6817	0.666851	-2.18%	0.6406	-6.03%	0.2224	✗	1.51
2025-10-08	oos	0.7125	0.697186	-2.15%	0.6439	-9.63%	0.1825	✗	1.48
2025-10-07	oos	0.7047	0.688937	-2.24%	0.6153	-12.69%	0.1501	✗	1.45
2025-10-06	oos	0.736	0.722423	-1.84%	0.6439	-12.51%	0.1496	✗	1.45
2025-10-05	oos	0.7141	0.700878	-1.85%	0.5716	-19.96%	0.0784	✗	1.44
2025-10-04	oos	0.7215	0.707818	-1.90%	0.5617	-22.15%	0.0327	✓	1.43
2025-10-03	oos	0.7328	0.719093	-1.87%	0.6098	-16.78%	0.0191	✓	1.44
2025-10-02	oos	0.7458	0.731596	-1.90%	0.6287	-15.70%	0.0176	✓	1.46
2025-10-01	oos	0.728	0.714732	-1.82%	0.6247	-14.19%	0.0178	✓	1.46
2025-09-30	oos	0.6868	0.677143	-1.41%	0.6303	-8.23%	0.0034	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.693	0.683135	-1.42%	0.609	-12.12%	0.0555	✓	1.54
2025-09-28	oos	0.7095	0.699448	-1.42%	0.603	-15.01%	0.1587	✓	1.64
2025-09-27	oos	0.6949	0.685342	-1.38%	0.69	-0.71%	0.0584	✓	1.66
2025-09-26	oos	0.6826	0.6735	-1.33%	0.7419	+8.69%	0.0252	✗	1.65
2025-09-25	oos	0.6951	0.685486	-1.38%	0.6788	-2.34%	0.0498	✓	1.68
2025-09-24	oos	0.7374	0.726205	-1.52%	0.6829	-7.39%	0.0266	✓	1.70
2025-09-23	oos	0.7157	0.705364	-1.44%	0.6635	-7.29%	0.0320	✓	1.70
2025-09-22	oos	0.7471	0.735627	-1.54%	0.6152	-17.65%	0.0959	✓	1.77
2025-09-21	oos	0.7844	0.77138	-1.66%	0.6325	-19.37%	0.0871	✓	1.80
2025-09-20	oos	0.8044	0.790708	-1.70%	0.6661	-17.19%	0.0931	✓	1.71
2025-09-19	oos	0.8018	0.788237	-1.69%	0.6731	-16.05%	0.0494	✓	1.74
2025-09-18	oos	0.813	0.79898	-1.72%	0.6227	-23.41%	0.0962	✓	1.73
2025-09-17	oos	0.778	0.765314	-1.63%	0.6126	-21.26%	0.0672	✓	1.73

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.