ARGUS
Argus · Arc · lstm_s2
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +1d
assessed
27
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
63.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0998
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
+0.0003
actual -0.0341
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.009037 | 0.008976 | -0.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008983 | 0.008916 | -0.75% | 0.009037 | +0.60% | 0.0168 | ✗ | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007345 | +0.17% | 0.008983 | +22.51% | 0.2228 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006886 | +0.40% | 0.007332 | +6.92% | 0.0863 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005739 | +0.41% | 0.006858 | +19.99% | 0.1747 | ✓ | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006903 | +0.52% | 0.005716 | -16.77% | 0.1764 | ✗ | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007702 | +0.52% | 0.006867 | -10.39% | 0.1172 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008739 | +0.45% | 0.007663 | -11.92% | 0.1238 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008696 | +0.53% | 0.0087 | +0.58% | 0.0063 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007551 | +0.48% | 0.00865 | +15.10% | 0.1546 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008741 | +0.59% | 0.007515 | -13.52% | 0.1677 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011136 | +0.32% | 0.00869 | -21.71% | 0.2246 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.01071 | +0.47% | 0.0111 | +4.13% | 0.0266 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012598 | +0.15% | 0.01066 | -15.26% | 0.1715 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013589 | -0.08% | 0.01258 | -7.50% | 0.0875 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013981 | -0.21% | 0.0136 | -2.93% | 0.0084 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013536 | -0.11% | 0.01401 | +3.39% | 0.0613 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013939 | -0.15% | 0.01355 | -2.94% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014293 | -0.15% | 0.01396 | -2.48% | 0.0148 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013335 | +0.03% | 0.014315 | +7.39% | 0.0503 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015464 | -0.17% | 0.01333 | -13.94% | 0.1513 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014226 | -0.06% | 0.01549 | +8.82% | 0.0892 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.014037 | -0.02% | 0.014235 | +1.39% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014672 | -0.06% | 0.01404 | -4.36% | 0.0430 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.019151 | -0.20% | 0.01468 | -23.50% | 0.2680 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021422 | -0.36% | 0.01919 | -10.74% | 0.0981 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023835 | -0.77% | 0.0215 | -10.49% | 0.1036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024482 | -1.10% | 0.02402 | -2.97% | 0.0229 | ✓ | 1.00 |