DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s2

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

57.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1019

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0402

actual +0.0158

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	15.295	14.2646	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	13.4724	-8.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.1364	-9.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.0737	-9.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.0638	-9.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	13.5424	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.1258	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.2298	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.4525	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.406	-5.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.7912	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	15.9366	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.4317	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.3418	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	16.9517	-6.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.2783	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.4643	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.339	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.2926	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.2358	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.1864	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.3873	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.1122	-5.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	16.838	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.4526	-5.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.2262	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	16.7031	-5.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.2064	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.2124	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.6548	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	16.9835	-5.50%	15.295	-14.89%	0.0812	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.1997	-6.37%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1116	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.3833	-6.40%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1273	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.5667	-6.61%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1480	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	15.6941	-6.87%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1387	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	14.7607	-5.90%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0573	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.0817	-4.54%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0012	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	15.7075	-5.90%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0038	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.3207	-6.19%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0067	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.2844	-4.82%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0240	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.2326	-4.03%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0293	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	14.9664	-3.80%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0596	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	15.9102	-3.45%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0553	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.4075	-5.48%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0279	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.5604	-1.45%	18.089	+14.57%	0.1111	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.3557	-1.47%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0683	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.8066	-0.54%	18.533	+16.62%	0.1056	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.4783	-0.51%	18.355	+17.98%	0.1109	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.3701	+0.53%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.2086	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.9445	-0.02%	18.255	+30.88%	0.1917	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.4148	+0.21%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1502	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.7156	+1.18%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1721	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.1875	+0.86%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1814	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.4656	+1.49%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1536	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.3516	+1.58%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1858	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.4354	+3.61%	18.273	+31.16%	0.1915	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.3651	+3.71%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1539	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.2323	+4.15%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1870	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.5093	+4.75%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1736	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.4939	+1.70%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1651	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.055	+0.50%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1430	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.4435	+3.37%	17.302	+33.04%	0.2198	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.6499	-2.55%	17.503	+46.41%	0.3150	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.5046	-3.55%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2899	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.2363	-4.07%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2337	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.5663	-4.23%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1316	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.4587	-4.26%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0574	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.5322	-4.19%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1419	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.4699	-4.18%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1437	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.6414	-4.11%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1134	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.7314	-4.20%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0944	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.3391	-4.97%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0350	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.1362	-5.06%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0909	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.27	-5.27%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1448	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.1314	-5.21%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0538	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.1174	-4.98%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0882	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	11.888	-4.97%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0613	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.3048	-5.18%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0138	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.6317	-5.62%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1307	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.5165	-5.68%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1026	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.4849	-5.64%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0698	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.3402	-5.82%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0758	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.334	-6.26%	14.067	+6.91%	0.0953	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	12.7021	-6.64%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.0874	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.0345	-5.28%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0533	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	10.9634	-5.33%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0149	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.5859	-5.34%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0586	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.1045	-4.97%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0310	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.0317	-4.74%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0296	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.0631	-4.57%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0674	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.459	-4.46%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0376	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	11.9236	-4.38%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0733	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.0717	-4.18%	11.955	-5.11%	0.0975	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.1768	-4.34%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.0794	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.1964	-4.12%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0405	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.2197	-3.90%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0069	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.1035	-3.82%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0050	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.7628	-4.30%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0469	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	12.8905	-4.53%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0472	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.0641	-5.08%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0494	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	11.9109	-4.81%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0120	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.7011	-4.07%	12.985	+6.46%	0.1071	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	10.9002	-3.14%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1574	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.8146	-3.09%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1703	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.6816	-3.00%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1565	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.6378	-3.04%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1438	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.6719	-3.09%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1454	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	10.8501	-3.26%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1705	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.787	-3.21%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.2091	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	10.919	-3.24%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1895	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.096	-3.37%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1615	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.8123	-3.31%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1733	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.5899	-3.20%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1749	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.4051	-3.02%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1777	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	10.9005	-3.37%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0139	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.7542	-3.17%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0130	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.1022	-3.36%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0450	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.8401	-3.19%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0028	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.6167	-3.13%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0254	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.6287	-4.52%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0404	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.7528	-3.80%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0750	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.0222	-4.26%	12.47	+8.32%	0.0937	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	10.9348	-4.36%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.0961	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.2978	-4.84%	12.729	+7.21%	0.1040	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.0469	-4.91%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1222	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	10.9222	-4.85%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1220	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.367	-5.59%	12.584	+4.52%	0.1103	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.6396	-6.06%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1646	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	11.8458	-6.50%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1547	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	11.8934	-7.17%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1571	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.3108	-7.61%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1352	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.195	-6.96%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0826	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.3192	-7.01%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.2549	-4.88%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0512	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.3532	-5.09%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0544	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.4368	-6.80%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0284	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.4935	-7.18%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0431	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.6437	-5.26%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0879	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.4481	-5.40%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0678	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.1187	-7.86%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0600	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.3812	-7.75%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1289	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.6197	-7.64%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1164	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.527	-6.96%	10.94	-29.93%	0.1102	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.9228	-6.74%	10.729	-32.95%	0.1011	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.