AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · lstm_s2

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

56.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0415

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0005

actual -0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.01948	+0.00%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019701	+0.04%	0.019479	-1.08%	0.0080	✗	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020654	-0.12%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0633	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019458	+0.07%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0632	✓	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020544	-0.01%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0642	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.02211	-0.29%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0716	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020489	-0.26%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0884	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018699	+0.28%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0859	✓	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019414	+0.20%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0181	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018879	+0.33%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0066	✓	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020663	+0.00%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0680	✗	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022413	-0.26%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0918	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019959	+0.07%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1136	✓	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019944	+0.05%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0115	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022292	-0.19%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0925	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021738	-0.06%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0569	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022479	-0.16%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0302	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022842	-0.19%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0047	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022777	-0.25%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0185	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.02271	-0.33%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0023	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022907	-0.20%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0007	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023576	-0.28%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0447	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022499	-0.15%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0507	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021827	-0.09%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0292	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024861	-0.25%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1164	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025441	-0.28%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0211	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024728	-0.25%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0274	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.024068	-0.12%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0330	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023265	-0.06%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0351	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024608	+0.02%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0342	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023337	+0.06%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0574	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021104	-0.16%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0352	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021345	-0.12%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0089	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.02158	-0.09%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0142	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.02037	-0.21%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.02053	-0.23%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.02124	-0.31%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0391	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020406	-0.18%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0768	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020203	-0.29%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0060	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021462	-0.49%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0515	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020418	-0.14%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0541	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018624	-0.07%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0847	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020177	+0.28%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0568	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020592	+0.43%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0211	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020897	+0.59%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0109	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020745	+0.69%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020752	+0.78%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0136	✗	1.00