ARGUS
Argus · Arc · lstm_s2
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
70.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3118
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0077
actual -0.3160
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.00812 | -2.45% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007293 | -0.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006978 | +1.75% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005891 | +3.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.007107 | +3.50% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007932 | +3.51% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008925 | +2.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008976 | +3.76% | 0.008324 | -3.77% | 0.0891 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007761 | +3.28% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0549 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.009031 | +3.92% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2764 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011118 | +0.16% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6452 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010812 | +1.43% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4354 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012538 | -0.34% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4796 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013439 | -1.18% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4401 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013738 | -1.94% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4419 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.01326 | -2.14% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5389 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013662 | -2.14% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.4046 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014041 | -1.92% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.2018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013049 | -2.11% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1803 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015179 | -2.01% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1644 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.01394 | -2.07% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0132 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013752 | -2.05% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0220 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014404 | -1.88% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0836 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018881 | -1.61% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021152 | -1.62% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.4144 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023522 | -2.07% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5718 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024144 | -2.47% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4487 | ✓ | 1.00 |