BASED

Based · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #838
symbol: BASED
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x4f2b33840227ddd0e28da8d4185d6fa07adfed87
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-30
predictions: 591

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

167

of 197 predictions shown

direction hit

56.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2746

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0196

actual -0.0910

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05086	0.050341	-1.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-10-20	oos	0.050125	0.049594	-1.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-19	oos	0.047365	0.046675	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.048835	0.047832	-2.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05305	0.052082	-1.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-16	oos	0.056	0.055067	-1.67%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-15	oos	0.0446	0.043452	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-14	oos	0.043815	0.042775	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-13	oos	0.047865	0.047116	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05471	0.053916	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-11	oos	0.066235	0.065248	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.068045	0.066914	-1.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.068525	0.067327	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-08	oos	0.065965	0.064856	-1.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-07	oos	0.06749	0.066327	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-06	oos	0.06713	0.066097	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	0.06217	0.061377	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-04	oos	0.062415	0.061718	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-03	oos	0.06187	0.060932	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-02	oos	0.06284	0.061887	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-01	oos	0.065225	0.06425	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-30	oos	0.06616	0.065075	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-29	oos	0.0669	0.065812	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.06719	0.066104	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-27	oos	0.07096	0.06984	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-26	oos	0.071135	0.070022	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-09-25	oos	0.069215	0.068135	-1.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.06689	0.06594	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.06365	0.062861	-1.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-22	oos	0.068925	0.06851	-0.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-09-21	oos	0.06818	0.068255	+0.11%	0.05086	-25.40%	0.2623	✗	0.69
2026-09-20	oos	0.066145	0.065155	-1.50%	0.050125	-24.22%	0.2765	✓	0.66
2026-09-19	oos	0.06551	0.064571	-1.43%	0.047365	-27.70%	0.3148	✓	0.66
2026-09-18	oos	0.06518	0.064256	-1.42%	0.048835	-25.08%	0.2830	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.06246	0.061502	-1.53%	0.05305	-15.07%	0.1842	✓	0.57
