CAP
Cap · Ethereum · lstm_s2
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +1d
assessed
108
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
35.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0840
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0107
actual +0.0133
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.065966 | -0.92% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.06808 | -0.95% | 0.066581 | -3.13% | 0.0239 | ✓ | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.066417 | -0.71% | 0.068735 | +2.76% | 0.0422 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.069868 | -0.86% | 0.066889 | -5.09% | 0.0449 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.073271 | -0.90% | 0.070477 | -4.68% | 0.0343 | ✓ | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.072136 | -0.84% | 0.073935 | +1.63% | 0.0238 | ✗ | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.077681 | -1.03% | 0.072748 | -7.32% | 0.0703 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.073117 | -0.86% | 0.07849 | +6.42% | 0.0752 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.087231 | -1.15% | 0.073752 | -16.43% | 0.1817 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.095612 | -1.49% | 0.088248 | -9.08% | 0.0683 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.091208 | -1.25% | 0.097059 | +5.09% | 0.0420 | ✗ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.091062 | -1.45% | 0.092361 | -0.04% | 0.0226 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.085559 | -1.24% | 0.092402 | +6.66% | 0.0810 | ✗ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.07241 | -1.00% | 0.086635 | +18.45% | 0.1887 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.070535 | -1.05% | 0.073139 | +2.61% | 0.0182 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.08623 | -1.98% | 0.07128 | -18.98% | 0.2218 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.073178 | -1.03% | 0.087975 | +18.98% | 0.1813 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.064707 | -0.87% | 0.073941 | +13.27% | 0.1236 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.068345 | -1.00% | 0.065278 | -5.44% | 0.0232 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.073002 | -1.39% | 0.069035 | -6.74% | 0.0528 | ✓ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.068988 | -1.23% | 0.074028 | +5.99% | 0.0662 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.068482 | -1.19% | 0.069846 | +0.78% | 0.0368 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.059229 | -1.02% | 0.069306 | +15.82% | 0.1560 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.055766 | -1.14% | 0.059839 | +6.09% | 0.0731 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.052995 | -1.12% | 0.056407 | +5.25% | 0.0479 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.051011 | -1.10% | 0.053595 | +3.91% | 0.0501 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.051531 | -1.15% | 0.051578 | -1.05% | 0.0054 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.049394 | -1.11% | 0.052128 | +4.36% | 0.0499 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.052395 | -1.34% | 0.049949 | -5.94% | 0.0477 | ✓ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.046373 | -0.93% | 0.053106 | +13.45% | 0.1121 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.045477 | -0.86% | 0.046809 | +2.04% | 0.0238 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.044209 | -1.19% | 0.045872 | +2.53% | 0.1185 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.047127 | -1.35% | 0.044741 | -6.34% | 0.0531 | ✓ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.055114 | -1.25% | 0.047769 | -14.41% | 0.1374 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.054418 | -1.03% | 0.05581 | +1.50% | 0.1059 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.059209 | -1.36% | 0.054984 | -8.39% | 0.0703 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.056482 | -1.47% | 0.060022 | +4.71% | 0.0712 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.062062 | -3.65% | 0.057324 | -11.01% | 0.1345 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.046934 | -0.29% | 0.064413 | +36.85% | 0.3486 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.044838 | -0.07% | 0.047068 | +4.90% | 0.0377 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.044461 | -0.04% | 0.044869 | +0.87% | 0.0104 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.045469 | +0.01% | 0.04448 | -2.17% | 0.0063 | ✗ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.047325 | -0.26% | 0.045466 | -4.18% | 0.0825 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.046679 | -0.23% | 0.047448 | +1.42% | 0.0124 | ✗ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.046636 | +0.03% | 0.046785 | +0.35% | 0.0123 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.0431 | +0.33% | 0.046622 | +8.53% | 0.0494 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044846 | +0.31% | 0.042957 | -3.91% | 0.0312 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.045382 | +0.31% | 0.044706 | -1.18% | 0.0114 | ✗ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.0488 | +0.04% | 0.045241 | -7.25% | 0.1147 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.071769 | -1.27% | 0.04878 | -32.90% | 0.3173 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.069655 | -1.28% | 0.072695 | +3.03% | 0.0411 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.067695 | -1.01% | 0.070557 | +3.17% | 0.0207 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.067387 | -1.14% | 0.068387 | +0.33% | 0.0306 