XPL

Plasma · native · lstm_s1

token id: #75
symbol: XPL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-12-02
predictions: 945

Track record at +30d

assessed

285

of 315 predictions shown

direction hit

60.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1837

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0679

actual -0.0187

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.07959	0.072793	-8.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.078225	0.071696	-8.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-19	oos	0.076335	0.069502	-8.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.07672	0.069808	-9.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-17	oos	0.078665	0.071703	-8.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.08273	0.075963	-8.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.08569	0.079178	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-10-14	oos	0.08026	0.073253	-8.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.58
2026-10-13	oos	0.08266	0.076372	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-12	oos	0.08049	0.07366	-8.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-10-11	oos	0.088405	0.082117	-7.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-10	oos	0.08732	0.080886	-7.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-09	oos	0.084615	0.078171	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-08	oos	0.08374	0.077265	-7.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.50
2026-10-07	oos	0.087595	0.081323	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.48
2026-10-06	oos	0.0898	0.083519	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-05	oos	0.09481	0.088418	-6.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-04	oos	0.096315	0.090212	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.56
2026-10-03	oos	0.095655	0.089386	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.09332	0.08742	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.09615	0.089187	-7.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-09-30	oos	0.09486	0.086572	-8.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.095765	0.087499	-8.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-28	oos	0.09828	0.089538	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.10609	0.096582	-8.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.71
2026-09-26	oos	0.111465	0.10088	-9.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.73
2026-09-25	oos	0.11463	0.102986	-10.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.11085	0.10021	-9.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.75
2026-09-23	oos	0.09	0.085818	-4.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.77
2026-09-22	oos	0.096375	0.09206	-4.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-09-21	oos	0.09799	0.094177	-3.89%	0.07959	-18.78%	0.0961	✓	1.57