2026-09-16	oos	0.06142	0.060443	-1.59%	0.056	-8.82%	0.1154	✓	0.57
2026-09-15	oos	0.0632	0.062203	-1.58%	0.0446	-29.43%	0.3660	✓	0.40
2026-09-14	oos	0.062645	0.061722	-1.47%	0.043815	-30.06%	0.3601	✓	0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.06183	0.060835	-1.61%	0.047865	-22.59%	0.2725	✓	0.41
2026-09-12	oos	0.06403	0.063243	-1.23%	0.05471	-14.56%	0.1690	✓	0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.064245	0.063645	-0.93%	0.066235	+3.10%	0.0042	✓	0.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.06059	0.060047	-0.90%	0.068045	+12.30%	0.0930	✗	0.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.06193	0.06184	-0.15%	0.068525	+10.65%	0.0820	✗	0.39
2026-09-08	oos	0.06767	0.068128	+0.68%	0.065965	-2.52%	0.0530	✗	0.51
2026-09-07	oos	0.06744	0.068011	+0.85%	0.06749	+0.07%	0.0344	✗	0.52
2026-09-06	oos	0.067405	0.068085	+1.01%	0.06713	-0.41%	0.0465	✗	0.52
2026-09-05	oos	0.068755	0.069691	+1.36%	0.06217	-9.58%	0.1523	✗	0.53
2026-09-04	oos	0.068655	0.069921	+1.84%	0.062415	-9.09%	0.1605	✗	0.57
2026-09-03	oos	0.06963	0.071724	+3.01%	0.06187	-11.14%	0.1711	✗	0.56
2026-09-02	oos	0.06727	0.068702	+2.13%	0.06284	-6.59%	0.1365	✗	0.53
2026-09-01	oos	0.067465	0.069225	+2.61%	0.065225	-3.32%	0.1100	✗	0.55
2026-08-31	oos	0.068375	0.070728	+3.44%	0.06616	-3.24%	0.0932	✗	0.43
2026-08-30	oos	0.06784	0.070173	+3.44%	0.0669	-1.39%	0.0875	✗	0.54
2026-08-29	oos	0.0706	0.073364	+3.91%	0.06719	-4.83%	0.1213	✗	0.52
2026-08-28	oos	0.07148	0.07459	+4.35%	0.07096	-0.73%	0.0927	✗	0.52
2026-08-27	oos	0.07326	0.077638	+5.98%	0.071135	-2.90%	0.1136	✗	0.52
2026-08-26	oos	0.072215	0.076564	+6.02%	0.069215	-4.15%	0.1320	✗	0.50
2026-08-25	oos	0.06901	0.073317	+6.24%	0.06689	-3.07%	0.1277	✗	0.50
2026-08-24	oos	0.072275	0.077355	+7.03%	0.06365	-11.93%	0.2272	✗	0.49
2026-08-23	oos	0.07345	0.078295	+6.60%	0.068925	-6.16%	0.1833	✗	0.54
2026-08-22	oos	0.07444	0.079271	+6.49%	0.06818	-8.41%	0.2143	✗	0.54
2026-08-21	oos	0.09093	0.096946	+6.62%	0.066145	-27.26%	0.3986	✗	0.46
2026-08-20	oos	0.084175	0.086231	+2.44%	0.06551	-22.17%	0.3151	✗	0.38
2026-08-19	oos	0.080745	0.079342	-1.74%	0.06518	-19.28%	0.2692	✓	0.47
2026-08-18	oos	0.078975	0.076609	-3.00%	0.06246	-20.91%	0.2879	✓	0.50
2026-08-17	oos	0.07742	0.074775	-3.42%	0.06142	-20.67%	0.2850	✓	0.53
2026-08-16	oos	0.077985	0.074258	-4.78%	0.0632	-18.96%	0.2635	✓	0.55
2026-08-15	oos	0.07977	0.076311	-4.34%	0.062645	-21.47%	0.3161	✓	0.55
2026-08-14	oos	0.07509	0.0722	-3.85%	0.06183	-17.66%	0.2664	✓	0.56
2026-08-13	oos	0.075375	0.072562	-3.73%	0.06403	-15.05%	0.2346	✓	0.56
2026-08-12	oos	0.07654	0.074121	-3.16%	0.064245	-16.06%	0.2738	✓	0.66
2026-08-11	oos	0.07666	0.074795	-2.43%	0.06059	-20.96%	0.3285	✓	0.63
2026-08-10	oos	0.07734	0.075633	-2.21%	0.06193	-19.93%	0.3461	✓	0.72
2026-08-09	oos	0.074055	0.07246	-2.15%	0.06767	-8.62%	0.2044	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.077215	0.075494	-2.23%	0.06744	-12.66%	0.2530	✓	0.71
2026-08-07	oos	0.07789	0.076111	-2.28%	0.067405	-13.46%	0.2743	✓	0.72
2026-08-06	oos	0.08424	0.08127	-3.53%	0.068755	-18.38%	0.3338	✓	0.77
