BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 591

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

190

of 197 predictions shown

direction hit

44.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1441

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0070

actual -0.0066

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05086	0.05071	-0.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.049969	-0.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.047238	-0.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.048602	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.052615	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.05537	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.045246	+1.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.04466	+1.93%	0.05086	+16.08%	0.1176	✓	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.04808	+0.45%	0.050125	+4.72%	0.0433	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.054602	-0.20%	0.047365	-13.43%	0.1432	✓	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.065746	-0.74%	0.048835	-26.27%	0.2844	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.067424	-0.91%	0.05305	-22.04%	0.2270	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.067824	-1.02%	0.056	-18.28%	0.1829	✓	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.065296	-1.01%	0.0446	-32.39%	0.3848	✓	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.066777	-1.06%	0.043815	-35.08%	0.4077	✓	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.06656	-0.85%	0.047865	-28.70%	0.3076	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.061766	-0.65%	0.05471	-12.00%	0.0852	✓	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.0621	-0.50%	0.066235	+6.12%	0.0909	✗	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.06134	-0.86%	0.068045	+9.98%	0.1212	✗	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.062325	-0.82%	0.068525	+9.05%	0.1136	✗	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.06471	-0.79%	0.065965	+1.13%	0.0490	✗	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.065537	-0.94%	0.06749	+2.01%	0.0320	✗	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.066282	-0.92%	0.06713	+0.34%	0.0010	✓	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.066603	-0.87%	0.06217	-7.47%	0.0893	✓	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.070346	-0.86%	0.062415	-12.04%	0.1325	✓	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.070492	-0.90%	0.06187	-13.02%	0.1325	✓	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.068696	-0.75%	0.06284	-9.21%	0.0916	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.066482	-0.61%	0.065225	-2.49%	0.0219	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.063367	-0.44%	0.06616	+3.94%	0.0481	✗	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.068901	-0.03%	0.0669	-2.94%	0.0125	✓	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.068383	+0.30%	0.06719	-1.45%	0.0079	✓	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.065737	-0.62%	0.07096	+7.28%	0.0503	✗	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.065151	-0.55%	0.071135	+8.59%	0.0626	✗	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.064841	-0.52%	0.069215	+6.19%	0.0411	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.06204	-0.67%	0.06689	+7.09%	0.0183	✗	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.061007	-0.67%	0.06365	+3.63%	0.0166	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.062808	-0.62%	0.068925	+9.06%	0.0401	✗	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.0622	-0.71%	0.06818	+8.84%	0.0498	✗	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.061373	-0.74%	0.066145	+6.98%	0.0520	✗	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.063742	-0.45%	0.06551	+2.31%	0.0059	✗	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.064179	-0.10%	0.06518	+1.46%	0.0051	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.0608	+0.35%	0.06246	+3.09%	0.0279	✓	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.06305	+1.81%	0.06142	-0.82%	0.0154	✓	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.069504	+2.71%	0.0632	-6.61%	0.0761	✗	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.069973	+3.76%	0.062645	-7.11%	0.1046	✗	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.070337	+4.35%	0.06183	-8.27%	0.1057	✗	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.072071	+4.82%	0.06403	-6.87%	0.1009	✗	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.072345	+5.38%	0.064245	-6.42%	0.1008	✗	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.073495	+5.55%	0.06059	-12.98%	0.1597	✗	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.070879	+5.36%	0.06193	-7.94%	0.1416	✗	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.070829	+4.99%	0.06767	+0.30%	0.0530	✗	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.071691	+4.85%	0.06744	-1.37%	0.0640	✗	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.070656	+4.15%	0.067405	-0.64%	0.0652	✗	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.073171	+3.64%	0.068755	-2.61%	0.0727	✗	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.073693	+3.10%	0.068655	-3.95%	0.0830	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.075686	+3.31%	0.06963	-4.95%	0.0897	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.074146	+2.67%	0.06727	-6.85%	0.0863	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.07058	+2.28%	0.067465	-2.24%	0.0379	✗	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.073657	+1.91%	0.068375	-5.40%	0.0718	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.074445	+1.35%	0.06784	-7.64%	0.0925	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.075267	+1.11%	0.0706	-5.16%	0.0723	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.091509	+0.64%	0.07148	-21.39%	0.2442	✗	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.084573	+0.47%	0.07326	-12.97%	0.1794	✗	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.080156	-0.73%	0.072215	-10.56%	0.1660	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.077622	-1.71%	0.06901	