CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +7d
assessed
102
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
31.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2601
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0338
actual +0.1246
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.064255 | -3.49% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.066277 | -3.58% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.06495 | -2.90% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.068109 | -3.36% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.071378 | -3.46% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.070352 | -3.29% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.075553 | -3.74% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.071326 | -3.29% | 0.066581 | -9.72% | 0.0602 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.084859 | -3.84% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2122 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.092856 | -4.33% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3272 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.08867 | -4.00% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2470 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.088477 | -4.25% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.1966 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.083149 | -4.02% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1454 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.070654 | -3.40% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.1099 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.068874 | -3.38% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0489 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.08377 | -4.78% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0183 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.07141 | -3.42% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2511 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.063314 | -3.01% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3405 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.066778 | -3.27% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.3007 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.071202 | -3.82% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1704 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.067324 | -3.61% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0421 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.066718 | -3.73% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0624 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.057812 | -3.39% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4450 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.054259 | -3.81% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3420 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.051536 | -3.84% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2654 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.049618 | -3.80% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3349 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.050074 | -3.94% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.3967 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.048035 | -3.83% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.3807 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.050827 | -4.29% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.2987 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.045377 | -3.06% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2435 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.044595 | -2.78% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.1944 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.042829 | -4.27% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2744 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.045657 | -4.42% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1707 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.05339 | -4.34% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0254 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.052956 | -3.69% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0818 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.057465 | -4.26% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0650 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.054887 | -4.25% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0258 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.059615 | -7.45% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.0948 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046341 | -1.54% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0644 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044569 | -0.67% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1593 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044262 | -0.49% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.3151 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045351 | -0.25% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.1882 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.04694 | -1.07% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.1937 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046375 | -0.88% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1420 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046708 | +0.18% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.2993 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.043694 | +1.72% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0096 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.045512 | +1.80% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0751 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.046052 | +1.79% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0933 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.049158 | +0.77% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1966 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.069725 | -4.09% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3676 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.067709 | -4.04% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3511 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.066398 | -2.91% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3443 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.065761 | -3.53% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3790 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.06701 | -3.18% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3763 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.067561 | -3.38% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3683 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.064627 | -2.15% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2640 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.068603 | -2.85% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0276 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.067377 | -2.96% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0261 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.067034 | -2.60% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0126 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.067303 | -2.98% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0116 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.067798 | -3.28% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0417 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.065458 | -2.41% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0574 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.062283 | -3.81% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2301 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.064435 | -4.96% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3408 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.065191 | -5.49% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5462 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.066566 | -5.76% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5375 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.063405 | -5.55% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6684 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.058751 | -5.43% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.7195 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.060655 | -7.15% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.6900 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.053663 | -5.43% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5561 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.052272 | -5.46% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.4923 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.051387 | -6.19% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3413 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.043602 | -5.49% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.5046 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.037723 | -4.22% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.5029 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.035375 | -4.16% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.4946 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.03438 | -4.41% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.5725 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.029468 | -4.36% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6229 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026876 | -3.43% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6768 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.024666 | -2.77% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.7777 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.026686 | -3.30% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5643 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.028438 | -3.71% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.3769 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.02637 | -3.34% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4221 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.036938 | -5.83% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0590 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.032586 | -5.62% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0736 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025181 | -3.39% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1320 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026167 | -4.14% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0217 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023298 | -3.25% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1589 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021927 | -2.69% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2134 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020478 | -2.43% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3110 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.025805 | -4.71% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4386 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.02275 | -3.55% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4222 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020571 | -2.86% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2704 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019481 | -2.58% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3784 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.02039 | -3.04% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1900 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018007 | -2.60% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2141 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018376 | -2.71% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1406 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018211 | -2.45% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.3938 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017969 | -2.43% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2522 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017897 | -2.48% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1473 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.015982 | -2.86% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.2009 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018612 | -2.60% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0759 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016529 | -2.81% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.0973 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015455 | -3.07% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1847 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019154 | -2.35% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0221 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021236 | -2.35% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1518 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022018 | -2.46% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2212 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020464 | -2.29% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2442 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020754 | -2.29% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0551 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022696 | -2.45% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2910 | ✓ | 1.00 |