AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 144

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 48 predictions shown

direction hit

59.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0416

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0024

actual -0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.021245	0.021158	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.021361	0.021262	-0.46%	0.021245	-0.54%	0.0035	✓	1.17
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019631	-0.31%	0.021361	+8.47%	0.0698	✗	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020581	-0.47%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0597	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019386	-0.31%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0670	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020469	-0.38%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0605	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.022026	-0.67%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0678	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020428	-0.56%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0914	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018621	-0.14%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0901	✗	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019346	-0.15%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0146	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018801	-0.08%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0107	✗	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020604	-0.28%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0652	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.02235	-0.53%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0890	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019918	-0.13%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1157	✗	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019909	-0.12%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0098	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022263	-0.32%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0912	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.0217	-0.23%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0587	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022451	-0.28%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0290	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022819	-0.29%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0036	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022768	-0.29%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0181	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022722	-0.28%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0018	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022902	-0.22%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0005	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023579	-0.27%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0448	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022493	-0.17%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0510	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021817	-0.14%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0297	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024848	-0.31%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1158	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025424	-0.35%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0204	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024707	-0.33%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0283	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.024029	-0.28%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0346	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023219	-0.26%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0371	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024531	-0.29%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0310	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023264	-0.25%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0606	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021078	-0.28%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0364	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021314	-0.26%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0074	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021546	-0.25%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0126	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020366	-0.23%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0012	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020528	-0.23%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0083	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.021239	-0.31%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0391	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020401	-0.20%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0770	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.02021	-0.26%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0064	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021471	-0.45%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0519	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020417	-0.15%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0542	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018643	+0.03%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0836	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020119	-0.01%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0540	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020507	+0.02%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0169	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020793	+0.09%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0059	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020648	+0.22%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020638	+0.22%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0080	✗	1.00