-12.62%	0.2155	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.075909	-1.95%	0.072275	-6.65%	0.1567	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.07609	-2.43%	0.07345	-5.82%	0.1530	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.078058	-2.15%	0.07444	-6.68%	0.1582	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.073964	-1.50%	0.09093	+21.09%	0.0841	✗	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.074208	-1.55%	0.084175	+11.67%	0.0479	✗	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.075509	-1.35%	0.080745	+5.49%	0.0080	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.075878	-1.02%	0.078975	+3.02%	0.0287	✗	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.076586	-0.97%	0.07742	+0.10%	0.0045	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.0733	-1.02%	0.077985	+5.31%	0.0845	✗	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.076372	-1.09%	0.07977	+3.31%	0.0645	✗	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.077035	-1.10%	0.07509	-3.59%	0.0041	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.082699	-1.83%	0.075375	-10.52%	0.0826	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.079398	-1.38%	0.07654	-4.93%	0.0224	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.075944	-1.00%	0.07666	-0.07%	0.0153	✗	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.075791	-0.90%	0.07734	+1.12%	0.0152	✗	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.075182	-0.91%	0.074055	-2.39%	0.0295	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.074559	-0.85%	0.077215	+2.69%	0.0131	✗	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.077963	-1.36%	0.07789	-1.45%	0.0220	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.078485	-1.29%	0.08424	+5.94%	0.0755	✗	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.079175	-1.27%	0.08051	+0.39%	0.0095	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.078519	-0.87%	0.07671	-3.16%	0.0252	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.078642	-0.85%	0.07648	-3.57%	0.0257	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.086185	-0.98%	0.07587	-12.83%	0.1117	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.083986	-0.70%	0.075195	-11.10%	0.0981	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.083906	-0.60%	0.07904	-6.37%	0.0496	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.076029	+0.13%	0.079515	+4.72%	0.0478	✓	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.084602	+0.42%	0.080195	-4.81%	0.0345	✗	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.086363	+1.12%	0.07921	-7.26%	0.0628	✗	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.086328	+0.57%	0.079315	-7.60%	0.0738	✗	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.090342	+0.10%	0.08704	-3.56%	0.0425	✗	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.092233	+0.12%	0.08458	-8.18%	0.0806	✗	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.091788	+0.07%	0.084415	-7.96%	0.0861	✗	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.091458	+0.14%	0.07593	-16.87%	0.2050	✗	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.089926	+0.51%	0.08425	-5.83%	0.0797	✗	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.087883	+0.58%	0.08541	-2.25%	0.0476	✗	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.094689	-0.04%	0.085835	-9.39%	0.1462	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.102229	+0.04%	0.09025	-11.68%	0.1391	✗	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.098184	-0.12%	0.09212	-6.29%	0.0806	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.103472	-0.47%	0.09172	-11.77%	0.1171	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.110451	-0.87%	0.091335	-18.03%	0.1993	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.086841	-0.25%	0.08947	+2.77%	0.0041	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.084757	-0.33%	0.08738	+2.75%	0.0090	✗	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.094083	-0.81%	0.094725	-0.13%	0.0287	✗	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.091547	-0.88%	0.102185	+10.64%	0.1077	✗	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.091148	-0.95%	0.098305	+6.83%	0.0658	✗	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.093854	-1.17%	0.10396	+9.48%	0.0798	✗	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.099709	-1.50%	0.11142	+10.07%	0.0861	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.126418	-3.15%	0.087055	-33.31%	0.4149	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.098485	-1.71%	0.08504	-15.13%	0.2189	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.080634	-0.75%	0.09485	+16.75%	0.0944	✗	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.079928	-0.89%	0.09236	+14.52%	0.0864	✗	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.074419	-0.61%	0.09202	+22.90%	0.1668	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.066781	-0.34%	0.09496	+41.71%	0.3156	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.070727	-0.51%	0.101225	+42.39%	0.3321	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.082284	-1.36%	0.13053	+56.47%	0.4752	✗	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.096618	-2.89%	0.1002	+0.71%	0.0835	✗	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.091936	-2.45%	0.081245	-13.79%	0.0787	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.09136	-2.57%	0.08065	-13.99%	0.0795	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.086408	-2.31%	0.074875	-15.35%	0.0900	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.094548	-3.36%	0.06701	-31.51%	0.2985	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.092162	-3.32%	0.07109	-25.43%	0.2178	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.076286	-1.94%	0.08342	+7.23%	0.1438	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.074538	-2.10%	0.09949	+30.68%	0.3356	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.076583	-2.53%	0.094245	+19.94%	0.2434	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.070465	-1.52%	0.09377	+31.06%	0.3232	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.068155	-1.37%	0.08845	