2026-09-20	oos	0.089235	0.084712	-5.07%	0.078225	-12.34%	0.1126	✓	1.52
2026-09-19	oos	0.092185	0.087127	-5.49%	0.076335	-17.19%	0.1433	✓	1.50
2026-09-18	oos	0.093815	0.088406	-5.77%	0.07672	-18.22%	0.1628	✓	1.52
2026-09-17	oos	0.08742	0.082127	-6.05%	0.078665	-10.01%	0.1396	✓	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.080975	0.076016	-6.12%	0.08273	+2.17%	0.0184	✓	1.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.08188	0.076784	-6.22%	0.08569	+4.65%	0.0228	✓	1.60
2026-09-14	oos	0.083915	0.079177	-5.65%	0.08026	-4.36%	0.0495	✓	1.49
2026-09-13	oos	0.077795	0.072725	-6.52%	0.08266	+6.25%	0.0139	✓	1.45
2026-09-12	oos	0.08006	0.075311	-5.93%	0.08049	+0.54%	0.0148	✓	1.44
2026-09-11	oos	0.08248	0.078299	-5.07%	0.088405	+7.18%	0.0051	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.08409	0.079834	-5.06%	0.08732	+3.84%	0.0274	✓	1.46
2026-09-09	oos	0.089185	0.085643	-3.97%	0.084615	-5.12%	0.0883	✓	1.44
2026-09-08	oos	0.09834	0.094085	-4.33%	0.08374	-14.85%	0.1804	✓	1.58
2026-09-07	oos	0.09294	0.090268	-2.87%	0.087595	-5.75%	0.1132	✓	1.61
2026-09-06	oos	0.08958	0.088241	-1.49%	0.0898	+0.25%	0.0868	✓	1.66
2026-09-05	oos	0.09312	0.092902	-0.23%	0.09481	+1.81%	0.0988	✓	1.67
2026-09-04	oos	0.0932	0.094402	+1.29%	0.096315	+3.34%	0.1162	✗	1.66
2026-09-03	oos	0.09647	0.09909	+2.72%	0.095655	-0.84%	0.1048	✗	1.66
2026-09-02	oos	0.08328	0.083301	+0.03%	0.09332	+12.06%	0.0449	✗	1.78
2026-09-01	oos	0.08264	0.083341	+0.85%	0.09615	+16.35%	0.0223	✗	1.80
2026-08-31	oos	0.08387	0.085864	+2.38%	0.09486	+13.10%	0.0001	✓	1.61
2026-08-30	oos	0.08409	0.086174	+2.48%	0.095765	+13.88%	0.0099	✓	1.56
2026-08-29	oos	0.08687	0.090547	+4.23%	0.09828	+13.13%	0.0138	✓	1.48
2026-08-28	oos	0.084565	0.088785	+4.99%	0.10609	+25.45%	0.0572	✓	1.48
2026-08-27	oos	0.09021	0.097534	+8.12%	0.111465	+23.56%	0.0596	✓	1.47
2026-08-26	oos	0.08772	0.094718	+7.98%	0.11463	+30.68%	0.0994	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.09047	0.09794	+8.26%	0.11085	+22.53%	0.0203	✓	1.44
2026-08-24	oos	0.09737	0.105562	+8.41%	0.09	-7.57%	0.2541	✗	1.43
2026-08-23	oos	0.10164	0.10825	+6.50%	0.096375	-5.18%	0.2645	✗	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.09372	0.10032	+7.04%	0.09799	+4.56%	0.1898	✗	1.42
2026-08-21	oos	0.1016	0.108268	+6.56%	0.089235	-12.17%	0.2430	✗	1.40
2026-08-20	oos	0.08887	0.090469	+1.80%	0.092185	+3.73%	0.1230	✗	1.33
2026-08-19	oos	0.08041	0.079332	-1.34%	0.093815	+16.67%	0.0367	✓	1.32
2026-08-18	oos	0.07589	0.072243	-4.81%	0.08742	+15.19%	0.0431	✓	1.41
2026-08-17	oos	0.07608	0.072282	-4.99%	0.080975	+6.43%	0.1245	✓	1.43
2026-08-16	oos	0.074825	0.070574	-5.68%	0.08188	+9.43%	0.1199	✓	1.45
2026-08-15	oos	0.07584	0.071523	-5.69%	0.083915	+10.65%	0.1532	✓	1.45
2026-08-14	oos	0.07636	0.072017	-5.69%	0.077795	+1.88%	0.2125	✓	1.46
2026-08-13	oos	0.075355	0.070983	-5.80%	0.08006	+6.24%	0.1691	✓	1.47
