XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s1

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +7d

assessed

308

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

58.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1026

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0280

actual -0.0045

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.076759	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.075511	-3.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.073722	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.074095	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.075924	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.079808	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.082727	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.077694	-3.20%	0.07959	-0.83%	0.0023	✓	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.080151	-3.04%	0.078225	-5.37%	0.0212	✓	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.078141	-2.92%	0.076335	-5.16%	0.0252	✓	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.085784	-2.96%	0.07672	-13.22%	0.0806	✓	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.084768	-2.92%	0.078665	-9.91%	0.0467	✓	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.082277	-2.76%	0.08273	-2.23%	0.0247	✓	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.08155	-2.62%	0.08569	+2.33%	0.0416	✗	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.085291	-2.63%	0.08026	-8.37%	0.0301	✓	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.087422	-2.65%	0.08266	-7.95%	0.0125	✓	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.09227	-2.68%	0.08049	-15.10%	0.0634	✓	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.093846	-2.56%	0.088405	-8.21%	0.0078	✓	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.093139	-2.63%	0.08732	-8.71%	0.0302	✓	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.090952	-2.54%	0.084615	-9.33%	0.0353	✓	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.093359	-2.90%	0.08374	-12.91%	0.0494	✓	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.091635	-3.40%	0.087595	-7.66%	0.0397	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.092316	-3.60%	0.0898	-6.23%	0.0638	✓	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.094345	-4.00%	0.09481	-3.53%	0.0389	✓	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.101216	-4.59%	0.096315	-9.21%	0.0906	✓	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.10556	-5.30%	0.095655	-14.18%	0.1052	✓	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.107899	-5.87%	0.09332	-18.59%	0.1536	✓	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.105369	-4.94%	0.09615	-13.26%	0.1011	✓	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.087675	-2.58%	0.09486	+5.40%	0.0961	✗	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.093677	-2.80%	0.095765	-0.63%	0.0713	✗	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.095225	-2.82%	0.09828	+0.30%	0.0894	✗	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.086748	-2.79%	0.10609	+18.89%	0.1408	✗	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.089432	-2.99%	0.111465	+20.91%	0.1626	✗	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.090875	-3.13%	0.11463	+22.19%	0.1731	✗	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.084855	-2.93%	0.11085	+26.80%	0.1158	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.078875	-2.59%	0.09	+11.15%	0.0237	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.079777	-2.57%	0.096375	+17.70%	0.0208	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.081921	-2.38%	0.09799	+16.77%	0.0272	✗	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.076148	-2.12%	0.089235	+14.71%	0.0787	✗	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.078516	-1.93%	0.092185	+15.14%	0.0882	✗	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.081112	-1.66%	0.093815	+13.74%	0.0785	✗	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.082737	-1.61%	0.08742	+3.96%	0.0587	✗	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.088245	-1.05%	0.080975	-9.21%	0.0462	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.096782	-1.58%	0.08188	-16.74%	0.1086	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.092943	+0.00%	0.083915	-9.71%	0.0834	✗	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.09089	+1.46%	0.077795	-13.16%	0.0806	✗	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.09491	+1.92%	0.08006	-14.02%	0.1157	✗	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.095642	+2.62%	0.08248	-11.50%	0.0960	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.099483	+3.12%	0.08409	-12.83%	0.0687	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.085556	+2.73%	0.089185	+7.09%	0.0192	✓	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.08534	+3.27%	0.09834	+19.00%	0.1176	✓	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.087333	+4.13%	0.09294	+10.81%	0.0514	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.087343	+3.87%	0.08958	+6.53%	0.0274	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.090483	+4.16%	0.09312	+7.19%	0.0012	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.087978	+4.04%	0.0932	+10.21%	0.0232	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.093893	+4.08%	0.09647	+6.94%	0.0091	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.09092	+3.65%	0.08328	-5.06%	0.0554	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.093011	+2.81%	0.08264	-8.65%	0.0974	✗	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.099146	+1.82%	0.08387	-13.86%	0.1597	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.101799	+0.16%	0.08409	-17.27%	0.1899	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.093816	+0.10%	0.08687	-7.31%	0.0986	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.101309	