DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s2

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

64.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0663

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0008

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.5769	-1.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.5726	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.4048	-0.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.37	-0.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.3792	-0.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.7166	-0.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	15.0983	-0.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	16.0587	-0.58%	14.773	-8.54%	0.0937	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.3242	-0.25%	14.749	-9.87%	0.1000	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.2746	-0.35%	14.512	-11.15%	0.1155	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.6173	-0.41%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1229	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.7728	-0.70%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1373	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.2998	-1.06%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1495	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.1907	-1.08%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1324	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.8268	-1.45%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0826	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.6056	+1.36%	16.365	-10.85%	0.1061	✗	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.7704	+1.28%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.1026	✗	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.5969	+1.32%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0827	✗	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	18.1882	-0.59%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0569	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	18.0936	-0.88%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0160	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	18.2297	+0.32%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0185	✗	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.162	-1.48%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0014	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.8925	-1.23%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0078	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.6282	-1.06%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0287	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.465	-0.29%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0251	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	18.2331	-0.22%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0004	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.6575	-0.24%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0293	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	18.2026	-0.36%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0061	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	18.1913	-0.46%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0211	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.6788	-0.27%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0048	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.9583	-0.07%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0209	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	17.029	-1.58%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0512	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.2384	-1.51%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0269	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.4658	-1.54%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0191	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.5375	-1.87%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0163	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.4605	-1.44%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0819	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.6183	-0.91%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1368	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.5531	-0.83%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0056	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.1286	-1.24%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0288	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.0878	+0.18%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0466	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	16.0168	+0.91%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0665	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.8575	+1.93%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0627	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.9452	+2.83%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0568	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.9276	+3.28%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1678	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.3474	+3.54%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0298	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	17.0073	+2.46%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0067	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.3025	+2.58%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0094	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.9499	+2.52%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0179	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.6472	+2.47%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1075	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.3239	+2.70%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1292	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.663	+1.93%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1568	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.7407	+1.35%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0629	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.2421	+1.24%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1243	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.3877	+0.95%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0823	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.2199	+0.64%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0702	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.1084	+1.27%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0023	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.9632	+0.81%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0183	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.7619	+0.71%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0569	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.9333	+0.59%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0475	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.249	-0.01%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0121	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.9945	+0.07%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0049	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.1652	+1.23%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0764	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.0755	+1.01%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0612	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.8729	-0.47%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0324	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.6645	-0.41%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0425	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	12.0138	-0.53%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0689	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.9022	-0.55%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0448	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.9687	-0.57%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0569	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.904	-0.55%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1420	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.0707	-0.57%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1582	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.1732	-0.59%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1141	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.8816	-0.80%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1141	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.6889	-0.74%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0587	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.8432	-0.84%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0371	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.6906	-0.84%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0215	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.6518	-0.79%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0236	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.4203	-0.72%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0089	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.8682	-0.84%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0300	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.2564	-0.96%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0120	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.1405	-0.98%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0350	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	13.0923	-1.04%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0332	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.957	-1.11%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0483	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.9907	-1.27%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0531	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.3985	-1.53%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0611	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.5776	-0.62%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1033	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.5186	-0.54%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1470	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.1458	-0.33%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1780	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.6445	-0.35%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1551	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.5495	-0.27%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1494	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.57	-0.20%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1477	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.9748	-0.16%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1325	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.4463	-0.19%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0344	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.5745	-0.19%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0437	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.6862	-0.34%	11.183	-12.15%	0.1033	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.6695	-0.40%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0907	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.6555	-0.48%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0813	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.521	-0.50%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0798	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.2238	-0.84%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1172	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.3589	-1.06%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0895	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.5838	-1.31%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0981	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.3479	-1.32%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0095	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.0944	-0.85%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0371	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.2321	-0.19%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1098	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.1506	-0.08%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1242	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	11.0029	-0.08%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1839	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.9602	-0.10%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1734	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	11.011	-0.01%	13.764	+24.99%	0.1995	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.2179	+0.02%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1343	✓	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.148	+0.03%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.0877	✓	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.283	-0.01%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0126	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.4737	-0.09%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0513	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.1741	-0.07%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0394	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.9287	-0.10%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0298	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.7104	-0.17%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0431	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.2511	-0.26%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0571	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	11.0688	-0.33%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0506	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.4285	-0.52%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0567	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.1263	-0.63%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0033	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.8689	-0.83%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0040	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	12.0561	-1.01%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0844	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.1493	-0.25%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0233	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.5003	-0.11%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0359	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.4165	-0.14%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0276	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.8617	-0.09%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0371	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.6039	-0.11%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0206	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.4661	-0.11%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0067	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	12.0396	-0.00%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0667	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.4006	+0.09%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0575	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.6863	+0.13%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0614	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.8213	+0.07%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0763	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.2549	+0.11%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0284	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	12.0609	+0.24%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0365	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.2134	+0.34%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0512	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.9229	+0.77%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0379	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	12.0772	+0.96%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0362	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.3756	+0.85%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0262	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.4985	+0.94%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0125	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.4914	+1.64%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0773	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.3276	+1.86%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0645	✗	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	13.2119	+0.46%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0782	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.4385	-0.47%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1578	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.6296	-0.79%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1238	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.4327	-1.16%	12.271	-21.41%	0.1063	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.7768	-1.40%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0919	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.