DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s2

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +1d

assessed

143

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

47.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0230

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0000

actual -0.0013

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.7402	-0.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.7256	-0.16%	14.773	+0.16%	0.0054	✗	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.5138	+0.01%	14.749	+1.63%	0.0059	✓	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.4626	+0.06%	14.512	+0.40%	0.0050	✓	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.4297	+0.16%	14.454	+0.33%	0.0040	✗	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.7694	+0.14%	14.407	-2.32%	0.0238	✗	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	15.1429	+0.14%	14.749	-2.47%	0.0207	✗	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	16.1494	-0.02%	15.122	-6.38%	0.0708	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.3646	-0.00%	16.153	-1.30%	0.0009	✗	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.33	-0.02%	16.365	+0.20%	0.0103	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.6691	-0.10%	16.3325	-2.12%	0.0012	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.8559	-0.21%	16.686	-1.22%	0.0174	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.4259	-0.34%	16.8915	-3.39%	0.0346	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.3202	-0.34%	17.4845	+0.61%	0.0013	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	18.0002	-0.49%	17.3785	-3.93%	0.0204	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.413	+0.31%	18.089	-1.45%	0.0029	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.5789	+0.25%	18.356	-0.96%	0.0102	✗	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	18.392	+0.20%	18.533	+0.97%	0.0144	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	18.2593	-0.20%	18.355	+0.32%	0.0109	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	18.2028	-0.29%	18.2965	+0.23%	0.0030	✗	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	18.1623	-0.05%	18.255	+0.46%	0.0082	✗	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.356	-0.42%	18.171	-1.43%	0.0222	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	18.0543	-0.34%	18.434	+1.76%	0.0216	✗	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.7669	-0.28%	18.116	+1.68%	0.0177	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.4775	-0.22%	17.8165	-3.79%	0.0268	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	18.227	-0.25%	18.519	+1.35%	0.0155	✗	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.656	-0.25%	18.273	+3.24%	0.0312	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	18.2069	-0.33%	17.7	-3.11%	0.0255	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	18.2087	-0.36%	18.268	-0.04%	0.0032	✓	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.6622	-0.36%	18.275	-2.42%	0.0027	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.9203	-0.28%	18.729	+4.22%	0.0477	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	17.2277	-0.43%	17.971	+3.87%	0.0108	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.4315	-0.41%	17.302	-1.15%	0.0067	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.6639	-0.42%	17.503	-1.33%	0.0128	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.7625	-0.53%	17.739	+5.26%	0.0087	✗	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.632	-0.34%	16.852	+7.43%	0.0729	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.7303	-0.15%	15.686	+6.33%	0.0566	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.6614	-0.18%	14.752	-11.62%	0.0965	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.2783	-0.33%	16.692	+2.21%	0.0118	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.0922	+0.21%	16.3315	+1.70%	0.0193	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.9479	+0.47%	16.0585	+1.17%	0.0064	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.6723	+0.73%	15.873	+2.02%	0.0060	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.6215	+0.86%	15.558	-5.59%	0.0495	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.5115	+0.88%	16.4795	-5.06%	0.0592	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.9323	+0.91%	17.3585	+9.94%	0.0920	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.6876	+0.53%	15.789	-4.88%	0.0436	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.9702	+0.49%	16.599	+4.45%	0.0339	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.6346	+0.50%	15.892	+2.15%	0.0149	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.3701	+0.53%	15.5575	+8.84%	0.0949	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.0208	+0.53%	14.294	+2.48%	0.0242	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.43	+0.31%	13.9475	-3.04%	0.0330	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.5616	+0.12%	14.385	-1.10%	0.0007	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.0847	+0.13%	14.5445	+3.39%	0.0223	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.2562	+0.03%	14.067	-1.30%	0.0072	✗	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.1171	-0.08%	14.2525	+0.87%	0.0053	✗	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	13.9444	+0.09%	14.129	+1.41%	0.0403	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.8449	-0.04%	13.932	+0.58%	0.0076	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.6534	-0.08%	13.851	+1.36%	0.0088	✗	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.8262	-0.18%	13.665	-1.34%	0.0067	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.1928	-0.41%	13.851	-2.81%	0.0385	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.9269	-0.42%	14.251	+1.90%	0.0153	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.0176	+0.09%	13.985	+7.53%	0.0867	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.9779	+0.19%	13.0055	+8.79%	0.0217	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.9306	+0.02%	11.955	+0.22%	0.0463	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.7133	+0.01%	11.9285	+1.84%	0.0532	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	12.0726	-0.04%	11.7125	-3.02%	0.0336	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.9615	-0.06%	12.0775	+0.91%	0.0176	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	12.03	-0.06%	11.9685	-0.57%	0.0021	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.9638	-0.05%	12.037	+0.56%	0.0054	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.1335	-0.05%	11.97	-1.40%	0.0060	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.238	