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.068441 | -1.12% | 0.068164 | -1.52% | 0.0143 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.069135 | -1.13% | 0.069214 | -1.02% | 0.0083 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.065401 | -0.97% | 0.069928 | +5.88% | 0.0234 | ✗ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.06981 | -1.14% | 0.066045 | -6.47% | 0.0338 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.068641 | -1.14% | 0.070614 | +1.70% | 0.0371 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.068106 | -1.04% | 0.069435 | +0.89% | 0.0113 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.068632 | -1.06% | 0.068823 | -0.78% | 0.0250 | ✗ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.069306 | -1.13% | 0.069367 | -1.04% | 0.0130 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.066455 | -0.92% | 0.070097 | +4.51% | 0.0307 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.064 | -1.16% | 0.067073 | +3.58% | 0.1739 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.066767 | -1.52% | 0.064753 | -4.49% | 0.0684 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.067801 | -1.70% | 0.067798 | -1.71% | 0.1717 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.069292 | -1.90% | 0.068975 | -2.35% | 0.0033 | ✓ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.065932 | -1.79% | 0.070634 | +5.22% | 0.1390 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.060983 | -1.83% | 0.067132 | +8.07% | 0.0882 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.063256 | -3.17% | 0.062121 | -4.90% | 0.0162 | ✓ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.055736 | -1.77% | 0.065324 | +15.12% | 0.1401 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.054252 | -1.88% | 0.056743 | +2.62% | 0.0454 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.053394 | -2.52% | 0.055292 | +0.94% | 0.0300 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.045125 | -2.19% | 0.054776 | +18.73% | 0.1788 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.038869 | -1.31% | 0.046134 | +17.13% | 0.1374 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.036413 | -1.35% | 0.039386 | +6.70% | 0.0763 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.03542 | -1.52% | 0.036911 | +2.62% | 0.0419 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.030341 | -1.53% | 0.035967 | +16.74% | 0.1939 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.027563 | -0.96% | 0.030811 | +10.71% | 0.0989 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.025186 | -0.72% | 0.02783 | +9.70% | 0.1211 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.027347 | -0.91% | 0.025369 | -8.08% | 0.0529 | ✓ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.02921 | -1.10% | 0.027598 | -6.56% | 0.0581 | ✓ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.027018 | -0.97% | 0.029535 | +8.26% | 0.1188 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.038372 | -2.18% | 0.027282 | -30.45% | 0.3437 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.033773 | -2.18% | 0.039226 | +13.61% | 0.0753 | ✗ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025801 | -1.01% | 0.034526 | +32.46% | 0.3286 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.02694 | -1.31% | 0.026065 | -4.52% | 0.0308 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023847 | -0.98% | 0.027298 | +13.36% | 0.1422 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.022358 | -0.78% | 0.024081 | +6.87% | 0.0011 | ✓ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020841 | -0.70% | 0.022534 | +7.37% | 0.0619 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.02668 | -1.48% | 0.020987 | -22.50% | 0.2433 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.023336 | -1.06% | 0.02708 | +14.81% | 0.1638 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.021001 | -0.83% | 0.023588 | +11.39% | 0.1319 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.019851 | -0.73% | 0.021176 | +5.90% | 0.0711 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020843 | -0.89% | 0.019997 | -4.91% | 0.0612 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.018348 | -0.76% | 0.02103 | +13.75% | 0.1283 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018739 | -0.79% | 0.018488 | -2.12% | 0.0117 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018539 | -0.69% | 0.018888 | +1.18% | 0.0046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.018292 | -0.67% | 0.018668 | +1.37% | 0.0184 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.018227 | -0.68% | 0.018416 | +0.35% | 0.0251 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016315 | -0.83% | 0.018352 | +11.55% | 0.1218 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.018968 | -0.73% | 0.016452 | -13.90% | 0.1851 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016873 | -0.79% | 0.019108 | +12.35% | 0.1478 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015808 | -0.86% | 0.017007 | +6.66% | 0.0736 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019499 | -0.60% | 0.015945 | -18.71% | 0.1956 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021618 | -0.59% | 0.019616 | -9.80% | 0.1122 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022427 | -0.65% | 0.021747 | -3.66% | 0.0458 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020824 | -0.57% | 0.022573 | +7.78% | 0.0979 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.021116 | -0.58% | 0.020944 | -1.39% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.023107 | -0.68% | 0.02124 | -8.70% | 0.0908 | ✓ | 1.00 |