+28.00%	0.2638	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.07334	-2.11%	0.097835	+30.59%	0.2892	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.071665	-1.99%	0.09533	+30.37%	0.2962	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.062204	-1.04%	0.077795	+23.76%	0.1830	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.063925	-1.12%	0.076135	+17.76%	0.1221	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.063946	-1.23%	0.078575	+21.37%	0.1627	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.068824	-1.86%	0.07155	+2.02%	0.0066	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.065287	-1.68%	0.0691	+4.07%	0.0098	✓	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.061159	-1.58%	0.07492	+20.57%	0.1697	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.062009	-1.62%	0.07312	+16.01%	0.1682	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.068528	-2.31%	0.06286	-10.39%	0.0504	✓	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.063872	-1.70%	0.06465	-0.51%	0.0958	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.069856	-1.96%	0.06474	-9.14%	0.0523	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.069954	-1.96%	0.07013	-1.71%	0.1712	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.074875	-2.73%	0.0664	-13.74%	0.0929	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.074202	-2.81%	0.06214	-18.61%	0.0257	✓	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.061083	+0.32%	0.06303	+3.51%	0.1948	✓	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.062529	+0.50%	0.07015	+12.75%	0.2873	✓	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.062594	+0.67%	0.06498	+4.51%	0.1932	✓	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.068156	-0.87%	0.07125	+3.63%	0.1342	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.068201	-0.44%	0.07135	+4.16%	0.0959	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.071505	-0.76%	0.076975	+6.84%	0.1169	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.070922	-0.25%	0.07635	+7.38%	0.1050	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.081809	-2.61%	0.06089	-27.51%	0.2489	✓	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.075811	-1.09%	0.062215	-18.83%	0.1609	✓	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.071103	+0.47%	0.062175	-12.14%	0.1237	✗	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.07204	+0.77%	0.068755	-3.83%	0.0500	✗	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.071262	+1.17%	0.0685	-2.75%	0.0347	✗	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.075961	+0.23%	0.07205	-4.93%	0.0373	✗	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.074776	-0.18%	0.0711	-5.09%	0.0100	✓	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.085051	-2.15%	0.084	-3.36%	0.0149	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.087529	-1.46%	0.07665	-13.71%	0.1177	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.107855	-2.41%	0.07077	-35.97%	0.4049	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.103058	-1.60%	0.07149	-31.74%	0.3386	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.097502	-0.77%	0.07044	-28.31%	0.2943	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.0949	-1.42%	0.07579	-21.27%	0.2090	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.089352	-0.81%	0.07491	-16.84%	0.1694	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.091057	-0.98%	0.08692	-5.48%	0.0529	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.088167	+0.14%	0.08883	+0.89%	0.0237	✓	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.090289	-0.26%	0.11052	+22.09%	0.2054	✗	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.093838	-0.93%	0.10473	+10.57%	0.0950	✗	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.097473	-1.50%	0.09826	-0.71%	0.0229	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.113956	-2.09%	0.09627	-17.29%	0.1834	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.107992	-1.99%	0.09008	-18.24%	0.1959	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.110023	-2.09%	0.091955	-18.17%	0.2099	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.126892	-2.31%	0.088045	-32.22%	0.4151	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.135287	-2.30%	0.09052	-34.63%	0.4602	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.133951	-2.20%	0.09472	-30.84%	0.3782	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.131427	-1.78%	0.09896	-26.04%	0.2823	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.131994	-1.99%	0.11639	-13.58%	0.1390	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.120465	-1.81%	0.11018	-10.19%	0.0992	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.133007	-2.07%	0.11237	-17.27%	0.1430	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.112755	-1.73%	0.12989	+13.20%	0.1734	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.126714	-3.01%	0.13847	+5.99%	0.0891	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.110461	-3.07%	0.136965	+20.19%	0.1955	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.08438	-2.11%	0.13381	+55.23%	0.3975	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.089469	-1.92%	0.134675	+47.64%	0.3840	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.119626	-2.94%	0.122685	-0.46%	0.0205	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.153931	-7.35%	0.13582	-18.25%	0.1658	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.083424	-2.47%	0.11474	+34.14%	0.2747	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.073481	-2.21%	0.13065	+73.86%	0.5467	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.064284	-2.15%	0.11396	+73.46%	0.5536	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.057949	-2.62%	0.0862	+44.86%	0.3547	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.053322	-2.49%	0.09122	+66.81%	0.5013	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.052495	-2.53%	0.12325	+128.86%	0.7989	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.052272	-2.46%	0.16615	+210.04%	1.1106	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.060521	-2.29%	0.085535	+38.09%	0.2945	✗	1.00