CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +30d
assessed
79
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
13.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.7281
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0696
actual +0.6198
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.060488 | -9.15% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.06276 | -8.69% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.061406 | -8.20% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.06456 | -8.40% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.067736 | -8.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.066908 | -8.03% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.072292 | -7.90% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.068237 | -7.48% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.081968 | -7.12% | – | pending | – | – | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.089924 | -7.35% | – | pending | – | – | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.085781 | -7.12% | – | pending | – | – | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.085753 | -7.20% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.080293 | -7.32% | – | pending | – | – | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.068339 | -6.56% | – | pending | – | – | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.066921 | -6.12% | – | pending | – | – | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.081864 | -6.95% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.069319 | -6.25% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.061602 | -5.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.065003 | -5.84% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.069567 | -6.03% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.065681 | -5.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.064831 | -6.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.056182 | -6.11% | – | pending | – | – | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.052566 | -6.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.049865 | -6.96% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.048034 | -6.87% | – | pending | – | – | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.04845 | -7.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.046513 | -6.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.049177 | -7.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.044238 | -5.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.043581 | -4.99% | 0.066581 | +45.14% | 0.3732 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.041153 | -8.02% | 0.068735 | +53.63% | 0.5402 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.043949 | -8.00% | 0.066889 | +40.02% | 0.4294 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.051218 | -8.23% | 0.070477 | +26.28% | 0.3368 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.050767 | -7.67% | 0.073935 | +34.47% | 0.4654 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.055325 | -7.83% | 0.072748 | +21.20% | 0.3690 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.052902 | -7.71% | 0.07849 | +36.92% | 0.5114 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.057631 | -10.53% | 0.073752 | +14.50% | 0.3161 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.042515 | -9.67% | 0.088248 | +87.49% | 0.8725 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.040936 | -8.77% | 0.097059 | +116.32% | 0.9645 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.040751 | -8.39% | 0.092361 | +107.64% | 0.9627 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.041684 | -8.32% | 0.092402 | +103.23% | 0.9394 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.043598 | -8.11% | 0.086635 | +82.59% | 0.7864 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.043292 | -7.47% | 0.073139 | +56.33% | 0.6007 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.043775 | -6.11% | 0.07128 | +52.89% | 0.5851 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.040953 | -4.66% | 0.087975 | +104.80% | 0.8816 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.042556 | -4.81% | 0.073941 | +65.39% | 0.6855 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.043386 | -4.10% | 0.065278 | +44.29% | 0.5618 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.046905 | -3.84% | 0.069035 | +41.52% | 0.4694 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.067254 | -7.49% | 0.074028 | +1.83% | 0.2188 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.065365 | -7.36% | 0.069846 | -1.01% | 0.1929 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.064498 | -5.69% | 0.069306 | +1.34% | 0.1572 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.063734 | -6.50% | 0.059839 | -12.21% | 0.0395 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.065177 | -5.83% | 0.056407 | -18.50% | 0.0537 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.065684 | -6.07% | 0.053595 | -23.36% | 0.0887 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.063756 | -3.47% | 0.051578 | -21.90% | 0.1409 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.067363 | -4.60% | 0.052128 | -26.18% | 0.1705 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.06612 | -4.77% | 0.049949 | -28.06% | 0.1810 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.066097 | -3.96% | 0.053106 | -22.84% | 0.1269 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.065986 | -4.87% | 0.046809 | -32.52% | 0.1999 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.066283 | -5.44% | 0.045872 | -34.56% | 0.2065 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.064666 | -3.59% | 0.044741 | -33.30% | 0.3192 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.060351 | -6.80% | 0.047769 | -26.23% | 0.0409 | ✓ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.061864 | -8.75% | 0.05581 | -17.68% | 0.1901 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.06234 | -9.62% | 0.054984 | -20.28% | 0.2875 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.063768 | -9.72% | 0.060022 | -15.02% | 0.3527 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.060741 | -9.52% | 0.057324 | -14.61% | 0.4445 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.056538 | -8.99% | 0.064413 | +3.69% | 0.7123 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.058595 | -10.30% | 0.047068 | -27.95% | 0.3172 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.051557 | -9.14% | 0.044869 | -20.93% | 0.3774 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.050371 | -8.90% | 0.04448 | -19.55% | 0.3905 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.049747 | -9.18% | 0.045466 | -17.00% | 0.3978 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.042291 | -8.33% | 0.047448 | +2.85% | 0.6252 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.036423 | -7.52% | 0.046785 | +18.79% | 0.6942 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.034227 | -7.27% | 0.046622 | +26.31% | 0.7669 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.033283 | -7.46% | 0.042957 | +19.43% | 0.7492 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.028497 | -7.51% | 0.044706 | +45.10% | 0.9827 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.025889 | -6.97% | 0.045241 | +62.57% | 1.0599 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.023811 | -6.14% | 0.04878 | +92.28% | 1.3059 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.025696 | -6.89% | 0.072695 | +163.41% | 1.5178 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.027401 | -7.22% | 0.070557 | +138.90% | 1.4284 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.025476 | -6.62% | 0.068387 | +150.67% | 1.5610 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.035607 | -9.22% | 0.068164 | +73.77% | 1.2103 | ✗ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.031509 | -8.74% | 0.069214 | +100.47% | 1.2613 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.024378 | -6.47% | 0.069928 | +168.28% | 1.6280 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.025253 | -7.49% | 0.066045 | +141.93% | 1.6290 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.022577 | -6.25% | 0.070614 | +193.23% | 1.7708 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021316 | -5.40% | 0.069435 | +208.14% | 1.7236 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.019941 | -4.99% | 0.068823 | +227.92% | 1.0330 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.02476 | -8.57% | 0.069367 | +156.16% | 0.8371 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.021984 | -6.80% | 0.070097 | +197.18% | 0.9902 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.01995 | -5.79% | 0.067073 | +216.74% | 1.0427 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.018911 | -5.43% | 0.064753 | +223.81% | 1.1376 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.01975 | -6.09% | 0.067798 | +222.39% | 1.1726 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.017494 | -5.37% | 0.068975 | +273.09% | 1.3719 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.017833 | -5.58% | 0.070634 | +273.96% | 1.3814 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.017719 | -5.08% | 0.067132 | +259.62% | 1.3487 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.017485 | -5.05% | 0.062121 | +237.32% | 1.2796 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.017396 | -5.21% | 0.065324 | +255.95% | 1.3504 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.015516 | -5.69% | 0.056743 | +244.90% | 1.3210 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018097 | -5.29% | 0.055292 | +189.36% | 1.0986 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016046 | -5.65% | 0.054776 | +222.08% | 1.2311 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.014981 | -6.05% | 0.046134 | +189.33% | 1.1226 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.018628 | -5.03% | 0.039386 | +100.79% | 0.7376 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.02066 | -5.00% | 0.036911 | +69.73% | 0.5533 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.021421 | -5.10% | 0.035967 | +59.34% | 0.4765 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.019909 | -4.94% | 0.030811 | +47.11% | 0.4219 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020194 | -4.93% | 0.02783 | +31.02% | 0.3114 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.022093 | -5.04% | 0.025369 | +9.04% | 0.1310 | ✗ | 1.00 |