2026-08-12	oos	0.07392	0.069458	-6.04%	0.08248	+11.58%	0.1234	✓	1.50
2026-08-11	oos	0.078525	0.074417	-5.23%	0.08409	+7.09%	0.1554	✓	1.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.07868	0.074706	-5.05%	0.089185	+13.35%	0.1252	✓	1.49
2026-08-09	oos	0.07661	0.072666	-5.15%	0.09834	+28.36%	0.0116	✓	1.53
2026-08-08	oos	0.076085	0.071954	-5.43%	0.09294	+22.15%	0.0469	✓	1.53
2026-08-07	oos	0.075755	0.071857	-5.15%	0.08958	+18.25%	0.1038	✓	1.52
2026-08-06	oos	0.07508	0.070946	-5.51%	0.09312	+24.03%	0.0551	✓	1.51
2026-08-05	oos	0.07497	0.070839	-5.51%	0.0932	+24.32%	0.0431	✓	1.51
2026-08-04	oos	0.077895	0.073576	-5.55%	0.09647	+23.85%	0.0831	✓	1.49
2026-08-03	oos	0.07758	0.072783	-6.18%	0.08328	+7.35%	0.1636	✓	1.51
2026-08-02	oos	0.076	0.071307	-6.17%	0.08264	+8.74%	0.1541	✓	1.52
2026-08-01	oos	0.07515	0.070292	-6.46%	0.08387	+11.60%	0.1605	✓	1.50
2026-07-31	oos	0.07355	0.06851	-6.85%	0.08409	+14.33%	0.1132	✓	1.50
2026-07-30	oos	0.07805	0.074222	-4.91%	0.08687	+11.30%	0.1234	✓	1.48
2026-07-29	oos	0.07715	0.072977	-5.41%	0.084565	+9.61%	0.1388	✓	1.45
2026-07-28	oos	0.08355	0.079526	-4.82%	0.09021	+7.97%	0.2053	✓	1.45
2026-07-27	oos	0.07885	0.074574	-5.42%	0.08772	+11.25%	0.1490	✓	1.44
2026-07-26	oos	0.08525	0.081056	-4.92%	0.09047	+6.12%	0.1497	✓	1.41
2026-07-25	oos	0.08325	0.079086	-5.00%	0.09737	+16.96%	0.0826	✓	1.41
2026-07-24	oos	0.08465	0.080421	-5.00%	0.10164	+20.07%	0.0379	✓	1.41
2026-07-23	oos	0.08115	0.076975	-5.15%	0.09372	+15.49%	0.0464	✓	1.44
2026-07-22	oos	0.0849	0.080834	-4.79%	0.1016	+19.67%	0.0133	✓	1.42
2026-07-21	oos	0.08365	0.079947	-4.43%	0.08887	+6.24%	0.0271	✓	1.43
2026-07-20	oos	0.08505	0.08106	-4.69%	0.08041	-5.46%	0.0945	✓	1.42
2026-07-19	oos	0.0804	0.076221	-5.20%	0.07589	-5.61%	0.0043	✓	1.40
2026-07-18	oos	0.0827	0.078818	-4.69%	0.07608	-8.00%	0.0286	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0852	0.08121	-4.68%	0.074825	-12.18%	0.0584	✓	1.41
2026-07-16	oos	0.0864	0.082322	-4.72%	0.07584	-12.22%	0.0645	✓	1.47
2026-07-15	oos	0.092	0.087264	-5.15%	0.07636	-17.00%	0.0969	✓	1.34
2026-07-14	oos	0.0932	0.088297	-5.26%	0.075355	-19.15%	0.1255	✓	1.35
2026-07-13	oos	0.0895	0.084496	-5.59%	0.07392	-17.41%	0.1586	✓	1.37
2026-07-12	oos	0.08885	0.084221	-5.21%	0.078525	-11.62%	0.0654	✓	1.40
2026-07-11	oos	0.0909	0.086261	-5.10%	0.07868	-13.44%	0.0952	✓	1.48
2026-07-10	oos	0.09185	0.087087	-5.19%	0.07661	-16.59%	0.1452	✓	1.52
2026-07-09	oos	0.0954	0.089953	-5.71%	0.076085	-20.25%	0.2096	✓	1.56
2026-07-08	oos	0.0909	0.086685	-4.64%	0.075755	-16.66%	0.2000	✓	1.56
2026-07-07	oos	0.0988	0.09315	-5.72%	0.07508	-24.01%	0.2382	✓	1.53
2026-07-06	oos	0.1092	0.098608	-9.70%	0.07497	-31.35%	0.2882	✓	1.51
2026-07-05	oos	0.10665	0.097928	-8.18%	0.077895	-26.96%	0.2401	✓	1.53
2026-07-04	oos	0.1066	0.098146	-7.93%	0.07758	-27.22%	0.2443	✓	1.53
2026-07-03	oos	0.1067	0.09792	-8.23%	0.076	-28.77%	0.2772	✓	1.53
2026-07-02	oos	0.0951	0.091415	-3.87%	0.07515	-20.98%	0.2268	✓	1.50