-0.29%	0.084565	-16.77%	0.1720	✓	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.087488	-1.56%	0.09021	+1.51%	0.0954	✓	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.078748	-2.07%	0.08772	+9.09%	0.0658	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.073728	-2.85%	0.09047	+19.21%	0.0688	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.073977	-2.76%	0.09737	+27.98%	0.0156	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.072616	-2.95%	0.10164	+35.84%	0.0271	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.073696	-2.83%	0.09372	+23.58%	0.0516	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.074191	-2.84%	0.1016	+33.05%	0.0039	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.073245	-2.80%	0.08887	+17.94%	0.0131	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.071786	-2.89%	0.08041	+8.78%	0.0197	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.07638	-2.73%	0.07589	-3.36%	0.0332	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.076551	-2.71%	0.07608	-3.30%	0.0193	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.07459	-2.64%	0.074825	-2.33%	0.0513	✗	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.073983	-2.76%	0.07584	-0.32%	0.0701	✗	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.073589	-2.86%	0.07636	+0.80%	0.0825	✗	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.072899	-2.90%	0.075355	+0.37%	0.0530	✗	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.07288	-2.79%	0.07392	-1.40%	0.0423	✗	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.075816	-2.67%	0.078525	+0.81%	0.0472	✗	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.075435	-2.77%	0.07868	+1.42%	0.0315	✗	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.073903	-2.76%	0.07661	+0.80%	0.0039	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.073035	-2.81%	0.076085	+1.24%	0.0095	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.071485	-2.81%	0.075755	+3.00%	0.0095	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.076128	-2.46%	0.07508	-3.81%	0.0034	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.075206	-2.52%	0.07497	-2.83%	0.0191	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.081502	-2.45%	0.077895	-6.77%	0.0499	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.076918	-2.45%	0.07758	-1.61%	0.0137	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.083179	-2.43%	0.076	-10.85%	0.0499	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.081226	-2.43%	0.07515	-9.73%	0.0437	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.082573	-2.45%	0.07355	-13.11%	0.0878	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.079217	-2.38%	0.07805	-3.82%	0.0075	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.082872	-2.39%	0.07715	-9.13%	0.0236	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.081733	-2.29%	0.08355	-0.12%	0.0804	✗	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.083043	-2.36%	0.07885	-7.29%	0.0183	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.078539	-2.31%	0.08525	+6.03%	0.0678	✗	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.080831	-2.26%	0.08325	+0.67%	0.0401	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.083238	-2.30%	0.08465	-0.65%	0.0127	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.084407	-2.31%	0.08115	-6.08%	0.0687	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.089681	-2.52%	0.0849	-7.72%	0.0829	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.090816	-2.56%	0.08365	-10.25%	0.1136	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.087366	-2.38%	0.08505	-4.97%	0.0900	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.086814	-2.29%	0.0804	-9.51%	0.0973	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.088777	-2.34%	0.0827	-9.02%	0.0945	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.089639	-2.41%	0.0852	-7.24%	0.0452	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.092858	-2.66%	0.0864	-9.43%	0.0867	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.088832	-2.27%	0.092	+1.21%	0.0260	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.095937	-2.90%	0.0932	-5.67%	0.0686	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.104294	-4.49%	0.0895	-18.04%	0.1114	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.102566	-3.83%	0.08885	-16.69%	0.1473	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.102538	-3.81%	0.0909	-14.73%	0.1370	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.102448	-3.99%	0.09185	-13.92%	0.1481	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.092986	-2.22%	0.0954	+0.32%	0.0150	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.088978	-2.01%	0.0909	+0.11%	0.0340	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.085018	-1.83%	0.0988	+14.09%	0.0394	✗	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.099814	-4.85%	0.1092	+4.10%	0.0105	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.09334	-2.57%	0.10665	+11.33%	0.0486	✗	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.096721	-4.09%	0.1066	+5.70%	0.0326	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.09817	-5.33%	0.1067	+2.89%	0.0314	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.098959	-5.66%	0.0951	-9.34%	0.0770	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.090025	-2.15%	0.0908	-1.30%	0.0316	✗	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.087074	-1.94%	0.0866	-2.48%	0.0924	✗	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.083444	-1.66%	0.1049	+23.63%	0.3194	✗	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.087198	-2.24%	0.0958	+7.40%	0.1864	✗	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.090148	-4.40%	0.10085	+6.95%	0.2146	✗	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.095212	-5.54%	0.1037	+2.88%	0.1704	✗	