UPROBINHOOD

? · · lstm_s1

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +1d

assessed

62

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

61.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1482

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0109

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.275346	-0.52%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.275723	-0.67%	0.276795	-0.28%	0.0107	✗	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.247538	-0.53%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0836	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.218815	-0.38%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1335	✗	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.230073	-0.43%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0643	✓	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.279265	-1.00%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1861	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.277008	-1.05%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0359	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.271593	-1.01%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0144	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.293378	-1.34%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0238	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.198434	-0.01%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3689	✗	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.235574	-0.32%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1233	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.208463	-0.01%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1066	✗	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.20588	+0.05%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0035	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.198231	+0.11%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0163	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.229233	+0.02%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1089	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.243438	-0.08%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0076	✓	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.265893	-0.19%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0827	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.286746	-0.37%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0567	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.289445	-0.30%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0457	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.273067	-0.13%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0558	✗	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.298944	-0.32%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0815	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.401941	-0.98%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3242	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.389912	-0.97%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0422	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.29057	-0.21%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.2993	✗	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.313808	-0.40%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0502	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.361762	-0.74%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1393	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.333832	-0.60%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0800	✗	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.337694	-0.67%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0016	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.392129	-0.80%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1429	✓	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.478879	-0.85%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1526	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.551214	-1.05%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1240	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.457275	-1.05%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.0940	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.479919	-1.17%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0364	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.57461	-1.74%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1752	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.466888	-1.34%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1524	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.371357	-0.65%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2390	✗	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.317434	-0.48%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1540	✗	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.368304	-0.68%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1086	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.376421	-0.68%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0340	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.351231	-0.78%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0829	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.3788	-0.86%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0685	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.392689	-0.95%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0370	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.414039	-1.14%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0208	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.495607	-1.27%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1662	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.549885	-1.44%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0830	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.668299	-1.61%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1649	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.775024	-1.93%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1383	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.62007	-1.73%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2406	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.752364	-2.25%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1562	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.813572	-2.93%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.1054	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.839865	-3.94%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.868602	-5.01%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0214	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.507159	-3.33%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.5779	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.319442	-1.51%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.5034	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.239343	-0.79%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.2989	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.262275	-0.91%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0527	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.36208	-2.73%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.3290	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.156659	-0.56%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8591	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.197185	-0.74%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.2187	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.139966	-0.66%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3342	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.082115	-3.51%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.5312	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.10933	-1.24%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2342	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.102974	-2.30%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0021	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.