2026-07-01	oos	0.0908	0.087347	-3.80%	0.07355	-19.00%	0.2412	✓	1.49
2026-06-30	oos	0.0866	0.083171	-3.96%	0.07805	-9.87%	0.2050	✓	1.41
2026-06-29	oos	0.1049	0.093044	-11.30%	0.07715	-26.45%	0.2646	✓	1.28
2026-06-28	oos	0.0958	0.090409	-5.63%	0.08355	-12.79%	0.1689	✓	1.27
2026-06-27	oos	0.10085	0.091561	-9.21%	0.07885	-21.81%	0.2262	✓	1.26
2026-06-26	oos	0.1037	0.09149	-11.77%	0.08525	-17.79%	0.1784	✓	1.26
2026-06-25	oos	0.1049	0.091765	-12.52%	0.08325	-20.64%	0.1913	✓	1.27
2026-06-24	oos	0.092	0.087686	-4.69%	0.08465	-7.99%	0.1029	✓	1.36
2026-06-23	oos	0.0888	0.084976	-4.31%	0.08115	-8.61%	0.1003	✓	1.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.08485	0.081977	-3.39%	0.0849	+0.06%	0.0137	✓	1.48
2026-06-21	oos	0.0892	0.085201	-4.48%	0.08365	-6.22%	0.0945	✓	1.51
2026-06-20	oos	0.0943	0.085224	-9.63%	0.08505	-9.81%	0.0247	✓	1.48
2026-06-19	oos	0.1008	0.089886	-10.83%	0.0804	-20.24%	0.1400	✓	1.51
2026-06-18	oos	0.0978	0.088228	-9.79%	0.0827	-15.44%	0.1097	✓	1.50
2026-06-17	oos	0.1126	0.1012	-10.12%	0.0852	-24.33%	0.1599	✓	1.41
2026-06-16	oos	0.0913	0.085619	-6.22%	0.0864	-5.37%	0.0534	✓	1.55
2026-06-15	oos	0.09015	0.085173	-5.52%	0.092	+2.05%	0.1150	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.0896	0.085401	-4.69%	0.0932	+4.02%	0.1050	✗	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.087	0.084568	-2.80%	0.0895	+2.87%	0.1139	✗	1.68
2026-06-12	oos	0.0826	0.080756	-2.23%	0.08885	+7.57%	0.0904	✗	1.63
2026-06-11	oos	0.0754	0.07341	-2.64%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.2083	✗	1.63
2026-06-10	oos	0.0612	0.060097	-1.80%	0.09185	+50.08%	0.3610	✗	1.48
2026-06-09	oos	0.0661	0.064995	-1.67%	0.0954	+44.33%	0.3484	✗	1.48
2026-06-08	oos	0.07	0.068494	-2.15%	0.0909	+29.86%	0.3024	✗	1.47
2026-06-07	oos	0.0693	0.067723	-2.27%	0.0988	+42.57%	0.3772	✗	1.51
2026-06-06	oos	0.0655	0.064984	-0.79%	0.1092	+66.72%	0.4467	✗	1.43
2026-06-05	oos	0.067	0.066482	-0.77%	0.10665	+59.18%	0.4142	✗	1.43
2026-06-04	oos	0.0844	0.081346	-3.62%	0.1066	+26.30%	0.2843	✗	1.23
2026-06-03	oos	0.0939	0.083864	-10.69%	0.1067	+13.63%	0.2736	✗	1.37
2026-06-02	oos	0.0862	0.079092	-8.25%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.3029	✗	1.47
2026-06-01	oos	0.093	0.081888	-11.95%	0.0908	-2.37%	0.3357	✗	1.34
2026-05-31	oos	0.0891	0.078852	-11.50%	0.0866	-2.81%	0.4130	✗	1.39
2026-05-30	oos	0.091	0.080678	-11.34%	0.1049	+15.27%	0.5488	✗	1.40
2026-05-29	oos	0.0887	0.078359	-11.66%	0.0958	+8.00%	0.4968	✗	1.41
2026-05-28	oos	0.0955	0.083988	-12.05%	0.10085	+5.60%	0.4767	✗	1.44
2026-05-27	oos	0.0851	0.074963	-11.91%	0.1037	+21.86%	0.6405	✗	1.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.0881	0.077492	-12.04%	0.1049	+19.07%	0.6598	✗	1.49
2026-05-25	oos	0.08605	0.075805	-11.91%	0.092	+6.91%	0.5826	✗	1.65
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.071687	-11.82%	0.0888	+9.23%	0.5515	✗	1.64