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.092468	-5.45%	0.1049	+7.26%	0.2037	✗	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.10488	-6.86%	0.092	-18.29%	0.0530	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.087476	-4.19%	0.0888	-2.74%	0.0871	✗	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.086474	-4.08%	0.08485	-5.88%	0.0379	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.086342	-3.64%	0.0892	-0.45%	0.0939	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.084325	-3.08%	0.0943	+8.39%	0.1172	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.080272	-2.82%	0.1008	+22.03%	0.2293	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.073876	-2.02%	0.0978	+29.71%	0.2981	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.062085	+1.45%	0.1126	+83.99%	0.5249	✓	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.066553	+0.69%	0.0913	+38.12%	0.2244	✓	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.069573	-0.61%	0.09015	+28.79%	0.1859	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.069079	-0.32%	0.0896	+29.29%	0.2039	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.067113	+2.46%	0.087	+32.82%	0.1777	✓	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.068452	+2.17%	0.0826	+23.28%	0.1305	✓	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.082375	-2.40%	0.0754	-10.66%	0.0838	✓	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.088925	-5.30%	0.0612	-34.82%	0.3172	✓	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.083051	-3.65%	0.0661	-23.32%	0.1145	✓	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.087916	-5.47%	0.07	-24.73%	0.0631	✓	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.084487	-5.18%	0.0693	-22.22%	0.0116	✓	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.085921	-5.58%	0.0655	-28.02%	0.0011	✓	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.083607	-5.74%	0.067	-24.46%	0.0380	✓	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.089806	-5.96%	0.0844	-11.62%	0.1416	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.080882	-4.96%	0.0939	+10.34%	0.3691	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.083597	-5.11%	0.0862	-2.16%	0.2231	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.081761	-4.98%	0.093	+8.08%	0.2603	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.077529	-4.64%	0.0891	+9.59%	0.2131	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.080001	-5.10%	0.091	+7.95%	0.1896	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.07849	-4.51%	0.0887	+7.91%	0.1668	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.08504	-5.20%	0.0955	+6.47%	0.1997	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.082893	-4.94%	0.0851	-2.41%	0.0915	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.07827	-4.14%	0.0881	+7.90%	0.1375	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.080074	-4.39%	0.08605	+2.75%	0.0658	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.07995	-4.37%	0.0813	-2.75%	0.0256	✓	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.082671	-4.65%	0.0843	-2.77%	0.0490	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.084789	-4.73%	0.0822	-7.64%	0.0430	✓	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.091973	-4.54%	0.0897	-6.90%	0.0448	✓	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.089574	-4.91%	0.0872	-7.43%	0.0095	✓	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.091495	-4.74%	0.08165	-14.99%	0.0416	✓	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.098058	-4.24%	0.08375	-18.21%	0.0685	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.10275	-4.28%	0.0836	-22.12%	0.1177	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.100993	-4.90%	0.0867	-18.36%	0.1050	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.104121	-5.52%	0.089	-19.24%	0.1360	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.101334	-4.94%	0.09635	-9.62%	0.0699	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.096221	-3.83%	0.0942	-5.85%	0.0128	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.088892	-3.95%	0.09605	+3.78%	0.0840	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.084922	-3.93%	0.1024	+15.84%	0.1587	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.086146	-3.96%	0.10735	+19.68%	0.1634	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.087263	-3.68%	0.1062	+17.22%	0.1654	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.087857	-3.56%	0.1102	+20.97%	0.1956	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.088019	-3.49%	0.1066	+16.89%	0.1295	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.089951	-3.33%	0.10005	+7.52%	0.0114	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.093052	-3.17%	0.09255	-3.69%	0.0844	✓	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.095441	-3.01%	0.0884	-10.16%	0.1195	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.097841	-2.84%	0.0897	-10.92%	0.0849	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.097289	-2.86%	0.0906	-9.54%	0.0893	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.097239	-2.81%	0.0911	-8.95%	0.0790	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.098388	-2.63%	0.0912	-9.75%	0.0404	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.099062	-2.64%	0.09305	-8.55%	0.0184	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.09958	-2.94%	0.0961	-6.34%	0.0350	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.1013	-3.16%	0.0984	-5.93%	0.0565	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.100255	-3.46%	0.1007	-3.03%	0.0868	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.105599	-3.43%	0.10015	-8.41%	0.0886	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.121407	-4.70%	0.10005	-21.47%	0.2001	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.132843	-5.65%	0.10105	-28.23%	