2026-08-05	oos	0.08051	0.078311	-2.73%	0.068655	-14.72%	0.2928	✓	0.77
2026-08-04	oos	0.07671	0.075003	-2.22%	0.06963	-9.23%	0.2468	✓	0.72
2026-08-03	oos	0.07648	0.074854	-2.13%	0.06727	-12.04%	0.2481	✓	0.72
2026-08-02	oos	0.07587	0.074307	-2.06%	0.067465	-11.08%	0.2325	✓	0.69
2026-08-01	oos	0.075195	0.073779	-1.88%	0.068375	-9.07%	0.2224	✓	0.65
2026-07-31	oos	0.07904	0.077139	-2.41%	0.06784	-14.17%	0.2662	✓	0.65
2026-07-30	oos	0.079515	0.077826	-2.12%	0.0706	-11.21%	0.2261	✓	0.68
2026-07-29	oos	0.080195	0.078572	-2.02%	0.07148	-10.87%	0.2239	✓	0.66
2026-07-28	oos	0.07921	0.0781	-1.40%	0.07326	-7.51%	0.2034	✓	0.61
2026-07-27	oos	0.079315	0.078245	-1.35%	0.072215	-8.95%	0.2136	✓	0.62
2026-07-26	oos	0.08704	0.085583	-1.67%	0.06901	-20.71%	0.3166	✓	0.55
2026-07-25	oos	0.08458	0.08345	-1.34%	0.072275	-14.55%	0.2505	✓	0.52
2026-07-24	oos	0.084415	0.083375	-1.23%	0.07345	-12.99%	0.2258	✓	0.51
2026-07-23	oos	0.07593	0.07563	-0.39%	0.07444	-1.96%	0.1140	✓	0.58
2026-07-22	oos	0.08425	0.084564	+0.37%	0.09093	+7.93%	0.0231	✗	0.56
2026-07-21	oos	0.08541	0.08734	+2.26%	0.084175	-1.45%	0.0908	✗	0.58
2026-07-20	oos	0.085835	0.086328	+0.57%	0.080745	-5.93%	0.0951	✗	0.47
2026-07-19	oos	0.09025	0.090017	-0.26%	0.078975	-12.49%	0.1309	✓	0.52
2026-07-18	oos	0.09212	0.091915	-0.22%	0.07742	-15.96%	0.1678	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.09172	0.091365	-0.39%	0.077985	-14.97%	0.1449	✓	0.81
2026-07-16	oos	0.091335	0.09106	-0.30%	0.07977	-12.66%	0.1211	✓	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.08947	0.089817	+0.39%	0.07509	-16.07%	0.1602	✗	0.69
2026-07-14	oos	0.08738	0.087831	+0.52%	0.075375	-13.74%	0.1330	✗	0.82
2026-07-13	oos	0.094725	0.094385	-0.36%	0.07654	-19.20%	0.2285	✓	1.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.102185	0.102328	+0.14%	0.07666	-24.98%	0.2856	✗	0.99
2026-07-11	oos	0.098305	0.098074	-0.24%	0.07734	-21.33%	0.2398	✓	1.06
2026-07-10	oos	0.10396	0.103568	-0.38%	0.074055	-28.77%	0.3460	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.11142	0.110809	-0.55%	0.077215	-30.70%	0.3881	✓	0.99
2026-07-08	oos	0.087055	0.086588	-0.54%	0.07789	-10.53%	0.1421	✓	0.87
2026-07-07	oos	0.08504	0.08454	-0.59%	0.08424	-0.94%	0.0158	✓	0.83
2026-07-06	oos	0.09485	0.093984	-0.91%	0.08051	-15.12%	0.1622	✓	0.80
2026-07-05	oos	0.09236	0.091485	-0.95%	0.07671	-16.94%	0.1827	✓	0.89
2026-07-04	oos	0.09202	0.091081	-1.02%	0.07648	-16.89%	0.1801	✓	0.90
2026-07-03	oos	0.09496	0.093791	-1.23%	0.07587	-20.10%	0.2258	✓	0.89
2026-07-02	oos	0.101225	0.09977	-1.44%	0.075195	-25.71%	0.3017	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.13053	0.127978	-1.96%	0.07904	-39.45%	0.5343	✓	1.12
2026-06-30	oos	0.1002	0.098856	-1.34%	0.079515	-20.64%	0.3098	✓	0.91
2026-06-29	oos	0.081245	0.080225	-1.26%	0.080195	-1.29%	0.0665	✓	1.10
2026-06-28	oos	0.08065	0.079659	-1.23%	0.07921	-1.79%	0.0674	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.074875	0.073998	-1.17%	0.079315	+5.93%	0.0154	✗	0.89
2026-06-26	oos	0.06701	0.066321	-1.03%	0.08704	+29.89%	0.1963	✗	0.89
2026-06-25	oos	0.07109	0.070212	-1.23%	0.08458	+18.98%	0.1197	✗	0.90