2026-05-23	oos	0.0843	0.073967	-12.26%	0.08485	+0.65%	0.4246	✗	1.59
2026-05-22	oos	0.0822	0.072214	-12.15%	0.0892	+8.52%	0.4928	✗	1.60
2026-05-21	oos	0.0897	0.078922	-12.02%	0.0943	+5.13%	0.4733	✗	1.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.0872	0.076562	-12.20%	0.1008	+15.60%	0.5870	✗	1.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.08165	0.071392	-12.56%	0.0978	+19.78%	0.6253	✗	1.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.08375	0.073279	-12.50%	0.1126	+34.45%	0.7063	✗	1.56
2026-05-17	oos	0.0836	0.073127	-12.53%	0.0913	+9.21%	0.4821	✗	1.57
2026-05-16	oos	0.0867	0.075971	-12.37%	0.09015	+3.98%	0.4288	✗	1.57
2026-05-15	oos	0.089	0.078183	-12.15%	0.0896	+0.67%	0.4288	✗	1.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.09635	0.086025	-10.72%	0.087	-9.70%	0.3714	✗	1.57
2026-05-13	oos	0.0942	0.082803	-12.10%	0.0826	-12.31%	0.3455	✗	1.57
2026-05-12	oos	0.09605	0.085055	-11.45%	0.0754	-21.50%	0.2399	✗	1.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.1024	0.092488	-9.68%	0.0612	-40.23%	0.0092	✓	1.48
2026-05-10	oos	0.10735	0.097432	-9.24%	0.0661	-38.43%	0.0355	✓	1.47
2026-05-09	oos	0.1062	0.095133	-10.42%	0.07	-34.09%	0.0575	✓	1.48
2026-05-08	oos	0.1102	0.097883	-11.18%	0.0693	-37.11%	0.0031	✓	1.47
2026-05-07	oos	0.1066	0.095281	-10.62%	0.0655	-38.56%	0.0250	✓	1.46
2026-05-06	oos	0.10005	0.091686	-8.36%	0.067	-33.03%	0.0528	✓	1.27
2026-05-05	oos	0.09255	0.083653	-9.61%	0.0844	-8.81%	0.3057	✗	1.25
2026-05-04	oos	0.0884	0.078848	-10.81%	0.0939	+6.22%	0.4451	✗	1.23
2026-05-03	oos	0.0897	0.079676	-11.17%	0.0862	-3.90%	0.2841	✗	1.25
2026-05-02	oos	0.0906	0.081315	-10.25%	0.093	+2.65%	0.2572	✗	1.25
2026-05-01	oos	0.0911	0.081873	-10.13%	0.0891	-2.20%	0.1617	✗	1.26
2026-04-30	oos	0.0912	0.081406	-10.74%	0.091	-0.22%	0.1557	✗	1.31
2026-04-29	oos	0.09305	0.083714	-10.03%	0.0887	-4.67%	0.0999	✓	1.31
2026-04-28	oos	0.0961	0.087301	-9.16%	0.0955	-0.62%	0.1404	✗	1.35
2026-04-27	oos	0.0984	0.090192	-8.34%	0.0851	-13.52%	0.0037	✓	1.35
2026-04-26	oos	0.1007	0.093017	-7.63%	0.0881	-12.51%	0.0040	✓	1.37
2026-04-25	oos	0.10015	0.092087	-8.05%	0.08605	-14.08%	0.0607	✓	1.37
2026-04-24	oos	0.10005	0.091979	-8.07%	0.0813	-18.74%	0.1147	✓	1.39
2026-04-23	oos	0.10105	0.093371	-7.60%	0.0843	-16.58%	0.0730	✓	1.39
2026-04-22	oos	0.10175	0.093819	-7.79%	0.0822	-19.21%	0.0823	✓	1.39
2026-04-21	oos	0.1026	0.09338	-8.99%	0.0897	-12.57%	0.0620	✓	1.40
2026-04-20	oos	0.1046	0.0946	-9.56%	0.0872	-16.63%	0.1110	✓	1.40
2026-04-19	oos	0.10385	0.092282	-11.14%	0.08165	-21.38%	0.1785	✓	1.43
2026-04-18	oos	0.10935	0.098193	-10.20%	0.08375	-23.41%	0.1816	✓	1.43
2026-04-17	oos	0.1274	0.112882	-11.40%	0.0836	-34.38%	0.3060	✓	1.41
2026-04-16	oos	0.1408	0.123385	-12.37%	0.0867	-38.42%	0.4087	✓	1.45
2026-04-15	oos	0.13105	0.115351	-11.98%	0.089	-32.09%	0.3389	✓	1.45
2026-04-14	oos	0.134	0.117767	-12.11%	0.09635	-28.10%	0.3313	✓	1.47