0.3327	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.124539	-4.97%	0.10175	-22.36%	0.2660	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.126823	-5.36%	0.1026	-23.43%	0.2543	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.131909	-5.78%	0.1046	-25.29%	0.2596	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.117747	-5.23%	0.10385	-16.42%	0.1862	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.128628	-5.91%	0.10935	-20.01%	0.2125	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.122938	-5.69%	0.1274	-2.26%	0.0412	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.116448	-5.44%	0.1408	+14.33%	0.1259	✗	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.11743	-5.83%	0.13105	+5.09%	0.0377	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.122345	-6.11%	0.134	+2.84%	0.0476	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.112603	-6.24%	0.14	+16.57%	0.1070	✗	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.113995	-6.29%	0.12425	+2.14%	0.0505	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.109615	-6.59%	0.1367	+16.49%	0.1048	✗	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.103192	-6.44%	0.13035	+18.18%	0.1135	✗	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.108871	-8.59%	0.12315	+3.40%	0.0244	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.100893	-4.82%	0.1247	+17.64%	0.1501	✗	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.089985	-3.09%	0.1303	+40.33%	0.2939	✗	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.085769	-2.92%	0.1201	+35.94%	0.2916	✗	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.084177	-2.57%	0.12165	+40.80%	0.3029	✗	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.086505	-2.42%	0.11735	+32.37%	0.2840	✗	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.087319	-2.16%	0.1103	+23.59%	0.2205	✗	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.091561	-2.23%	0.1191	+27.18%	0.3032	✗	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.098033	-2.45%	0.106	+5.47%	0.1445	✗	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.095458	-2.29%	0.09285	-4.96%	0.0205	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.094444	-2.18%	0.08835	-8.49%	0.0204	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.089262	-1.96%	0.0864	-5.11%	0.0083	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.090861	-1.98%	0.08865	-4.37%	0.0309	✗	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.092425	-1.94%	0.08925	-5.31%	0.0527	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.097061	-1.96%	0.09365	-5.40%	0.0116	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.105942	-2.31%	0.1005	-7.33%	0.0539	✓	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.114082	-3.77%	0.0977	-17.59%	0.0866	✓	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.118373	-4.38%	0.09655	-22.01%	0.1236	✓	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.105428	-1.88%	0.09105	-15.26%	0.0466	✓	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.108063	-1.98%	0.0927	-15.92%	0.1054	✓	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.106324	-1.87%	0.09425	-13.01%	0.1114	✓	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.104594	-1.79%	0.099	-7.04%	0.0423	✓	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.09795	-1.66%	0.10845	+8.89%	0.0805	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.097534	-1.63%	0.11855	+19.57%	0.1150	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.089546	-1.60%	0.1238	+36.04%	0.1946	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.091515	-1.65%	0.10745	+15.48%	0.0134	✓	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.093253	-1.63%	0.11025	+16.30%	0.0820	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.097053	-1.67%	0.10835	+9.78%	0.0501	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.116413	-2.13%	0.1065	-10.47%	0.0819	✓	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.111942	-1.98%	0.0996	-12.78%	0.0666	✓	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.112931	-2.39%	0.09915	-14.30%	0.1661	✓	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.102588	-1.92%	0.091	-13.00%	0.1110	✓	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.095722	-1.92%	0.09305	-4.66%	0.0330	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.099842	-2.02%	0.0948	-6.97%	0.0584	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.089924	-1.94%	0.0987	+7.63%	0.0429	✗	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.092695	-2.01%	0.11895	+25.74%	0.1757	✗	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.101069	-2.25%	0.1142	+10.44%	0.0224	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.085467	-1.87%	0.1157	+32.84%	0.2115	✗	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.085382	-1.86%	0.1046	+20.23%	0.1136	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.087841	-1.91%	0.0976	+8.99%	0.1453	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.094711	-2.06%	0.1019	+5.38%	0.0943	✗	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.093166	-2.09%	0.0917	-3.63%	0.0298	✗	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.091686	-2.10%	0.0946	+1.01%	0.0202	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.090428	-2.08%	0.1034	+11.97%	0.1004	✗	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.094449	-2.23%	0.0871	-9.83%	0.0068	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.09972	-2.43%	0.087	-14.87%	0.0458	✓	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.094002	-2.29%	0.08955	-6.91%	0.0240	✓	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.099553	-2.59%	0.0967	-5.38%	0.0087	✓	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.094928	-2.44%	0.09515	-2.21%	0.0194	✓	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.090333	-1.65%	0.09365	+1.96%	0.0199	