2026-06-24	oos	0.08342	0.081602	-2.18%	0.084415	+1.19%	0.0065	✓	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.09949	0.095855	-3.65%	0.07593	-23.68%	0.2591	✓	0.69
2026-06-22	oos	0.094245	0.09089	-3.56%	0.08425	-10.61%	0.1001	✓	0.74
2026-06-21	oos	0.09377	0.090413	-3.58%	0.08541	-8.92%	0.0942	✓	0.74
2026-06-20	oos	0.08845	0.085463	-3.38%	0.085835	-2.96%	0.0075	✓	0.77
2026-06-19	oos	0.097835	0.093554	-4.38%	0.09025	-7.75%	0.0513	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.09533	0.091071	-4.47%	0.09212	-3.37%	0.0128	✓	0.81
2026-06-17	oos	0.077795	0.075339	-3.16%	0.09172	+17.90%	0.2052	✗	0.98
2026-06-16	oos	0.076135	0.073572	-3.37%	0.091335	+19.96%	0.2451	✗	1.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.078575	0.075682	-3.68%	0.08947	+13.87%	0.1913	✗	1.01
2026-06-14	oos	0.07155	0.069386	-3.02%	0.08738	+22.12%	0.2413	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0691	0.06704	-2.98%	0.094725	+37.08%	0.3786	✗	0.96
2026-06-12	oos	0.07492	0.071967	-3.94%	0.102185	+36.39%	0.3474	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.07312	0.070191	-4.01%	0.098305	+34.44%	0.3335	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.06286	0.061178	-2.68%	0.10396	+65.38%	0.4937	✗	0.85
2026-06-09	oos	0.06465	0.062922	-2.67%	0.11142	+72.34%	0.5511	✗	0.85
2026-06-08	oos	0.06474	0.062709	-3.14%	0.087055	+34.47%	0.3395	✗	0.87
2026-06-07	oos	0.07013	0.06736	-3.95%	0.08504	+21.26%	0.2328	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0664	0.064201	-3.31%	0.09485	+42.85%	0.3488	✗	0.82
2026-06-05	oos	0.06214	0.059987	-3.46%	0.09236	+48.63%	0.3977	✗	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.06303	0.060627	-3.81%	0.09202	+45.99%	0.4273	✗	0.88
2026-06-03	oos	0.07015	0.06686	-4.69%	0.09496	+35.37%	0.3718	✗	0.87
2026-06-02	oos	0.06498	0.06235	-4.05%	0.101225	+55.78%	0.5719	✗	1.08
2026-06-01	oos	0.07125	0.068117	-4.40%	0.13053	+83.20%	0.8314	✗	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.07135	0.068077	-4.59%	0.1002	+40.43%	0.6433	✗	1.12
2026-05-30	oos	0.076975	0.072653	-5.61%	0.081245	+5.55%	0.3373	✗	1.11
2026-05-29	oos	0.07635	0.071738	-6.04%	0.08065	+5.63%	0.3488	✗	1.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.06089	0.057945	-4.84%	0.074875	+22.97%	0.4920	✗	1.15
2026-05-27	oos	0.062215	0.058936	-5.27%	0.06701	+7.71%	0.3760	✗	1.16
2026-05-26	oos	0.062175	0.058868	-5.32%	0.07109	+14.34%	0.4776	✗	1.21
2026-05-25	oos	0.068755	0.064569	-6.09%	0.08342	+21.33%	0.5219	✗	1.12
2026-05-24	oos	0.0685	0.064571	-5.74%	0.09949	+45.24%	0.6637	✗	1.12
2026-05-23	oos	0.07205	0.067839	-5.84%	0.094245	+30.80%	0.5330	✗	1.13
2026-05-22	oos	0.0711	0.067167	-5.53%	0.09377	+31.88%	0.5315	✗	1.12
2026-05-21	oos	0.084	0.078324	-6.76%	0.08845	+5.30%	0.2854	✗	0.87
2026-05-20	oos	0.07665	0.071742	-6.40%	0.097835	+27.64%	0.4860	✗	0.88
2026-05-19	oos	0.07077	0.066696	-5.76%	0.09533	+34.70%	0.5261	✗	0.85
2026-05-18	oos	0.07149	0.067696	-5.31%	0.077795	+8.82%	0.2894	✗	0.85
2026-05-17	oos	0.07044	0.06706	-4.80%	0.076135	+8.08%	0.2704	✗	0.87
2026-05-16	oos	0.07579	0.072259	-4.66%	0.078575	+3.67%	0.2193	✗	0.82
2026-05-15	oos	0.07491	0.071934	-3.97%	0.07155	-4.49%	0.1543	✗	0.86