2026-04-13	oos	0.14	0.122857	-12.25%	0.0942	-32.71%	0.3578	✓	1.46
2026-04-12	oos	0.12425	0.10878	-12.45%	0.09605	-22.70%	0.3085	✓	1.43
2026-04-11	oos	0.1367	0.120084	-12.15%	0.1024	-25.09%	0.3165	✓	1.41
2026-04-10	oos	0.13035	0.114917	-11.84%	0.10735	-17.64%	0.2350	✓	1.41
2026-04-09	oos	0.12315	0.108433	-11.95%	0.1062	-13.76%	0.1835	✓	1.40
2026-04-08	oos	0.1247	0.109339	-12.32%	0.1102	-11.63%	0.1609	✓	1.40
2026-04-07	oos	0.1303	0.114863	-11.85%	0.1066	-18.19%	0.2238	✓	1.40
2026-04-06	oos	0.1201	0.105257	-12.36%	0.10005	-16.69%	0.2889	✓	1.42
2026-04-05	oos	0.12165	0.106945	-12.09%	0.09255	-23.92%	0.3708	✓	1.42
2026-04-04	oos	0.11735	0.103028	-12.20%	0.0884	-24.67%	0.3934	✓	1.40
2026-04-03	oos	0.1103	0.097659	-11.46%	0.0897	-18.68%	0.3074	✓	1.39
2026-04-02	oos	0.1191	0.101644	-14.66%	0.0906	-23.93%	0.3417	✓	1.40
2026-04-01	oos	0.106	0.095218	-10.17%	0.0911	-14.06%	0.2443	✓	1.44
2026-03-31	oos	0.09285	0.086277	-7.08%	0.0912	-1.78%	0.1069	✓	1.45
2026-03-30	oos	0.08835	0.081627	-7.61%	0.09305	+5.32%	0.0520	✓	1.44
2026-03-29	oos	0.0864	0.080133	-7.25%	0.0961	+11.23%	0.0293	✓	1.45
2026-03-28	oos	0.08865	0.083004	-6.37%	0.0984	+11.00%	0.0522	✓	1.44
2026-03-27	oos	0.08925	0.084388	-5.45%	0.1007	+12.83%	0.0692	✓	1.44
2026-03-26	oos	0.09365	0.089007	-4.96%	0.10015	+6.94%	0.0587	✓	1.45
2026-03-25	oos	0.1005	0.09543	-5.05%	0.10005	-0.45%	0.0728	✓	1.45
2026-03-24	oos	0.0977	0.092966	-4.85%	0.10105	+3.43%	0.0675	✓	1.45
2026-03-23	oos	0.09655	0.092108	-4.60%	0.10175	+5.39%	0.0431	✓	1.45
2026-03-22	oos	0.09105	0.086417	-5.09%	0.1026	+12.69%	0.0007	✓	1.45
2026-03-21	oos	0.0927	0.088072	-4.99%	0.1046	+12.84%	0.0328	✓	1.45
2026-03-20	oos	0.09425	0.090033	-4.47%	0.10385	+10.19%	0.0760	✗	1.45
2026-03-19	oos	0.099	0.094854	-4.19%	0.10935	+10.45%	0.0256	✓	1.46
2026-03-18	oos	0.10845	0.103666	-4.41%	0.1274	+17.47%	0.0905	✗	1.46
2026-03-17	oos	0.11855	0.109272	-7.83%	0.1408	+18.77%	0.2296	✗	1.45
2026-03-16	oos	0.1238	0.112447	-9.17%	0.13105	+5.86%	0.1541	✗	1.46
2026-03-15	oos	0.10745	0.104437	-2.80%	0.134	+24.71%	0.2234	✗	1.41
2026-03-14	oos	0.11025	0.107073	-2.88%	0.14	+26.98%	0.2043	✗	1.45
2026-03-13	oos	0.10835	0.105756	-2.39%	0.12425	+14.67%	0.1650	✗	1.45
2026-03-12	oos	0.1065	0.104047	-2.30%	0.1367	+28.36%	0.2215	✗	1.45
2026-03-11	oos	0.0996	0.097271	-2.34%	0.13035	+30.87%	0.2360	✗	1.46
2026-03-10	oos	0.09915	0.096721	-2.45%	0.12315	+24.21%	0.2040	✗	1.45
2026-03-09	oos	0.091	0.08786	-3.45%	0.1247	+37.03%	0.2956	✗	1.44
2026-03-08	oos	0.09305	0.089666	-3.64%	0.1303	+40.03%	0.2455	✗	1.49
2026-03-07	oos	0.0948	0.091946	-3.01%	0.1201	+26.69%	0.2322	✗	1.49
2026-03-06	oos	0.0987	0.09678	-1.95%	0.12165	+23.25%	0.2095	✗	1.47
2026-03-05	oos	0.11895	0.117297	-1.39%	0.11735	-1.35%	0.0739	✗	1.41
2026-03-04	oos	0.1142	0.113748	-0.40%	0.1103	-3.42%	0.0880	✗	1.45
2026-03-03	oos	0.1157	0.113296	-2.08%	0.1191	+2.94%	0.0826	✗	1.53
