UMX

UMX · · lstm_s1

token id: #759
symbol: UMX
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-07
predictions: 201

Track record at +30d

assessed

37

of 67 predictions shown

direction hit

100.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1808

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0799

actual -0.2589

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0466	0.045704	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.042915	0.041184	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.22
2026-10-19	oos	0.05515	0.054806	-0.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-18	oos	0.055405	0.054904	-0.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-17	oos	0.05585	0.055299	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-16	oos	0.059095	0.058473	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-15	oos	0.059045	0.058511	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.05934	0.058847	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.05942	0.059072	-0.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-12	oos	0.06042	0.05992	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.060205	0.059947	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-10	oos	0.06067	0.060215	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.060945	0.060252	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.06053	0.059608	-1.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.061825	0.060819	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-06	oos	0.061715	0.061021	-1.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.06169	0.060947	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-04	oos	0.06171	0.061066	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-03	oos	0.061395	0.060214	-1.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.0617	0.060208	-2.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.06148	0.059895	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-30	oos	0.06139	0.059466	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-29	oos	0.06121	0.059239	-3.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.060615	0.058658	-3.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.06074	0.058855	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.06106	0.059029	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-25	oos	0.060915	0.058808	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-24	oos	0.06117	0.059044	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-23	oos	0.06117	0.058967	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-22	oos	0.060735	0.058992	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.06117	0.05953	-2.68%	0.0466	-23.82%	0.2189	✓	0.56
2026-09-20	oos	0.061435	0.058242	-5.20%	0.042915	-30.15%	0.3173	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.06046	0.057313	-5.21%	0.05515	-8.78%	0.0427	✓	0.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.06137	0.05784	-5.75%	0.055405	-9.72%	0.0509	✓	0.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.06115	0.057189	-6.48%	0.05585	-8.67%	0.0565	✓	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.06201	0.057662	-7.01%	0.059095	-4.70%	0.0106	✓	0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.06086	0.056706	-6.83%	0.059045	-2.98%	0.0015	✓	0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.06052	0.056334	-6.92%	0.05934	-1.95%	0.0241	✓	0.66
2026-09-13	oos	0.060775	0.056447	-7.12%	0.05942	-2.23%	0.0016	✓	0.63
2026-09-12	oos	0.062595	0.057844	-7.59%	0.06042	-3.47%	0.0071	✓	0.65
2026-09-11	oos	0.065045	0.059791	-8.08%	0.060205	-7.44%	0.0455	✓	0.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.06506	0.059858	-8.00%	0.06067	-6.75%	0.0378	✓	0.64
2026-09-09	oos	0.06486	0.059871	-7.69%	0.060945	-6.04%	0.0226	✓	0.76
2026-09-08	oos	0.066495	0.061293	-7.82%	0.06053	-8.97%	0.0441	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.068065	0.062732	-7.84%	0.061825	-9.17%	0.0566	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.06993	0.064543	-7.70%	0.061715	-11.75%	0.1002	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.071875	0.06629	-7.77%	0.06169	-14.17%	0.1434	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.07207	0.066454	-7.79%	0.06171	-14.37%	0.1563	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.07313	0.068393	-6.48%	0.061395	-16.05%	0.1498	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07424	0.068059	-8.33%	0.0617	-16.89%	0.1871	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.07438	0.068308	-8.16%	0.06148	-17.34%	0.1972	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.07495	0.069118	-7.78%	0.06139	-18.09%	0.1802	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.07579	0.069616	-8.15%	0.06121	-19.24%	0.2028	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.07513	0.069256	-7.82%	0.060615	-19.32%	0.1979	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.07633	0.070254	-7.96%	0.06074	-20.42%	0.2272	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.07696	0.071899	-6.58%	0.06106	-20.66%	0.2137	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.08217	0.076105	-7.38%	0.060915	-25.87%	0.2848	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.08355	0.077191	-7.61%	0.06117	-26.79%	0.3046	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.08871	0.082226	-7.31%	0.06117	-31.04%	0.3619	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.08672	0.079796	-7.98%	0.060735	-29.96%	0.3764	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.08671	0.079618	-8.18%	0.06117	-29.45%	0.3803	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.08346	0.077408	-7.25%	0.061435	-26.39%	0.2667	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.08276	0.075211	-9.12%	0.06046	-26.95%	0.3250	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08486	0.076389	-9.98%	0.06137	-27.68%	0.3734	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.08495	0.075814	-10.75%	0.06115	-28.02%	0.3808	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.08465	0.075132	-11.24%	0.06201	-26.75%	0.3583	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.08446	0.074285	-12.05%	0.06086	-27.94%	0.3840	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.