2026-05-14	oos	0.08692	0.083499	-3.94%	0.0691	-20.50%	0.0482	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.08883	0.085092	-4.21%	0.07492	-15.66%	0.0165	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.11052	0.106594	-3.55%	0.07312	-33.84%	0.2948	✓	0.35
2026-05-11	oos	0.10473	0.10215	-2.46%	0.06286	-39.98%	0.3572	✓	0.45
2026-05-10	oos	0.09826	0.096774	-1.51%	0.06465	-34.21%	0.2559	✓	0.51
2026-05-09	oos	0.09627	0.092892	-3.51%	0.06474	-32.75%	0.2400	✓	0.49
2026-05-08	oos	0.09008	0.08652	-3.95%	0.07013	-22.15%	0.0952	✓	0.49
2026-05-07	oos	0.091955	0.088432	-3.83%	0.0664	-27.79%	0.1544	✓	0.48
2026-05-06	oos	0.088045	0.08639	-1.88%	0.06214	-29.42%	0.1546	✓	0.61
2026-05-05	oos	0.09052	0.088755	-1.95%	0.06303	-30.37%	0.1978	✓	0.61
2026-05-04	oos	0.09472	0.092299	-2.56%	0.07015	-25.94%	0.1337	✓	0.64
2026-05-03	oos	0.09896	0.095855	-3.14%	0.06498	-34.34%	0.2766	✓	0.68
2026-05-02	oos	0.11639	0.11273	-3.14%	0.07125	-38.78%	0.4004	✓	0.59
2026-05-01	oos	0.11018	0.106668	-3.19%	0.07135	-35.24%	0.3659	✓	0.59
2026-04-30	oos	0.11237	0.108365	-3.56%	0.076975	-31.50%	0.3202	✓	0.64
2026-04-29	oos	0.12989	0.125213	-3.60%	0.07635	-41.22%	0.4728	✓	0.69
2026-04-28	oos	0.13847	0.133761	-3.40%	0.06089	-56.03%	0.7495	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.136965	0.132976	-2.91%	0.062215	-54.58%	0.7194	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.13381	0.130585	-2.41%	0.062175	-53.53%	0.7052	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.134675	0.130916	-2.79%	0.068755	-48.95%	0.6388	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.122685	0.119627	-2.49%	0.0685	-44.17%	0.5513	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.13582	0.132403	-2.52%	0.07205	-46.95%	0.5874	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.11474	0.112381	-2.06%	0.0711	-38.03%	0.4218	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.13065	0.126374	-3.27%	0.084	-35.71%	0.4240	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.11396	0.110331	-3.18%	0.07665	-32.74%	0.3852	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.0862	0.083578	-3.04%	0.07077	-17.90%	0.2055	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.09122	0.088995	-2.44%	0.07149	-21.63%	0.2348	✓	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.12325	0.119708	-2.87%	0.07044	-42.85%	0.5343	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.16615	0.153866	-7.39%	0.07579	-54.38%	0.7465	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.085535	0.082959	-3.01%	0.07491	-12.42%	0.1569	✓	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.075145	0.072837	-3.07%	0.08692	+15.67%	0.0878	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.0657	0.063776	-2.93%	0.08883	+35.21%	0.2683	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.059505	0.057156	-3.95%	0.11052	+85.73%	0.5306	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.054685	0.052731	-3.57%	0.10473	+91.52%	0.5744	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.053855	0.051885	-3.66%	0.09826	+82.45%	0.5199	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.05359	0.051617	-3.68%	0.09627	+79.64%	0.5070	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.06194	0.059816	-3.43%	0.09008	+45.43%	0.2889	✗	1.00