AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

53.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0627

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0103

actual -0.0043

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.021245	0.020908	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.021361	0.021007	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019427	-1.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020329	-1.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019184	-1.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020233	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021709	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020164	-1.85%	0.021245	+3.41%	0.0211	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018477	-0.91%	0.021361	+14.55%	0.1094	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019192	-0.95%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0281	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018684	-0.71%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.1001	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020411	-1.22%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0264	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022049	-1.88%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0494	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019776	-0.84%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1286	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019771	-0.81%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0325	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.02202	-1.40%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1454	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021514	-1.09%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0725	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022233	-1.25%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1138	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022598	-1.25%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0527	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022543	-1.27%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0214	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022501	-1.25%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.0942	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022708	-1.07%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0876	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023352	-1.23%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0407	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022326	-0.91%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0525	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021674	-0.80%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0063	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024597	-1.31%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.0978	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025145	-1.44%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.1005	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024449	-1.37%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0753	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023806	-1.21%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0420	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023018	-1.12%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0365	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024308	-1.20%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0457	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023077	-1.06%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0178	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.02088	-1.22%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1372	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021114	-1.20%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1508	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021342	-1.19%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1107	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020172	-1.18%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0777	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020329	-1.20%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0328	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.021011	-1.38%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0264	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.02023	-1.03%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0400	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020033	-1.13%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0016	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021229	-1.58%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0435	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020256	-0.94%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0179	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018564	-0.39%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.0974	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020023	-0.48%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0549	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020423	-0.39%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0795	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.02075	-0.11%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020694	+0.44%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0240	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020691	+0.48%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0743	✓	1.00