2026-03-02	oos	0.1046	0.102565	-1.95%	0.106	+1.34%	0.0490	✗	1.52
2026-03-01	oos	0.0976	0.094904	-2.76%	0.09285	-4.87%	0.0777	✓	1.52
2026-02-28	oos	0.1019	0.099453	-2.40%	0.08835	-13.30%	0.1131	✓	1.52
2026-02-27	oos	0.0917	0.089171	-2.76%	0.0864	-5.78%	0.0338	✓	1.50
2026-02-26	oos	0.0946	0.092341	-2.39%	0.08865	-6.29%	0.0146	✓	1.50
2026-02-25	oos	0.1034	0.100692	-2.62%	0.08925	-13.68%	0.0841	✓	1.50
2026-02-24	oos	0.0871	0.083999	-3.56%	0.09365	+7.52%	0.0085	✓	1.42
2026-02-23	oos	0.087	0.08397	-3.48%	0.1005	+15.52%	0.0404	✗	1.42
2026-02-22	oos	0.08955	0.086453	-3.46%	0.0977	+9.10%	0.0614	✗	1.44
2026-02-21	oos	0.0967	0.093323	-3.49%	0.09655	-0.16%	0.0266	✓	1.44
2026-02-20	oos	0.09515	0.09165	-3.68%	0.09105	-4.31%	0.0036	✓	1.44
2026-02-19	oos	0.09365	0.090033	-3.86%	0.0927	-1.01%	0.0119	✓	1.44
2026-02-18	oos	0.09235	0.088574	-4.09%	0.09425	+2.06%	0.0236	✓	1.44
2026-02-17	oos	0.0966	0.092728	-4.01%	0.099	+2.48%	0.0142	✓	1.44
2026-02-16	oos	0.1022	0.098274	-3.84%	0.10845	+6.12%	0.0498	✗	1.43
2026-02-15	oos	0.0962	0.092481	-3.87%	0.11855	+23.23%	0.1456	✗	1.42
2026-02-14	oos	0.1022	0.09845	-3.67%	0.1238	+21.14%	0.1290	✗	1.42
2026-02-13	oos	0.0973	0.093528	-3.88%	0.10745	+10.43%	0.0587	✗	1.41
2026-02-12	oos	0.09185	0.088071	-4.11%	0.11025	+20.03%	0.1218	✗	1.41
2026-02-11	oos	0.0816	0.07794	-4.49%	0.10835	+32.78%	0.2486	✗	1.42
2026-02-10	oos	0.08105	0.077078	-4.90%	0.1065	+31.40%	0.2876	✗	1.44
2026-02-09	oos	0.08365	0.079712	-4.71%	0.0996	+19.07%	0.2206	✗	1.44
2026-02-08	oos	0.0826	0.079127	-4.21%	0.09915	+20.04%	0.2321	✗	1.44
2026-02-07	oos	0.0838	0.080784	-3.60%	0.091	+8.59%	0.1362	✗	1.45
2026-02-06	oos	0.08375	0.080972	-3.32%	0.09305	+11.10%	0.2364	✗	1.46
2026-02-05	oos	0.0789	0.076267	-3.34%	0.0948	+20.15%	0.0987	✗	1.73
2026-02-04	oos	0.09485	0.090837	-4.23%	0.0987	+4.06%	0.2350	✗	2.19
2026-02-03	oos	0.0951	0.090664	-4.66%	0.11895	+25.08%	0.4214	✗	2.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.10395	0.09831	-5.43%	0.1142	+9.86%	0.3322	✗	2.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.1013	0.096222	-5.01%	0.1157	+14.22%	0.4596	✗	2.33
2026-01-31	oos	0.1063	0.100544	-5.41%	0.1046	-1.60%	0.3514	✗	2.34
2026-01-30	oos	0.12285	0.111184	-9.50%	0.0976	-20.55%	0.4598	✗	2.40
2026-01-29	oos	0.1257	0.11293	-10.16%	0.1019	-18.93%	0.4551	✗	2.40
2026-01-28	oos	0.145	0.128155	-11.62%	0.0917	-36.76%	0.3797	✗	2.36
2026-01-27	oos	0.1384	0.122458	-11.52%	0.0946	-31.65%	0.3966	✗	2.36
2026-01-26	oos	0.12485	0.111583	-10.63%	0.1034	-17.18%	0.5224	✗	2.30
2026-01-25	oos	0.1186	0.106984	-9.79%	0.0871	-26.56%	0.4796	✗	2.28
2026-01-24	oos	0.1291	0.115744	-10.35%	0.087	-32.61%	0.4364	✗	2.25
2026-01-23	oos	0.1244	0.112104	-9.88%	0.08955	-28.01%	0.4097	✗	2.26
2026-01-22	oos	0.12285	0.11106	-9.60%	0.0967	-21.29%	0.4841	✗	2.26
2026-01-21	oos	0.126	0.114377	-9.22%	0.09515	-24.48%	0.4357	✗	2.27
2026-01-20	oos	0.1206	0.109226	-9.43%	0.09365	-22.35%	0.4668	✗	2.24