-0.07%	12.14	-0.87%	0.0083	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.9667	-0.14%	12.246	-5.69%	0.0552	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.7681	-0.12%	12.985	+1.58%	0.0232	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.9312	-0.16%	12.7835	-1.30%	0.0040	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.7779	-0.16%	12.952	+1.20%	0.0145	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.7369	-0.12%	12.798	+0.36%	0.0045	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.4978	-0.10%	12.7525	+1.94%	0.0100	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.9572	-0.15%	12.51	-3.60%	0.0296	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.3576	-0.20%	12.977	-3.04%	0.0381	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.2418	-0.22%	13.3845	+0.86%	0.0009	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	13.1977	-0.25%	13.2705	+0.30%	0.0061	✗	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	13.0644	-0.29%	13.2305	+0.98%	0.0002	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	13.1063	-0.39%	13.1025	-0.42%	0.0008	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.5298	-0.56%	13.158	-3.29%	0.0039	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.6388	-0.09%	13.606	+16.79%	0.1436	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.5734	-0.07%	11.6495	+0.59%	0.0058	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.1852	+0.02%	11.581	+3.56%	0.0324	✓	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.6871	+0.02%	11.183	-4.30%	0.0196	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.5868	+0.05%	11.685	+0.90%	0.0071	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.6025	+0.08%	11.5805	-0.11%	0.0051	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	12.0046	+0.09%	11.5935	-3.34%	0.0205	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.479	+0.07%	11.9935	-3.82%	0.0248	✗	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.6071	+0.07%	12.47	-1.02%	0.0048	✗	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.7302	+0.01%	12.5985	-1.03%	0.0295	✗	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.7175	-0.02%	12.729	+0.07%	0.0070	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.707	-0.07%	12.72	+0.03%	0.0027	✗	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.5749	-0.07%	12.716	+1.05%	0.0024	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.3052	-0.23%	12.584	-5.64%	0.0576	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.4505	-0.38%	13.336	-1.23%	0.0059	✗	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.6909	-0.53%	13.502	-1.90%	0.0098	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.4359	-0.62%	13.764	+10.00%	0.0645	✗	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.1612	-0.30%	12.513	+2.59%	0.0498	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.2635	+0.09%	12.1975	+8.39%	0.0801	✓	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.1759	+0.14%	11.253	+0.83%	0.0119	✓	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	11.0276	+0.14%	11.16	+1.34%	0.0015	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.9856	+0.13%	11.012	+0.37%	0.0110	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	11.0306	+0.17%	10.971	-0.37%	0.0103	✓	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.236	+0.18%	11.012	-1.82%	0.0104	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.1653	+0.18%	11.216	+0.64%	0.0014	✓	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.3034	+0.17%	11.145	-1.24%	0.0213	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.4992	+0.14%	11.2845	-1.73%	0.0272	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.1976	+0.13%	11.4835	+2.69%	0.0100	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.9523	+0.11%	11.1825	+2.22%	0.0019	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.7372	+0.08%	10.94	+1.97%	0.0031	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.2869	+0.05%	10.729	-4.89%	0.0266	✗	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	11.108	+0.02%	11.281	+1.58%	0.0055	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.4822	-0.05%	11.106	-3.33%	0.0267	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.1846	-0.11%	11.4885	+2.60%	0.0278	✗	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.9326	-0.25%	11.197	+2.16%	0.0197	✗	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	12.1369	-0.35%	10.96	-10.01%	0.0860	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.1848	+0.07%	12.179	+8.96%	0.1096	✓	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.5267	+0.12%	11.177	-2.91%	0.0122	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.4455	+0.11%	11.5125	+0.70%	0.0043	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.8883	+0.13%	11.433	-3.71%	0.0236	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.631	+0.12%	11.873	+2.20%	0.0089	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.4933	+0.12%	11.617	+1.20%	0.0013	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	12.0599	+0.17%	11.479	-4.66%	0.0248	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.4147	+0.20%	12.04	-2.82%	0.0126	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.6972	+0.22%	12.39	-2.21%	0.0145	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.8365	+0.19%	12.67	-1.11%	0.0217	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.2654	+0.19%	12.812	+4.66%	0.0240	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	12.0608	+0.24%	12.242	+1.75%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.2054	+0.27%	12.032	-1.15%	0.0139	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.8794	+0.40%	12.172	+2.87%	0.0095	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	12.0154	+0.45%	11.832	-1.09%	0.0115	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.32	+0.40%	11.962	-2.52%	0.0074	✗	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.4319	+0.40%	12.271	-0.90%	0.0092	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.3615	+0.58%	12.382	+0.75%	0.0379	✗	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.1782	+0.63%	12.29	+1.55%	0.0121	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	13.1834	+0.24%	12.102	-7.98%	0.0411	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.4993	-0.05%	13.152	-9.33%	0.0939	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.7226	-0.16%	14.506	-1.63%	0.0252	✗	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.5733	-0.26%	14.746	-5.56%	0.0129	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.9458	-0.35%	15.614	-2.42%	0.0102	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.