UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s1

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

66.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4474

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0450

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.272048	-1.72%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.270955	-2.39%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.244078	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.216206	-1.57%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.227035	-1.75%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.271005	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.26849	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.263617	-3.92%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0167	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.282935	-4.86%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0145	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.198611	+0.08%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2230	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.233412	-1.23%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0192	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.2086	+0.06%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1403	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.206411	+0.31%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3383	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.199147	+0.57%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3299	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.229409	+0.10%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2196	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.242544	-0.45%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2606	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.26375	-1.00%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1914	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.282643	-1.80%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1152	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.285799	-1.55%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2731	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.271232	-0.80%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2305	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.294628	-1.75%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3246	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.390587	-3.77%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5262	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.378687	-3.82%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4870	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.287289	-1.34%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1319	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.307824	-2.30%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1164	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.351864	-3.46%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.2001	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.32471	-3.32%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1819	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.327484	-3.67%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.0992	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.380904	-3.64%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.0832	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.466911	-3.32%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.1150	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.535683	-3.84%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5440	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.442754	-4.19%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.4039	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.463967	-4.46%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.3021	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.550511	-5.86%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5552	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.449463	-5.02%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4056	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.361742	-3.22%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0437	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.30996	-2.82%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2765	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.35761	-3.57%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3362	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.365347	-3.61%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1757	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.338764	-4.30%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.3038	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.364333	-4.65%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4221	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.376146	-5.12%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2323	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.393897	-5.95%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0247	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.473142	-5.74%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3572	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.523783	-6.12%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3336	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.637095	-6.20%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4743	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.736909	-6.76%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.7005	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.590169	-6.47%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.4033	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.714246	-7.20%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5287	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.766607	-8.53%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6171	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.780803	-10.69%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4553	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.788099	-13.81%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3521	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.472244	-9.98%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.3296	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.307754	-5.12%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9229	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.234592	-2.76%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9662	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.257424	-2.75%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0830	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.342853	-7.89%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.9159	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.154859	-1.70%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7454	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.195045	-1.81%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5503	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.137731	-2.25%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3382	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.070405	-17.27%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.5124	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.103891	-6.15%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.8488	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.09273	-12.02%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.9540	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.