2026-01-19	oos	0.1338	0.122146	-8.71%	0.09235	-30.98%	0.4777	✗	2.28
2026-01-18	oos	0.1314	0.119254	-9.24%	0.0966	-26.48%	0.5561	✗	2.34
2026-01-17	oos	0.1404	0.129461	-7.79%	0.1022	-27.21%	0.5087	✗	2.31
2026-01-16	oos	0.1447	0.134311	-7.18%	0.0962	-33.52%	0.4212	✗	2.30
2026-01-15	oos	0.1428	0.132033	-7.54%	0.1022	-28.43%	0.4691	✗	2.31
2026-01-14	oos	0.1618	0.151437	-6.41%	0.0973	-39.86%	0.3051	✗	2.18
2026-01-13	oos	0.1617	0.150355	-7.02%	0.09185	-43.20%	0.3188	✗	2.22
2026-01-12	oos	0.1533	0.14062	-8.27%	0.0816	-46.77%	0.2092	✗	2.45
2026-01-11	oos	0.1645	0.150558	-8.48%	0.08105	-50.73%	0.0706	✓	2.48
2026-01-10	oos	0.161	0.146754	-8.85%	0.08365	-48.04%	0.0659	✓	2.47
2026-01-09	oos	0.1692	0.153811	-9.10%	0.0826	-51.18%	0.0021	✓	2.47
2026-01-08	oos	0.1651	0.15023	-9.01%	0.0838	-49.24%	0.0980	✗	2.49
2026-01-07	oos	0.1787	0.162031	-9.33%	0.08375	-53.13%	0.0231	✓	2.47
2026-01-06	oos	0.2092	0.186324	-10.93%	0.0789	-62.28%	0.0040	✓	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.1898	0.173421	-8.63%	0.09485	-50.03%	0.0584	✓	2.17
2026-01-04	oos	0.1926	0.174042	-9.64%	0.0951	-50.62%	0.1431	✓	2.43
2026-01-03	oos	0.1988	0.178406	-10.26%	0.10395	-47.71%	0.1853	✓	2.51
2026-01-02	oos	0.1956	0.175912	-10.07%	0.1013	-48.21%	0.1569	✓	2.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.171	0.156884	-8.25%	0.1063	-37.84%	0.1121	✓	2.30
2025-12-31	oos	0.1612	0.148318	-7.99%	0.12285	-23.79%	0.1489	✓	1.00
2025-12-30	oos	0.1638	0.151067	-7.77%	0.1257	-23.26%	0.1389	✓	1.00
2025-12-29	oos	0.1582	0.145836	-7.82%	0.145	-8.34%	0.0290	✓	1.00
2025-12-28	oos	0.1554	0.143333	-7.76%	0.1384	-10.94%	0.0490	✓	1.00
2025-12-27	oos	0.1531	0.140927	-7.95%	0.12485	-18.45%	0.1262	✓	1.00
2025-12-26	oos	0.13975	0.128609	-7.97%	0.1186	-15.13%	0.0726	✓	1.00
2025-12-25	oos	0.1332	0.122267	-8.21%	0.1291	-3.08%	0.0327	✓	1.00
2025-12-24	oos	0.133	0.121917	-8.33%	0.1244	-6.47%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2025-12-23	oos	0.1299	0.118625	-8.68%	0.12285	-5.43%	0.0120	✓	1.00
2025-12-22	oos	0.1284	0.117045	-8.84%	0.126	-1.87%	0.0647	✓	1.00
2025-12-21	oos	0.1293	0.11762	-9.03%	0.1206	-6.73%	0.0287	✓	1.00
2025-12-20	oos	0.137	0.124732	-8.95%	0.1338	-2.34%	0.0233	✓	1.00
2025-12-19	oos	0.1312	0.118349	-9.79%	0.1314	+0.15%	0.0436	✓	1.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.105182	-11.83%	0.1404	+17.69%	0.1818	✗	1.00
2025-12-17	oos	0.12525	0.11057	-11.72%	0.1447	+15.53%	0.1666	✗	1.00
2025-12-16	oos	0.13345	0.118371	-11.30%	0.1428	+7.01%	0.1033	✓	1.00
2025-12-15	oos	0.13525	0.119474	-11.66%	0.1618	+19.63%	0.1882	✗	1.00
2025-12-14	oos	0.15155	0.135775	-10.41%	0.1617	+6.70%	0.0961	✓	1.00
2025-12-13	oos	0.1562	0.140745	-9.89%	0.1533	-1.86%	0.0752	✓	1.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.1484	0.132999	-10.38%	0.1645	+10.85%	0.2060	✗	1.00
2025-12-11	oos	0.16325	0.148161	-9.24%	0.161	-1.38%	0.1068	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.