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.08166	+0.07%	0.09235	+13.17%	0.1359	✓	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.081274	+0.28%	0.0966	+19.19%	0.2010	✓	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.083879	+0.27%	0.1022	+22.18%	0.2234	✓	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.083532	+1.13%	0.0962	+16.46%	0.1720	✓	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.085438	+1.95%	0.1022	+21.96%	0.1678	✓	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.085795	+2.44%	0.0973	+16.18%	0.1617	✓	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.082291	+4.30%	0.09185	+16.41%	0.0183	✓	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.095957	+1.17%	0.0816	-13.97%	0.0250	✓	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.09601	+0.96%	0.08105	-14.77%	0.0490	✓	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.103267	-0.66%	0.08365	-19.53%	0.0551	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.101808	+0.50%	0.0826	-18.46%	0.0007	✓	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.106059	-0.23%	0.0838	-21.17%	0.0623	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.118298	-3.71%	0.08375	-31.83%	0.0772	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.120615	-4.05%	0.0789	-37.23%	0.2879	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.136894	-5.59%	0.09485	-34.59%	0.1048	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.131193	-5.21%	0.0951	-31.29%	0.0638	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.120445	-3.53%	0.10395	-16.74%	0.1166	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.116162	-2.06%	0.1013	-14.59%	0.1327	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.124679	-3.42%	0.1063	-17.66%	0.1207	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.121154	-2.61%	0.12285	-1.25%	0.1539	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.120324	-2.06%	0.1257	+2.32%	0.1726	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.123413	-2.05%	0.145	+15.08%	0.1663	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.119291	-1.09%	0.1384	+14.76%	0.1282	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.130318	-2.60%	0.12485	-6.69%	0.0660	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.128112	-2.50%	0.1186	-9.74%	0.1066	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.136607	-2.70%	0.1291	-8.05%	0.0945	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.140839	-2.67%	0.1244	-14.03%	0.0259	✓	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.139039	-2.63%	0.12285	-13.97%	0.0288	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.157398	-2.72%	0.126	-22.13%	0.0448	✓	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.157166	-2.80%	0.1206	-25.42%	0.0935	✓	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.14902	-2.79%	0.1338	-12.72%	0.1443	✓	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.159433	-3.08%	0.1314	-20.12%	0.2676	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.156069	-3.06%	0.1404	-12.80%	0.2321	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.163484	-3.38%	0.1447	-14.48%	0.2543	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.159612	-3.32%	0.1428	-13.51%	0.2332	✓	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.171856	-3.83%	0.1618	-9.46%	0.2092	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.198135	-5.29%	0.1617	-22.71%	0.2407	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.182144	-4.03%	0.1533	-19.23%	0.1096	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.183647	-4.65%	0.1645	-14.59%	0.0935	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.188383	-5.24%	0.161	-19.01%	0.1509	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.185045	-5.40%	0.1692	-13.50%	0.1051	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.163928	-4.14%	0.1651	-3.45%	0.0513	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.154809	-3.96%	0.1787	+10.86%	0.1012	✗	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.157249	-4.00%	0.2092	+27.72%	0.2270	✗	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.151414	-4.29%	0.1898	+19.97%	0.1512	✗	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.148823	-4.23%	0.1926	+23.94%	0.2175	✗	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.146895	-4.05%	0.1988	+29.85%	0.2713	✗	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.134433	-3.80%	0.1956	+39.96%	0.3450	✗	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.128146	-3.79%	0.171	+28.38%	0.2707	✗	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.127906	-3.83%	0.1612	+21.20%	0.2326	✗	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.125104	-3.69%	0.1638	+26.10%	0.2585	✗	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.123672	-3.68%	0.1582	+23.21%	0.2627	✗	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.124481	-3.73%	0.1554	+20.19%	0.2305	✗	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.131646	-3.91%	0.1531	+11.75%	0.1568	✗	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.126249	-3.77%	0.13975	+6.52%	0.1107	✗	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.116014	-2.75%	0.1332	+11.65%	0.1183	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.121065	-3.34%	0.133	+6.19%	0.0779	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.128237	-3.91%	0.1299	-2.66%	0.0177	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.129909	-3.95%	0.1284	-5.06%	0.0361	✓	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.145293	-4.13%	0.1293	-14.68%	0.1219	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.149915	-4.02%	0.137	-12.29%	0.0685	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.142654	-3.87%	0.1312	-11.59%	0.0592	✓	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.156975	-3.84%	0.1193	-26.92%	0.1948	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.